PeaveyFury
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Everything posted by PeaveyFury
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A couple of issues to point out here- first, comparing whatever the 2020-2021 school year's version of 'learn at home' looks like to what happened this spring is unwise. As teachers like turbo can likely attest, this year's version was thrown together on about a week's notice and was focused solely on maintaining what the kids' learned, rather than an expansion of knowledge. For any district (and at the states' level), they've been working on their contingencies now for months and have had the opportunity to develop a way to actually make this work in a better way. It is completely fair, though, to note that some districts and states will do this significantly better than others, which is problematic. I fear that some have used this time very wisely, while others have stuck their heads in the sand in a way that will prove devastating at some point this fall/winter. The first part here is very accurate, and an extremely valid concern. But the latter point is the main part of the problem right now: the curve wasn't sufficiently flattened, and now we're going to see this balloon into the fall and create the problems we're now discussing. It seems that the poor choices that continue to being made on the personal and at various public levels throughout the country are undoing a lot of the benefit of the initial steps that were taken, sadly, and we're going to have to deal with the fallout of that.
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Thanks! Upon closer inspection, it does appear that the bat is broken off a bit at the end, so that must be the issue.
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I'm certain that most of us here are eager to see your supporting information on that point.
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The team is putting up a cardboard cutout of you in the locker room to prove you wrong. 100 losses in 60 games? Don't tell us we can't. "Every time we win, we peel a section."- Craig Counsell, probably.
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Hopefully you'll excuse me if I take your talent evaluation slightly less seriously than I take the ability of Stearns et. al., especially in the optimism thread.
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Bumping an old thread here, but I finally cleared up some shelf space to catch up on adding some of the more recent bobbles. In pulling out my 2018 Cain, the bat is comically unable to stay in his 'grasp'. Is this a design flaw of the 2018 design, or do I have a lemon? Thanks!
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I like Generals, Redtails, and RedHawks, probably in that order.
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A lot of the success in Sweden has been attributed to the populace adhering to strict social distancing rules, despite the non-shutdown. Not sure if current data still supports that, but it was the belief a few weeks ago. As the 'mask/no-mask' debate certainly shows, the US certainly hasn't been able to maintain that adherence since the quarantine was lifted....
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Good post. There concerns in the medical community that herd immunity won't be realistic in the short term EVEN WITH a vaccine.
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The percentages don't matter as it is how you view everything. The reason why both are self-centered is because you are thinking this is the right way that is why it is self-centered. No matter the outcome and no matter the reason you put behind it, it is still self-centered. You believe what you are doing is right while the person not wearing the mask is thinking they are doing what is right. Basically you are being self-centered because you only see your side of the view and not the other persons view. Sorry, I’ll just say I disagree and think the theory here is a stretch.
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Again you are just justifying why you wear a mask and why the person who doesn't is evil for not following what you feel is right. By using scientific statistics to choose to act in a way that primarily benefits others? I guess I can't agree with the logic that your rationale somehow makes that a self-centered choice, since that's virtually the definition of selfless, rather than selfish. If your point is that some people wearing masks incorrectly think that the mask is for their own benefit, I agree completely. But the above takes quite a bit of a leap for me.
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So is wearing a mask it is a self-centered choice. You may substitute your reasoning that it is for the common good but in reality you are just trying to save yourself and the ones you love. So you are still self-centered on your choice. That's not really correct, though, since the reduction for wearing a mask yourself is virtually nil. Those that are wearing them are preventing themselves from spreading it to others. If someone is wearing the mask and thinking it's for their own benefit, they don't understand the actual reason for wearing it.
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I think the issue with this, especially with the part bolded above, is that they're primarily beneficial in cases where social distancing isn't practically possible (grocery stores, indoor meetings, etc. But anecdotically, If you're not wearing one, it seems that you're likely not wearing one regardless of whether it's safe to do so or not. I think the point that you're missing is that if everyone was wearing a mask, transmission is reduced substantially. Wearing a mask yourself dramatically drops the possibility of YOU transmitting to others, but you need the others to wear a mask as well to prevent transmission to you. As such, not wearing a mask is a self-centered choice, and astoundingly puzzling as to why it has become such a hotbed item in all of this.
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Hospitalizations have been flat for nearly two weeks, so implying that they're on a steady decline would also be disingenuous. By 'stabilizing', I was referring to the flat, fairly consistent nature of the data recently. Also, if you're curious about why AZ, TX, FL were singled out previously, I'd encourage you to read further back in the thread for further clarification.
