PeaveyFury
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Everything posted by PeaveyFury
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I wouldn’t be shocked if they used it as a quasi-interview for Pettine. -
If they lose this game at home vs. a bad Cardinals team, it’s very possible MM is fired tomorrow.
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Good lord, Mike. A draw on 3rd and 10 from the 50?
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No it's not, but it provides a standardized scale on which you can judge potential 2B candidates' offensive outputs vs. one another. As I said previously, if the front office decides that he's the best guy for the 2B job, I'm fine with it at the right price. But if they do sign him, there's a real possibility that they'll be getting a fantastic defender who may hit for a low average, low OBP, and with some pop. If they're trying to improve the offense, they can likely do so at 2B and Catcher, and that's about it. I don't know if plugging in that type of hitter at 2nd achieves that objective. If signing DJ went along with a Realmuto trade, though, I'd be very optimistic about the lineup. But, as you say, not sure who is a better fit. Dietrich is interesting because of his offense, but whether he'd be more productive depends entirely on how much the Brewers' shifting could improve/hide his defensive woes.
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Over nearly 4,000 total ABs? Maybe we should be more concerned that the road crowds really get into his head! That's why the OPS+ stat is relevant here, adjusting ALL of his ABs for park factor and placing him on a scale relative to the other 2B in the league. On that scale, he's been below average all but one year of his career. I don't think that's something that should be discarded, considering that offense is what the Brewers are looking to address if they spend money on 2B rather than SP.
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BA alone is a very dangerous way to evaluate a player. Career home/away splits: Home: .330/.387/.448 .835 OPS Away: .264/.311/.362 .673 OPS Away from Coors he's basically Hernan Perez with Gold-Glove defense (which obviously has value). But for a team looking for offense, especially with a major question mark in Arcia at short offensively, I'm not sure that's the BEST fit they can add. Would I take him at 2nd for the right price? You bet. But is another excellent defense/below average bat player what will address some of the offensive inconsistencies we saw last year? Probably not. The article long ball linked to is interesting. I'm just not sure, though, how valid a comparison to Yelich is considering that many predicted a significant jump in Yelich's numbers due to the opposite of the Coors effect- getting out of the cavernous Marlins Park. If DJ couldn't use launch angle to hit more HR's in Coors, he's going to suddenly be able to outside of there? Plausible, I suppose, but it seems a bit of a stretch.
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He gets a massive boost from playing in Coors, SRB. Looking at his park factor-adjusted OPS+, he's below average offensively and has been every year of his career, save for 2016. Miller Park certainly isn't pitcher-friendly, but it's very likely his numbers will regress outside of Denver. Even his home/away splits show a 100(!) point difference in straight OPS, so that supports the above theory even more.
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Oh I disagree. We would have a very poor offense with this lineup, especially with Arcia at SS. Agreed- LeMahieu is basically the polar opposite of Dietrich. Great defensively, but offensive numbers would be hit hard leaving Coors.
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Mariners “Actively” Trying To Move Robinson Cano
PeaveyFury replied to ewitkows's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
I don't think those that are puzzled by the potential Cano move are puzzled by it in and of itself, it's that the rumored trade was reported at about the same time they were also reported to be shopping Thor. Those two moves together seem(ed) contradictory. Now, if they make the Cano trade, keep Thor, and go all-in on free agency, then I agree that the strategy makes a lot more sense. But if they move some of that rotation, I don't get it. -
Iowa has outperformed their preseason rankings so far (and so has Wisconsin), but seeing them play last night tells me that Iowa is good enough to win a lot of games in the Big Ten this year. I'd imagine that last night's win will look very good on Wisconsin's resume come March. Wisconsin is doing a nice job of winning games that may end up looking great for them in the spring. If they beat Marquette, they're likely to head into the 'real' Big Ten season in January with only one loss.
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Trade Targets Starting Pitching 2018-19
PeaveyFury replied to jjfanec's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Signing him to a deal to avoid arby doesn't prevent them from trying to trade him if they want to. -
The lack of options is the major reason, I'd assume. The LOOGY is probably the last or 2nd-to-last man on the staff, and I'd expect the AAA carousel to continue to cycle this year. I'd imagine they'll find a similarly-priced LOOGY with an option and sign them instead.
