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Robocaller

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Everything posted by Robocaller

  1. Robocaller
    Some good stuff here. I think it's mistaken to blame shifts for low league-wide OPS last season--they changed the ball. And I'd like to know what the effect might be on our pitchers.
  2. Robocaller
    I think this was just some guy trying to make some content to post. The only way I could see making a trade with AZ for one of the OFs, is if we sent them more OFs than what we sent. And even that seems unlikely for several reasons. Varsho's trade value (BTV) is on the level of Burnes or Chourio, so I don't see any way we could acquire him.
  3. Robocaller
    this seems to be in the wrong forum.
  4. Robocaller
    well, other than that he has been on the 26 man major league roster, and has hit well in the minors. his defense is (supposedly) the only thing holding him back.
  5. Robocaller
    I think the reasons, in order of priority are: 1) pay for the raises that arbitration-eligible players would be getting. 2) provide opportunities for our rookies to play. I see absolutely no evidence that the moves were made to make us better in 2023 (rather, they're just hoping the young players get better and rookies thrive). It's possible, though unlikely, that some player (say Vaquez) doesn't get very good offers and the Brewers swoop in. They'll probably sign one decent reliever, and whatever they can sign to minor league contracts (Apparently, acquiring pitchers with ERAs over 5.00 is the new moneyball). Maybe we'll acquire a decent player at the deadline, if we're in the playoff race. I'd be surprised as hell if Toro hits anywhere close to .300; in AA and AAA, he played in places where batting was inflated. The pitchers we got from LAA aren't very good, and aren't young enough to make a huge, sustained jump in performance--that was one of my complaints, that they didn't take a flyer on a young pitcher. Again, there is no $10M in salary relief. Winker and the $1.75M to the M's ate up Wong's salary. Salary savings (and actually, they are savings from projected salary) from Renfroe will go to their arbitration players. Our only hope is that our players improve from 2022, and our rookies hit the ground running.
  6. Robocaller
    Only if you define "best" as the teams which won the most games. The distinction is that the best team never wins all its games against even very bad teams (if they play enough games), and that a considerable amount of wins are determined by good or bad luck. The only way to evaluate it would be to find a time machine to go back to the start of the season and run a bunch of "simulations," but obviously we can't do that in the real world. Unless we're God.
  7. Robocaller
    Only if you define "best" as the teams which won the most games. The distinction is that the best team never wins all its games against even very bad teams (if they play enough games), and that a considerable amount of wins are determined by good or bad luck. The only way to evaluate it would be to find a time machine to go back to the start of the season and run a bunch of "simulations," but obviously we can't do that in the real world. Unless we're God.
  8. Robocaller
    It's only factual if you view it as a tautology.
  9. Robocaller
    It's only factual if you view it as a tautology.
  10. Robocaller
    I think he could still put up a few good ML seasons, but he's a good bet as a AAAA guy you can bring up and not get embarrassed.
  11. Robocaller
    Last year I thought the Cards over performed their true ability (as a team), while the Brewers under-performed. I still believe the Brewers were the better team. If the Cards add a SS after adding Contreras, and after the at-best lateral moves we've made, we might just be hoping for a wildcard slot.
  12. Robocaller
    Drury bats RH.
  13. Robocaller
    I agree that 2022 Drury's bat would be a great addition for the Brewers. I just don't know how likely 2023 Drury will be = 2022 Drury. Over his career, he hasn't exactly been a LHP-killer. In his most-recent full year before 2022 (which is 2019), he did badly vs. lefties. And he certainly doesn't help in the field. 2 years, $16M total contract is about the most that I'd consider. I think he'll want a longer contract.
  14. Robocaller
    Clancyphile has a name! And his name is Harold Hutchison!
  15. Robocaller
    What do you mean by this? If the same team picks (say) 16, 7, and 18 in three consecutive years, in the next year they have to draft #10 or later? Or do you just mean the first 6 picks of the draft as a "lottery pick." Because 10th overall pick IS a lottery pick.
  16. Robocaller
    For whom?
  17. Robocaller
    He has been about as consistent as you could get, never hitting less than .294. Doesn't bring much else than OBP, but that's a lot.
  18. Robocaller
    Since this is MN, home of Prince, Let's Go Crazy! Woodruff and Adames for Arraez Ober Thielbar C. Prielipp R. Lewis. By BTV, this is slightly in the Twins favor 79.1 vs 78.9
  19. Robocaller
    In answer to the title of the piece: No.
  20. Robocaller
    I would assert that this is exactly the opposite of what we should be doing. That much deferred payment will be a drag on the future success of the team. Big bucks on a short contract would be ideal. Buy out two years of FA, give him slight raises over what he would get in arbitration, then basically tack on Verlander's contract. I doubt a contract of any kind can be negotiated.
  21. Robocaller
    That's absurd, IMO. He makes us a win worse. Because he sucked.
  22. Robocaller
    Opening day or sometime in June (after super 2) is a more likely dichotomy. Though if he is on two top 100 lists, I think he'll be up on OD or within a couple of weeks.
  23. Robocaller
    Josh Hader: 7.31 ERA with SD. 16 IP. Taylor Rogers 5.48 ERA with MKE, 23 IP. Hader did fine in the playoffs, but if he performed for us like he performed for SD, it would have made us worse. That's the truth.
  24. Robocaller
    He's in the 40s on MLB.com. So, he'll probably be on at least 2 lists.
  25. Robocaller
    But if the same three guys are playing 2B-SS-3B, their offense doesn't matter regarding where they play in the field. It used to be that SS were mostly slap-hitting defense-first players, but that doesn't apply any more.
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