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adambr2

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Everything posted by adambr2

  1. adambr2
    I am pretty convinced that the Lions are awfully good. They had a stinker against us in Week 1 which I put about as much stock in as most Week 1 games when teams are still finding their identity. Getting Hutch back healthy was by far their biggest offseason addition. He is a Parsons level game changer. Goff can run hot and cold but they have an offense with a lot of weapons. I think we are pretty good too, but 1 second not ticking off the clock in OT in Dallas is the only thing separating us being the 7 instead of the 1 right now. So I’d agree it’s probably a 2 horse race, still not sold on the Bears. Although it’s not outside the realm of possibility for us to finish anywhere from 1st to 3rd in the North. I think we can be better, though. I’m not sure why, but there’s just been some elements missing from what we can be both on offense and defense, IMO, in a way that’s just hard to explain.
  2. adambr2
    The Vikings went into 2025 assuming that any QB would fit into their “system” and they are paying dearly for it.
  3. adambr2
    Thats crazy. Don’t remember how cold it was that day, were they out there kicking solid rocks?
  4. adambr2
    What NFL kicker misses a 53 yarder short these days?
  5. adambr2
    I agree that Murphy did not aggressively enough try to fix the offensive problems in the lineup. At the end of the day he is a manager who will go down with his guys. Every lefty in the Brewer lineup gave Murphy multiple reasons to sit on the bench or be dropped in the lineup and Yelich and Turang really let him down as they remained at the top of the lineup until the bitter end. Mona never got an opportunity and the decision to prioritize the value the defense from Ortiz did not pay off. Ultimately though, there was nothing that Murphy could have done differently to win this series, at best maybe we could have swung a game. The hitters that Arnold provided him did not hit and that’s where the story ended.
  6. adambr2
    Well, that’s why it has to be regulated and structured to enforce minimum spending of shared revenue on payroll. You can’t just have a giant pool of shared revenue and let the owners do as they please with it.
  7. adambr2
    As others have said — what good exactly is the salary cap alone going to do for the Brewers? It’s not like it’s going to be capped at 120M — it would be several times that. So a 300M theoretical cap doesn’t change the fact that we are only going to spend about 120M. Limiting any other team to “only” 300M of spending doesn’t move the needle in their tactical advantage over us, especially if it comes with other undesirable concessions. Better revenue sharing is the only real way. Fun fact: the NFL had only one season in the modern era of free agency where there was no salary cap: 2010. Incidentally, that was the season the smallest market in sports in Green Bay won it all.
  8. adambr2
    I’m indifferent to Aaron. I don’t actively cheer for him nor do I actively root against him. There will be time for him to be appreciated more for what he did here when the time comes, but for now to me he’s just an NFL player that plays for a different team. I hope he loses on Sunday because he’s playing against the Packers.
  9. adambr2
    You are correct, you do not get it. This has been explained pretty thoroughly, but: He had a .973 OPS. He reached base 5 out of 14 plate appearances. This included a walk, two doubles, a triple and a single. He also stole 2 bases. His 0 RBIs had absolutely nothing to do with his individual performance and everything to do with the hitters around him not getting on base for him to drive in. If every hitter in the Brewer lineup had the exact same 14 results every 14 plate appearances in the NLCS, they would have scored a lot of runs.
  10. adambr2
    Yeah I’m going to say absolutely no way he lets us buy out 2 years of FA like that so close to free agency, especially after having already a team friendly long deal here. He’ll get 150M and he should. Just too much risk to take something short-term now.
  11. adambr2
    Like just for comparison sake, here is a verified account from Steven Cohen with almost 300K followers. The one you linked is unverified and barely has 1K followers. It is almost certainly an impersonator and the real Mark A is probably not re-tweeting 25 links in a day.
  12. adambr2
    Hate to be that guy, but X/Twitter is full of impersonators. Mark A doesn’t have a verified account. Any non-verified account of a famous or semi-famous person with a couple hundred or couple thousand followers is always a big red flag. He’s also a rich businessman and I doubt the deep pockets of the Dodgers is something he feels any particular way about.
  13. adambr2
    He was, he took his chicken crap 5 yard delay penalty and then the punt went into the end zone. Then on the very first play the Eagles runner, Brian Westbrook or Duce Staley maybe, ripped off a 20 yard game. So the minuscule field position gain was immediately lost and we didn’t even take the chance to win on 4th and inches for it. Sherman sucked. Somehow a worse GM than a HC, too. His biggest advantage was following Ray Rhodes so the bar was pretty low for him.
