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    Should We Believe in The Ascension of Jesus Made?


    Spencer Michaelis

    If you're religious, Jesus made water turn to wine. If you're a Brewers fan, Jesús Made can't even drink wine until mid-2028. In fact, that's true whether you're a Brewers fan or not. Yet, he's already on the path to potential superstardom.

    Image courtesy of © Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images

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    Jesus Made signed with the Brewers organization for $950,000 on Jan. 15, 2023. He did so with the usual, limited fanfare that most international signings receive. He was notable enough to be talked about positively by Baseball America and was ranked 22nd in the class by MLB Pipeline. However, aside from a few people seeing his name and humorously pointing out how an American might pronounce it, he did not receive much attention last offseason.

    Fast-forward one year, and Jesús Made is no longer only notable for his name and some interesting tools. He has become the talk of the prospecting world. Geoff Pontes of BA and many other evaluators have spoken extremely highly of him. Pontes has said that he believes Made is a future number-one prospect on multiple occasions. For now, he is "only" a consensus top-100 prospect on every site, and is in the top 50 for many of them.

    So, what changed in the last year? What has he done to make this incredible ascension in the prospect rankings, before even dashing his foot upon a pebble in a professional batter's box in the United States?

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    Start with Made’s production in the Dominican Summer League, on its own. His 169 wRC+ placed him eighth in the entire league, and he was the youngest player in the top eight. He had an OPS over 1.000 and stole 28 bases along the way, while only being caught four times. While the production is impressive, there have been many successful DSL seasons in the past by players who never amounted to anything meaningful at the MLB level.

    So what makes Made different? It’s the way he produced these numbers that has most scouts and evaluators salivating.

    Twitter user @Upper_Beck provided a graphic in his tweet comparing Made’s 2024 season to Mariners prospect Lazaro Montes’s 2022, another big-time DSL performance (162 wRC+).

    AD_4nXfDoR0X9-u9-8n2e3JhNlfcUnDPml6-bNsJ

    Posting a 90th-percentile exit velocity of 103.9 MPH would have been above-average for a major-league player, and the Brewers farmhand did it as a 17-year-old. Montes, known mainly for having big-time, 60-grade power, posted a 90th-percentile exit velocity two MPH lower than Made’s. Montes showed a lack of feel for the strike zone and a lack of bat-to-ball ability in the DSL, and he still has been flying up prospect lists. On the other hand, Made showed an incredible eye at the plate and elite bat-to-ball skills, all while hitting the ball with authority.

    Chris Clegg, of Dynasty Dugout, tweeted a comparison of his own, to another 2022 DSL season. Player A is Made and Player B is a consensus top-50 prospect, Josue De Paula in the Dodgers organization.

    AD_4nXdkYcoaeu6ulnTqOgPmy6QGTS5fwlOPb0w6

    De Paula started with fantastic swing decisions and bat-to-ball ability and grew into his power over time. Made starts with a baseline of all of these tools.

    Made’s combination of power and speed would have brought him much positive attention, regardless of anything else. However, combining those two surface skills with an elite whiff rate and 15% chase rate, all while walking more often than he struck out, has had evaluators wondering just how good he can be on the offensive side of the ball. The underlying data Made posted in 2024 is just about as good as anyone has seen for someone his age, at his level.

    Made's swing is explosive, featuring his fast hands and a lot of bat speed. He shows an ability to cover all areas of the zone, as well. If there’s one area of concern in the swing, it is the pre-swing hand movement, which is noticeable in the video above. It’s far from the most movement in the Brewers system (*glances toward Jadher Areinamo, about to throw his lasso*), but if he’s unable to repeat the motion consistently, it has the potential to cause timing issues.

    While the video above only shows him from the left side, he shows a lot of promise from both sides of the plate, though he also has the extra hand movement from both sides.

    What’s that? Oh yeah, I may have forgotten to mention that Made’s a switch-hitter, too. Most have only seen him from the left side, because he faced very few left-handed pitchers in the DSL, only amassing 32 total plate appearances against them. Despite that, some evaluators believe he has more power from the right side than from the left.

    Made’s ground ball rate was relatively high at nearly 50%, and it’s likely that this is at least partially correlated with that high amount of hand movement. Brewers fans know how some slight timing issues can cause high ground ball rates, namely with a player like Christian Yelich.

