Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

LouisEly

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    12,041

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    14

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    I think the question is more appropriate if the hospital system becomes taxed. It's easier to keep a number down when you don't have hospital beds in tents outside a hospital like in Italy. True. I have to wonder how many of the 2,000+ dead in Italy are dead because they got coronavirus and died in spite of care, and how many of them are dead because they got coronavirus, couldn't get adequate care, and died. Couple of things about Italy and Italians. 1) Their social norms are very different than here. Lots more greetings with kiss-on-the-cheek (or lips), not just limited to grandmothers kissing their grandchildren. That causes a respiratory virus to spread much more quickly. 2) If the average Italian over the age of 80 is anything like my Italian grandmother and great-grandmother were, they are stubborn as all hell and will not have anyone tell them what to do. As my grandmother once said to me about a year or two ago, "I'm too sick to go to the doctor." That was soon followed by an ambulance ride to the hospital, which she did not like at all, and then the only way to get her to go to the doctor was to threaten her with another ambulance ride. I am not joking. (She passed away two weeks ago.)
  2. LouisEly
    There is a scientific reason for this. Vitamin D-3 is the vitamin that your body makes when it is exposed to sunlight. Vitamin D-3 is also perhaps the most important vitamin when it comes to supporting your immune system. This is the primary reason why many more people get sick during the winter than during the summer - during the summer people are out in the sunlight, naturally boosting their vitamin D-3 levels. During the winter people are not getting sunlight, thus their vitamin D-3 levels drop and their immune system is weaker. I've been taking a vitamin D-3 supplement during the winter for about 15 years. During that time I can count the number of colds I've had on one hand, and I cannot remember the last time I've gotten the flu (and I don't get a flu shot). Vitamin C also has immune-support and anti-viral properties. When I do feel a viral infection coming on (cold or sinus infection), I take 1000iu of Vitamin C at least five times a day and it almost always goes away after 3 days without amounting to anything other than feeling sinus pain/pressure for a day or so, maybe a day of sneezing. Vitamin D-3 you don't want to binge on, you can get toxic levels of that - it's a maintenance vitamin that you should take daily, maybe 2x daily if you're fighting something off.
  3. LouisEly
    My understanding is that flattens the curve for spreading the virus to everyone, not the high risk people. My question is, what flattens the curve for the high risk people while having minimal effect on the overall economy? What's worse for society as a whole, millions of people losing their jobs unnecessarily or millions of young, healthy people getting a mild viral infection?
  4. LouisEly
    And that makes me wonder if we are doing this all backwards. If for most people this is not deadly/serious, then should we instead be quarantining those at high risk (elderly, immunocompromised) and let everything else go on? Put into place plans to disinfect everything that comes into contact with high risk people, physically distance from high risk people (while not isolating them - use the phone, webcams, don't go in their homes but talk to them from outside, deliver things to their doorstep, etc.), keep them in their homes. Would that be better overall instead of stopping everything? We absolutely need to flatten the curve on how fast this spreads to high risk people, and I get that it can take two weeks for the virus to manifest into physical symptoms. Maybe a travel ban is a good thing, so that what is out there stays local. But my understanding is that for most people it won't cause hospitalization, for most people the effect is mild, so then why not let life go on for them and focus preventative efforts on the high risk people? Keep high-risk people quarantined for a couple of months? Legitimate question - I don't know the answer. I'm sure there's a good reason.
  5. LouisEly
    I think it's kind of ironic that they are advising to avoid large gatherings, but people are flocking to the grocery stores/Target/Costco/Walmart/etc. to get toilet paper, sanitary wipes, etc. Like there aren't 250 people in those stores at any one time. My plan this morning - to go to the grocery store first thing in the morning - worked. I legitimately needed toilet paper - left for vacation with about a roll and a half, figured I'd just get some when I went grocery shopping after coming home. But then I had to turn right around after coming back and leave for a funeral for three days. So as of this morning I was sitting on about a roll (3/4 of a roll in the guest bathroom, 1/4 roll in the master bathroom) and got to the grocery store early. They had put a bunch of Angel Soft 4-packs out, so I was able to grab one. That will hold me over for 6 weeks, long enough for the Charmin Ultra Strong to get back in stock.
