Isn't the current U.S. case fatality rate ~2.65%? EDIT: Obviously, we don't know how many of us will end up actually getting this before a vaccine and proper immunity is obtained so who knows what the final mortality rate will actually look like. I agree, though, that 3% was clearly an overestimate. Unfortunately, these concerns may have abated where you/your friend are, but this situation is playing out currently in Wisconsin. News reports this morning are that in some places hospital staff are given one N95 mask per week, and patients are being admitted to a field hospital setup in West Allis. Very fair points about surface contact, etc., though. It is indeed good news that some items have played out better than anticipated. What we'll never truly know, however, is how much the results of the past 7 months were positively influenced by the measures that were taken, many of which were (and still are) being fought tooth-and-nail by various groups, nor will we know how much better the results may have been if those measures had been adhered to on a wider basis. In the end, other places have managed to virtually eliminate the virus, and some continue to act and, sometimes outright claim as though nothing that they did, no policies that were put in place, nor societal behavioral differences had any effect on that result. Which, IMO, is absurd.