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Jake McKibbin

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  1. I also remember seeing before his last start, he had the lowest xERA of the whole Brewers rotation with 3.48. he actually had some bad luck but was looking good, and can produce on a given night. I'm happy enough taking a chance, i feel he's earned a short or two more as well
  2. Jefferson quero, have yourself a night! Still only the 5th inning Great to see chourio smoke yet another bomb to oppo field too
  3. I think you could make an argument that he may have accounted for a few less bullpen collapses with Devin + Josh still, however I think Contreras has been pretty huge in value so far and is directly due to that trade (ie not involving anyone else in the minor league system), Ruiz has provided a lot of value for the A's so far too if you want to go that route We also got Payamps who has been very efficient at stopping hard contact, which kind of fills the Hader void, at least a little bit Gasser needs time to work on his command issues, but if he can control his stuff better then he'll be a big bonus I think long term we're definitely better off, and this season we probably are
  4. So I had a little look into him for anyone interested, but shortly summed up, he's really strong against pitches away but struggles when pitched inside. When facing lefty sinker/change-up heavy pitchers, he's in his element. He's also absolutely ripped the ball so far this season, a surprising DFA if i wasn't for how god LaMonte Wade Jr has been at getting on base and his declining fielding ability making him almost a DH only option (and they have Pederson + rotating others in). Last season as well as moving to the Mets from his much loved San Francisco home, he was also dealing with the death of his father, but I do think there's a potential diamond here hitting wise, even though the age and bad defense do bring risk
  5. The Brewers signed Darin Ruf for one simple reason: he doesn’t look like a deer in the headlights when someone holds the ball in their left hand. He’s historically been an above-average hitter against left-handed pitching, and in a couple of outlier seasons, he’s done a huge amount of damage in those situations. He’s known for having a strong walk rate as well as a big strikeout rate, but hit nine home runs in 158 at-bats last season against left-handers to post a .753 OPS, something the Brewers would take in a heartbeat. Let’s take a little dive into a few more of the numbers, to see what else we can expect from the 37-year-old veteran. The Stats For a man who posted a .904 OPS across 312 plate appearances in 2021 (amid the astounding performance of that year’s whole San Francisco Giants team), last season was a huge letdown in which he couldn’t hit right-handed pitching at all. From what was a 22-walk, 28-strikeout season against southpaws in 2021, with an OPS of 1.004, he struck out almost twice as often in 2022, albeit still doing damage when he made contact. He is a potential rebound candidate, although at 37, it’s more likely his bat has just slowed considerably as well as his eye at the plate. In a modest 27 at-bats so far this season against left-handers, he’s averaged a 100.2-MPH exit velocity against the fastball; 95.6 against breaking pitches; and 97.5 against offspeed offerings. His minimal time at the plate has led to excessive swing and miss against breaking balls, but he’s crushing the pitches he connects with to the tune of an expected slugging percentage of .539 and an expected batting average of .305. This guy is still hitting, and were it not for how well LaMonte Wade, Jr. is playing, he might not have been cut by San Francisco at all. As you can see, he does most of his damage when he can free his arms, and struggles to create quality contact when pitched inside. Despite this, because of his very patient approach at the plate, he has a lower swing rate on the inside portion of the plate, waiting for a pitch he can drive early in the count. One benefit of his experience is that he knows his weaknesses and manages them well. Another facet of his game is his productivity down in the strike zone, with high exit velocities and lower whiff rates. He recorded eight runs above average against sinkers last season and nine in 2021, with two so far this year. Pitchers like, say, Jordan Montgomery on Tuesday evening will be especially wary of this. He also likes the changeup, which makes sense in that any pitch down in the zone and away from his body has historically been an area of dominance for him. How he can be used Ruf is predominantly a pull hitter who is poor defensively, but given that the Brewers are the worst offense in the league against left-handers, he is exactly what they need: a pinch-hitter late on against lefties, and a platoon DH, with the occasional start at first base sprinkled in there. Expect to see him tonight, and potentially some fireworks, finally, against a left-handed starter. What do you think of the Brewers new lefty masher?
