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owbc

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Everything posted by owbc

  1. owbc
    Too bad, but better that they found it now than in March. It also gives Gamel a second chance to earn playing time.
  2. owbc
    The rendering is available--yes, it is to the left of the clock. http://brewers.mlblogs.com/2013/01/17/miller-lite-party-deck-to-debut-at-miller-park-in-2013/ The party areas seem to have high demand, so if they have the space, why not?
  3. owbc
    Wisconsin and Marquette are both 3-0 in conference play. Who saw that coming?
  4. owbc
    What's so great about Silver Linings Playbook?
  5. owbc
    It's official, Biggio was the highest with 68%. He is only the second player ever with 3,000 hits not to get elected on the first ballot. Craig Biggio 68.2% Jack Morris 67.7% Jeff Bagwell 59.6% Mike Piazza 57.8% Tim Raines 52.2% Lee Smith 47.8% Curt Schilling 38.8% Roger Clemens 37.6% Barry Bonds 36.2% Edgar Martinez 35.9% Alan Trammell 33.6% Larry Walker 21.6% Fred McGriff 20.7% Dale Murphy 18.6% Mark McGwire 16.9% Don Mattingly 13.2% Sammy Sosa 12.5% Rafael Palmeiro 8.8% Bernie Williams 3.3% Kenny Lofton 3.2% Sandy Alomar Jr. 2.8% Julio Franco 1.1% David Wells 0.9% Steve Finley 0.7% Shawn Green 0.4% Aaron Sele 0.2%
  6. owbc
    Attanasio is the best chance for the Bucks to have future success in Milwaukee. There is serious potential for Bucks/Brewers collaboration. However, I think an arena deal in Milwaukee will be a prerequisite to Kohl selling. Maybe they can get some investment from Braun/Aaron Rodgers also? If that isn't enough to get support for public financing, then the situation is probably hopeless. If the arena is built, they will be profitable and the value of the franchise will increase significantly. Even a #7 or #8 playoff seed would bring much needed attention for two weeks. Two home games against the Heat = 2 sellouts. I hope they don't give up on this season. Are our trade pieces even worth anything?
  7. owbc
    Didn't realize only 10 could get in. If it comes down to that, then I have to drop the steroid users: Sosa, Palmeiro, and McGwire. Along with Martinez. It appears nobody is getting in, which will make it even harder to vote in future years. Not sure how guys like Biggio and Piazza get rejected unless there are writers submitting blank ballots, which is unacceptable.
  8. owbc
    For Wisconsin you can sort of find that information here or in another format here. The satellite analysis products are very good, however.
  9. owbc
    The tie-breaker for McGwire and Sosa is the 1998 season--even with steroids, Bonds is the only other player to exceed 61 HR in a season. McGwire hit 245 in 4 years, everyone else was juicing but nobody ever came to that kind of run. As for Sosa, he's one of only 8 in the 600 HR club. Clemens won 24 games in 1986, so it seems that the Bonds argument applies to him also. But I vote him in regardless--not only are his numbers incredible, but he was facing juiced players so the playing field was level in my opinion. I don't think it's right to speculate on what these guys' numbers would be without steroids. How do I know if Sosa would have hit 300, 400, or 500 HR? You can only look at it in the context of the era, by comparing to other players of that time.
  10. owbc
    I put in all the steroid users, even though it pains me to vote for Sosa, Pamieiro and Clemens. I don't have a good argument to reject them and let in McGwire and Bonds. Morris Bagwell Smith Raines Martinez McGwire Palmeiro Bonds Clemens Piazza Schilling Biggio Sosa Lofton
  11. owbc
    The weak storms are always harder to forecast than the strong ones. It was a slow moving, long duration event that got some help from the lake. There is probably another more technical explanation also but I wasn't really paying attention.
  12. owbc
    There were some pretty freaking awesome (well, dramatic) obituary headlines back in the day. That'd be one of them. I was in an old cemetery recently, one tombstone (17 year old girl died in 1910) read: "Died from burns sustained while cooking supper." Perhaps the Grim Reaper was somehow responsible for that one also?
  13. owbc
    We have a wind chill advisory in South Florida tonight. The wind chill might drop below 35. The NWS put out the following advisory: A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WIND WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS CAN LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES.
