FVBrewerFan
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Everything posted by FVBrewerFan
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Not impossible, but I think they feel they're in pretty good shape at Safety.
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I get the sense there's a lack of harmony going on right now with this team. You see it in the body language. I don't know if Giannis and Middleton are battling to be "the man," if Bledsoe wants to be more involved, who knows. But there's something going on. I've been thinking about what type of coach they need moving forward. Honestly, I think they may need a Skiles/ Bobby Knight type of butt-kicker. That doesn't last long in the NBA, but maybe that's exactly what they need for a couple years.
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I hate watching the guy but you have to give credit where credit is due. He is definitely a positive value base-runner despite all the miscues. It's frustrating to waste outs so stupidly, but as long as the team doesn't let it affect their performance, an out is an out, whether it's because a player makes dumb mistakes or just because he's too slow. The same goes for his defense to some extent. The stumble-bumble stuff looks bad and makes a strong negative impression on Brewers, but range is very important. The eye test is very misleading when it comes to defensive value for that reason. Some of the most sure-handed middle infielders (Yuni, Jeter, Rollins) are some of the worst defenders because of range, whereas quicker guys like Villar and prime Weeks aren't nearly as bad as the eye test and fielding percentage would lead you to believe. Not to mention some of those base running errors were Sedar-induced blunders. (But to be fair, I think Sedar DID improve last year for sure.)
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Coaching changes alone should make them better. Very early, all kinds of options left including trades, moving up in the 1st round to get a stud CB, etc. There's no reason a rookie CB can't step in and play well immediately- happens every year.
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Burnett is much like Nelson, he can still play but you can't keep them all. I also think the whole "QB of the defense" thing the media talks about all the time is a joke. All I saw constantly last year was confusion all over the field before, during, and after the snap. If he was the QB of the defense, he was about as good as the QB of the offense we had most of last year. Honestly, I wouldn't mind if Matthews was the next to go if they used that money to upgrade CB or other positions.
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If Villar puts up a .265/.315/.400 line along with 40-45 SBs and solid defense at 2B, I wholeheartedly disagree that he won't have much trade value. I think that we'll see a Villar/Sogard soft platoon with Villar getting most of the time there. Perez will continue playing all over the place , and will be the main back-up at 3B and SS. Plus, if he puts up a solid season you don't necessarily need to trade him. Let's wait for Hiura to at least begin his season this year before we lock him in as the Brewers starting 2B in 2019. Even if he is, Villar could be the UT. Aguilar, I think, will be up to start the season. After that, a whole lot of things can happen to extend his stay.
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Uhh... Erceg? Wow, autocorrect on my phone did a number on that one!!
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Don't sleep on Jon Perrin. 2.91 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, better than 4/1 K/BB rate last year in Biloxi. 6'5", plus fastball. Not huge k numbers, but gets a lot of ground ball outs. 23 on my list, so it's not like I don't see his floor too. Erceg is the bat I see breaking out of all the Carolina guys from last year. Just love his swing. He takes his walks, has power, just so close to putting it all together.
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I'm excited about Hiura too, but let's wait and see how he does over an extended period of time in Carolina. Lots of guys flashed in ST. Yes, I hope and expect he'll keep hitting. But we need to see how he does over the long grind of a professional season.
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That's the problem with hypothetical questions, see I read it as you wouldn't know the result going into each season. So you wouldn't know 9 seasons would be horrible up front. Even so though, I would still take the WS title.
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Alex Cobb (Part 4)
FVBrewerFan replied to Never Outhustled's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
At this point, I really think Cobb waits until the season starts on waits for the inevitable injuries and/or bad performance from one or more of the contending teams. It is a risk, but not all that crazy. If he is, in fact, healthy then he would be in the driver's seat, since there's nobody else left out there. (And as far as the health goes, I would guess teams interested have seen him pitch this spring whether in person or on video, with the gun showing speeds, etc.) -
CC announced Davies will be starter in Home Opener? First of all, seems rather odd to make a formal announcement like this in ST. Anyhow, what does this mean? So Chacin follows Anderson, then #4 (whoever that is) pitches third game. Day off, then Davies pitches home opener. Tells us they most likely will break camp with only 4 starters, meaning Aguilar has a shot to make the roster. (At least for a week.) But now Davies is pitching out of the 4th spot in the rotation moving forward? Maybe they're just being ultra-conservative with his minor injury.
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Alex Cobb is still a FA. Any chance of signing him? Any rumors out there? That would change the 25 man.