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Why do you think this? The data I'm seeing show that it's pretty clearly 'peaked' around Memorial Day. I think your point is fair- death rates have declined, hospitalizations have steadied, though still at a fairly high rate vs. even the heart of the early onset and quarantine in April. I think the idea that the certainty that the 'peak' has happened considering that was the assumption elsewhere until the last two weeks is problematic.
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I find a thesis of hundreds of college-aged kids choosing for no apparent reason to "drum up" a scenario where they have a potential exposure to get tested for COVID somewhat hard to accept. Far more likely that they're tested because they showed up at the Dr. with symptoms or went to a community testing site because they felt they needed to, right?
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Or its those same kids needing to be tested for summer jobs at bars/restaurants/service companies that have personal interaction with clientele, or contact tracing actually prompted them to get tested - exhibiting symptoms is no longer a requirement for getting tested for COVID for anyone, including youngsters. This may be accurate elsewhere, but I'm virtually certain it's not accurate in Wisconsin. To be tested even at the National Guard sites, you have to have potential exposure to a case or be exhibiting symptoms.
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Curious about the return to work initiative testing that I've seen mentioned a couple of times. It does seem that a lot of the new cases are skewing younger, but in Wisconsin at least, those have largely been linked to college-aged students attending crowded bars. If that is indeed the case, they'd only be testing positive because they're exhibiting symptoms and feel the need to be treated.
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This seems like a hard rationale to accept. Those three states specifically have three things in common: limited restrictions in the early stages or slow to shut down, early re-openings, and a populace that has struggled to socially distance.
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Sorry, I think you're very much missing my point: If a person who needs a heart transplant shows up at an ER and tests positive for COVID, they're not there to get the heart transplant, they're there because they're showing serious symptoms of the COVID. Knee replacement? Sure. But people with underlying conditions needing major medical procedures aren't showing up to the hospital not knowing they have COVID....
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But based on the current data, Wisconsin IS starting to go nuts, for the record. And it's hard to ignore that a lot of the current outbreak is happening in states that either A)opened without many restrictions, or B)opened before most other places did. But wasn't the narrative just a couple of weeks ago that the 'peak' in states like Minnesota happened around Memorial Day? Clearly, that wasn't actually the case and it has proven false, much like the hopes that were pinned to the 'wait until the weather gets warm' narrative as well, which was extremely prevalent back in early spring. The point is, regardless of what the cause is, the virus HASN'T slowed down in the summer, and cases are ballooning, and it absolutely has to do with the lessening of restrictions. This also sounds like interesting data to review! I'd certainly be interested in seeing the source material here, in addition to the data on typical ICU-capacity rates from your post a few days back, as I think that would add a lot of insight into what's going on currently. Doesn't this require the assumption that that liver transplant patient wouldn't be at a high risk of COVID complications/ICU needs because of that very underlying condition?
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But based on the current data, Wisconsin IS starting to go nuts, for the record. And it's hard to ignore that a lot of the current outbreak is happening in states that either A)opened without many restrictions, or B)opened before most other places did. But wasn't the narrative just a couple of weeks ago that the 'peak' in states like Minnesota happened around Memorial Day? Clearly, that wasn't actually the case and it has proven false, much like the hopes that were pinned to the 'wait until the weather gets warm' narrative as well, which was extremely prevalent back in early spring. The point is, regardless of what the cause is, the virus HASN'T slowed down in the summer, and cases are ballooning, and it absolutely has to do with the lessening of restrictions. This also sounds like interesting data to review! I'd certainly be interested in seeing the source material here, in addition to the data on typical ICU-capacity rates from your post a few days back, as I think that would add a lot of insight into what's going on currently.
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It really is sad that a lot of the states that unwound restrictions did so with the noble intent to help businesses survive, but the haphazard way things opened too quickly is likely going to end up harming a lot of those businesses more in the long run than if they had just stayed closed a bit longer. Which is literally the argument that health officials were making back in May....
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I'll echo this- I really have enjoyed the show so far, and I'm looking forward to the next season's release in August. I re-discovered AMC's Hell on Wheels last week, and I've enjoyed working through the first two seasons so far. I remember watching the first season or two back when it came out 6-7 years ago, then I stopped for no reason I can recall. Looking forward to watching the final 3 seasons over the next couple of weeks.
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Any word on a trade deadline?