  6. Still searching for a consistent source of power to lengthen the lineup against left-handed hurlers, the Brewers signed a notable (if limited) slugger on Monday. How does he fit into their roster? Image courtesy of © Robert Edwards-USA TODAY Sports Still searching for a consistent source of power to lengthen the lineup against left-handed hurlers, the Brewers signed a notable (if limited) slugger on Monday. How does he fit into their roster? The Brewers signed Darin Ruf for one simple reason: he doesn’t look like a deer in the headlights when someone holds the ball in their left hand. He’s historically been an above-average hitter against left-handed pitching, and in a couple of outlier seasons, he’s done a huge amount of damage in those situations. He’s known for having a strong walk rate as well as a big strikeout rate, but hit nine home runs in 158 at-bats last season against left-handers to post a .753 OPS, something the Brewers would take in a heartbeat. Let’s take a little dive into a few more of the numbers, to see what else we can expect from the 37-year-old veteran. The Stats For a man who posted a .904 OPS across 312 plate appearances in 2021 (amid the astounding performance of that year’s whole San Francisco Giants team), last season was a huge letdown in which he couldn’t hit right-handed pitching at all. From what was a 22-walk, 28-strikeout season against southpaws in 2021, with an OPS of 1.004, he struck out almost twice as often in 2022, albeit still doing damage when he made contact. He is a potential rebound candidate, although at 37, it’s more likely his bat has just slowed considerably as well as his eye at the plate. In a modest 27 at-bats so far this season against left-handers, he’s averaged a 100.2-MPH exit velocity against the fastball; 95.6 against breaking pitches; and 97.5 against offspeed offerings. His minimal time at the plate has led to excessive swing and miss against breaking balls, but he’s crushing the pitches he connects with to the tune of an expected slugging percentage of .539 and an expected batting average of .305. This guy is still hitting, and were it not for how well LaMonte Wade, Jr. is playing, he might not have been cut by San Francisco at all. As you can see, he does most of his damage when he can free his arms, and struggles to create quality contact when pitched inside. Despite this, because of his very patient approach at the plate, he has a lower swing rate on the inside portion of the plate, waiting for a pitch he can drive early in the count. One benefit of his experience is that he knows his weaknesses and manages them well. Another facet of his game is his productivity down in the strike zone, with high exit velocities and lower whiff rates. He recorded eight runs above average against sinkers last season and nine in 2021, with two so far this year. Pitchers like, say, Jordan Montgomery on Tuesday evening will be especially wary of this. He also likes the changeup, which makes sense in that any pitch down in the zone and away from his body has historically been an area of dominance for him. How he can be used Ruf is predominantly a pull hitter who is poor defensively, but given that the Brewers are the worst offense in the league against left-handers, he is exactly what they need: a pinch-hitter late on against lefties, and a platoon DH, with the occasional start at first base sprinkled in there. Expect to see him tonight, and potentially some fireworks, finally, against a left-handed starter. What do you think of the Brewers new lefty masher? View full article
  7. Always good to see a new face in the forum bud! I think it has actually gotten a little better this season, some will undoubtedly be throwing mechanics rather than raw strength, but sometimes getting timing of hips and shoulders etc is a tough thing to re-learn. That being said he's throwing on average 2 mph quicker on each throw, and is in the 42nd percentile in the league, considerably better than his 27th percentile arm last season Aslo @Smichaelis9wrote on twitter about this recently, his max throw has gone from 83.8 mph in 2020 to 95.3 mph this season
  8. Fun fact. Contreras starting at catcher again after the recent fiasco, and Jack flaherty was outspoken saying he didn't understand why the sequences were being called. Tough to catch someone throwing you under the bus like that, it seems Cardinal fandom also thinks flaherty is a whiney manchild with Contreras becoming more popular during the front offices mishaps
  9. I think minimum is a bit far given this is baseball but it does certainly build some momentum Cards series will be very interesting, and can't wait to see how they do with the rays given the best starters all feature against the cards
  10. Also nice to have your three best starters this season going to the cardinals series with peralta Miley and burnes
