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adambr2

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Everything posted by adambr2

  1. adambr2
    Black Mirror (Netflix) - Modern Twilight Zone is the best way to explain it. Great show. Wentworth (Netflix) - Extremely underrated. About 10X better than Orange is the New Black The Man in the High Castle (Amazon Prime) - Very thought provoking alternate reality in which the Nazis won WW2. Handmaid's Tale (Hulu) - Some really good performances, also alternate reality type TV As you can see, I don't watch much network television. I do get into Shark tank and Superstore some.
  2. adambr2
    Again I want to reiterate that I have faith in Stearns. And I really like Cain. But I think you could make a pretty good case that trading for Yelich alone would have been pretty perfect. They could have Yelich split between CF and LF, keep Santana in RF, have Phillips fill in anywhere, and had Braun some in LF, some at 1st. Plenty of PT for everyone. Would I rather have gone that route, and maybe signed Cobb and Walker instead of Cain and Sogard? Probably, and then Aguilar and Broxton probably still have bench roles and don't get forced out. That seems to work out a lot cleaner if we had gone that route with our moves. But -- we'll see what happens. Stearns has a very good track record in a very short amount of time.
  3. adambr2
    Agreed....I'm a bit skeptical of the crowded outfield situation and the rotation, but Stearns has earned my trust. So I'm going to wait and see how it unfolds. If he really believes that Miley or Guerra can bounceback in a big way, I'm going to assume he sees good reason to believe it.
  4. adambr2
    https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=526&position=P https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=739&position=P https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=633&position=P Cardinals-turned-Brewer Free Agents haven't exactly worked out well in the past decade or so of trying. Lynn is much better than all 3. Actually Lohse had the better career overall than Lynn has had IMO. He was better at his best, just had a couple really bad years early and late that skewed his numbers. Lohse is far ahead in career WAR and value, if you want to argue Lynn is better I can understand I just don't think you can argue he's 'much' better.
  5. adambr2
    https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=526&position=P https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=739&position=P https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=633&position=P Cardinals-turned-Brewer Free Agents haven't exactly worked out well in the past decade or so of trying. Suppan was definitely a bad signing. Hard for me to be disappointed with Lohse. Obviously he lost it the 3rd year but he earned his total salary the first 2 years. Overall that signing turned out pretty neutral.
  6. adambr2
    I respect and trust what he said, and there's no reason not to believe as it made sense for the Brewers to make that offer to Walker at that time. Anyway, personally I would still make that offer of 2/$20 to Walker now, I've absolutely no confidence in Villar bouncing back to his 2016 numbers or even close to it. In his original post he was literally asking if such an offer was made almost in passing. This is how rumors spread like wildfire and become myths.
  7. adambr2
    Disagree. Hard to call this peak value when he would have been worth a lot more at this time last year. Didn't have a good year in '17 and the OF trade and FA market sucks. If the offers suck you can just burn his last option in 2018, and if he puts up a .850 or .900 OPS in AAA which is very possible in Colorado Springs maybe you find a better offer this time next year. I'm not saying he won't be traded, but I wouldn't trade just to trade now. Stearns should stay disciplined like he has with Santana.
  8. adambr2
    The option actually gives us a little bit more leverage. If he didn't have one, we'd probably have to just take the best offer now. He's got some cost control and a nice power/speed mix, so there's potential for something there. I'd take either a decent bullpen asset or Adam Lind type return.
  9. adambr2
    If Arrieta won't sign until/unless he gets 150 million or more, then he better start making retirement plans. [attachment=0]25ti8d.jpg[/attachment]
  10. adambr2
    Orioles. Cardinals. Nationals. Phillies. Any one of these could get involved with any of the Big 3 left at the right price.
  11. adambr2
    Calling Drake 'dominant' against lefties is really generous. Josh Hader is dominant against lefties. Drake is competent. He's not good enough to justify a roster spot given how completely unusable he is against righties.
  12. adambr2
    Well it lets players get closer to their actual worth at their prime years and would shift FA to paying more towards actual value/expected future value/performance as opposed to FA being for paying dudes for past performance. Reducing arbitration years is fine but that really hurts the small market teams since all the good FAs will go to big markets/teams that can afford them. "small market" teams are still owned by billionaires. I will never buy into the notion that a small market team can't afford a top FA. They just choose not to run in the red to win. I would hope no one expects them to. Billionaires become billionaires and stay billionaires through smart financial investments. As much as we want to win at whatever cost needed, the Brewers are still a business investment for Mark A. It would be a silly business decision to buy the Brewers and then operate them at a financial loss. As far as what is an acceptable return on his investment, I couldn't say, but I certainly don't expect him to run in the red.