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It really is too bad that his arby number was going to be so high. As others have rightfully said and the Brewers obviously determined, the price made bringing him back really tough for the Brewers to do. I have little doubt that he'll return to being a respectable 2B somewhere else, but for 10 million the Brewers would have needed to be sure he'd be more than just that.
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Same company ran both, actually.
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Bumgarner is likely to get a QO after the season, right? Is there a way to apply WAR to a future draft pick/yet-to-be-determined prospect? Curious how that might have and effect on the numbers.
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Coan was a solid recruit, yes. But a guy like Mertz is on a different level. Coan was a 3-star in some places, 4-star in others, ranked in the 12-20 range at his position, with an offer sheet that topped out with Wisconsin, Michigan, Louisville, and Miami. Mertz is ranked between 2nd and 4th at his position, 4-star everywhere, and has offers from Alabama, Clemson, Georgia, Notre Dame, Ohio State, etc. That doesn't mean Coan is bad or that Mertz is destined to be great, but it does mean that when fans ask why Wisconsin doesn't get better QB recruits, they've done fine with guys like Coan or Houston in the past, but Mertz is indeed the counterpoint to that argument.
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Will Carroll Brewers tweet
PeaveyFury replied to Outlander's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Isn't that basically how 80% of internet message board threads work? -
As others said, the cap situation would be messy and makes this completely hypothetical and not reality, but the Raiders have 5 first rounders over the next two years, and that would be enough return for me to at least have to consider it. With the Packers having three first rounders themselves in that time, 8 first round picks over the next two years is a franchise-changing amount of talent. Again, though, it's never going to happen.
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That is typically the case and certainly didn't help. The team seemed to gameplan and make their in-game decisions based on the faulty assumption that the defense would be as tough as it had been, when it clearly wasn't the case. Over the past few seasons, that defense has made the offense look better by winning the field position battle by forcing turnovers and deep-in-their-own-territory punts, creating the shorter fields for the offense. As you very correctly noted, they got no help from themselves via special teams or due to their own mistakes, and the field was a lot longer than it had been in the past. All in all, poor to mediocre play by all three facets of the game is why the Badgers are sitting here at 7-5.
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http://www.espn.com/blog/green-bay-packers/post/_/id/37824/nick-perrys-contract-with-packers-not-as-monstrous-as-it-seems http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/25367030/nick-perry-green-bay-packers-placed-injured-reserve His cap number goes down either way, and with the June 1 deadline the cap savings is $11 million. Basically, the choice is that they can play another year of the 'will he be healthy this year' game and have him count $14.7 million against the cap, cut him in March and count $11.1 against the cap, or cut him post June 1 and have him count $3.7 million against it. So, it's really up to the Packers to decide if he's worth trying for one more year and hoping for something better, or moving on and using whatever the savings is to gain additional space to improve the roster. It's certainly a cleaner out after 2019, but with Gute's willingness to move on from 'mistakes,' I'll stick to my prediction that he's done this spring.
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Made the jump from Uverse to Hulu Live (with Charter internet) last month, and haven't looked back. Half the price of Uverse all-in, and virtually no problems so far. The HL interface is a bit clunky, but that will develop to a better product with time, I'd think.
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Positional versatility in that he can play a lot of positions poorly?
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Will Carroll Brewers tweet
PeaveyFury replied to Outlander's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
This basically describes the 2017-2018 offseason here at Brewerfan, right? -
Probably not going to happen til at least after 2019 as he would carry a pretty massive cap hit. I'll take the blame for incorrectly making this claim in another thread- as others noted, his deal was structured so that the team has an out after this season, as his cap number will decrease for 2019 if he's cut this spring. I'm 99.9% sure he's played his last snap as a Packer. The only thing that keeps me from saying 100% is the possibility of a significant restructure, which is very unlikely.
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Losing Cephus so close to the start of the year was devastating to the offense, but they did have success at the end of last year following his injury. I think the young, and frankly, bad defense was the only real difference that mattered this year. Wisconsin wins by wearing teams down and winning time of possession. The defense wasn't shutdown like it has been the past 4-ish seasons, and that made the offense significantly worse as a result, IMO. And obviously, they gave up far more yards and points this year than they ever have. Wisconsin's offense isn't built to dig out of a big hole, but they were there a lot in their losses this year. I think Rudolph is and should be getting a lot of scrutiny after this year, where his offense AND his o-line were major dissapointments, but the defense must get better next year for the team to be better.