  11. As the Brewers' quest for a more reliably productive designated hitter continues, Keston Hiura remains an interesting potential solution. Why isn't he already with the parent club again, and what needs to happen in order for him to get one last shot? Image courtesy of © Katie Stratman, Katie Stratman / USA TODAY NETWORK As the Brewers' quest for a more reliably productive designated hitter continues, Keston Hiura remains an interesting potential solution. Why isn't he already with the parent club again, and what needs to happen in order for him to get one last shot? With a player and team who have been through as much together as the Brewers and Keston Hiura have, there are bound to be complications when considering giving things another try. In his case, there are two distinct questions to ask: What boxes does he still need to check in order to earn another chance, and what other move would open a place for him on both the 26- and 40-man rosters? Reasons for Caution Hiura produced an OPS of 1.181 last season in Nashville, across an admittedly small sample of 59 plate appearances. There, his strikeout rate was a viable 25.4 percent. Yet, he couldn’t translate that success to the majors. Part of this is down to the inconsistency of jumping around, not finding regular playing time, as well as what’s very likely a slight mental block at this stage. As such, the last thing you want to do with a promising bat in what is likely a last chance would be to bring him up and not use him, or react adversely to small sample results. Hiura needs to feel the confidence within the club, and confidence within himself having made this journey several times before. There is one other statistic that stands out, though again, a small sample. In late innings of close games, Hiura has 12 at bats, with just two hits and six strikeouts, implying that he perhaps needs to show his improvements off under pressure a little more before he can cope with the demands of playing in the midst of a big-league pennant race again. He has an .868 OPS with runners in scoring position and two outs–again, slightly below his current production, and something to keep an eye on as the season progresses. The more confidence he develops in himself and his approach, the more these stats will increase. How Does He Fit? DFA Jesse Winker Winker is currently occupying the DH slot for the Brewers, predominantly against right-handers, with William Contreras or others splitting the role when facing left-handed pitchers. He is expected to get some limited time in the outfield, and has shown good plate discipline but a total lack of power in the batter’s box. The Brewers are likely to give him a little more time to turn things around and regain the power stroke that made him such a fearsome hitter in Cincinnati, which would allow Hiura more time in the minors to solidify his base, increase the level of comfort in his approach, and make sure that he’s fully ready when he does come up again. As Matt Trueblood said though, time may be running short for Winker. Hiura can fulfill all the roles Jesse Winker currently performs and more, given just how awful Winker is in the outfield grass. He would get regular playing time in this position on the roster, mostly against right-handers but occasionally against left-handed pitching, giving him a real chance to thrive. One thing most people agree on is that Hiura needs regular playing time and opportunities. DFA Luke Voit This roster decision seems like it may be coming sooner rather than later, with Voit scuffling horribly against left-handed pitching, and showing a serious lack of power. He has made some very agile plays at first base, but in reality, his bat hasn’t performed quite the way the Brewers would have hoped, and he could be traded or cut by the end of the month. This may come a little too quickly for Hiura, as well as resigning him to far fewer plate appearances, and solely against left-handers (when they sit Rowdy Tellez). Tellez is struggling significantly in his few at-bats off southpaws so far, so the Brewers need someone who can hit left-handers, but to throw this burden on Hiura after last season may be a touch presumptuous, particularly if you want long-term success from him. DFA Mike Brosseau As is the case with Voit, Brosseau is in the lineup to hit lefties, but his inability to field balls makes him a liability at both first and third base, resulting in him playing as the DH against left-handed starters and getting just five at-bats in May so far. Again, Hiura shouldn’t be brought up in this case (he needs regular playing time), but Brosseau’s time in Milwaukee may be coming to an end in the short term. The most likely point of time is when Luis Urias returns from the 60-day injured list at the end of the month, making it even less likely that Hiura will be taking his place on the 40-man roster. *** Hiura provides a power bat that can carry an offense and punish pitchers in a way the Brewers aren’t managing to do consistently. If they want someone as an everyday DH, that hitter needs to be a serious slugger, posting an OPS of .800 or more, and they’re just not getting that level of production at the moment. It seems a matter of time before Hiura makes the big-league roster again, and when he does, prepare for fireworks. View full article
