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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. My understanding is that about 10 years ago the P5 conferences guaranteed 4-year scholarships so there is no more "Creaning". There could be exceptions, such as if a walk-on was explicitly given a one-year scholarship because another scholarship player transferred, which could be the case with Gilmore. But I don't think Ilver or Hodges can be pushed out the door.
  2. You're seriously comparing "hurt" to an incident where someone got killed? 1) Name them (the last NFL player I can recall who drove at a high rate of speed killed someone and has been in jail ever since) B) How many of them aren't either in jail, kicked out of the league, suspended for a significant period of time, or were released? 3) How do you know that Carter didn't instigate it? How do you know that Carter isn't the one who challenged the other vehicle to a race? What if he did? It takes two to tango, and if Carter doesn't race them do they race themselves? Highly unlikely. Also, while Carter was "at the scene", he allegedly left the scene before police/emergency personnel arrived and came back two hours later. He also changed his story; he first told police that he heard the crash from a nearby apartment complex, but then later told an officer he had been driving both behind and beside the SUV. Not sure how leaving the scene isn't a crime.
  3. Loads of guys in the NFL are involved in racing accidents that get people killed?
  4. Arrest warrant issued for Jalen Carter in connection with the vehicle death of his teammate Devin Willock after the national championship game. Allegedly he and the girl driving the other vehicle were racing, driving recklessly, swerving in and out of traffic, driving in the oncoming lane. The girl who was driving the other vehicle apparently had a BAC of .197. Carter is being charged with misdemeanors at this point, but have to think that this is going to make him drop quite a bit as the behavior risk just shot up.
  5. I disagree on the TE depth. There are maybe 5 guys that could go in the top two rounds, which is more than most years, but after that there is a huge dropoff. Barring some surprising performances at the combine/pro day, maybe 10 TEs that could get drafted before the 7th round. That's why I think that they'll get overdrafted - there will be a scramble to get those top 4-6 guys (Mayer, Washington, Musgrave, Kincaid, maybe LaPorta & Durham). Guys like Kraft, Schoonmaker, Whyle, Mallory, Latu will have to show something at the combine/pro days, but are likely backups at best in the pros.
  6. The TEs will get overdrafted. There are 5-6 good ones in this draft, then a huge dropoff. Meyer - depends on what he runs. If he clocks in at 4.65 or better he will be gone by #15. His PFF grade last year was 92.5. Kincaid - depends on what he measures (and runs). He's listed at 6'4", 240, but I don't see that size on film. If he comes in under that he will need to run sub-4.6 to get drafted in the top two rounds. I saw a couple of their games and I believe in the Pac-10 championship game he had a horrible drop in the end zone that would have been a TD. Everyone has drops, but he was wide open facing the QB with a chest-high pass. Easiest pass you're going to get. I'm not a fan. Washington - one of those guys whose talent may have been hidden by the system and what he was asked to do. If he tests well, at that size he won't make it out of the first round. Career average of 17.2 ypc. Musgrave - late 1st to mid-2nd, depending on how teams value his blocking (which at the Senior Bowl wasn't good). Limited film due to missing most of 2022 with injury. If the Packers strike out on the top guys, at the next tier is Payne Durham of Purdue who might be able to be had in the 4th. Durham looked good at the Senior Bowl and is one of my sleepers. Other than Durham you have LaPorta in there, maybe one or two small-school guys in the mid rounds, and then a huge dropoff to 7th round/UDFA talent.
  7. I know people who have sold their home and the new owners rented it back to them for a month or two before the new owners were able to move in. If there is that much demand, there will be demand for yours, and just say that you can't move out for 2-3 months and see if someone will bite. Make a bigger offer. Money talks. Another friend (who has a young child) sold their house and then rented via Air BnB for a few months before they were able to buy a place (in another city). There were several factors including a job change, but see if you can rent a place for a couple of months so you won't have a contingency. That rent will be above market rate to have flexibility in lease term, but every other option will cost you money too.
  8. As nate mentioned, younger Millennials and Gen Z don't go to Hawaii. Go to Tulum, or southern coastal Italy, or (name your national park hiking trails in North America), or Nashville/Austin, or (name your ski resort in North America) and tell me what you see. I manage a team of younger Millennials and Gen Z (5-7 people) and two have been to Tulum, two others have been to Italy (along with a couple of other international destinations), and another to Colorado all in the last year and none of them make anywhere close to $100K/year. I just got back from Park City. Single day walk-up lift tickets were $260 for holiday weeks, $219 for non-holidays. The mountains were not empty, and they weren't Gen X'ers or Boomers.
  9. That, and the younger Millennial/older Gen Z population has an absurd level of "Keeping up with the Joneses" not seen since the 1950's. With everybody bragging about "living their best life" on social media, there is a tremendous amount of pressure to keep up on travel/tourism/Instagram-worthy destinations, clothing (such as Canada Goose jackets), apartments (have to live in that new apartment building with the rooftop pool, yoga studio, coffee bar, dog wash...), etc. They've said that in Q4 consumer credit card debt rose sharply, and now with interest rate hikes they're paying for it. Milton Friedman said it takes 12-18 months to see effects of rises in interest rates, and we are only one year out from the first rate hike. It also takes a while for people to get out of their apartment leases and into cheaper housing (if they can find it). It's coming over the next 6 months, but as I mentioned above... what substitutes are there?
  10. My parent's neighbors dropped some off when they were heading out of town and wouldn't use them. They create an absurd amount of real waste. Not just plastic, but shipped in styrofoam containers. My grocery store tried some of these meal kits. Not sure if they still do them. But I'll never order them due to the plastic and styrofoam waste.