    The fact that we have to pick that many nits to find a couple of relatively minor flaws within Made’s offensive profile, though, says enough on its own. There are supposed to be much bigger hurdles to clear for guys who are 17 and haven't played in the States.

    Defensively, there’s a lot less to look at when it comes to DSL players. We do know that Made is listed as a shortstop, and evaluators think he has the type of athleticism, range, and arm strength that would allow him to stay there. However, fans should expect him to move around the diamond a bit in 2025. He should grade out above average at second or third base, where his skillset should play up at each spot. It would be a relatively large upset if he is unable to stick in the infield dirt, but with his speed and athleticism, scouts believe he would do good work in center field, too.

    Beyond the diamond, Made is said to have a tremendous work ethic. Since signing, he has already added good weight to his body but still maintained his athleticism. He has room to continue to add to his frame, which should only help him as he continues to develop more power over time. He has a good head on his shoulders and, to this point, is doing a great job handling all the attention he has received.

    Made has shot up prospect rankings before playing an inning of Stateside professional baseball, mainly because he appears to be a player: A player who produced some of the best underlying data that the baseball world has seen from a seventeen-year-old in the DSL; a player who posted top-of-the-line traditional, counting stats on top of that; a player who scouts believe will either be a solid shortstop or an above-average defender at a different infield position; a player who lacks any glaring weaknesses. Made is a player who, regardless of age or level, is one of the most talented all-around prospects in baseball.

     


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    I think we should believe in it as fans but I think the major rankings and general excess media coverage is building on itself a bit much. I really don't like the idea of DSL guys in the top 100 prospects, yes the stats show an extremely high potential but in reality the DSL is essentially a slightly higher than high end high school competition. If a 17 year old had his numbers at a prestigious top notch HS program we wouldn't be gushing as hard as we are. That being said he would definitely be a potential/likely high-end 1st round pick with his abilities if he were draft eligible this year and then likely a top 100 prospect so there are some semantics. Basically since we signed Gilbert Lara a while ago I feel like waiting until full season ball to start the helium on a players prospect status is wise.

    • Like 1
    40 minutes ago, jay87shot said:

    I think we should believe in it as fans but I think the major rankings and general excess media coverage is building on itself a bit much. I really don't like the idea of DSL guys in the top 100 prospects, yes the stats show an extremely high potential but in reality the DSL is essentially a slightly higher than high end high school competition. If a 17 year old had his numbers at a prestigious top notch HS program we wouldn't be gushing as hard as we are. That being said he would definitely be a potential/likely high-end 1st round pick with his abilities if he were draft eligible this year and then likely a top 100 prospect so there are some semantics. Basically since we signed Gilbert Lara a while ago I feel like waiting until full season ball to start the helium on a players prospect status is wise.

    I hear you, but I think it should be noted that the Baseball America guys agreed that Made would be a pretty easy 1-1 choice in next year's draft if he had this type of underlying data on the HS circuit. What Made did in 2024 is just so far out of the ordinary.

    Gilbert Lara had a .600 OPS as a 17 year old in rookie ball. He signed for a lot of money, but reports back then were that the Brewers pretty immediately regretted it once he showed up to the team. They knew right away that it was a bad investment. I fully understand the hesitancy, but I'm not sure I'd use Lara as a reason for it.

    • Like 9

    I agree that that we need to be cautious about DSL guys. They are just too far from the majors to rank them so highly. The Gilbert Lara and Hedbert Perez hype has caused me to pause, but I dont think they are a good comparison to Made.  We have much better data on DSL guys now. The peripherals showing contact rate, chase rate, etc show a really special player.  I normally initially set DSL guys in the 60s-70s of my top prospect list, but even I have Made at #6 and Pena at #23.

    • Like 4

    Tempering expectations may be in order here .   Made is a very neat idea.   But he has never really faced anything remotely like MLB pitching yet.  His numbers are gaudy and bloated and not even close to definable or real yet.    The kid is 17 turning 18.    I will get a bit more excited when he moves from A to AA.    Until then he is just a funny name. 