  12. With a player and team who have been through as much together as the Brewers and Keston Hiura have, there are bound to be complications when considering giving things another try. In his case, there are two distinct questions to ask: What boxes does he still need to check in order to earn another chance, and what other move would open a place for him on both the 26- and 40-man rosters? Reasons for Caution Hiura produced an OPS of 1.181 last season in Nashville, across an admittedly small sample of 59 plate appearances. There, his strikeout rate was a viable 25.4 percent. Yet, he couldn’t translate that success to the majors. Part of this is down to the inconsistency of jumping around, not finding regular playing time, as well as what’s very likely a slight mental block at this stage. As such, the last thing you want to do with a promising bat in what is likely a last chance would be to bring him up and not use him, or react adversely to small sample results. Hiura needs to feel the confidence within the club, and confidence within himself having made this journey several times before. There is one other statistic that stands out, though again, a small sample. In late innings of close games, Hiura has 12 at bats, with just two hits and six strikeouts, implying that he perhaps needs to show his improvements off under pressure a little more before he can cope with the demands of playing in the midst of a big-league pennant race again. He has an .868 OPS with runners in scoring position and two outs–again, slightly below his current production, and something to keep an eye on as the season progresses. The more confidence he develops in himself and his approach, the more these stats will increase. How Does He Fit? DFA Jesse Winker Winker is currently occupying the DH slot for the Brewers, predominantly against right-handers, with William Contreras or others splitting the role when facing left-handed pitchers. He is expected to get some limited time in the outfield, and has shown good plate discipline but a total lack of power in the batter’s box. The Brewers are likely to give him a little more time to turn things around and regain the power stroke that made him such a fearsome hitter in Cincinnati, which would allow Hiura more time in the minors to solidify his base, increase the level of comfort in his approach, and make sure that he’s fully ready when he does come up again. As Matt Trueblood said though, time may be running short for Winker. Hiura can fulfill all the roles Jesse Winker currently performs and more, given just how awful Winker is in the outfield grass. He would get regular playing time in this position on the roster, mostly against right-handers but occasionally against left-handed pitching, giving him a real chance to thrive. One thing most people agree on is that Hiura needs regular playing time and opportunities. DFA Luke Voit This roster decision seems like it may be coming sooner rather than later, with Voit scuffling horribly against left-handed pitching, and showing a serious lack of power. He has made some very agile plays at first base, but in reality, his bat hasn’t performed quite the way the Brewers would have hoped, and he could be traded or cut by the end of the month. This may come a little too quickly for Hiura, as well as resigning him to far fewer plate appearances, and solely against left-handers (when they sit Rowdy Tellez). Tellez is struggling significantly in his few at-bats off southpaws so far, so the Brewers need someone who can hit left-handers, but to throw this burden on Hiura after last season may be a touch presumptuous, particularly if you want long-term success from him. DFA Mike Brosseau As is the case with Voit, Brosseau is in the lineup to hit lefties, but his inability to field balls makes him a liability at both first and third base, resulting in him playing as the DH against left-handed starters and getting just five at-bats in May so far. Again, Hiura shouldn’t be brought up in this case (he needs regular playing time), but Brosseau’s time in Milwaukee may be coming to an end in the short term. The most likely point of time is when Luis Urias returns from the 60-day injured list at the end of the month, making it even less likely that Hiura will be taking his place on the 40-man roster. *** Hiura provides a power bat that can carry an offense and punish pitchers in a way the Brewers aren’t managing to do consistently. If they want someone as an everyday DH, that hitter needs to be a serious slugger, posting an OPS of .800 or more, and they’re just not getting that level of production at the moment. It seems a matter of time before Hiura makes the big-league roster again, and when he does, prepare for fireworks.
  13. How did this carry so far... This guy has some serious pop
  14. The question is could it hurt keston? He's clearly making strides, but he's maybe got a little more confidence to build in what'll be his last shot likely with the brewers. Is it better to give him sporadic time v left handers as Voit is getting? Or use him if winker fails?
