Brewers (Civale) vs Dodgers (Glasnow): 7/5/24, 9:10pm

[Brian]

7 minutes ago, Stealofhome said:

Umpscorecards keeps track of this and according to them, the Brewers have lost 8 runs of favor this year, third worst in MLB, might also be hurt by Contreras' poor framing this year.

Only Boston and Oakland have gotten screwed more than the Brewers so far this year. That is just the MLB's small market bias. 

[Samurai Bucky]

Here is an interesting video, and somewhat comical, that talks about the strike zone and accuracy.

 

[Jim French Stepstool]

10 hours ago, wiguy94 said:

Freddie got the benefit of a beneficial ump call and Contreras calling 7 straight outside pitches. It wasn’t even a bad pitch, I’d argue a good pitch that Freddie hit, but when you give him 7 straight away then he’s eventually going to make you pay. I get why they might not have wanted to go FB up and in because Freddie crowds the plate and a HBP is a run, but man I just feel like you have to try it. 

2-3 pitches before the last pitch of the AB would've been a time to maybe try it (inside FB). But like I said it didn't need to come to that.

I agree it wasn't a bad pitch at all that he hit. Nor was the one Hudson threw that left the yard. That one still steams me, 12 hours later.

[BruisedCrew]

44 minutes ago, Brian said:

Only Boston and Oakland have gotten screwed more than the Brewers so far this year. That is just the MLB's small market bias. 

Boston is hardly a small market.

And the way they translate calls into costing a team runs seems pretty iffy.

[Jim French Stepstool]

29 minutes ago, Samurai Bucky said:

Here is an interesting video, and somewhat comical, that talks about the strike zone and accuracy.

 

 Nice vid. Calling the pitch based on the count has been going on for a long, long time. I coached HS fastpitch softball & it happens there too.

It's too bad the technology doesn't go far back enough to look at some of the pitches spit on by Ted Williams that were called balls. He had impeccable eyesight & was probably correct most of the time, but I doubt the same courtesy was given all around. "Ted didn't like it, it must've been a ball" was most likely a real thing with umps.

 

[Jim French Stepstool]

3 hours ago, brewers888 said:

The consistently short outings by the starters is catching up to this bullpen. Its not sustainable to get through 162 games with the bullpen having to cover a minimum of 4 innings nearly every night. Either the starters improve and pitch more innings or the bullpen is likely to struggle more and more.

AFA rest is concerned the BP was fine yesterday. I don't think losing that game had anything to do with too heavy of a workload. Down the road yes, it could become a problem, but through 90 games I think the BP has been managed pretty well.

[tonyei31]

4 hours ago, Jopal78 said:

Where are the stats and graphics showing how many calls were blown in the Brewers’ favor this year?  Over the course of 162 games it’s going to be even: you get some calls that help the team  and you get some calls that hurt the team. 

As long as the strike zone is called basically the same for both teams, who cares if there is a pitch missed. They had already set themselves up for failure  by putting runners on with walks. 

The technology exists to get nearly every call correct. Baseball is the only major sport that has the ability to be played as true as can be (without the human eye dictating outcome, regardless of how good/bad they are) and they choose not to. Subscribing to the 'you get some calls that help the team and you get some calls that hurt the team' is today's equivalent of writing a check at the grocery store.  Time has passed that by.  Baseball needs to get with the technological times but that's hard to expect for a sport without a salary cap or a true even playing field.  

[BruisedCrew]

7 hours ago, sveumrules said:

Brewers bullpen…

First 30 Games
91 ERA- | 102 FIP- | +2.79 WPA

Next 30 Games
80 ERA- | 93 FIP- | +2.51 WPA

Last 29 Games
69 ERA- | 104 FIP- | +2.70 WPA

Run prevention has gotten better as the year went on, peripherals have bounced around, Win Probability has held steady.

No real objective evidence that the workload is catching up with the bullpen yet.

I’m not sure that aggregate istatistics about the performance of the bullpen in blocks of 30 games really addresses concerns about the current state of the pen.

I think the concerns now are based largely on the fact that Milner, Payamps, and Peguero, have all been less effective recently than they were earlier in the season. Maybe that has nothing to do with the workload they’ve carried, but it is a legitimate question.

The bullpen stats are a little misleading if they include innings contributed by Wilson or anyone else who comes in in the second inning after an opener. Also, any positive contributions made by Koenig and Parades are not relevant to the evaluation of the pen now as they are on the IL.

As long as the starters are only going to be covering five innings or less in most games, and the pitchers who are covering the remaining innings are being asked to pitch several times a week, there are going to be questions about long term wear and tear. There isn’t a lot of confidence right now in some of the pitchers being asked to protect leads without using Hudson and Megill too much.

On this subject, has there been any more information on Williams this week. The last I heard was last weekend when he had a bullpen session, but I haven’t heard anything about how he bounced back from that session and what the next steps will be.