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mudbutt

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Everything posted by mudbutt

  1. mudbutt
    Levonas the Brewers second rounder last year they failed to sign started the game so that’s a related note. His freshman year hasn’t been anything for the Brewers to regret not being able to seal the deal. Maybe he will have a better sophomore campaign.
  2. mudbutt
    Keith Law put out an updated top 50. Quero must be looking good in his recovery because he still has him at 15! Made is at 28 and Pratt at 38. Pena made the just missed the top 50 list. Not surprised by no sign of Miz as I think Law was pretty nervous about him staying a starter.
  3. mudbutt
    They did talk to him privately about it and he was adamant he is a third baseman. I'm sure the Red Sox probably previously broached the subject to him in years past because dude is a train wreck there. They basically had to compromise by just having him DH and then he got all petulant about being asked to play first base after injuries mid year. I mean in Spring Training this year after they signed Bregmann, this is his quote: “Third base is my position,” said Devers. “It’s what I’ve played. I don’t know what their plans are. I know we had a conversation. I made it clear, kind of what my desires were and whatever happens from here, I don’t know.”
  4. mudbutt
    I think it has more to do with 40 man roster management than options and if Mis was already on the 40, he would have been up already.
  5. mudbutt
    Callis put out a mock with the Brewers taking Summerhill while Keith Law's has us taking Bremner, with the possibility of taking Hall if we go high school.
  6. mudbutt
    Hoskins getting respectable so just need to bring Durbin up finally and hope Yelich gets through it.
  7. mudbutt
    I would expect EMJ to take Bauers roster spot but not his role. Given EMJ is a lefty I would expect more of a 50/50 split in playing time and if EMJ produces, Hoskins is the platoon player against lefties. Also a great update here on EMJ about how his power and contact rate is off the charts so far this year: https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/ernesto-martinez-jr-ian-seymour-headline-10-statcast-standouts-april-14/
  8. mudbutt
    I don't get bunting there at all with no outs. Just let him hit.
  9. mudbutt
    Fangraphs has taken note of Capra's power display in Spring Training and put him on their Boom list. Thinks he has at least earned facing leftys in a platoon role at third base.
  10. mudbutt
    I don't really like comparing minor league hitting stats between players because you can have guys have the same exact results, but have wildly different MLB success because one guy's approach may top out in AAA or whatever while the other continues to be effective. In PCA's case he is an aggressive hitter and was able to get away with it in the minors, but ran into the buzzsaw of MLB pitching last year. He's got a few red flags as a hitter and probably the one I would be most concerned about is pitch recognization/breaking balls. Now to his credit he did move back a foot back in the box and added a leg kick to help with his timing with a steep swing plane, but I am not a believer. I think hitting will always be a struggle for him other than maybe a hot year that tricks a team in overpaying for him. But lucky for him his defense and running is so strong that he doesn't need to hit much. I just think he is a bottom order of the guy.
  11. mudbutt
    I’d much rather have Shane Smith over Grant Wolfram, who they signed to a MLB deal despite never playing in the MLB and is 28. Now maybe they thought they could have both and miscalculated on Smith getting picked. Either way I’ll take Smiths future over Grants.
  12. mudbutt
    The downside of having options and also not being on the 40 unfortunately since you have to evaluate the possible depth loss if you put him on the MLB roster.
  13. mudbutt
    He's not on the 40 man and has never played in AAA so incredibly unlikely. Now if he is truly a late bloomer and tears up Nashville while there's injuries on the Brewers? Yeah he could get a shot later this year.
  14. mudbutt
    Really great explanation on why Myers was able to have such a great season last year and how his changeup is really the key to his success, despite not being his best pitch. In a nutshell he has the very traditional mix of a high fastball/low slider that hitters have to account for, but then he brings his changeup into the mix. If you were just to evaluate his changeup based on break and such, it's an average pitch. But when you combine it with his fastball, it has elite effectiveness despite having less break compared to other pitcher's change ups due to throwing it HIGH in the zone and mirroring his fastball which is unusual. Has definitely given me something to think about when you look at pitchers individual pitch grades and stuff metrics, as in Tobias's case why rank his changeup against other pitchers when he is using it in a completely different fashion than the usual arm side hard break out of the bottom of the zone. So now hitter's really have to account for three scenarios with him and they really struggled to differentiate his fastball from his changeup. Bodes well I hope for him that last year wasn't a fluke. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-more-it-stays-the-same-the-less-it-changeups/
  15. mudbutt
    Exactly and also especially because Crochett makes very little because he has missed so much time.
