istanbultaye
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Everything posted by istanbultaye
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To be fair, even the Brewers can absorb one bad contract as long as it isn't egregious. Suppan was already in the tank when they made their first playoff run in '08, and his salary didn't keep the Brewers from adding more free agents in the following years. Randy Wolf, Lohse, Garza all at least provided some amount of value in a couple years of their contracts as well, so while they weren't outstanding, none of those really crippled the franchise long term. Now, if they had pulled a Pujols type deal with Prince (as much as I am a fan of Prince in his playing days), that would have crippled them for sure. That said, expecting a small market team to fork out money a la old school Yankees payrolls, or to even be at the Luxury tax is pretty silly for anyone to expect.
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A rotation of Chacin-Woodruff-Peralta-Burnes and (cross your fingers, pray to God, give Jobu some rum) healthy Nelson is sexy. With Anderson and Davies waiting in the wings in the pen with Knebel, Hader, Jeffress, Claudio and Guerra...MAN. Sign Moustakas and lengthen the lineup. I think Anderson or Davies would take Peralta's spot barring absurdly good/bad spring training results, due to veteran grit, service time, roster flexibility, and Peralta's overall inconsistency last year. I don't think it would hurt Peralta any to be in the minors again to work on his control a little more either.
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To Extend or Not Extend: Corey Knebel
istanbultaye replied to Harold Hutchison's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
If he could really be had at those numbers, I'd be on board, but it does seem a little low for what it would likely take to actually do it. Even at that price, I lean towards not wanting to lock in 5 years on a reliever, but his track record has been good enough that I wouldn't think it was a drastic mistake. Assuming it would take even more money to lock in 5 years on him, it would take it from being borderline acceptable to tie up payroll that long for a reliever to being a pass in my book. I just think that for the Brewers to maintain flexibility for the future, it's against their best interests to lock in contracts for such a long term. My loose guidelines for max length of contracts would probably be something like 3 years RP, 4 years SP, 5 years position player, if the players have the track record to back up a long term deal. -
I would like to see less of the "well, it's late in the game, and it's a close play that didn't go our way, so we might as well give it a shot" challenges that seemed to be prevalent by the Brewers. If there's only 34 challenges in an entire season, it's not adding that much of a delay to the games really, but it's still a little annoying when it comes up.
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I would be interested to see a breakdown of pitcher usage stats per team. Average # of pitchers per game, # of appearances greater, equal or lesser than 1 inning, etc. Though the Brewers did tap into their bullpen earlier than most teams, most of their relievers would go more than an inning if they didn't run into trouble.
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Somebody stamp all those dollar bills with "Where's George" so we can figure out what the Brewers spend that specific money on!
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What's in a name? A ballpark by any other name will still smell like beer.
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Qualifying offer as an indicator of FA value
istanbultaye replied to MNBrew's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Those guys were pre-qualifying offer system. Maybe it was someone that they offered arbitration to hoping to get draft pick compensation when someone else signed him, but he ended up accepting arbitration? The details are fuzzy in my memory and don't recall what player it was either. -
Qualifying offer as an indicator of FA value
istanbultaye replied to MNBrew's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Didn't the Brewers have a Qualifying Offer backfire on them early on after the QO change happened? -
How much money do the Brewers have left to spend?
istanbultaye replied to TexasCheesehead's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I don't have exact numbers or anything, but I remember the discussion about the TV deal back when they signed the current one was much in the same vein as the current discussion: "Our current deal is so bad, but when we get a new one it will be great!". While true to an extent, even if the Brewers see a nice increase which might bump them up in the rankings in the short term, in the long term, we know other teams will be renewing their TV deals and getting higher amounts as well. So, in relative terms, just because they see an increase in the new TV deal does not necessarily mean that they will make a big gain from it relative to the rest of the league. -
My understanding is that the lower minors (Rookie - A ball) will fill out rosters with some undrafted free agents. But, we rarely hear about them since they would get very little playing time and chances of moving up the ladder are extremely low. https://www.mlb.com/cut4/best-undrafted-players-in-mlb-history/c-278967168
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That's a pretty cool stat. But I would think there are a lot of players who never popped out to the pitcher in their career as pitchers generally don't catch fly balls. The same is a little bit true with first basemen as unless they don't have to move to catch it, the 2B is probably going to catch a fly ball in that area. 1b usually are the ones getting the foul popups on that side, unless they are pretty deep down the line.
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If he can't throw strikes consistently when he has a straight fastball, I can't imagine adding more movement is really the solution to his problems... but then again, I'm not a pitching coach!
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I think it's a little too soon to call Wily's switch to a bullpen role a complete success. Sure he did ok in terms of ERA/Ks in his 30 odd innings, but his walk rate was actually even worse... so doesn't really seem very sustainable. He at least did enough that the Royals can give him another shot next year.
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If there's an above average defender who can carry a .330+ OBP / .700+ OPS and 5M or so, I'd do that in a heartbeat over Schoop, but not sure that many of those exist. Among the myriads of journeyman 2b out there, i'm sure there's plenty who can do a .300/.650 line with passable defense that could be picked up midseason if Schoop continues to flop though, so no reason to rush out and get a cheap body, just to get a cheap body rather than keeping him for 1 year.
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Soria and Moustakas officially FA
istanbultaye replied to KeithStone53151's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I'm grateful for what Moustakas did for the Brewers down the stretch, as he definitely helped the offense get to the point that it was deep enough to not be dragging down the team at that point. That said, his profile as a batter doesn't really address some of the core issues that have kept the Brewers from having as good an offense as they really need to have to be a good bet to repeat the run they had this year (dearth of OBP, high strikeout rates in too many of their hitters still, mostly the OBP thing). -
8+ years after building my current PC, I have pulled the trigger on a new one... upgrading from a Sailboat to a UFO, per userbenchmarks!
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I better not have any kids then... I don't think I could retire much before 70 as is (darn student loans).
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Just a Captain Obvious fun fact. Brewers have outscored the Dodgers in the series so far.
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I am one of the most easy going folks out there when it comes to broadcasters, and while in game broadcast is fine, I don't really think that having a pre/post game show of nothing but retired name players is the best way to have a good quality show. I haven't watched more than 5 minutes of it because it's just not good.
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I don't know if BABIP / times through the order is significant or not, but in terms of standard rate stats, the Brewers practice of generally limiting their starter's exposure to being seen the 3rd time around unless they were simply fantastic that game, has clearly also helped the staff (and Miley) outperform the "expected" results to an extent as well.
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Shifts and the Brewers solid defense just in general have undoubtedly helped. Most of the pitchers who've pitched more than a few innings this year have outperformed their FIP, and few have been worse, and even those have been pretty close. I just think this year's sample is a bit to small to really feel anything definitively towards the future for Miley, and am just happy he has at the very least caught the proverbial "lightning in a bottle" for the crew. I do lean towards his new repertoire being legit, but think that over a full season, his results would be more at the Chacin level (which would be pretty darn good as well, of course). His FIP/xFIP/BABIP kind of tends to point in that direction.
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In regards to luck, just to note, his BABIP for the year was .274, which is ~.25 better than any year of his previously. That said, even if he did regress back towards .300, he'd still probably be a solid mid 3s ERA kind of guy if he continues pitching the way he has this year. Who knows what will happen though. I'm just thankful he's had his turnaround as a Brewer, and hope he's got a few more games like the last one in his tank!
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Really good outing by Chacin on short rest. Everything we could've asked for there.
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I think the argument definitely could have been made for Granderson early, Santana late, and not sure I really want Broxton PHing until there's no one else left. That said, none of them got hits, so who's to say it would have mattered.