    • Like 1
    13 hours ago, ClosetBrewerFan said:

    I agree that that we need to be cautious about DSL guys. They are just too far from the majors to rank them so highly. The Gilbert Lara and Hedbert Perez hype has caused me to pause, but I dont think they are a good comparison to Made.  We have much better data on DSL guys now. The peripherals showing contact rate, chase rate, etc show a really special player.  I normally initially set DSL guys in the 60s-70s of my top prospect list, but even I have Made at #6 and Pena at #23.

    How can Made not be ranked so highly?

    We have a respected prospect-site (BA) say he’s a future potential #1 prospect, and 2 of their staff say he’d be the #1 pick in this July’s draft if he was eligible.

    Sometimes the talent is so overwhelming you just know.

     

    Different FO/International department that scouted & signed Gilbert Lara. Also, the current international department has evolved into maybe the best prospect-procurement department in all of baseball in the 5+ years since they signed Hedbert.

    • Like 4

    There's a long way to go for Made, but I think the two posters above who are only walking about stats are missing the point. There are absolutely gaudy stat lines in the DSL every year that don't amount to much in the end. They're usually not *this* good, but still. You can usually see strong signs of unsustainable performances even in basic stats though. Inflated BABIP, sky high HR/FB rate, subpar K/BB numbers. Made has none of that. In those basic stats alone you can tell a few things. Most importantly that he walked significantly more than he struck out. Yes it's the DSL, the pitching isn't very good. But walking 18% of the time and striking out only 13% of the time signals a great eye at the plate. 

    Plate discipline stats support that. Chase rate, whiff rate etc. A seriously mature approach. And it's not like he's overly passive either. Now the real kicker in all this is when we also factor in batted ball data. Alongside that low whiff rate, low strikeout rate and ability to make contact he also hits for a ton of power. EV90 above the MLB average, as a 17 year old. Scouts like his mechanics and love his tools too. He's also a switch hitter who plays SS (Even if he might end up at 3B) pretty well and runs well. 

    The reason there is a lot of skepticism about DSL is that people pay far too much attention to stats like raw OPS and nothing else, and then naturally the failure rate among those players is sky high. It can't really be emphasized enough how strongly Made's performances are supported by the underlying data. Another reason prospects fail is that their prospect rankings and evaluations are based on projection. There is a lot of "If he can cut the strikeout rate/increase launch angle/find more power as he matures" etc. That's in addition to needing to prove it at higher levels. Made on the other hand has all the tools and skills he needs. He "just" needs to prove it at a higher level. Which is no mean feat, far from guaranteed. 

    But if there was ever a DSL prospect to be excited about, this is it. Prospect evaluators almost never go gaga for a DSL prospect this way. They're skeptics, cynics, conservative. And they all put him in the top 100, or in one case even top 20. 

    • Like 9

    There was a graphic on (I think) Baseball America comparing him to another highly regarded DSL player, and they had very similar EVs, OPS, and everything. Made had everyone doubled up on hard hit percentage and all the plate discipline stats.

    The DSL doesn’t have public numbers on this stuff, but BA has them, and they are pushing this more than anyone. His metrics have not been seen before.

    Really makes me wonder what they have on Antunez as they are banging that drum pretty hard even without the gaudy DSL numbers.

    • Like 4

    Yah, this is kind of unprecedented. The fact is, I don’t know if anyone has had this combination of data since it became available for the DSL. I am cautiously optimistic, but I can understand some skepticism.

    Regardless, on the question of him starting in Carolina, it is kind of nutty that five guys who played in the DSL last season could start the year in Carolina and none would be more than moderately surprising.

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    19 hours ago, CheeseheadInQC said:

    The fact is, I don’t know if anyone has had this combination of data since it became available for the DSL.

    I suspect this is a big part of the hype and lack of precedent. I just don't think there was a lot of public batted ball data before the last couple of seasons in the DSL.

    Joseph Zarr
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    20 hours ago, CheeseheadInQC said:

    Regardless, on the question of him starting in Carolina, it is kind of nutty that five guys who played in the DSL last season could start the year in Carolina and none would be more than moderately surprising.

    damn right walter white GIF by Breaking Bad

    • Like 1
    On 2/4/2025 at 11:55 AM, Spencer Michaelis said:

    I would expect him to start there yeah. It would be a pretty major upset if he doesn't.

    Who all from the DSL last year do we think starts the year in Carolina?  Made for sure but maybe Luis Pena as well?