  16. mudbutt
    You don't take any hit against your pool if day 3 guys are unsigned. Your pool is based on the first 10 rounds and if any those guys go unassigned, they are subtracted out of the total pool. After that, you get 150k to sign the guys and anything above that goes against your pool based on the 10 rounds. So you can definitely see 11th round and later guys that vastly more talented than guys earlier in your draft class because they are probably higher risk to sign. As mentioned earlier look at Letson and what he is accomplishing as an 11th round pick last year. And he was signed at like 5th round slot money.
  17. mudbutt
    https://futurestarsseries.com/mlb-draft-sleeper-underrated-prospects-farone-kohn-obermueller/ Featured on underrated sleeper post linked above: A fourth-year senior, DeBerry’s a supinator whose game is command, projection, and spin. His best pitch is a low-80s sweeper up to 3000 RPMs, and he commands to the corners of the plate. DeBerry tends to cut his fastball in the low-90s, up to 94 mph, but it has yet to miss bats much, despite favorable command. DeBerry does a good job separating the shapes of his sweeper and curveball, the latter being more of a hammer with sharp downward movement. Pitchers that can legitimately command the baseball are difficult to find, and DeBerry’s lean, athletic frame (6-3/180) and easy mechanics all serve as foundational traits clubs seek in starting pitchers.
  18. mudbutt
    Thank you! Also even if the Brewers don't do any 2 million dollar overslot type deals, they have shown from last year that they will buy high schoolers in the 10-20th rounds. They signed 5 high school pitchers last year in those rounds, generally doing 300-500k deals over the 150k allocated for each.
  19. mudbutt
    I think it is more of the quality of the system. And not necessarily the quality of this draft, but that they are picking super young guys. But I try not to get caught up in the rankings and such. If one of the young guys performs early, they will absolutely skyrocket up the charts. It's also why BPA is such a fallacy to me. Like what does it even mean? I think we should take all stars and hall of famers in the draft. Good strategy! No one knows who the best player will be, especially in baseball where you have massive projections of high schoolers and college kids that have to traverse up multiple leagues just to sniff the big leagues. And that's before you get to injury stuff and such as well. The meaningful part of BPA is not about taking the best player, it's about not forcing a pick at a position because you lack depth at it ie we don't have any third base prospects in the system and our pick is coming up, who do we like the best that's left. It is all about what tiers you place them based on traits, potential projections, signability etc etc. And also where you draft. Like if the Brewers were picking top 10, I don't think you would have seen them go with this strategy again. But picking later I think it is the preferred way to go about it. To me going underslot early so you can go over with guys later is the equivalent of trading down in a NFL draft to get more picks. Get me more pulls on the slot machine and see what shakes out.
  20. mudbutt
    Also like 5 of the 7 Brewers overslot spending last year was 10th round plus.. Not really going to be concerned about the draft until it is completed. Hell our 20th round pick last year was signed over slot and flipped for Hudson, which has worked out nicely. Letson is another overslot guy in the 11th last year that looks killer so far.
  21. mudbutt
    He crashed into the tarp
  22. mudbutt
    Hendriks got 10 mil guaranteed in his 2 year deal while being out this year with TJ, so I would think Woody will get like 12-15 guaranteed.
  23. mudbutt
    Assuming it functions like Metropolis, which I have used in different spots in the country, they will mail you a bill based on your license plate info. If you don't pay it they probably refer you to collections. But where they will really get you is if they detect you going to any of their lots in the future besides even AmFam parking, they will tow or boot your car.
  24. mudbutt
    https://www.mlb.com/glossary/transactions/rule-5-draft "A Rule 5 Draft pick can be placed on the Major League injured list, but he must be active for a minimum of 90 days to avoid being subject to the aforementioned roster restrictions in the next campaign."
  25. mudbutt
    Clearly you don't know Rule 5 draft rules. They closed the loophole of drafting guys and making up injuries to stash them on the 60 IL many years ago.
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