  13. adambr2
    And that would probably be why Walker and the Brewers haven't reached a deal. I'd bet that the Brewers have offered a fair one year deal, but Walker's camp is holding out for a multi-year contract. I wouldn't have a huge problem with 2, as Keston is probably a mid-2019 callup. Trouble is, who are you competing with for Walker where you even need to offer 2?
  14. adambr2
    Don't agree with this. For the most part these guys keep themselves in shape. There's an injury risk with any deal and any player. We signed a 34 year old Kyle Lohse on March 25th five years ago and we got 2 very good 200 inning seasons of 3.50 ERA type pitching. Talent evaluation, negotiation, and acquisition is a year round job and you don't stop doing your due diligence while other teams continue to and miss out on potential bargain opportunities just because Spring Training has started.
  15. adambr2
    Would you guys trade Villar to Pittsburgh straight up for Josh Harrison? I've mentioned this I think in the Harrison thread, but with him wanting out of Pittsburgh and the Pirates not hesitating to cut costs, and with the prices that guys like Harrison are getting as FAs, I would think he could be acquired for next to nothing. Harrison plays better defense than Walker or Villar and is a relatively safe option in the middle and versatile enough to move around some where needed. He costs 10M this year and has team options for a hair over that in '19 and '20.
  16. adambr2
    E3 from Braun at 1st leads to a run. Didn't see the play.
  17. adambr2
    While some guys will certainly regress, how many games alone did our bullpen give away last year just in the first half? I don't remember the number, but it was pretty astounding. Once Hader came up, it really turned around. Swarzek and Jeffress helped too of course, but Hader was key. This year, he'll be in our pen as our relief ace from day one. The pen SHOULD be well improved from that first half last year. Knebel may regress, but Barnes should improve. I like Albers more than most. I think he'll be a valuable asset and has a good chance to match whatever Swarzek gives to the Mets for a third of the cost. Taylor Williams NEEDS to be a part of this pen. I trust that management will not do something dumb like stash him in the minors for 'depth' while Oliver Drake gives away games in April and May.
  18. adambr2
    The only part I would kind of disagree with is the notion that Villar was 'amazing' in 2016. Seems overstated a bit. He was a very nice player whose defense left a lot to be desired. That part seems likely to continue, even if he rebounds. I think Villar is probably somewhere between his 2016 and 2017, ability wise. At first I had no problem letting him get another shot in 2018, but with the moves they've made since, if Walker's market has fallen so far that he could be brought back for 1/5 or 1/6, I think that would be a pretty good move. We haven't really made any moves to take advantage of a deflated market, but with so many still unsigned, those moves may be yet to come.
  19. adambr2
    Not a chance I would give up either Davies or Woodruff for Hamels. That's a lot of young control to give up for 1-2 years of an expensive 34 year old coming off an okay year. I'd give them someone like Wilkerson or Derby and a low level flyer if they took on at least 10M of his salary this year. That's about it.
  20. adambr2
    Yeah, I can't find any source of a 2/20 offer to Walker from the Brewers. Are people confusing that with MLBtraderumors projection for Walker, which was 2/20 to the Brewers? It does appear the Mets were offering about 3/40 at this time last year which I imagine he regrets didn't happen.
  21. adambr2
    I really want Brett Phillips to force his way onto the 25 man roster and not give them a reason to start him out in Colorado Springs, but man, not making a very compelling case so far.
  22. adambr2
    I can see both sides of this one. Knebel was fantastic last year and so it stands to reason as a team that hopes to contend we wouldn't be interested in dealing with him. With that said, all but the really truly great relievers are volatile from year to year, and Stearns has had a knack for bailing at the right time with guys like Thornburg and Smith (yeah, I know the Smith return hasn't worked out so far, but c'mon, we all loved it at the time). I also see a lot of potential late inning relievers in our system that could eventually fill that role. So if someone like Taylor Williams is lights out and a king's ransom falls into your lap for Knebel, it's tough to turn down. At the end of the day, as others have said, this probably doesn't happen unless we're out of contention at the deadline and Knebel has been fantastic, and it's tough to see both of those things happening. If it did, I could definitely see them dangling him out there, but the return would have to be excellent.
  23. adambr2
    What device are you trying to watch on? Sling has an app for most devices too that you can just stream directly from there....
  24. adambr2
    What? Lucroy was the total opposite of Villar and McGehee. He took the security early in exchange for a discount. He would have come out much further ahead if he had gambled on himself like Villar. That said, sometimes it works out, sometimes it doesn't, but I can always absolutely agree with whatever a player needs to do to just make sure they're set up for life.
  25. adambr2
    Really man? Just surprised to see a mod being a funny man and posting stuff like that. I would imagine mods have senses of humor just like the rest of us.
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