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True Blue Brew Crew

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  1. True Blue Brew Crew
    Possibly. I guess the point is that it goes against logic to assume an analytics person would completely take an unanalytic approach to choosing a manager. What's Stearns approach going to be if not analytic? Who gives the best pregame speeches? Counsell is already well known to be very analytic and statistics driven, so he's already got a leg up there in matched approach. The next logical step for a decision maker like Stearns is running analysis at who does it best. And by one measure (1 run games) Counsell is the best ever at it.
  2. True Blue Brew Crew
    OR maybe Stears sees that Counsell owns the best record of any manager in MLB history in 1 run games and decides he vastly underpaid no matter what the penny equivalent a record breaking salary amounts to for Cohen. Why would Stearns even calculate the dollar aspect of it? Manager salary doesn't even factor into team payroll and tax. Finding an edge at manager would be free. Counsell is 212-161 as a manager in 1 run games (+51) which over 9 seasons means about 5.67 wins over .500 per season. An analytics person might equate that into a similar calculation to WAR (wins above replacement) figuring that Counsell is worth 5.5 wins above a typical manager. If an analytics person chooses to look at Counsell in that light, he'd be vastly underpaid even if he becomes the highest paid manager in the game. Of course not everyone will agree to weigh things that way, but when it's just the owner's money and doesn't affect the team payroll or tax, why not look for that statistical edge at manager? Almost seems silly to suggest that an analytics person wouldn't apply the same approach to everything, including and even especially manager.
  3. True Blue Brew Crew
    What an ugly and unfortunate situation. Of course a 2 year deal immediately springs to mind but it should just as quickly be dismissed. No matter how little you pay Woody to rehab in 2024, the amount you're paying him in 2025 will still be too high. He's not going to just spring back to pitching 200 innings and making 30 starts. And that's before even contemplating if he's going to be as effective as he has been before. If Woodruff is ever going to be a top of rotation starter again, it will be 2026 at the earliest, after a season of building up his arm and pushing an innings limit. If you then explore a 3 year deal, now you're committing 3 years of real dollars to a guy who may never return to top form. And what's to say Woodruff even wants to do a 3 year deal at a figure well below what he was projected for before the injury? So when you accept that 2024 is completely lost, 2025 is at best a build back year, and 2026 is probably something neither side even wants to discuss, what's the point? It's all risk with next to zero upside.
  4. True Blue Brew Crew
    You thought wrong because you assumed my throwaway comment about CC possibly leaving due to knowledge Mark A is selling meant that I was changing my timeline. And I linked my comment showing it doesn't impact the timeline at all. To me, it's really about (and has always been about) having the stadium funding deal done. Again, I'm sorry this speculation has harmed you so much.
  5. True Blue Brew Crew
    You thought wrong... Ya know for someone seemingly so offended by someone's personal speculation to the extent you've stalked me now 3 separate times to combat it, you aren't very good at remembering what it was that was speculated. And as also speculated if Mark A had let it be known possibly 1-2 years back to people in the Brewers organization his intent to sell once the future of the stadium was locked up, it would actually align well with recent departures and Counsell's non-committal. I'm sorry that my own musings of how well positioned the team would be to sell once the stadium deal is complete, offends you so much.
  6. True Blue Brew Crew
    Maybe Counsell wants to wait and see who the new owner is No different than speculating on if he hates Stearns, loves Arnold, hates Arnold, or loves Stearns
  7. True Blue Brew Crew
    One at bat and injured again, don't think we'll have to worry about Winker anymore
  8. True Blue Brew Crew
    I get it with Winker but the real pessimism should be how bad the whole team is vs Gallen. They need to squeeze out any decent matchup they can get against him. Just hope Winker has one good game in him. It might be his only start of the postseason regardless of advancement.
  9. True Blue Brew Crew
    I wouldn't guarantee it but yeah I'd bet on Winker being the DH in the lineup tomorrow
  10. True Blue Brew Crew
    The sample size is extremely small but that has never stopped Counsell before. Winker is on the roster so he can be in the lineup tomorrow vs Zac Gallen whom he's reached base on 3 out of 4 ABs. The Brewers as a team have really ugly numbers against him. Mitchell is one of the few who also had good ABs vs Gallen so it must be the hesitancy to slide with him is all I can come up with.
