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SF70

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Everything posted by SF70

  1. SF70
    Do you like Matt Arnold’s draft-strategy of the last 3 years of going underslot early to be able to spend $ on HS pitching later?
  2. SF70
    Just read Hogg’s column this morning where he gave updates from Flanagan on the injured prospects of note throughout the team’s system. According to Flanagan all 7 pitchers that had TJ in ‘24 will be a full go this ST, including the 3 I asked you about, Broughton-Galindez & Knoth. That answered my first question.
  3. SF70
    I’d probably do Beavers & Gibson & the comp A pick for Peralta. Both of the players have a chance to impact the ‘26 team so that’s the type of return we should do for player the caliber of Peralta.
  4. SF70
    I liked Benge, and he’d sure look good in our AAA OF, and Yesavage in our rotation, but I love this team’s strategy of underslot early to pile up the savings in rounds 11-20 for maybe the best amateur pitching evaluation system in all of baseball. When you have an advantage over the rest of baseball it makes perfect sense to continue this strategy indefinitely. Pile up the pitching talent to eventual excess — then deal from that excess to help strengthen the rest of the team and still have more solid, controllable arm talent than any team in baseball. Since Matt Arnold has taken over the draft from David Stearns, I’m not sure there’s been a better domestic draft department in all of baseball.
  5. SF70
    The Brewers don’t believe in windows. Maybe the looming lockout puts extra emphasis on trying to win this coming season but that same potential lockout could also curb the desire to spend on this year’s team. My guess is a portion of the extra revenue the team received from their playoff run of ‘25 is being set aside just in case.
  6. SF70
    More likely? The team liking Lockridge. Do you remember how excited Murphy was getting Lockridge?
  7. SF70
    I’m guessing it was more Lockridge than salary relief, but whatever.
  8. SF70
    Lockridge is one of the fastest players in baseball, and can play CF defense. to MKE’s standards. The Brewers felt that important enough to give up a real prospect. I’m guessing Chourio’s hamstring injury made acquiring Lockridge necessary with also the team knowing of Collins upcoming paternity and possibly of Perkins mother being sick helping that decision along.
  9. SF70
    I was talking about Mears, not Megill. And Mears regressed after the all-star break. It could have been he got overworked and wore down, but his command was poor late-season. Maybe the team thinks an offseason of rest and Mears will be good to go next season, we’ll see.
  10. SF70
    Lockridge is great OF depth for teams like MKE that value speed, defense & baserunning. He was also needed in a big-way late last season when Chourio (IL), Collins (Paternity), and Perkins (Bereavement) were all down at the same time.
  11. SF70
    Lockridge. He has options and can get stashed in AAA for depth. Mears isn’t good enough to overcome the fact he has zero (0) options left.
  12. SF70
    Mears didn’t even make our NLCS roster. He regressed badly late-season especially with his command. If the choice is between Mears and Yoho in 2026 I’m taking Yoho. I loved Bukauskas’s stuff prior to his lat injury, and IF (IF) his stuff is all the way back he will be a valuable pen arm for this team.
  13. SF70
    Mears is EASILY replaced. And yes I do want to sell Megill and yes it’s 100% because of injury concerns. That’s his second flexor Strain and I don’t want to see another elbow problem while he’s with the Brewers. IF Bukauskas gets his stuff back, he’s a great bullpen option and Yoho improved his command after he was optioned in August and should be another great pen option. They also has myriad starter options they can move to the pen.
  14. SF70
    Henderson & Pratt & Peralta might do it, depending on what they think of Henderson-Pratt. The Tigers are a playoff team so replacing Skubal with Peralta, while a downgrade, still gives them a #2-3 type starter they can use for their ‘26 rotation. Pratt is a top 50-75 prospect that would give Detroit their SS of the future, and Henderson another starter for the ‘26 season. If I’m Detroit and want to sell high on Skubal, this would be a tough offer to turn down. If I’m the Brewers and can absorb Skubal’s $20+ salary for the ‘26 season I’m making the trade. A playoff rotation of Skubal-Woodruff-Misiorowski-Patrick gives the team an incredibly good chance to win a title. Made is the SS of the future anyhow and the team has tons of controlled starter depth moving-forward so they can afford to lose Henderson.