  15. As the Brewers' offensive rough patch continues, it's only natural to look to the Triple-A roster to consider alternatives to the current group of hitters. There's someone down there raking. The question is: are you ready to trust him again? Image courtesy of © Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports As the Brewers' offensive rough patch continues, it's only natural to look to the Triple-A roster to consider alternatives to the current group of hitters. There's someone down there raking. The question is: are you ready to trust him again? Keston Hiura has had several chances with the Brewers. He demonstrated formidable promise in his first half-season, though his underlying numbers told a less inspiring story even then. He has struck out at alarming rates in all of his trials in the majors, and although he makes high-quality contact when he does put the ball in play, his slumps were too excessive and damaging to keep him on the major-league roster–particularly given his lack of a defensive home, and his inability to damage left-handed pitching. He’s currently down in Nashville, where he just hit his 12th home run of the year, and making hay. Could this time be different? The New & Improved Hiura has usually been quite successful in Triple A with the Nashville Sounds, but what is he doing differently that’s generating a modicum of hope? Well, historically, even despite the vast power output, he has still struck out with incredible regularity at the highest level of the minor-league system, failing to put the ball in play 31.6% of the time in his stints in 2021 and 2022. This, as you’d suspect, led to even higher strikeout rates against the higher-quality pitching in the majors, and made him almost un-rosterable. However, after a sluggish spring training, and a high strikeout start to the season while adapting his swing, he’s struck out at a 22.2% clip over his last 28 days, which falls even further (to just 17.9%) since April 21st. He has just two punchouts in his last 18 plate appearances. Hiura’s biggest issue has always been the high fastballs, with a golf-like swing destroying pitches low in the zone. In 2022, he swung and missed on over 50% of pitches in the upper third of the strike zone, with over a 40% whiff rate overall on the year. The contrast in his effectiveness depending on pitch location is most emphasized by his expected stats on sinkers vs four seamers; Four Seam Fastball – xBA .198, xSlg .489 Sinkers – xBA .349, xSlg .700 He has tried reducing the leg kick to improve his timing on those high fastballs, and this season, he’s worked on eliminating the leg kick altogether and just relying on his hands and hips to generate power. Have a look at two contrasting videos, one from 2022 and one from this season. Here's what a two-home game in Nashville looked like last year: And here he is hitting his 10th dinger of 2023. As you can see, this season, Hiura gets his foot down almost as soon as the pitcher starts his motion, leaving himself with a lot more time to read and react to the pitch. It’s resulted in a much higher contact rate up in the zone so far, as well as a better (lower) chase rate. His at-bats have been more selective, and he’s had better timing on the high fastball, not necessarily doing damage, but fouling off pitches, putting balls in play and then doing damage on any mistakes or pitches low in the strike zone. He’s forcing pitchers into areas they don’t want to be, and then he’s punishing them for it. He’s showing growth as the season goes on, demonstrating a better propensity to take his walks in May, though this could be down to being pitched around a little bit more. His declining strikeouts and improved plate discipline are huge developments, and he’s been a far cry from the three-pitch, three-whiff outs we saw with regularity last season. Secondly, he’s started to show an ability to hit left handers this season, hitting five home runs in 37 at-bats, with a manageable 25% strikeout rate. His OPS is 1.105, and he’s hitting the changeup effectively–a big bonus, given he had a .168 xwOBA against it last season. Forty plate appearances is a small sample, but it certainly shows some promise. Defensively, Hiura appears to have found a home in some respects, showing himself to have average speed and a solid enough glove in left field, with some highlight reel plays, including an outfield assist at home plate Wednesday night. It could easily be argued that he’s a better option than Jesse Winker, who has lost all semblance of speed, as well as being able to fill in at first base in an average way (also providing more range than Rowdy Tellez). Being able to use him to rest Yelich or Tellez on occasion would make him far more attractive to Craig Counsell. Tomorrow, we'll talk more about the understandable reservations the team might still have about calling up Hiura, but also how he can fit on the 26-man roster soon. In the meantime, let us know what you see as different in Hiura this year, and whether you believe these changes can translate to MLB. View full article