    34 minutes ago, wibadgers23 said:

    Who all from the DSL last year do we think starts the year in Carolina?  Made for sure but maybe Luis Pena as well?

    There was a picture posted a while back of both Made and Pena already in Arizona. Would assume they’re a package deal unless both need to be played at SS.

    • Like 1
    1 hour ago, wibadgers23 said:

    Who all from the DSL last year do we think starts the year in Carolina?  Made for sure but maybe Luis Pena as well?

    1 hour ago, snoogans8056 said:

    There was a picture posted a while back of both Made and Pena already in Arizona. Would assume they’re a package deal unless both need to be played at SS.

    I would imagine Pena has a very real shot, but it is important to note that there are a lot of infielders who will be deserving of an opportunity in the lower levels. I think Made and Pena are good friends, but I don’t think they’re necessarily a package deal in terms of moving up together.

    I think there’s a pretty good chance Made and Peña will both start in Carolina.

    Darkhorse DSL guys to join them would be Juan Ortuno - 344/464/481 (159 wRC+) with 29 BB / 27 K. Played all over at LF (13 G), 1B (12 G), 3B (8 G), DH (7 G), 2B (6 G), and SS (4 G).

    Jose Anderson - 283/403/512 (143 wRC+) with 29 BB / 38 K playing CF almost exclusively.

    7 minutes ago, Spencer Michaelis said:

    I would imagine Pena has a very real shot, but it is important to note that there are a lot of infielders who will be deserving of an opportunity in the lower levels. I think Made and Pena are good friends, but I don’t think they’re necessarily a package deal in terms of moving up together.

    If they assign one or both of Bitonti and Adamczewski to Wisco there should be room for both of Made and Peña at Carolina.

    But yeah, would be tricky having all four in Carolina unless you want to start trying Bitonti in RF, Made/Peña in CF, or Adamczewski in LF for a game or two a week.

    • Like 1
    2 hours ago, wibadgers23 said:

    Who all from the DSL last year do we think starts the year in Carolina?  Made for sure but maybe Luis Pena as well?

    I’d say

    Near lock: Jesus Made

    Fairly likely: Luis Pena

    Would Be Likely Without the Brewers’ glut of pitching: Wande Torres, Jesus Flores (this is kind of cheating, but he started the year in the DSL)

    Mildly surprising but possible: Jose Anderson.

    I agree that this will be driven more by balancing rosters than developmental timelines to start the season. Perhaps an exception for Made.

    I just don't think where they begin the season matters all that much. Particularly due to weather in Midwest League in April.

    22 hours ago, sveumrules said:

    If they assign one or both of Bitonti and Adamczewski to Wisco there should be room for both of Made and Peña at Carolina.

    But yeah, would be tricky having all four in Carolina unless you want to start trying Bitonti in RF, Made/Peña in CF, or Adamczewski in LF for a game or two a week.

    I don’t know that it is a huge deal. You have five infielders for four spots plus DH among the bigger names (those four plus Di Turi). It does become an issue I guess if you want to get Bitonti a ton of third base time, but outside of Barrios and the catchers, all the potential bench bats have outfield experience. Tyler Rodriguez will likely see a chunk of time in left.

    Seems like Baseball America finally got fed up and released the data.

    He does genuinely seem special.

    Here are his numbers compared to our Chourio in the DSL (they have about 20 other top prospects also in the list and he kind of destroys them all):

    In Zone Wiff % = Made 10%, Chourio 11% (both are top top tier here)

    Chase% = Made 15%, Chourio 27%

    90%EV = Made 104.2, Chourio 100.4

    MAX EV= Made 108.9, Chourio 106.8

    (MODS - Feel free to delete if this is too much given away)

    1 hour ago, snoogans8056 said:

    Seems like Baseball America finally got fed up and released the data.

    He does genuinely seem special.

    Yep lol. Here's the article snoogans is referring to. It's pretty insane seeing the comparison to all of the big DSL performers over the last 3-4 years. 

    homer
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    1 hour ago, Spencer Michaelis said:

    Yep lol. Here's the article snoogans is referring to. It's pretty insane seeing the comparison to all of the big DSL performers over the last 3-4 years. 

    YouTube video JJ Cooper and Geoff Pontes released a few weeks ago is linked in that article. Do not watch this if you do NOT want to get excited about Jesus Made: 

     

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