Robocaller
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Everything posted by Robocaller
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I don't belong to any posse. Actually I suggested Frelick be stashed for a couple of weeks before being brought up. There is a difference between Frelick and Turang in that one (Frelick) will be on 2+ of the top 100 lists, and one will not.
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Possible, but I think Turang will be stashed in Nashville until he passes the Super 2 date (sometime in June).
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If Burnes, Woodruff, Peralta, Lauer, Miley, Ashby, and Houser are all healthy, there won't be many starts available for the 7th guy, even if they use 5 days off for everyone. When I scheduled out the first 41 games, those guys got 8,8,7,7,5,5, and 1 starts, respectively. The thing is, them being all healthy, even for only the first 41 games, is very unlikely. I don't think jettisoning one of the others for the sake of Miley, who pitched less than 40 innings last year, is wise. Unless we want to parade junk like, well, Junk and Alexander in the rotation. So, what can they do--until an injury settles the issue for them? Use whomever is not scheduled to start within the next 5 days as a "first man up" in the pen, with the idea that they'll pitch 2-3 innings. A benefit of this would be to lessen the burden on the back end of the bullpen, of which only Williams should give us much confidence.
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I hope they always have 2-3 guys on their roster who are currently under 4+ year contracts. The trick is signing the right guy. But they probably shouldn't sign a guy who was injured at the end of the year, a steroid user, or give a 32 year-old guy a 5 year contract. I don't even consider Braun and Cain's contract a problem. Yelich has become an albatross.
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I hope they always have 2-3 guys on their roster who are currently under 4+ year contracts. The trick is signing the right guy. But they probably shouldn't sign a guy who was injured at the end of the year, a steroid user, or give a 32 year-old guy a 5 year contract. I don't even consider Braun and Cain's contract a problem. Yelich has become an albatross.
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If you mean more than 4 years and more than $30M per year, I agree. If you mean more than $20M per year, I don't.
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If you mean more than 4 years and more than $30M per year, I agree. If you mean more than $20M per year, I don't.
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The current high is $43M on shorter contracts, or Judge's $40M. Unless Corbin is CY again (and is top 3 for the CY in his other pre-FA year), he won't make that much, though an insane bidding war is always possible.
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The current high is $43M on shorter contracts, or Judge's $40M. Unless Corbin is CY again (and is top 3 for the CY in his other pre-FA year), he won't make that much, though an insane bidding war is always possible.
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I'm not a fan of signing extensions before they're arbitrary-eligible. Need at least a couple years of performance to evaluate.
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I'm not a fan of signing extensions before they're arbitrary-eligible. Need at least a couple years of performance to evaluate.
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Who is your Brewers Birthday Buddy?
Robocaller replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
I got Alex Jackson. but also Ricky Henderson! -
Or maybe because Hiura was so badly managed, continually getting starts against LHP. He should have had at least 20 more starts at DH against RHP (and more than that if he kept up his production).
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WAR is a counting stat, and those other guys played more.
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Too Early 2023 Ideas (or beyond)
Robocaller replied to jay87shot's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
No, it's obvious that the A's overvalued Ruiz enormously. Now, maybe they'll end up being right, but probably not. Any site like BTV can only give average values. Making good trades is all about identifying GMs who value your players more than you do (or value their own players less than you do). Sometimes those discrepancies between values are huge. -
Too Early 2023 Ideas (or beyond)
Robocaller replied to jay87shot's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
I believe they base it on some statistics of recent contracts. It's a model, so it will never be exactly correct in predicting trades, and will be far off for some. -
You really need to get off the deferred payments bandwagon. As it is, you're the only guy on it.
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Too Early 2023 Ideas (or beyond)
Robocaller replied to jay87shot's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
I think it's a bad attempt at a joke. But even if Tatis had half the value that BTV gives him, you'd have to give up Woodruff and Quero. At full value, it would be Chourio, Mitchell, and Ashby. -
I think every one of the suggestions are things every team tries to do. Nothing specific to small-market teams.
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Don't worry. We can probably pick him up for the minimum after he gets waived later this season.
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He would be overpaid as a veteran middle reliever by 2026; relative to the Brewers, he would be overpaid by 2025. The good thing about his contract is the last two years (2028, 2029) are club options. And "middle reliever" isn't his floor; injuries happen. BTW, I'm not against Ashby's contract, but that's only because of the potential upside he has.
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If you have $20+M tied up in 2+ players you don't really want, and can't trade, it's about as bad as carrying Yelich. If you extended Hiura after his rookie year, you'd make it longer than 6 years, because you have that long without signing a long-term contract.. IMO, you should ONLY do it when the player is willing to sacrifice significant potential long-term $ for security. If they want what you expect their going rate to be each year, you should pass.
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Extending a player who is currently in his pre-arb or arb years is a RISKY proposition. We could have extended Hiura after 2019 for 8 years. We could have extended Jimmy Nelson (or Orlando Arcia) after 2017. and so on. you miss at least as often as you hit. I wouldn't try to extend Contreras until after 2023. It's highly unlikely to work out something with Burnes, Woodruff, or Adames.
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If Chourio isn't on the 40-man in 2 years, it means his development has stalled.
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Yeah, that used to be my thought. But the most they're going to get is an A-ball lottery ticket, and they probably could have gotten that.
