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Tbadder

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Everything posted by Tbadder

  1. Tbadder
    Cueto is the real deal. Hard, low, accurate pitches--both fastball and slider. He can't keep up the strike/walk ratio but there's no way this guy doesn't become a force if after the hitters adjust he makes further adjustments latter in the season. Right now, if you're a righty you've got to crowd the plate and make him come inside. With the way he so violently falls off the mound he's gonna leave some of those pitches on the fat part of the plate. Secondly, you've got to crowd the plate in order to foul off those nasty on the black sliders--man, oh, man those are pure filth. One thing that really frustrated me last night was how many non-strike strikes he gets. Because he's so consistently around the plate he intimidates the umps who just find it too easy to ring a guy up. Hence we got guys like Hart and Braun who swing at pitches that are 6 to 8 inches off the plate.
  2. Tbadder
    Russ-- You bring up an interesting question. How much of a difference is needed for OBP to trump SLG pct.? Take Kendall for an example. A low slugging pct. guy on a high slugging pct. team. Might it in some ways be more beneficial to have a high OBP guy hitting in front of a bunch of SLG guys rather than just have one more SLG guy in a long line of SLG guys? If Kendall walks and Rickie hits a triple it doesn't matter if Kendall singled, doubled, or tripled. Same thing for a long double that Kendall scores on from first, or second, or third. If someone like Kendall bats that low in the order wouldn't we also assume that he'll be in a situation to be driven in more often than driving in runs? (Because generally the lower we go in the line-up the less the offensive prowess of the batters). So that maybe a better OBP guy is exactly the kind of player a high octane SLG kinda club needs. Am I making sense? I know I'm probably missing something, but what do you think? Is there a formula that expresses this kind of relationship between OBP and SLG.? Thanks for any help.
  3. Tbadder
    NO WAY! GIVE ME A 300 POUND ICHIRO EVERYTIME!
  4. Tbadder
    I'll really appreciate Benny when he signs a pre-emptive contract for 4 years and a discounted 52 million. Man, I'll love that guy up then.
  5. Tbadder
    I agree there's not much to get for these two. Each will have to go out and perform at a significant level for at least a half season. Gwynn will never get the opportunity, what with the injury and Kaplar's sudden power and spellbinding work ethic. McClung's reputation has got to be shot, but at least there might be a lot of mop up considering our offense.
  6. Tbadder
    These kind of contracts are really going to hamstring small market teams like Milwaukee. If you start piling these up because you've got some good young players, start kissing goodbye to all your veterans.
  7. Tbadder
    I guess I don't inderstand those who will boo. Everyone here supports the marketplace. Everyone here believes in democratic principles. Cordero merely took the opportunity that this great country provides. Cordero always gave us his best work, and he was a valuable, contributing member. He never dogged it on the field--he wasn't perfect but who is? Cordero didn't bad mouth the fans or organization that I'm aware of, did he? Then why get angry at a player who is simply exercising the rights everyone here supports?
  8. Tbadder
    I totally am on board with this reasoning. Pitching is tough to come by. If you're serious you gotta pony up even though the risks are greater with pitchers, especially an organization like Milwaukee which has shown zero propensity to develop pitchers on even a semi-regular basis. If an organization believes it can simply bludgeon other teams to death with great offense, well, they're gonna find themselves frustrated year after year (see Texas Rangers, Cinncy Reds, etc.) A healthy Sheets is worth more than a healthy Fielder, but a much rarer commodity, and so I'm afraid the current braintrust will side with Fielder. Which gets me wondering, if you could obtain the best lefthanded hitting first baseman in the minor leagues and a couple of other mid-level prospects why not do it if it enabled you to keep your ace as well?
  9. Tbadder
    I think you're right Fatter Than Joey. In my darkest hour over the off season I thought the Crew would end up in 3rd because of all the young Reds players coming up, especially the pitchers.
  10. Tbadder
    The only guy I don't believe is real, and I simply can't phantom him being anywhere that good is Kaplar. Kendall will tire, so I don't think he can be a .280-.290 hitter anymore, but I totally buy into his intangibles. Otherwise, I think we have every reason to be hopeful...but no reason to be foolish. Lets be honest if the Brewers are for real they should sweep a team as awful as the Giants. Two outta three on the road against their main rival is also hopeful. Now lets see if we can keep it up against the Reds and Cards, two other teams who have had excellent starts. When momentum meets momentum the effects can often be spectacular. Otherwise, everyone knows we can't win 5 outta 6 consistently. So here comes the market adjustment.
  11. Tbadder
    Implementing a pitching strategy for each batter, and helping that strategy come to fruition, would seem to me to be a valuable commodity. Modifying that strategy based on game conditions (previous at bats, pitcher's stuff) would seem even more valuable. The alternative would be a random set of sequences, which...well, I don't really know to be honest, if that would be good or not.
  12. Tbadder
    I will worship at your altar Gifted1 if that scenario plays out. For now I give you a "PRE-Hail oh Soothsayer Extraordinaire!"