  15. SF70
    And Forbes has them at $137.6M year-end, 40-man payroll for 2025.
  16. SF70
    I want Megill traded because of injury concerns. Saving 4.4 million is an ancillary benefit. Mears Can go — we don’t need him. That saves another 2M+. That’s $6.4M that can be used at the trade-deadline. If the team needs to shed more, then Peralta can get traded for the best return, that saves another $8M, provided the return is pre-arby or prospects. Potentially $14.4M saved less $2.4M for 3 pre-arby replacements. Losing Mears won’t matter at all, and Megill can be replaced by Uribe. The team is as good as there is in this game at finding good bullpen arms and they have starter arm options internally that they can use throughout the season there plus Yoho and Bukauskas, who was a nice leverage arm before his lat injury. Peralta would potentially be a bigger loss with his veteran leadership and likely 170 innings of mid-rotation or better performance. But with Ashby returning to starting and the large number of controlled starters plus Woodruff, they should be able to get to the trade-deadline in good shape rotation-wise and if not, they have an enormous amount of prospect-capital of which to pull-off another Priester-like addition.
  17. SF70
    It’s total payroll for the year that matters and if the team needs to shed a little now to be able to add at the deadline then so be it. I’m hoping they trade Mears & Megill (injury risk) and if they trade Peralta that means they got what they wanted in return. Matt Arnold & co will figure it out.
  18. SF70
    Agree on the mostly stand pat. This coming year’s trade-deadline could get interesting with a Brewers farm likely to get closer to the bursting level of prospect depth (provided the team stands mostly pat this offseason). The team could decide to use some of that extreme prospect depth in an attempt to become a monstrous juggernaut entering the postseason with a looming lockout ahead. At least I’m hoping to see that.
  19. SF70
    I’m adding Mark Attanasio to the list. Thankful that he wants to keep his team in baseball’s smallest-market, and thankful he’s smart enough to hire the best executive talent in the game over the last decade and also listen to what that talents asks you to do to become the best organization in all of baseball.
  20. SF70
    Get used to it. Over the coming years this team will be trading from that pitching depth. First with low minors arms and then after they have the uppers loaded, they will trade from there and eventually the big-club. With the team’s skill in finding amateur pitching talent I’m not seeing them change their draft strategy and with the big-club now having 7 starters with 4-6 years of control left, the time for trading some of that excess pitching is getting closer. A true pitching factory ahead.
  21. SF70
    The pitching brought in from this class is special. Broughton-Dubanewicz-Smith-Renz-Meccage-Hardin-DeBerry-Holobetz — wow. Did I miss anyone? Really looking forward to seeing a healthy Broughton make his debut.
  22. SF70
    Well actually it was. The team did after-all win 97 games and finished 3rd in RS. The team isn’t going to replace a GG-caliber SS this offseason without giving him until the trade-deadline to see if he can improve his offense. If Steamer is right and he gets to a 95 wRC+, he becomes a 3 WAR player. But even if he can get to 85, he probably eliminates the need for an outside acquisition.
  23. SF70
    I don’t think Arnold pulls the trigger on that return. Not for a backend starter (Early) and bullpen arm (Perales), even if that pen arm ends up in HL. Early might be ready next season, Perales probably not. That trade weakens the Brewers 2026 BL team considerably, imo.
  24. SF70
    And didn’t even mention our 3 big-armed TJ’s, Woodward-Broughton-Galindez, all 3 back pitching at varying times this season.
  25. SF70
    Woody will enter ST 100% healthy, 28 months post-surgery. He showed what he can do last season with reduced velo — #2 starter stats including peripherals that match. He has an opportunity to re-gain a tick or two and with his new and improved arsenal — become better than ever — a true playoff ace. And you can bet the team will do what it can to make sure he gets to October healthy and now that the predicted lat injury is out of the way, I’m predicting he gets there. There is no move (0) this team could have made that adds more impact than adding Brandon Woodruff to the 2026 team.
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