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owbc

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Everything posted by owbc

  1. owbc
    We order from those apps several times per month. It’s the price you pay for convenience. I expect it to be $50-60 for two people. The menu price at the restaurant is irrelevant, that’s a different experience. I would say it’s more of a luxury than us being lazy. We don’t do our own grocery shopping either but I think we end up saving money and eating healthier because it’s easier to avoid impulse purchases when using Instacart.
  2. owbc
    If you take out all of their “adjustments” it sounds like the conclusion to draw is that it’s basically a wash and there hasn’t been much change to the job market. It’s pretty obvious the January report will show job losses given everyone waited until the new year to do layoffs.
  3. owbc
    I think they knew the economics were bad when FSWI rebranded to Bally, but there was hope for sports betting revenue to make up the difference. That seems to not have happened for whatever reason. Bally was just more of the same.
  4. owbc
    The Brewers are getting screwed by RSNs more than any other team in MLB (excluding ones that don't care about winning games). If they lose a fraction of their revenue, it will be the same fraction lost as every other team caught up in this. The best case scenario for the Brewers is for there to be no path forward with an RSN -- that is, the payout is so low that the Brewers would be better off going with a streaming service (as Brock suggested) or having a crisis that requires MLB intervention. Think about it from the perspective of the league as a whole. When revenue inflates, we fall farther behind. We want revenue to contract. The only concern from the fans perspective should be the number of households that have access to Brewers games.
  5. owbc
    My dad is retired and works a seasonal job as a tax preparer. He said it's unbelievable how many people were day trading in crypto with pages and pages worth of transactions on their taxes. All for relatively little profit. And this was the 2021 tax year which was about as good as it got for crypto.
  6. owbc
    If that article is correct, the Brewers are getting $34 million/year for their TV rights, up from $28 million under the previous contract. Presumably they took an ownership stake in as part of negotiating that $34 million/year number. The RSN model has been screwing the Brewers for decades. The sooner it dies, the better. Another interesting tidbit from a different article...
  7. owbc
    I think there's a good chance MLB steps in, as Manfred has made some recent comments alluding to a desire to get rid of blackouts. It's hard to blow the system up when many teams are still printing money from their RSNs, but maybe this is enough of a critical mass to get some change. Signing a new exclusive deal with a streaming service like Amazon doesn't excite me at all, that model doesn't necessarily appear to be sustainable either. The model needs to be largely ad-supported. Put the games on MLB.tv with no blackouts and sell the non-exclusive rights to simulcast for cheap. Take the short-term revenue hit in exchange for the long-term growth of the product.
  8. owbc
    Angels fans are furious about this and rightfully so. Their one hope of things improving gets stripped away because Arte wanted $3 billion for the team instead of $2.5 billion or whatever the highest offer was. He paid $183.5 million for the team. We know Ohtani is going to get out of there after 2023, I wonder if he'll change strategies and try to move Trout as well. This was never about anything other than maximizing his profit on the sale.
  9. owbc
    I think the loge level is one of the best and most unique viewing perspectives in MLB. Most stadiums have a lower field level that is about the size of the field+loge level combined at AmFam. When you sit in the back of those larger field levels, you tend to be sitting lower and don't have as good of a perspective of the field and in particular tracking batted balls. Plus there are too many people going in/out because of how large the lower section is and the lower concourse is more crowded than it is at AmFam. On the flip side, the entire terrace level is a weird angle that is super high relative to other stadiums. I personally don't like it at all except for maybe the first few rows. AmFam is close to the worst in MLB in terms of location and accessibility. Fourth Base on National is a good pregame spot if you are a southsider like I was and there is sometimes free parking on the side streets. You can walk to the stadium from there through the VA, it's less of a walk than the Bluemound bars.
  10. owbc
    I'm planning to do it for my 40th birthday which is approaching faster than I would like. I have close to zero baseball experience, other than slow pitch softball. Would love to hear about your experience! As well as what is unique about the Brewers version of fantasy camp.
  11. owbc
    The Cowboys remind me of the pre-2016 Cubs or perhaps the Yankees over the past ~15 years. Or the Maple Leafs in hockey. The "championship or bust" mentality is a recipe for disaster in the playoffs. It wears on the players and the coaches. I know they are professionals but the competition is so close at the highest level and that added bit of pressure makes a difference. Or in the opposite case the Bengals have a chip on their shoulder this year. And then with the Cowboys you have the specific dynamic with Jerry Jones. So many different personnel have rotated through there and the result has been the same every time. It's not a coincidence. It can be overcome, but the barrier to doing so is higher and I don't think anyone has figured out a recipe other than "be so much better than the opposition that it doesn't matter" and even so the Cubs went to game 7 and had to get saved by that rain delay or we'd still be talking about their championship drought.
  12. owbc
    IF/OF utility guys come in handy. It was either this or give Jace Peterson 2 years/10 mil which wasn't going to happen. Somewhere in this signing is an acknowledgement that at some point in the season they may need to get Jesse Winker's bat in the lineup by starting him in the outfield. So they may need to move Anderson from the IF to the OF within a game or use him as a defensive sub for Winker. Keston was rendered mostly obsolete by Winker in my view since one has to imagine that an ideal scenario is that Winker is the full-time DH, but injuries or other flexibility needs may force Winker into the field at times. Edit: I forgot about Winker's atrocious splits vs. LHP but I think the point stands that Anderson will need to sub in for Winker.
  13. owbc
    I don't see what "building character" has to do with any of this. You have to prove your value in order to transfer. The main problem seems to be that it's risky to enter the portal if you don't have options, so it encourages tampering because players want to send out feelers before they go into the portal. Personally I love the pressure it puts on coaches and programs to give talent a reason to stick around. As a Wisconsin fan, the added pressure on the administration to compete at a high level seems to be leading to good things.