  14. adambr2
    The Arizona call I thought was ok but subjective. I wanted them to punt, so I felt a lot better about driving the field than stopping them. I think they were probably also thinking we could milk most of the clock if we drove down the field and if they failed on 4th they’d still probably get another possession. In general I’ve noticed analytics favor aggression in football, and in baseball it can be more of a mix depending on variables. Not that I am or will ever be close to qualified to be an NFL head coach or a football coach at any level for that matter, but I have wished for years that coaches would start using a little more logic and statistics in their game decisions. I remember watching the Packers have the ball on 4th and inches at the Eagles 40 in the 4th and 26 game in early 2004 and they could have iced the game and naturally Sherman punts. That was against Andy Reid too and of course the rest is history. I remember even thinking at that time it was crazy not to try going for 4th and inches over what amounted to be 20 yards of field position with the touchback but sadly most HCs at that time would have done the same. Nowadays I doubt there is one. In that way I think the game has definitely changed for the better and coaches are making choices based on what is the true best chance to win and not out of fear of what the media will say.
  15. adambr2
    I’ve played every version of Madden at least sparingly since probably 2003 but I don’t recall ever being forced to punt.
  16. adambr2
    That’s kind of what I figured. I know you can’t take analytics as gospel but I assumed a strong recommendation to go for the 4th.
  17. adambr2
    Not necessarily true. There was still enough time to get the ball back if you fail on 4th. You need to hold them to 3 and out, but either way, you aren't winning the game if you can’t stop them from driving down the field, even if you make a FG. ”Kick the FG to tie it there” makes it sound automatic. If it was, I imagine the discussion is different. You have a street kicker with a special teams unit that has already allowed two blocked kicks this year. I imagine the difference in odds between a successful 47 yard FG and a successful 4th down conversion were marginal at best.
  18. adambr2
    One thing that needs to be considered when making these decisions is that getting into FG range used to be like a 45-50 yard task (touchback at the 20, drive to the 30 or 35). Nowadays you’re starting with touchbacks at the 35 and most kickers have leg for 60 or beyond. So you’re talking maybe 20-25 yards to get in range. Case in point the 7 second drive before halftime. It took absolutely nothing but a touchback, an intermediate route against a soft zone, an immediate timeout and a kick. I felt nearly certain that if we kicked we were losing either 23-20 or 26-23.
  19. adambr2
    I think the biggest thing they have going for them is that everyone else looks equally as mediocre. Tampa Bay is technically the best team in the NFC, and it wouldn’t surprise me a bit if we went into their place and beat them. Or lost. Same with the Rams, Lions, Vikings, 49ers and Eagles. Wouldn’t shock me either way. Sheesh honestly you could add 5 more teams to that list. It’s really anybody’s conference this year. Regular season record and playing as many playoff games at home as possible will be a big deal.
  20. adambr2
    I’m going to totally disagree. As good as Havrisik has been for us, he was 4 for 9 from 40+ before getting here. They were talking on the broadcast like this kick was a chip shot. 47 yards, on the road, pressure situation, for a guy who was on the couch 2 weeks ago, is no sure thing. Then even IF you make it, you still have to hold them out of FG range (which we didn’t do). Then even IF you do that you still have to win in OT. Just too many things you need to go right if you trot the FG kicker out there. Going for it was the right call and also helped burn more clock off.
  21. adambr2
    Now why would you do that to us?
  22. adambr2
    Just so people have their expectations in check on what “go for it” actually means. Our version of “go for it” is something the Dodgers would find to be …adorable, would be one way to put it.
  23. adambr2
    As an owner of Kyler Murray in several dynasty superflex leagues I am not feeling great about it.
  24. adambr2
    My guess is roughly the same. Freddy has a cheaper contract but Burnes had the better track record and was more of a reliable workhorse. Something around the same value but obviously different in structure. I dunno. Ortiz looked like a pretty good acquisition a year ago and now not so much.
  25. adambr2
    Let’s put some respect on Lucas Havrisik’s name. If he doesn’t connect from 61 for the franchise record, Arizona likely wins it with a FG on that last drive. He came through yet again.
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