Amid Front-Facing Turnover, Continuity Behind Scenes Has Kept Brewers Consistently Competitive

[Jack Stern]

The latest division-winning Brewers team featured a new manager and a revamped roster, both of which deserve credit for this year's success. However, an excellent coaching staff and front office that remained intact from previous seasons also lie at the center of the organization's sustainability.

Image courtesy of © Benny Sieu-Imagn Images

The Brewers secured their third division title in four years, after an offseason of turnover. Brandon Woodruff ultimately re-upped on a two-year deal, but his recovery from shoulder surgery ruled him out for the entire season. Corbin Burnes was traded to the Orioles two weeks before pitchers and catchers reported for spring training.

Perhaps the most noteworthy change, however, was to the team’s leadership in the dugout. Craig Counsell departed Milwaukee, traveling 90 minutes south to join the division-rival Chicago Cubs on a record contract for a big-league manager. Pat Murphy assumed the mantle of skipper after serving as Counsell’s bench coach for eight seasons, and Rickie Weeks joined the staff as associate manager.

While much of the personnel changed, the quality of the on-field product did not. The Brewers figure to cross the 90-win threshold in the regular season’s waning dayss and will play a postseason game for the sixth time in seven years.

In hindsight, no one should be surprised. The Brewers are a well-oiled machine, and despite the front-facing turnover, nearly all of that machine’s most integral pieces remained intact. The Brewers lost their two best starting pitchers. They lost Counsell. The lineup underwent a makeover.

Most of the individuals responsible for assembling, organizing, and guiding the roster were the same people who filled those roles last year. Counsell’s entire coaching staff remained in Milwaukee after his departure, and they proved indispensable to Murphy in his first full season as a big-league manager.

“I knew the whole coaching staff for the most part,” Murphy said minutes after the Cubs lost on Wednesday afternoon to secure his team’s division title. “We made three or four changes. I think they’re unsung heroes.”

Hitting coaches Connor Dawson and Ozzie Timmons have continued to work with a lineup that’s been among the team’s best in the last decade. First-base coach Quintin Berry has advised a group of smart baserunners who have stolen 197 bases this year, the third-most in baseball.

The fruits of continuity are perhaps felt most on the run-prevention side. Berry continues to instruct a group of rangy young outfielders who convert would-be extra-base hits into outs. Meanwhile, a pitching brain trust led by Chris Hook, Jim Henderson, and Walker McKinven has optimized a hodgepodge of castoff arms in front of that defense.

Pundits perceived the Brewers’ pitching staff as a weakness after losing Burnes and Woodruff (and Devin Williams for the entire first half due to stress fractures in his back). It currently boasts the fourth-lowest ERA in baseball.

Much of that is due to that elite defense, which is helping the group overperform a 4.20 FIP that ranks 22nd in the sport. However, the pitching department also excels at making pitchers with unremarkable arsenals – Colin Rea, Tobias Myers, Frankie Montas, and Aaron Civale are all examples – as deceptive as possible.

Achieving that deception takes different forms based on each pitcher’s abilities and mix. Sometimes, it means mixing three fastball variations to keep hitters off-balance. Other times, it means resurrecting an old breaking ball to close a gap in pitch shapes. It could be a simple mechanical tweak that makes the ball harder for hitters to read out of the hand.

The Brewers do not have a spotless hit rate with their pitching projects, but their track record is quite impressive. What many perceived as a weakness remains Milwaukee’s greatest strength.

The continuity extends to the front office, where Matt Arnold continued to supply his roster with a productive mix of diamonds in the rough, reliable veterans, and young talent.

“Arnold will never take any credit, but he’s been here how many years doing it,” Murphy said. “He’s been a huge cog in this whole thing, not just since he’s been running it, but he’s been a huge cog the whole time.

“I think the guys in the front office are never going to get the credit they deserve,” he added.