  14. owbc
    That was an incredibly fun game, I’ll never forget all of the cheering and chanting in the concourses of the stadium after we won. These days a guy like Bush would be yanked from the game much faster and many of his trademark “big innings” could be avoided.
  15. owbc
    There are -- especially big looping curve balls. I think that is part of what they have been adjusting in testing. Pitchers will surely try to exploit the edges of the zone. Of course they already do this and hitters are forced to swing given the inconsistency of umpires calling the corners of the zone. I would hypothesize that anyone with above-average command of the strike zone will benefit from this system -- but if the rules are as they are currently written, then hitters/pitchers will have to conserve their challenges and will not want to risk challenging borderline pitches in low-leverage situations. So the tennis-style system will correct all of the obvious blown calls. Plus pretty much every borderline strikeout/walk call in high-leverage situations will get challenged, especially late in the game. I haven't seen it mentioned, but I suspect there will also be a cheating element to deal with. Hitters/pitchers have to make the decision to challenge almost immediately with no help from the dugout, but anyone watching the game has immediate knowledge of whether it was a ball or strike. There are often TVs right behind home plate in the premium seating that will probably have to be put on a 10 second delay, otherwise the fans will yell out "CHALLENGE IT!". Or maybe the fans will try to trick the opposition into making spurious challenges. So much food for thought!
  16. owbc
    You can still see the outline of the old runway on Google Maps. It is near 76th/Ryan Rd in Franklin. (42.86425648468093, -88.0061748608468)
  17. owbc
    I grew up a couple blocks from 124th St in Greenfield. Greenfield probably has the strangest shape of any city in Wisconsin, which is a result of it incorporating all of the leftover land in that area. There is also a square "hole" in Greenfield along 116th St which is a chunk of land that they sold to West Allis back in the 1990s. One part of the southern border of Greenfield is not exactly on Edgerton Ave but instead is a couple hundred feet to the north. I don't know if they ever resolved it, but back in the day the people who lived on the N side of Edgerton owned property in both cities. I learned most of the above at some sort of government day that we had in middle school. I also remember that I was the only one who knew that Milwaukee County used to have a third airport called Rainbow Airport close to the farm where my mother grew up.
  18. owbc
    Shaka was clearly the right coach for the job. It's so exciting for Marquette to get him after he already had that bad experience at Texas and will probably be content sticking around for a while. Clearly there are some institutional issues at Texas, I don't know how a place with all those resources continues to underperform in both basketball and football.
  19. owbc
    There's a >95% chance that it will be the tennis-style review system when it is implemented in MLB. It has gotten rave reviews while keeping the human element and the art of framing pitching in the game.
  20. owbc
    I would take what Divish is reporting with a grain of salt. It’s hard to explain unless you follow the Mariners but he’s not one to report two sides to a story, and especially one that paints a narrative of Winker that paints him in a negative light. Divish often rubs me the wrong way. Just recently he reported some rumors about Dipoto and Servais being widely disliked in MLB circles which seemed fishy. I don’t doubt that Winker was frustrated and he certainly looks lazy in the field and on the bases, but he didn’t look that way at the plate when he was routinely having some of the best ABs on the team. The Brewers did take advantage of the Mariners wanting to dump Winker, but that’s hopefully us taking advantage of a guy who clearly needed to be traded and not some sort of clubhouse cancer. The Brewers just did the same with Renfroe who had his own set of rumors which sounded way worse than Winker.
  21. owbc
    MLB is very popular in Canada. Everyone follows the Jays. Once I was in a random town in the mountains of British Columbia in July and they had the Jays game on with a number of people paying attention to them. When the Jays come to Seattle the park is packed with thousands of Jays fans who come down from Vancouver. The Expos fans are still there in Montreal and follow the Jays now. I have no doubt a team would succeed in Montreal, but they would be cannibalizing an existing fan base. Same for putting an MLB team in Braves country. For the same reason the Giants have blocked the A’s from moving to a better spot in the Bay Area like San Jose. The main argument for expansion is the fee, which gets split 30 ways. MLB could demand close to a billion dollars per team. I think in the next decade the A’s move to Vegas and Tampa gets a new stadium. That’s it. No expansion until the current system of local TV markets/RSNs goes away.
  22. owbc
    Expanding the playoff should make it easier to get an SEC vs SEC title game which might actually be competitive.
  23. owbc
    The Mariners will probably tell Topa to throw his slider harder and not worry about break. The Brewers will go to work converting Hernandez to a reliever and addressing whatever they decided was fixable. I like that we've become frequent trading partners with Seattle. They are generally a smart organization and love making trades, sometimes quicker than they should. Meanwhile, we should be quicker to make more trades and trade more frequently.
  24. owbc
    "How do you feel about Bauer?" would be the question asked to every single player and coach in the Brewers' organization for all of spring training. The local media would do it as well. And every time there is some new bit of news with his legal cases it will be in the news cycle again. And all eyes on every one of his pitching appearances. There's no way that it wouldn't be a huge distraction. Again, different story in the regular season when they can pick him up and send him on an assignment. I still think there's a 0% chance that we touch that dumpster fire.
  25. owbc
    I doubt anyone picks him up before the start of the season. The legal issues are ongoing and not in the past. Players don’t want to be on a team with him (the Dodgers players were asked if he should be on the team in 2023). Whatever the upside is, it’s not worth the distractions and media circus in February and March, not to mention the hit to the reputation of the organization. I also question whether there is much upside, the last we saw of him was a 4.0 FIP in 2021 and he’s now 32 and been off an extended time. The Dodgers had 22 million reasons to take a chance at his upside and they passed. There’s a decent chance he pitches in MLB again, but if he does it will be a mid-season acquisition.
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