  16. Keston Hiura has had several chances with the Brewers. He demonstrated formidable promise in his first half-season, though his underlying numbers told a less inspiring story even then. He has struck out at alarming rates in all of his trials in the majors, and although he makes high-quality contact when he does put the ball in play, his slumps were too excessive and damaging to keep him on the major-league roster–particularly given his lack of a defensive home, and his inability to damage left-handed pitching. He’s currently down in Nashville, where he just hit his 12th home run of the year, and making hay. Could this time be different? The New & Improved Hiura has usually been quite successful in Triple A with the Nashville Sounds, but what is he doing differently that’s generating a modicum of hope? Well, historically, even despite the vast power output, he has still struck out with incredible regularity at the highest level of the minor-league system, failing to put the ball in play 31.6% of the time in his stints in 2021 and 2022. This, as you’d suspect, led to even higher strikeout rates against the higher-quality pitching in the majors, and made him almost un-rosterable. However, after a sluggish spring training, and a high strikeout start to the season while adapting his swing, he’s struck out at a 22.2% clip over his last 28 days, which falls even further (to just 17.9%) since April 21st. He has just two punchouts in his last 18 plate appearances. Hiura’s biggest issue has always been the high fastballs, with a golf-like swing destroying pitches low in the zone. In 2022, he swung and missed on over 50% of pitches in the upper third of the strike zone, with over a 40% whiff rate overall on the year. The contrast in his effectiveness depending on pitch location is most emphasized by his expected stats on sinkers vs four seamers; Four Seam Fastball – xBA .198, xSlg .489 Sinkers – xBA .349, xSlg .700 He has tried reducing the leg kick to improve his timing on those high fastballs, and this season, he’s worked on eliminating the leg kick altogether and just relying on his hands and hips to generate power. Have a look at two contrasting videos, one from 2022 and one from this season. Here's what a two-home game in Nashville looked like last year: And here he is hitting his 10th dinger of 2023. As you can see, this season, Hiura gets his foot down almost as soon as the pitcher starts his motion, leaving himself with a lot more time to read and react to the pitch. It’s resulted in a much higher contact rate up in the zone so far, as well as a better (lower) chase rate. His at-bats have been more selective, and he’s had better timing on the high fastball, not necessarily doing damage, but fouling off pitches, putting balls in play and then doing damage on any mistakes or pitches low in the strike zone. He’s forcing pitchers into areas they don’t want to be, and then he’s punishing them for it. He’s showing growth as the season goes on, demonstrating a better propensity to take his walks in May, though this could be down to being pitched around a little bit more. His declining strikeouts and improved plate discipline are huge developments, and he’s been a far cry from the three-pitch, three-whiff outs we saw with regularity last season. Secondly, he’s started to show an ability to hit left handers this season, hitting five home runs in 37 at-bats, with a manageable 25% strikeout rate. His OPS is 1.105, and he’s hitting the changeup effectively–a big bonus, given he had a .168 xwOBA against it last season. Forty plate appearances is a small sample, but it certainly shows some promise. Defensively, Hiura appears to have found a home in some respects, showing himself to have average speed and a solid enough glove in left field, with some highlight reel plays, including an outfield assist at home plate Wednesday night. It could easily be argued that he’s a better option than Jesse Winker, who has lost all semblance of speed, as well as being able to fill in at first base in an average way (also providing more range than Rowdy Tellez). Being able to use him to rest Yelich or Tellez on occasion would make him far more attractive to Craig Counsell. Tomorrow, we'll talk more about the understandable reservations the team might still have about calling up Hiura, but also how he can fit on the 26-man roster soon. In the meantime, let us know what you see as different in Hiura this year, and whether you believe these changes can translate to MLB.
  17. Christopher Morel just posted 1.100 OPS while striking out over 30% of the time
  18. Right knee soreness (not the knee he had surgery on last season). Team thinks it's just a minor niggle but being especially careful given his track record on the treatment table
  19. This doesn't look quite so viable now, a 2.29 WHIP over his last 5.2 innings
  20. Uribe's injury is right knee soreness, they don't think it's serious but worth noting he did have knee surgery in April last year Edit: Surgery was on his left knee
  21. It's a lot more than that, his range has been immense in the outfield on a regular basis, something Hunter Renfroe really didn't have last season. He's starting to get a bit of a handle on things but if he can tap into his power even semi regularly, that's a great outcome Plus he's just fun
  22. The Brewers informed him, per Journal Sentinel this is, at the start of camp that if everyone remained healthy through camp he would be used as a relief pitcher
  23. I didn't actually see it as the camera was for some reason just on the pitcher, but it was loud Quero with another 106mph lineout, this time to center field. Really unlucky but quality contact being made
  24. Chourio looks like he just isn't picking the pitch out of the hand at all, identifying breaking pitches should come with time, but a high hanging slider he swung way through, and then swung down and off the plate next pitch. Kinda ugly
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