sbrylski

Yeah, that seems to be exactly what I concluded. Hayes-Taylor-Dorn-Cerrano, but there's no way the scenario could have played itself out as it did in the movie.

I'll guess. Let's assume the worst and say he's a Super Two: 2008 - $600k 2009 - $800k 2010 - $8M 2011 - $12M 2012 - $16M 2013 - $20M Pre-FA Total - $57.4M And then it sounds like we are buying out a FA year, probably worth another $20M. I would say the above is worst case money wise and about best case performance wise. So anything more than $60M, I'll say I'll be disappointed for sure.

Cerrano plays RF. Burton's home run in the 7th clears the fence in RCF where Hayes and Cerrano come together at the wall, with Cerrano on the right. As for the batting order... Leadoff is Hayes, that's a given. 1. Hayes Now let's look at the 7th inning. Taylor bats 2nd, as we know from the ninth inning. 2. Taylor Dorn-Cerrano bat after Taylor, so they have to bat either 3-4 or 4-5. According to the events in the 7th inning. Taylor grounds out for the 2nd out of the inning. During Dorn's AB, we can see there is nobody on 2nd base, and we know nobody made an out or else the inning would have been over. Dorn's hit doesn't drive in a run, so there wasn't a runner on third, and his single moves nobody to second, so nobody was on 1st. So one would think 3-4 is the most logical, but Cerrano hits a homer with 2 outs in the 7th, and then Hayes hits in the 9th with two outs and nobody on. If Cerrano was hitting 4th, then the 5th batter would have to make the 3rd out in the 7th, the 6th-7th-8th hitters would have to make outs in the 8th, and the 9th would make the first out in the 9th. But that's not enough outs, we need one more. If Cerrano were hitting 5th, we'd need two more. Let's try to say the Indian's threatened late in the 7th and 8th and got all the way around the order. In the 7th, they can load the bases after Cerrano's homer, then make the last out. Assuming Cerrano is the 5th batter to try to get all the way around the order, that means Hayes would lead off the 8th inning. They can load the bases again in the 8th, then make three consecutive outs. So 1st-2nd-3rd get on base, then 4th-5th-6th make the outs. In the ninth, 7th-8th make the first two outs, and now we have one out too many. (Or two too many if Cerrano hits 4th.) Therefore, it is not possible for Dorn and Cerrano to bat 3-4 or 4-5. The best they can logically hit is 5-6, but we know in the 7th they bat 3-4. So production errors eventually catch up to us, unless someone can find a interesting way of turning the order over without scoring any runs after the Cerrano homer in the 7th or in the 8th. Per an internet search, LINK: 5-8 would be Metcalfe at 1B, Larson at 2B, Molina at SS, and an unkown DH in an indeterminate order. Tomlinson bats ninth and I believe plays LF.

Ted Simmons is one of the most extreme cases in difference between his situational stats over the course of his career. But there is a very, very small number of other players like that.

That would be some plot. How reliable would you call your source?

And Dusty Baker for NL Manager of the Year...

http://www.funnyexamanswers.com/img/shesawoman.jpg

Civ and WoW are different. Civ is a game with a beginning and end, you can play just once if you really want, solo or online. (I only play solo.) But every game is going to be totally different, with different ways to win. So don't count it out just because you can play it more than once. You can adjust the game speed too, if you want to play a 2-3 hour game or a week long game.

We had a funny youtube thread, what about just pictures? http://i35.photobucket.com/albums/d175/sbrylski06/88625d341a750ecc82b37cde061db571a34.jpg

The time you'll spend playing Civilization isn't measured in hours, days, or weeks. It's measured in decades. Once you purchase Civ IV, get ready for a lot of this: "Just one more turn!" (Like twelve times a night)

I liked Seattle either way.

I'd guess Detroit. I know Fangraphs.com now has average pitch velocity broken down by pitch (FB, CU, SL, ect.) for each player...

I liked "Tsst," the Dog Whisperer one. But yes, a lot of good ones.

A career 4.53 ERA and a 3.23 K/BB ratio.

There are obviously several different ways to look at this move, but the bottom line is that Doug Melvin and Co. will regret this move at some point during the season - most likely sooner rather than later. Exactly. Its nice to start the season with the best pitchers you have on the club, but having a successful season is not about what your OD roster looks like.

I remember some commercial with Michael Jordan in it from like 8 years ago, in which Jordan said to shave your head from front to back. That's all I've got. EDIT:? Actually, in this one he goes from top to front:

I guess I agree with everyone else. If Capuano was healthy, maybe I could understand this. But with the pitching situation as it is, the only motivation I can see for this move is money.

Entirely Subjective Professional Nonsense

The OD Game should be played on U.S. soil at a reasonable time. Opening Day should be a borderline National holiday, not a game you read about in the papers when you wake up in the morning. Secondly, why not a Sunday day game in Japan? A 12:00 noon start time in Japan on Sunday would be a 10:00 PM EST start time on Saturday here in the US. Everyone gets to watch!

One might argue that a 300-pound first baseman doesn't belong on a top 100 list, even if he did hit 50 home runs and is only 23-year-old. For the moment, we're inclined to give the big guy the benefit of the doubt. Hoo-what!?

A third question, re: saving money: I've got some money that'll be sitting in the bank between now and next January when I leave. Do you think it would be better to just put it in something like a CD, or possibly just buying my Euro's right now? I can't tell if I'm joking or not. (And btw, Copenhagen ended up being the better location than Brussels, academically and program cost-wise.)

Per TH: Is this a for-sure? Braun is NOT a Super Two?

Mark A is cool.

I think that the point of Tom Tango's survey here is to eventually show that there, indeed, is only a very limited existence of "clutch," or none at all.