  13. Tbadder
    Considering that LaRussa is a black magus who has sold his soul to the devil in much the same way Robert Johnson did, only for baseball wizardary, I'd be scared if I was the Brewers. But then again they got enough to be scared of in the Cubs and Reds, which scares me even more. I said I hated it when the Cards signed Lohse. Duncan turns guys like that around hence Wainwright, Carpenter, et al. In addition, the hardest force to overcome in sports is tradition. Story books must be written. The collective doesn't like the new--witness the humiliation of the Rockies, coming all that way only to be horribly slapped down in public. BOO!
  14. Tbadder
    Look, the Brewers are probably close to being maxxed out in salaries right now. If Mark A. decides to sign Fielder and Braun, coupled with Suppan's untadeable contract, the cupboard is bare. Next year is gonna be ugly in the off-season as they look for an Ace and a Closer with no money at their disposal
  15. Tbadder
    If you check: PECOTA had them 0-6. They'll still run away with it. They still score a 1000 runs.
  16. Tbadder
    Question is: do the Tigers have anyone left to trade that has real value? I'll give up Turnbow, but I want upside and lots of it, for him.
  17. Tbadder
    It was great to see him mixing pitches more, unlike his first outing. Number 1 of 37. Sweet.
  18. Tbadder
    I love the three inning save. It doesn't burn out the pen, gives the guy a save for yeoman's work, and creates stability. Now I's wished it was McClung again rather than Torres but I'm willing to give Yost a thumbs up this time.
  19. Tbadder
    Did they even misspell his name? LOL! Yeah, come to think of it they did! Just like me I guess.
  20. Tbadder
    Wow! I think this is brilliant. I've been searching for years for an explanation for football's popularity for years. I stopped following football about 5/6 years ago. Farve wrecked it for me--his lack of respect for the game, his cowboy mentality. Jordan did the same to me for basketball, turned it into a street game, etc. The accolades for Brett just made it worse, raised to godhood, a person couldn't even criticze him in mixed company. True story: I was at a sports bar one afternoon for a Packer game. Huge crowd, lots of fun, probably a little too much to drink all around, but nothing too bad. Well, after pointing out that Farve had pretty much single-handly thrown away a game with his inability to make decisions that didn't involve throwing the ball wherever, I went into the parking lot and my car had been keyed something awful. It said #4 Farve. In a state like this the Brewers will never be anything but second fiddle.
  21. Tbadder
    I agree with Fatter Than Joey on this, and that's the reason they never should have dumped Vargas. Vargas can pile up innings as a long reliever, probably 4 to 5 innings at a time. I doubt McClung can do the same. Vargas is the perfect player to protect your pen from having to trot out a bunch of one inning stints. And if Claudio implodes as he surely will at times, well, you've probably lost the game in the first place. Just make it clear to him there are times he's gonna get clubbed like a baby seal, but he's doing it to keep his comrades fresh.
  22. Tbadder
    And that's the problem isn't it? Bush is a 4/5 starter. Villy and Suppan are 4/5 starters. Parra's a reall 4/5 starter until he proves otherwise (certainly he has 2/3 starter stuff). Gallardo is 2/3 in terms of stuff, though I think his make up is clearly 2, and Benny's a number1 when healthy. What's wrong with this picture? Nothing if you're trying to field a good, entertaining team, but if you're aiming for the whole enchilada...meh.
  23. Tbadder
    I'll say it again. I think Dempster is gonna surprise people as a starter. I think he'll he a better version of Suppan. I just hope Wood goes on the DL big time, and Marmol implodes. Gotta get Dumpster outta that rotation.
  24. Tbadder
    If I were commissioner I'd: A) Ban the DH. I just hate watching fat guys who can't play the field. There's two types of players in baseball. Pitchers and everyday players. If you can't hack catching, throwing, running, get your sorry butt outta baseball you sad sack! B) Go back to the 154 game schedule with Sunday/Saturday doubleheaders C) 100 million dollar payroll--hard cap. D) All salaries guaranteed for one year only no matter the length E) No drafting of high school players. College players can leave after one year of college or they have to wait until after graduation F) All foreign players are subject to a separate draft and no one under 21 can be drafted G) All drafted players have an agreed upon slary that cannot be changed only refused outright with player going back to college, making him available for the draft one year after his graduating class H) All televsion and radio monies are distributed equally among all teams I) create an inner sanctum in the hall of fame, which is pretty much a joke now--there's just too many players in it. This inner sanctum would consist of one player at each position, starting pitcher, relief pitcher, manager. If a new player gets voted into the inner sanctum one has to be kicked out. J) Get rid of all advertising and television in the stadium during games K) Get rid of the freakin' sausage race!
  25. Tbadder
    One of the reasons I love science is that it's the only place where being wrong counts for something important. Good science is when important truths are right one day, and wrong the next day. Statistics as a tangental branch of science works really well when it disproves itself. We make decisions based on what we know at the time is incomplete knowledge (if we're honest). Will that bring us closer to an ultimate truth--I'm not so certain, I'll leave that to preachers and mathematicians and other charlatans (insert smiley face, com'on guys only kidding face). And I don't agree, baseball is quantum physics since nothing escapes physics--I'd say it's pretty close to infinitely faceted. But as always, proviso, apology, I'm not worthy, just one man's opinion, etc. etc. etc.
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