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Packers draft class will cost around $8M in "cash" to sign, but only half of that will likely impact the salary cap. Only the top 51 salaries are considered for cap purposes, so those guys signing after the 3rd round are basically making the same dollars as your lowest-salaried guys currently on the top 51. Not sure what they'll do with Cobb, but I'd rather see them extend Matthews than cut him. Hasn't been much activity in FA on EDGE players, and LB salaries are down compared to CB (right now would be a really bad time to have a good young CB you'd want to extend, with these 8-figure per year deals being handed out to that position group). Could free up some cap space with a 2-3 year extension and see what he can do in this defense. No, it's not the cash signing bonus. That $8MM+ is the cap hit. That's according to Sportrac at least, that's the only source I know. Lowest salaried guys will be the undrafted FA, they won't count on the cap. But yea, that sounded like a high number to me but that's what Sportrac is estimating.
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That wasn't the question at hand, of course, but the answer to your question is definitely build a consistent playoff level team. I would rather have a legit shot for 9 years than a great chance one year.
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9 years? Heck, we've gone over 60 already, what's another 9. Give me the WS.
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1b/OF log jam as an offensive strategy
FVBrewerFan replied to TJseven7's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I think in a perfect world, they'd like to trade Braun. But because that isn't going to happen, they are stuck square-pegging him into right field or 1B. I kind of think they'd love an outfield of Yelich/Cain/Phillips, but unless they find a way to wholesale offload guys, that isn't going to happen anytime soon. It wouldn't surprise me if they were trying to flip Santana, Broxton and Aguilar. They could trade all of them, and still have plenty of depth. I think in a perfect world, they would like to trade Braun, Santana, and Broxton. All 3. Braun due to contract, and Santana/Broxton due to high K, lower OBP type of hitters and pretty bad defense from all 3 (very bad in the case of Santana.) But this is what we've got. There will be stretches when someone isn't getting the ABs they should be getting when everyone is healthy, there will be stretches when it works itself out due to injuries. I have no doubt DS thought he could flip Santana for a deal he likes, or at least could live with. That didn't happen, and here we are. Not the worst thing in the world, not ideal. Being a huge Phillips fan, I really wanted him starting in RF. But I have to admit, it doesn't look like he's ready anyhow. The only real loss in all this is Aguilar, and they may find a way to keep him on the 25 if even for a week, and shuffle him down to AAA. If Braun can stay relatively healthy and have a good season, there could very well be an opportunity to move him again in August. Only two years left on his contract at that point, and would look more optimistic that he could play up to his contract. -
Times are changing. That started with Wolf, back when teams were all going to the tall WRs. Moss, Colston, etc. Now teams are adding smaller WR and hybrid RB/WR types. I don't think you want a whole secondary of 5'9" guys, but one is fine.
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1b/OF log jam as an offensive strategy
FVBrewerFan replied to TJseven7's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
These things are cyclical. As years go by, certain position/ type of player are coveted by most teams. We've seen that in recent years with late inning relief pitchers. We're seeing it now with higher OBP/defense being more valuable than Slugging. So I do think that creates opportunity. You can get a positive WAR player like Carter, Aguilar, etc. for almost nothing. That's good value. Ideally, the Brewers can build a more stable bullpen over the next couple year with guys who can pitch multiple inning, thereby eliminating the need for an 8 man pen. When you step back and look at it, that is a lot of roster spots. It would be great to add another bat like Aguilar or Choi that costs almost nothing. -
I'm a supporter of Aguilar, but I think it's a bigger shame there's no room for Choi. Either one would make a fine PH off the bench, but you can't keep them all.
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Remember Melvin's comment. "Players know where they want to play." Without getting into the why, it could be very possible he just didn't want to come to Milwaukee. I have no doubt DS has been kicking the tires, but either it was clear Cobb didn't have a strong interest, his price was too high, or both. And by "price too high" I mean according to Stearns and their scouting dept., not what the masses think is a good deal. On the other hand, yes, I think it's always possible it's Stearns posturing.
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They have roughly $25MM in cap space (after Jordy was cut), not including Graham/Wilkerson since we don't have those details yet. Them there's the call it $9MM they'll need for rookie class. So figure around $16MM left. Plus, there's always the option of cutting Cobb or Matthews which would free up $10MM each. I doubt they cut either, but you never know.
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1. Freddy Peralta 2. Keston Hiura 3. Lucas Erceg 4. Corbin Burnes 5. Brandon Woodruff 6. Tristen Lutz 7. Brett Phillips 8. Luis Ortiz 9. Taylor Williams 10. Mario Feliciano 11. Mauricio Dubon 12. Trent Grisham 13. Gabriel Garcia 14. Caden Lemons 15. Carlos Herrera 16. Phil Bickford 17. Jacob Nottingham 18. KJ Harrison 19. Jake Gatewood 20.Cody Ponce 21. Troy Stokes 22. Trey Supak 23. Jon Perrin 24. Corey Ray 25. Carlos Luna
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Looks about right, except Bandy hitting 6th when he starts.
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Reminder, Trent Clark is now Trent Grisham.