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And That

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Everything posted by And That

  1. I'm really underwhelmed by Ryback... no promo skills or charisma to speak of and his move set isn't much more than the standard big man throw and clothesline show. He's rapidly becoming overexposed. Give me Skip Sheffield back. I just sat through the entire 3 hours of Raw. Last time I make that mistake for awhile. (Did think the 3MB thing was pretty funny, though I'll take anything to get Drew McIntyre back on television.)
  2. I'd like to see what kind of shape Bob Sebra is in.
  3. It only took six weeks, but my wait came to an end a few minutes ago.
  4. No kidding. Tongue of Kofi's boot straight in the Miz's mush. And they just kept showing it.
  5. The "This is awesome!" chant during a rest hold in the women's match was one of the best wrestling moments of the year.
  6. I should add that Rivera had 111 PA in Wisconsin during the '11 season. He wasn't really repeating the league in '12 and he still put up almost a 700 OPS.
  7. I don't think they're short of viable options to play SS in Brevard if Rivera does not. Shaw could repeat, Macias or George could slide back to short, Hector Gomez might still be in the organization. Great options? No, but if Rivera hasn't earned it, he isn't either. And that's not really a good reason to promote a guy anyway - the scouting staff should always have a few guys not currently in affiliated ball who they'd bring in, in case of need. Rivera's defensive tools make him at least a utility-level MLB prospect. He has some pop in his bat as well. He should be assigned to where he has the best chance to thrive, build on his skills and work on his deficiencies. He shouldn't be promoted due to statistical probabilities of future success rates. I love stats as much as the next guy, but that's putting the cart before the horse.
  8. I don't think sending Rivera back to Wisconsin would be a death sentence at all. The Brewers should base the decision on where to send him based on the hitting coach he seems to click with more... if that's the guy at Wisconsin, fine. If that's the guy at Brevard, great. He's not turning 21 until next May and the Brewers seem to have the position settled in Milwaukee for the time being. Pushing undeserving players without a good reason shouldn't be an issue, and neither should the status of Alfredo Rodriguez.
  9. This made me laugh. Thank you.
  10. Torrealba is a free agent at the end of the season, if anyone's interested.
  11. Segura's OPS+ with Milwaukee is 75. J.J. Hardy's OPS+ with Baltimore this season is 83. Obviously way different sample sizes, and obviously meaningless, but fun to think about.
  12. Not 100% but I thought the BsR was only runs from baserunning and taking extra bases, going 1st to 3rd, scoring from 1 on a double etc. I dont think SBs are counted there, just to be clear. If you count base stealing in baserunning the Brewers would at least be well above average. I don't have the time to look it up right now, but I'm certain that (at least last year) BSR did not factor in stolen bases. It's purely a "taking the extra base" stat. Unless they've changed it.
  13. The ref was not a ref, he was FCW (NXT?) developmental wrestler Brad Maddox. I kept waiting for him to take a bump. Edit: I just glanced at the FCW/NXT roster and Maddox wasn't listed there with either the talent or the refs. It's possible that they've promoted him from FCW wrestler to WWE ref, I guess. In any event, he's definitely trained in the ring.
  14. I don't see the comparison between Sheets and Peralta. While they both have/had big fastballs and power breaking pitches, Sheets was a flyball pitcher who at his best could spot his fastball well enough anywhere in the zone (including up) that when he was also on with his curve, either pitch was nearly unhittable. Peralta's fastball is as hard and has a lot more dip to it, but he doesn't spot it as well, probably in part due to its movement. And because of his fastball's movement and the complimentary slider as a breaking pitch, he'll only have success if he's getting ground balls. At least if and until he develops a change up.
  15. That's my point. Even though a rotation consisting totally of the aforementioned in-house options could do very well, it's a statistical near-certainty that we will need at least one more starter sometime next year, and more than likely more than that. There have been only a handful of teams in the last number of decades to use only even 6 starters. The fact that the Brewers did it last year should not delude them into thinking that will happen again any time soon. Also more than likely, there will be significant innings that will need to be covered by those replacement starters. I'm not down so much on Gallardo/Rogers/Fiers/Peralta/Estrada, it's just that I'm not extremely up on Thornburg or Burgos, or anyone in line after that, at least in 2013. I'd rather the sixth guy be Peralta or Estrada. But if the Brewers can't get someone at a value in free agency and can't find a SP in the trade market at a value, they should just go with what they have and hope for good injury luck and a lack of pitcher implosions.