  11. Anonymous Eagle Cracked Sidewalks
  12. When it comes to basic staples/commodities where the vast majority of volume is sold as store brands, wages have little to do with prices. It's about supply, cost of getting supply to market, and lack of substitutes. On the branded side, I think lack of competition has been the biggest driver of cost increases. PepsiCo's gross profit and operating income the last 12 months is higher than it was in 2019. If you want soft drinks in a can or bottle, it's basically Pepsi, Coke, or Keurig/Dr. Pepper brands. All of the M&A activity the last 5-7 years had decreased competition to the point where most industries are oligopolies if not duopolies. If you want bran flakes with raisins for breakfast, you usually have at most three choices - Kellogg's, the store brand, and maybe Post. If one raises prices, the other two follow, and then so do you unless there are adequate substitutes. I used to make eggs almost every Saturday & Sunday. Haven't bought eggs in at least 6-8 weeks; going with my Mon-Fri breakfast of oatmeal, a banana, and a protein shake. But whey protein costs have shot up too; the brand I prefer used to be $45-50 for a 5lb tub, now that's $62+ even on Amazon subscribe & save. So my substitutes have increased in price as well. Few people actively look to spend more money. Wages may make a difference in mid-to-high end brand usage, but not basic staples/low end of the cost spectrum products.
  13. 1 J. Chourio 2 S. Frelick 3 B. Turang 4 G. Mitchell 5 J. Wiemer 6 R. Gasser 7 J. Quero 8 T. Black 9 J. Misiorowski 10 E. Brown 11 C.F. Rodriguez (P) 12 C. Devanney 13 J. Jarvis 14 L. Henderson 15 V. Castaneda 16 C. Robinson 17 J. Junk 18 St. Cruz 19 A. Cornielle 20 A. Uribe 21 E. Small 22 F. Valerio 23 D. Miller 24 J. Avina 25 R. Smith 26 E. W. Martinez 27 H. Mendez 28 J. Yeager 29 J. Hernandez 30 R. Moore
  14. Almost as bad as the charge they called on Hepburn in the first half that wiped out a 3-point shot on the kick out. A no call and UW has 3 more points, a flop (which is what should have been called) UW gets two free throws and the ball.
  15. If you're thinking about going to the Chicago auto show this weekend, don't bother. Lame. Yes, you can wait in a line 50+ deep to drive a Jeep or a Bronco over a small man-made hill. But only the major auto companies are there. A handful of exotics on loan from local dealerships (couple of Rolls Royce - one w/MSRP of $690K, Bentley, Lamborghini, but no Ferrari). The two McLaren's were cool, but they don't really look any different than the Corvettes or the Acura NSX. Only a couple of concept vehicles. But the most prestigious brand there is probably BMW, and I think they just had a small track for their EVs and no dedicated area/"booth". No Mercedes. GM was there but I don't recall seeing any Cadillacs. Have a few Corvette's including a hybrid version, and an Acura NSX. One GMC Hummer EV. But none of the startup brands are there - no Rivian, no Fisker, no Polestar, no Lucid. No Tesla. I really wanted to see the Fisker Ocean as that is my initial #1 if/when I need another vehicle (and leave Chicago).
  16. The Badgers defensive rebounding philosophy has always been team rebounding and that the job of the people under/around the basket is to box out/seal off. Guards have always gotten decent amounts of rebounds. Davison is 6th all time in defensive rebounds; Gasser is 9th. Also, the game has evolved and is more about spreading the floor now which often brings bigs away from the basket and thus fewer rebounds. Offensive rebounds tend to be more luck than skill. They say that the best offensive rebounds come from the worst shots. Often hard to predict which way the ball is going to go after it hits the rim. UW does focus more on getting back and not giving up the easy transition.
  17. The portal is really leveling the playing field in CBB. There's mediocrity everywhere. Teams with six losses are in the top 10, teams with 8 losses are in the top 20. Players don't want to transfer somewhere to sit on the bench (maybe unless they are grad transfers and want to play their last year close to home or for a team that is a legit final four contender). UW was in on several power forwards, but they chose to go elsewhere because of more playing time (one to Virginia because of personal relationships, and a legit Final Four team). Note that Northwestern just missed out on the top 25 in the AP (#27) and Coaches (#26) polls.
  18. I'm saying that if someone is close to and contemplating retirement, their financial planner should know to sell higher risk equities after a long market rally.
  19. Yes on retirement - if they were close to retirement age and had a halfway decent financial planner, if they didn't retire in 2019 they sold everything and retired at the end of 2022 after the market spiked. Milton Friedman said 12-18 months before you can get any effect on prices from rate hikes. Fed only started tightening 11 months ago, and much slower than they probably should have.
  20. Assuming this thread is for both football and basketball. ESPNU tonight had the 30-for-30 on Phi Slamma Jamma followed by the ESPN film "The Fab Five". That got me wondering.... Who do you think is the best college team to not win the national championship during their tenure: The Fab Five (Webber, Howard, Rose, King) Phi Slamma Jamma (Olaijuwon, Drexler, Young, Micheaux) Other?
  21. I know what it is. I don't get why they're using it. I'm not in a theater watching a movie. It's sports. It doesn't add anything to the experience.
  22. The TV camera shot where the person in the foreground is in focus and everything in the background is out of focus. I don't get it.
  23. They have some work to do. Also depends on what the other bubble teams do. If Oklahoma State/Boise State/North Carolina/Kentucky/Texas A&M/Seton Hall/Oregon all falter down the stretch and USC and Wake Forest, while also bubble teams, get hot that will help. Need the regular season winners in the non-P5 conferences to win their tourney too. Kentucky & Florida lost yesterday, Texas A&M beat LSU on the road though. Oregon lost, UNC and Wake won, Oklahoma State won at Iowa State, which was probably the worst thing to happen to UW this weekend.
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