Above all else, the players earned a playoff berth with their performance on the field. Murphy earned it by skillfully shepherding an inexperienced group with more public detractors than believers. However, a significant amount of credit is due to the less visible coordinators who identified these players, developed them into the best versions of themselves, and put them in positions to succeed.

That system is likely to continue succeeding long-term. The Brewers have built a deeply ingrained winning culture that spans the front office and coaching staffs across all levels of the organization. The team will, inevitably, lose some of its current coaches as time progresses, but it should be able to weather those subtractions due to how deeply its models of leadership, player development, and strategy are embedded into its being. It’s how they’ve kept chugging along after losing Derek Johnson, David Stearns, and now Counsell.

“It doesn’t happen overnight,” said Christian Yelich, who has seen that sustained culture develop over his seven years in Milwaukee. “It doesn’t take one year or two years for that to become your identity as an organization or the team. It takes a lot of talented people. It takes a lot of the right people. It takes a lot of consistency from ownership on down, throughout the organization, you know? It’s not all because of one person.”

It’s no coincidence that the Brewers find themselves here yet again. Few organizations boast the level of cohesion and efficiency present in Milwaukee. The rest of baseball ought to be on notice.

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[Jim French Stepstool]

IMO the 'run prevention' model they've adhered to is so damned impressive. And the lions' share of the credit for that goes to the uncanny ability this organization has to tweak, probe, & realign pitchers to get full performance. Not only the way Civale & Montas have performed since coming over, but if on March 30th people would've been told we'd need important innings from Tobias Myers, Koenig, Ross, Megill, Hudson, Ashby, there would be a lot of furrowed brows. And with the glove, guys like Turang, Perkins, Frelick & Ortiz are just so unflappable, even on game-changing plays.

I think you're right about losing some coaches eventually. I mean, how can they not, unless the rest of MLB isn't paying attention. I just hope they put guard dogs, alarm sensors & a big, deep moat complete with sharks around that pitching lab.

[BillMilton]

Next will be Chris Hook to the Cubs. Henderson moves up, Miley comes in.

Who is next after Arnold moves on?

[biedergb]

On 9/19/2024 at 1:43 PM, Jim French Stepstool said:

IMO the 'run prevention' model they've adhered to is so damned impressive.

And that has even evolved.  Look back at the earlier days of this run. 2018-2019, where the team was more offensively gifted, and reliant on a deep bullpen. We signed Cain and Grandal, and traded for Yelich and Moose during that time frame.

Then as other teams came back to signing FAs again (after the 2016-2018 non-collusion FA downturn), the brewers pivoted to defensive players like Wong, Adames, Bradley, Petersen, and focusing on pitching development.

Now it is trying to balance both via draft, trades, and player development. Currently the team is run-prevention, great bullpen and better than average hitting. And will maybe pivot again in the next few years to leverage what their internal strengths are, and maybe zig when the league zags.

The big question is as fans do we wish to have this TB Rays like continuing success for nearly a decade, or a 2-3 year run with WS runs (like KC)?

(And yes I realize that this analogy falls apart since TB did make a WS appearance)

[Jim French Stepstool]

1 minute ago, biedergb said:

 

The big question is as fans do we wish to have this TB Rays like continuing success for nearly a decade, or a 2-3 year run with WS runs (like KC)?

(And yes I realize that this analogy falls apart since TB did make a WS appearance)

I'll take the former because while many people think that strategy prevents you from reaching the WS, it's just not true (as you alluded to w/TB). "Bites of the apple" has become some sort of negative term to a lot of fans, & IMO shouldn't be.

[biedergb]

1 hour ago, Jim French Stepstool said:

Bites of the apple" has become some sort of negative term to a lot of fans, & IMO shouldn't be.

Agree.  I guess I should have contrasted that approach- long term success vs the all-in approach.

As a long lived Brewer fan, I’m much happier now compared to what I watched prior (1986ish on) when a good year was a winning record. Now winning division is the new standard.

Hopefully we get rewarded with a WS appearance one of these years.