  11. True Blue Brew Crew
    How often do playoff teams have a surprise major injury on the eve of the first round? Two times in a row for the Brewers doesn't seem fair.
  12. True Blue Brew Crew
    Uhh, this quote from Attanasio isn't reassuring at all... https://theathletic.com/4918707/2023/10/02/milwaukee-brewers-success-mark-attanasio-playoffs/ Mark talking about CC contemplating challenges elsewhere doesn't seem to be something that would be said out loud with no basis
  13. True Blue Brew Crew
    The Bucks flaws on offense have stopped their playoff runs for the entirety of the Giannis era save for one season when they made just enough plays of defense, led by Jrue and Tucker, to squeeze out a title. You could either keep trying to thread that needle or you could become a undefendable juggernaut on the offensive end by acquiring a closer who needs to be guarded out to 30 feet and opens everything up in the paint for your franchise player. Doesn't seem like a tough call at all. This is a much easier path than needing to make outrageous defensive stops in the final minute of multiple games.
  14. True Blue Brew Crew
    Marlins might just slide right past the Dbacks and leave the Brewers with a matchup vs Arizona. Miami holds the tiebreaker between the two. And suddenly the Reds are in the picture as well
  15. True Blue Brew Crew
    Nice to have company on this wagon
  16. True Blue Brew Crew
    Turns out Allen got injured in practice this week and almost didn't play. They eased him into the game and left it up to how he felt in determining how much action he'd get. But by all means, don't let that stop anyone from jumping to wild conclusions about transferring or not being able to play in the NFL.
  17. True Blue Brew Crew
    Yes
  18. True Blue Brew Crew
    We'll see soon enough
  19. True Blue Brew Crew
    If this goes through, you've got a stable, modernized stadium through 2050, a top 5 farm system, a winning ballclub, and only one bad, long term contract on the books. And you're an owner who last week more than doubled your stake in a soccer team, with an eye on soon acquiring a controlling interest. Hard to imagine a more opportune time to exit from one and cash in, while setting your sights and primary focus on your other new toy. It doesn't make much sense for a guy who is already way, way down the pecking order in MLB wealth to further dilute himself by investing in another sports franchise and spreading yourself that much thinner as opposed to simply pouring additional wealth into your first endeavor. At least, much like Herb Kohl, you've secured the team's future in Milwaukee before ending your run. Right down to committing some of your own dollars to the team's future stadium situation upon your exit. Here's to hopefully deeper pockets taking the reins.
  20. True Blue Brew Crew
    Oof, that's Ah bad
  21. True Blue Brew Crew
    You said "put him on the practice squad". There is no "putting" of a player on the practice squad. You release a player then sign them to the practice squad if no other team claims them or signs them for their 53. That's why it's called "sneaking" a player on to the practice squad when you release a player on cut downs who you hope to keep in the organization.
  22. True Blue Brew Crew
    Gee, is that all? For a 1.3 year rental
  23. True Blue Brew Crew
    Ethan Small with another couple of scoreless and more importantly, walkless innings 2.68 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP and nearly 3 to 1 SO/BB ratio as a reliever this year
  24. True Blue Brew Crew
    The Brewers are currently 10 games over in spite of more nights where they forget how to hit more than any other team in the NL and having outscored opponents by 1 run on the season. He's doing something very right.
  25. True Blue Brew Crew
    So let's say the Brewers trade Burnes in the offseason and then are in 2024 playoff contention. Come the July trade deadline, the young bats have blossomed, the young rotation replacements have held their own, and it's said loudly by fans and pundits, that they're just a top end starter away from being a serious WS contender. They consider making a CC Sabathia type move and the price is 2-3 top prospects for a rental. Wouldn't it have just made more sense to hold on to Burnes and not have to trade away a handful prospects on par with the ones who just got when you traded Burnes prior to the season. Since the Brewers still look to be competitive in 2024, there's an argument to be made that keeping him (and Woodruff) and getting draft pick compensation between rounds 1 and 2 in the 2025 draft, is a sensible option.
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