  14. owbc
    Judging the positive vs. negative of a snowstorm is much different than other natural disasters like a hurricane, tornado, or earthquake. The snow is worth a lot of money to a number of industries--winter tourism (hotels, restaurants, bars), skiing, snowmobiling, snow removal, etc. There are many people who sincerely enjoy it. As others have pointed out, it is hazardous especially to those that are required to work anyway or need to be out on the streets for some other reason. But for almost everyone, the storm is only a mild inconvenience, power isn't out for 2 weeks or even 2 days. I don't see anything wrong with getting excited about it, I certainly do and it has little to do with my scientific interest in the storm. If it's too warm and there isn't any snow, then a whole new set of problems emerges (droughts, pests, etc). There was only 1 fatal vehicle accident--and the state averages almost 2 per day, so it seems that people were being safe for the most part.
  15. owbc
    It seems that the warm air made it farther north than expected up the eastern 2 tiers of counties. The unusually warm Lake Michigan temperatures probably helped with that. Usually it evens out later in the year when it is cold enough for lake effect snow. I hope everyone made it out of Ragstock. That place is sort of a fire hazard...
  16. owbc
    Madison-Truax is over a foot now. The snowfall rate is winding down, looks like the total will be somewhere in the 14" range. Seems like somewhere around Beaver Dam is going to have the highest total, probably around 16".
  17. owbc
    Judging by the highway cams there is still snow in Madison but the R/S line is now in SE Dane County. It shouldn't move much for the next few hours, then it will become orientated more in a north-south direction around noon before rapidly retreating to the east. So Madison could briefly get rain mixed in. Considering they are already pushing 10", they should exceed a foot even if rain mixes in for a little while.
  18. owbc
    Yeah I have no idea why they would have cancelled school in Waukesha. The storm is playing out almost exactly as planned. The rain/snow line is about where it was expected to be.
  19. owbc
    Waukesha isn't supposed to change back to snow until 4-6 PM this evening. When you look at the radar, the area of snow that will hit the Milwaukee/Waukesha area is currently located in Southeast Iowa. So that is the area to watch as it intensifies and moves to the NE. All of the snow overnight was associated with the warm front and not the actual deformation band that contains the heaviest snow rates and strongest winds. The front edge of the "main event" is just approaching the Madison area now, although it may be more of a rain/snow mix in Madison and especially to the southeast.
  20. owbc
    There is still some uncertainty about exactly where the rain/snow line will be for most of Thursday. It might set up closer or even west of Madison, or it might be around Waukesha. Areas in between that have a large range of possible snowfall totals, they could get double or half of the forecast depending on how things play out. My confidence that Madison will see 12"+ totals has definitely been eroded. It's still > 50% but not nearly as certain as before. I guess we will see.
  21. owbc
    Yeah that's basically the opinion of 95% of the meteorological community. Judging by the reception so far, I expect the Weather Channel to end their experiment after 2012.
  22. owbc
    My opinion is that Germantown is too close to the lake and will see less than 6". It all depends on when you turn over to snow. That area right near the sharp gradient of snowfall totals is the most difficult to predict. For those of you in the all snow area, today's model runs definitely look more impressive than the last few days. Especially for the probability of convective and thundersnow. Hence the higher amounts. Even though my research is in tropical meteorology now, these big snowstorms are still exciting to follow. Especially one like this which is straight out of a textbook.
  23. owbc
    That map is outdated, here's the latest. RobDeer, you will probably run into problems right when you reach Chicago. Indiana should be ok. The I-94 corridor between Milwaukee and Chicago will actually see some of the heaviest snow rates and strongest winds out of anywhere in this storm for about a brief period Thursday night. Those 4-5" snowfall estimates in Milwaukee will come almost entirely in just a few hours and will be accompanied by winds gusting over 40 mph. The new map also raises the forecast for the Madison area up to 10-16 inches.
  24. owbc
    It looks like it will be still snowing at that time, including in Chicago. I recommend waiting until Friday morning because of the potential for strong winds and blowing snow as the storm moves out. An SUV doesn't help with visibility. I don't know if you are flying into Chicago but I think there is the potential for flight cancellations on Thursday evening, especially at O'hare. There is speculation that the weather service is going to go with blizzard warnings for much of southern WI away from Lake Michigan. That will probably trigger more cancellations/closures than a winter storm warning.
  25. owbc
    The Weather Channel has named this storm "Draco". LOL.
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