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Robocaller

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Everything posted by Robocaller

  1. Robocaller
    I got Alex Jackson. but also Ricky Henderson!
  2. Robocaller
    Or maybe because Hiura was so badly managed, continually getting starts against LHP. He should have had at least 20 more starts at DH against RHP (and more than that if he kept up his production).
  3. Robocaller
    WAR is a counting stat, and those other guys played more.
  4. Robocaller
    No, it's obvious that the A's overvalued Ruiz enormously. Now, maybe they'll end up being right, but probably not. Any site like BTV can only give average values. Making good trades is all about identifying GMs who value your players more than you do (or value their own players less than you do). Sometimes those discrepancies between values are huge.
  5. Robocaller
    I believe they base it on some statistics of recent contracts. It's a model, so it will never be exactly correct in predicting trades, and will be far off for some.
  6. Robocaller
    You really need to get off the deferred payments bandwagon. As it is, you're the only guy on it.
  7. Robocaller
    I think it's a bad attempt at a joke. But even if Tatis had half the value that BTV gives him, you'd have to give up Woodruff and Quero. At full value, it would be Chourio, Mitchell, and Ashby.
  8. Robocaller
    I think every one of the suggestions are things every team tries to do. Nothing specific to small-market teams.
  9. Robocaller
    Don't worry. We can probably pick him up for the minimum after he gets waived later this season.
  10. Robocaller
    He would be overpaid as a veteran middle reliever by 2026; relative to the Brewers, he would be overpaid by 2025. The good thing about his contract is the last two years (2028, 2029) are club options. And "middle reliever" isn't his floor; injuries happen. BTW, I'm not against Ashby's contract, but that's only because of the potential upside he has.
  11. Robocaller
    If you have $20+M tied up in 2+ players you don't really want, and can't trade, it's about as bad as carrying Yelich. If you extended Hiura after his rookie year, you'd make it longer than 6 years, because you have that long without signing a long-term contract.. IMO, you should ONLY do it when the player is willing to sacrifice significant potential long-term $ for security. If they want what you expect their going rate to be each year, you should pass.
  12. Robocaller
    Extending a player who is currently in his pre-arb or arb years is a RISKY proposition. We could have extended Hiura after 2019 for 8 years. We could have extended Jimmy Nelson (or Orlando Arcia) after 2017. and so on. you miss at least as often as you hit. I wouldn't try to extend Contreras until after 2023. It's highly unlikely to work out something with Burnes, Woodruff, or Adames.
  13. Robocaller
    If Chourio isn't on the 40-man in 2 years, it means his development has stalled.
  14. Robocaller
    Yeah, that used to be my thought. But the most they're going to get is an A-ball lottery ticket, and they probably could have gotten that.
  15. Robocaller
    It certainly devalues guys you might sign at age 16, because they might need to be put on the 40-man roster long before they are ready. And it puts a premium on college players, who will have established themselves (or not) by the time they need to be put on the 40-man.
  16. Robocaller
    I just had the thought that the only reason Hiura is still on the 40 man is to hedge their bets in case Winker needs more time to recover (or if he has fallen off the cliff).
  17. Robocaller
    I'd make a case we have no idea what to expect from Winker because he'll be recovering from two surgeries after having a very atypical season in 2022. He could revert to his pre-2022 self, or he could continue to fall off a cliff. No one knows 100%. I suspect he'll be closer to his pre-2022 performance, but there's literally no telling.
  18. Robocaller
    I think it's equally likely that Ashby is exactly as he was this past season or becomes an all-star in 2023.
  19. Robocaller
    If Hiura was a LHB and performed as he had in 2022, he would have been used better and would have fewer people wanting to stake him to an ant hill.
  20. Robocaller
    Baseball Ref has him at .511. His monthly splits went up and down a lot.
  21. Robocaller
    I really hope they haven't given up on him as a starter, because his stuff is filthy. If they have, they need to acquire another starter; maybe a FA from the trash heap.
  22. Robocaller
    The Brewers have gone back to their strategy of "throwing crap at the wall and seeing what sticks," to build a bullpen. "Crap" basically means guys who haven't established themselves as quality ML pitchers, but have something going for them that suggests they might. It has worked in the past (notably when we weren't predicted to compete for the playoffs), but I really wish they acquired one established late-inning guy. A guy who can be closer 1b, or at least push Bush and Strzelecki down the hierarchy.
  23. Robocaller
    I think it's best for both parties to separate. I wish he had gotten 20+ more of McCutchen's starts vs. RH starters. We'd have a good sense of his value. But he was misused in 2022. I think we're waiting for some team to offer an A-ball lottery ticket for him. Maybe if he's hitting .400 in S.T. and some team has an injury, we might get more.
  24. Robocaller
    Yeah, it's impossible to know if we're doing badly without knowing how other teams are doing. Based on the stats posted elsewhere, few teams have been able to identify and develop catching prospects. And a few of the guys mentioned weren't expected to stay at C even when they were drafted. Then one promising prospect had severe mental health issues. And others were only rated highly because our farm teams were wretched at the time.
  25. Robocaller
    Since SF lost Correa, How about Adames (plus Luis Lara and Jadher Areinamo for Kyle Harrison LH starting pitcher, who could be promoted to the majors in 2023. https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=harris003kyl and Casey Schmitt, a 3B/SS who could be promoted during 2023. https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=schmit000cas
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