Woah. Let’s take a step back here. Especially since I remember you talking about how big of a threat the Pirates were little more than a month ago.
Krall may have said that, but the Reds would be incredibly stupid to start mortgaging their prospect capital at this stage of their rebuild.
Bieber? As we saw last night, he just isn’t a difference making arm anymore. Giolito is probably a solid #2, but there will be a ton of competition for him seeing as he’ll be pretty much the only top of the rotation arm available at the deadline. Teams that are far more desperate to make and do something in the playoffs than the Reds.
And then Greene and Lodolo are currently on the IL, with neither throwing more than 120 innings in a season. Lodolo isn’t set to return until August at the earliest. Not to mention Ashcraft has taken a huge step back.
Then you have their lineup which, while producing at a high level at the moment, is still composed largely of rookies, unproven players, and well past their prime guys. De La Cruz is going to be a stud, but his K rate is also bordering 30% and his xStats are pretty mediocre. McClain’s are a little better, but not the greatest. Friedl and Fraley are unproven and soaring past their career norms. And Joey Votto has suddenly risen from the dead to OPS at 1.500. Bottom line is there’s regression coming on this end…
Overall, Reds are in really, really good shape for the future, but it’s way too premature to start talking about them as World Series contenders. They’re not even shoo-ins to finish above .500. Could they win the division? Of course. I just have a hard time seeing it happen with how young they are and how bad their starting pitching has been.