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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. wiguy94
    Win probability chart goes crazy.
  2. wiguy94
    Maybe throwing Diaz up 5-0 yesterday was a mistake haha. Asking a guy to get a 5 out save the day after throwing 26 pitches is insane!
  3. wiguy94
    League wouldn't allow it.
  4. wiguy94
    I will rip my hair out if he's on the postseason roster.
  5. wiguy94
    I mean offensively they are pretty comparable. 98 wRC+ to 100 wRC+. xwOBA isn't related to wRC+. That's wOBA. xwOBA is about BB, HBP, K, batted ball quality. Goldschmidt had far better batted ball quality compared to Hoskins which is why his xwOBA is comfortably higher. Hard hit rate - 49.5% for Goldy to 42% for Hoskins Avg EV - 91.2 for Goldy to 88.7 for Hoskins Barrel rate - 11% for Goldy to 13% for Hoskins Yes Goldy's defense has fallen off but he's still miles better than Hoskins defensively. Goldy had 0 DRS and 0 OAA this year compared to Hoskins -3 DRS and -4 OAA (in about half as many innings)
  6. wiguy94
    Goldschmidt had a 98 wRC+ to Hoskins 100. Goldschmidt was the better defensive 1B and baserunner. He had 1.0 fWAR to Hoskins 0.1 fWAR. His .333 xwOBA was 28 points higher than Hoskins .305 xwOBA. Now I'm not a fan of signing Goldschmidt but let's be real here, Hoskins was the worse 1B this season.
  7. wiguy94
    The Brewers when playing well can beat every team in the MLB and when playing poorly can lose to any team in the MLB. We just need to play good baseball and things will take care of itself regardless of oppponent.
  8. wiguy94
    I feel like ZiPS, Steamer, PECOTA all really struggle at properly valuing speed, defense, and bullpen pitching which are the three things that carried the Brewers this year and typically speaking defense and bullpen have always been a strong point for the Brewers since 2018. The defense gets the pitching to overperform their peripherals. The bullpen gets the team to overperform their run differential (most times). Speed can help an offense overperform their middling power and relatively average hitting. Like it's just an example but currently Turang's 3 year ZiPS projections have him averaging 21 SB over the next 3 seasons with 4 CS when Turang just stole 50 bases with 6 CS.
  9. wiguy94
    Mets were in the playoffs 2 years ago.
  10. wiguy94
    Giants fired POBO Farhan Zaidi which I think makes plenty of sense, but they hired Buster Posey as their new POBO which feels crazy. I wonder if there's ever been a player only 3 years removed from playing being hired as POBO/GM of a franchise.
  11. wiguy94
    When are they going to announce which series get which time slots? Surely they won’t wait until the doubleheader is finished tomorrow, right?
  12. wiguy94
    I couldn't tell you that one because I don't think he'd make enough money in FA to justify opting out. Maybe if he just didn't enjoy his time in Milwaukee? Maybe if he has a really big postseason?
  13. wiguy94
    And if he pitches hopefully he throws 20 plus again.
  14. wiguy94
    Agreed
  15. wiguy94
    Is anyone else surprised the Mets threw Diaz with a 5 run lead today?
  16. wiguy94
    Ideal scenario is Braves win game 1 and Mets win game 2. Mets need to go hard for 18 straight innings.
  17. wiguy94
    Need the scores to hold.
  18. wiguy94
    At least the WC roster.
  19. wiguy94
    Would you really rather play Houston than Baltimore? Houston just wins in the playoffs and have the much better team the last 4 months than Baltimore.
  20. wiguy94
    The only way Sale will pitch tomorrow is if the Braves making the playoffs comes down to the 2nd game of the doubleheader. They have Schwellenbach to pitch game 1 of the doubleheader if they need to win.
  21. wiguy94
    So yeah worst scenario is Braves clinch today and we still end up playing them as they wouldn’t be trying in the double header game tomorrow and would have Sale, Fried, Lopez lined up for the WC round
  22. wiguy94
    My concern with scenario 2 is if all 3 teams win tomorrow and the Mets win game 1 of the DH and both teams have clinched the playoffs would they play the second game of the doubleheader even if both teams are tied? If no then by my understanding the Mets would have the tiebreaker and be the 5 seed. They would be 6-6 against each other and the Mets have the better divisional record which the tiebreaker would defer to. In that scenario the Braves already clinched so they don’t won’t use any of their good pitchers. They would have Sale, Fried, Lopez lined up for the WC series which honestly seems like worst case scenario to me.
  23. wiguy94
    Max chaos would be Mets win, Braves lose, Dbacks win. Mets and Braves would both get into the playoffs if they split the doubleheader 1-1 and we would face the Mets.
  24. wiguy94
    His defense is seriously a problem.
  25. wiguy94
    Myers is on 3 days rest. Pretty doubtful that he's going to be going any longer than 2-3 innings.
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