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It's not really Baseball Season till a Cubs pitcher is hurt....


berniebrewer4life
Posted
I'm not sure that is going to tell you much. Last years teams already lost players due to injury and it will already be reflected in their WAR so you aren't really catching the injury risk. This years projections tend to include age/injury based regression already so again that should already be built in. There is a reason that systems like PECOTA peg the Cubs at under .500 even though they have above .500 talent and that is pretty much the risk factor being added in.
Posted
I'm not sure that is going to tell you much. Last years teams already lost players due to injury and it will already be reflected in their WAR so you aren't really catching the injury risk. This years projections tend to include age/injury based regression already so again that should already be built in. There is a reason that systems like PECOTA peg the Cubs at under .500 even though they have above .500 talent and that is pretty much the risk factor being added in.

Fine, then I wont share the life changing findings my new metric has uncovered. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/tongue.gif

Posted

The Cubs have a lot of risk on their team, maybe more than any other team in baseball to be honest.

 

I don't know if anyone could sum up the Cubs an better. As someone who is adverse to risk in baseball I am glad we do not follow the not the Cubs pattern. To me risk = desperation.

There needs to be a King Thames version of the bible.
Posted
That was great battlekow. But even better than that was the fact that your link led me to this. I can officially stop ripping Cubs fans now, they have it covered themselves.

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