  16. The Rays used 9 pitchers in their 14 inning loss to the Orioles today and Kyle Farnsworth had the worst ERA of the group... 3.47. Holy pitching.
  17. FanGraphs did a custom leaderboard of players who will be free agents this offseason, which you can find sorted by pitching WAR here. They included Jake Peavy, Dan Haren and Scott Feldman, none of whom I considered as they have options for next season, though the FanGraphs people seem to think they'll become free agents in the end. Take this with the weight that you want to give it. There are a dozen pitchers who posted at least a 2.0 WAR so far in 2012 and 22 starters who have been at least more than notionally above replacement, with WARs of 1.0 or greater. (There were a few relievers with WARs >1.0 as well). Seven of those pitchers have better WARs than Gallardo does this year. Again, this tells me that there are quite a few solid pitchers available, as well as a few really good ones, which rarely happens. It's fine to pick nits with individual guys, and I don't think it would be a good idea for the Brewers to be interested in a number of those 22 pitchers. However, other teams will be interested in some of those guys, and it might drive the price down on the pitchers that the Brewers should be looking at. I agree that they should be focusing on Jackson and Sanchez, though if a guy like Gavin Floyd gets lost in the shuffle and would be willing to come to the Brewers on a cheap deal, that's something they should look at as well. And FWIW, I don't think Dave Bush is a great comparison for Blanton. Blanton is a lot bigger, throws harder and gives up fewer fly balls.
  18. I don't think that those of us who want the Brewers to look into getting a FA SP want them to get Looper MK2. No one is proposing giving Freddy Garcia a few years and a rotation slot. A guy like Anibal Sanchez, however, could float under the radar a little bit and he's be an excellent addition even though he's a bit of a fly ball pitcher. If you prefer a lefty, Joe Saunders isn't a world beater, but he'd probably be a solid #3/#4 type. Erik Bedard could be an interesting value signing if his arm is right.
  19. Another bizarrely good day and night so far for the Brewers as the Braves, Cardinals, Pirates all lose and the Dodgers just blew their lead in Arizona. Pretty unbelievable.
  20. I would argue that the Brewers do not have "enough" pitching, if they hope to contend next year. A Gallardo/Fiers/Estrada/Rogers/Peralta rotation might be decent, but the odds of everyone both panning out and sticking in the rotation for a significant portion of the season aren't good enough to pass on a good deal for a veteran pitcher, if you can get one. That rotation is a couple of bad performances or injuries away from Jimmy Nelson, Ariel Pena, Johnny Hellweg or Taylor Jungmann needing to contribute. Even that's based on the reliance of Thornburg and/or Burgos. That might be fine in 2014, but not next year.
  21. I guess it depends on how you define "deep" - the talent level of the group of free agent starting pitchers relative to the group of starting pitchers that will remain under contract this offseason isn't great, and it never will be. However, the group of free agent starting pitchers is quite deep when you compare it with previous offseasons. It isn't a bunch of top end guys (though there are a few of those), but there are a bunch of starters who will deservedly get multi-year deals, if they want them. Among them, Joe Blanton, Ryan Dempster, Zack Greinke, Edwin Jackson, Hiroki Kuroda, Colby Lewis (if healthy), Francisco Liriano (maybe not deserving, but probably will get one), Kyle Lohse, Shaun Marcum (if healthy), Brandon McCarthy (if healthy), Anibal Sanchez and Joe Saunders. Other guys like Ervin Santana (if his option is declined), Carlos Villanueva, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Jeremy Guthrie, Kevin Correia and Erik Bedard will all get major league deals, if not for more than a year. Some teams will fill rotation holes via trade, which further dilutes the pool. That's kind of a lot of guys who are capable of giving lots of at least decent major league innings.
  22. Wonder what the over/under would be on the number of games the Brewers need to win of their last 20 to make the playoffs... I'd put money on the over for 14, but not sure how much higher I'd push it than that.
  23. If you're getting value on a starting pitcher capable of improving your rotation, no I don't think that's spending money to spend money as long as the Brewers can afford to spend it, especially when the pitching pool is rarely this deep. Any decision obviously has to have a baseball side and a financial side to it.
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