rluzinski

It never really made sense to make a Tue night ticket cost the same as a weekend one.

I showed up at Miller Park at 5 PM to buy a parking pass and they closed the ticket window as I was walking up. Opps! Was planning on getting there around 10:30 to park. Not sure what to do now.

It was very cold. I was just trying to stay warm.

Exactly. It's analogous to saying someone's fight with cancer is "getting old". Please read this: http://socialanxietydisorder.about.com/od/celebritieswithsad/p/zackgreinke.htmAnd as far as the Cancer comparison...no, it not analogous to saying that....to me it's like someone who has fought cancer, got it out of their system, but still uses it as an excuse years later not to do certain things that they are fully capable of doing.He got SAD and depression "out of his system"? That is just terribly ignorant. Hell, there's a good chance he's still taking medication for it and I don't think you area ever completely cured from either condition. He's doing a good job of managing the symptoms and I trust that he will do what he needs to in order to continue to do so. I just don't see the utility of continuing to speculate whether he's faking an ongoing mental illness. There is absolutely no evidence that he is.

If I new when the FRIGGIN' game was I could try to get a 4 hour layover there! How can anyone plan anything!?

My daughter's birthday party will be on the day of Game 3 of the World Series. I assume the game will be at night, so that will work.I will be at game one as the magician is performing at my house for my daughters 4th birthday party. She'll have plenty more birthdays but I have no idea when the Brewers will be back in the playoffs!

Bill didn't even call him up when he introduced the starting pitchers to the crowd, so you have to believe Greinke or someone else made the request for him not to be.

It's a shame you have the challenge of not having clean audio commentary because those packer slideshows are otherwise awesome. There is so much information a close up still of an athlete can convey that a standard video shot can't.

Exactly. It's analogous to saying someone's fight with cancer is "getting old". Please read this: http://socialanxietydisorder.about.com/od/celebritieswithsad/p/zackgreinke.htm

The irony is that the major objection to the wild card being instituted was that it would make divisional races "not matter" when the runner up would still make the playoffs.

So if the Brewers will most likely be game 1 for every day, what are the game times for for the 4 games on Tuesday? It's frustrating to still not know.

Are all the times doing to be released at the same time (e.g. game 3 start time)?

If they can't make money when they make the playoffs with an $80 mil payroll, they never will.

I'm fine with Yo/Marcum/Greinke/Wolf/Yo for the first round. Then, regardless of how many games that series goes, I would be tempted to put Wolf in the bullpen and go with a 3 man rotation for the second round.

You think it's bush league to put a basically meaningless individual achievement ahead of your team winning? 78% of the people in this poll agree: http://espn.go.com/blog/sweetspot/post/_/id/16808/jose-reyes-leaves-game-to-protect-title The other 22% are Mets fans. He can always tell his children that in 2011, he had the most hits per plate appearances that didn't end in a BB, HBP, SH, SF or CI!

Well you fall into the trap of thinking every single time someone outperforms your expected results it is due to luck or randomness.You may want to go back and read my posts a little closer before telling my what I do I don't believe in. I speak of the "most likely explanation", not proclaiming I know exactly what has caused an unexpected split. As I have said dozens of times on these boards, "who knows". But as usual, it's easier for people to argue against a straw man than me.

Greinke, Marcum and Gallardo are all excellent pitchers but I'd have to order them in that order of expectations going forward. What they've done in the last couple of starts should only be considered to break a tie. It has virtually no predictive value. Of course, I said the same thing when Gallardo had a bad start to the season so it would only be right if I'm ignored again, now that he's hot. Come on people, you guys fall for the same things over and over! http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif

Wolf would be the only one that might worry me a bit, as there is a possibility that it is injury related (although probably not likely?). Otherwise, it is probably just the normal ups and downs that all players go though (including the Brewers offense right now). Let's just hope they are all "up" for the playoffs.

So we'll be doubly screwed if the Brewers don't seize homefield advantage now because adjustments aren't being made home/road. The Brewers aren't competing in the playoffs next season or last. They're competing in the playoffs this season. And this season he's struggling on the road, while that's occurring to Marcum at home. You don't think they are aware of that which in turn effects their performance until there's a game or two which turns things around for him in that department. Athletes in sports (especially in baseball which requires preciseness of movement) are streaky overall and situationally and they'll acknowledge it comes down to confidence. You'd refer to that as "anecdotal evidence", a buzz-phrase to deligitimize the information, but you could also classify it qualitative research. And while quantitative research is more reliable on average because it's not as prone to bias (although it is from the interpreter), qualitative research has the potential to be more valid because more variables can be accounted for. For example, you're using standard deviation to pawn off extreme ups and downs as luck because they more or less average themselves out over extended periods of time. However, what is to say there aren't causes to the ups and downs though, especially when numerous ballplayers themselves would tell you that is the case. The events aren't anomalies if they are extreme and frequent. Rather, the opposite is the case. They are tendencies. Greinke and Marcum have established a tendency in the present which requires being adjusted to if possible. And the Brewers established this year that they can't win on the road. It was a tendency! ...until they started doing great on the road and that tendency disappeared. The problem is that people in general have a poor feeling for when luck is no longer the most likely explanation for some statistical anomaly (me included). 162 games seems like an eternity! If a tendency can keep up for that long, it FEELS like it has to be real. But when you actually start running the numbers, you will often find that statistical noise is still likely the largest contributor (although no one will ever know for sure). It's that damned buzz word, "regression to the mean". You are suggesting that there might be a skill-based cause for Greike's extreme home/road split this year and you may be correct. Who knows? But you are absolutely incorrect in suggesting that their is evidence that it is an "established tendency". Perhaps Grienke has a larger than average expected home/road split but the statistical evidence for it is weak. And you speak or quantitative evidence but provide none. You didn't even provide anecdotal evidence. All I see is your 100% unsubstantiated opinion (sprinkled in with a condemnation of quantitative research). If you have some actual evidence (other than the split itself of course), please share it.

What times will the games be on Tuesday? Something like 12,3,6,9? I have to fly that day, so I am trying to avoid being in the air during the game! A 5 AM flight never looked so good...

He is 20th out of 20 in wOBA for qualifie SS and 29th out of 34 when you expand the PA far enough to get at least one starter for every team. How is that "decent" for a SS?I didn't say he hit decently this year, I said he's a decent hitter. His current OBP is 20 points below his career average. Just he project to an average hitter? Probably not quite but if he was an average defender, he would probably would only be a little below average overall. Of course, he will never will be even close to an average defender so there you go.

Betancourt is a decent hitter for a SS. The problem is that he should probably be playing a corner OF spot. But even a good defensive SS is going to make the majority of his plays, so let's hope the luck of the draw works to his favor in the playoffs.

Ouch. Guillen is actually from Venezuela, and Gonzalez is from Cuba.WOW.

I would personally weigh that very little. While we expect players in general to perform better at home, Greinke's 2011 home/road split is flukishly large. In contrast, he actually had a better ERA on the road last year. As is with many of the seemingly unexplainable splits baseball fans latch onto, the most likely explanation for it is going to be largely centered around luck. If someone wants to use it as a tiebreaker, great.

Sorry but they have a 50% chance at best of sweeping the Astros.