  6. LouisEly
    You actually have to be sick and/or be a high-risk person and have doctor's orders not to travel. Or be hospitalized, have a funeral for an immediate family member, be ordered by your employer not to travel, etc. You have to be legitimately unable to travel. Travel insurance doesn't cover fear, and that's what this is right now - fear. If proper precautions are taken and you are a low risk person (relatively young, healthy, no underlying health conditions), the risk to you is low and the effects of the virus are minimal. As others have said, the risk isn't to most people, it's spreading it to the small population of high-risk people.
  7. LouisEly
    Possible they cancel the All-Star game and play make-up games during the break instead. Expand rosters by 1-2 players and add more double-headers on days before off-days. Still need to keep some off-days on the schedule.
  8. LouisEly
    And dropped another 800 points today. Lots of uncertainty surrounding the impact this is going to have. Nothing like 2008, however. There are no underlying issues with the financial system. Just like in Trading Places, those buying calls on margin had their pants pulled down and have to cover their margin calls and sell, putting further downward pressure on the markets. Now you're seeing money move from where the anticipated issues will be (anything relating to travel or sourcing from China) to what is not likely to be affected (low interest rates benefit the consumer - buying houses, buying vehicles, remodeling, refinancing, plus boons to the healthcare system, suppliers to healthcare, technology, etc.), and not a broad sell-off.
  9. LouisEly
    There is also injury risk with Yelich. Not just the fractured kneecap and how that will play out over time, but he has also missed time with a back injury. LF (and DH) are not premium defensive positions, thus his bat relative to others at the position isn't quite as much of a premium compared to other positions. Both of those things discount his value. The Brewers have to discount his value due to injury risk, and Yelich takes on injury risk by waiting until he becomes a free agent, thus he discounts his value by removing that risk. IMO, that's why there is a perception of "money left on the table".
  10. LouisEly
    If they were in any other conference except for the Big East, they probably would have 20 wins this year. In loosely related news, is there any bigger yet quieter news in college basketball this year that North Carolina is 12-17 and in last place in the ACC?
  11. LouisEly
    So far, Lazar has a much higher K rate than Suter did. Lazar's K rate at A-ball last year was very similar to Mike Fiers (12.4 for Lazar, 12.0 for Fiers, 8.4 for Suter), if you're looking for a high 80's FB comp.
  12. LouisEly
    Yep, Boldin ran a 4.72 at the combine according to P-F-R.com and measured 6'1, 216. Boldin also only had a 33.5 vertical, whereas Cephus had a reported 38" vertical. Cephus also led all WRs in the bench press, signaling that he will likely not get bullied at the line with press coverage and will be a good run blocker and special teams gunner. The concern with Cephus in terms of where he gets drafted will be the 40-time in combination with his hand measurement (a smaller-than-average 8 3/4"). If Cephus can run good agility drills (short shuttle, 3-cone drill), he could easily get drafted as a slot receiver. What is often said among NFL scouts is that they look for guys who outperform their measurables. If Cephus is still there at the end of the 5th round, much less the 6th where the Packers have three picks, I grab him in a heartbeat. Edit: well, the 3-cone wasn't impressive. I'm thinking he still gets drafted, likely 5th/6th round, but he will need to indicate that he is more than willing to play special teams.
  13. LouisEly
    December 2019 Badgers basketball team + Micah Potter - Kobe King = not December 2019 Badgers basketball team
  14. LouisEly
    First to 100? 1 Turang B 2 Small E 3 Ashby A 4 Supak T 5 Brown Z 6 Rasmussen D 7 Ray C 8 Nottingham J 9 Feliciano M 10 Lutz T 11 Erceg L 12 Webb B 13 Lazar M 14 Kelly A 15 Sanchez M 16 Williams Dev 17 Feyereisen JP 18 Henry P 19 File D 20 Bettinger A 21 Francis B 22 Wahl B 23 Bickford P 24 Perez Hedb 25 Garcia E 26 Lemons K 27 Bello M 28 Gray J 29 Hummel C 30 Barker L 31 Taylor T 32 Yardley E 33 Perdomo A 34 Gatewood J 35 Rodriguez C 36 Zhao Lun 37 Matulovich J 38 Topa J 39 Andrews C 40 Abreu P 41 Ward J 42 Segovia J 43 QT-C 44 Wilson W 45 Zavolas N 46 Fry D 47 Kirby N 48 Jarvis J 49 Medina Luis 50 Walters N 51 Castaneda V 52 Dillard T 53 Kahle N 54 Brown Daniel 55 Jankins T 56 Belisario J 57 Hager J 58 Derby B 59 McDowell M 60 Olczak J 61 Fernandez Ed 62 Vassalotti M 63 Martinez EW 64 Valerio F 65 Schanuel B 66 Olson R 67 Mediavilla M 68 Sunitsch S 69 Bennett N 70 Ramirez Al 71 Familia A 72 Ernesto L 73 Adames F 74 Howell K 75 McClanahan C 76 Sibrian J 77 Contreras L 78 Hall Alex 79 Torres B 80 Coca Y 81 Mercado Re 82 Herrera C 83 Lindell K 84 Garabitos P 85 Castillo LG 86 Silva E 87 Hintzen JT 88 Cabrera Jh 89 Parra J 90 Beasley W 91 Murphy B 92 Quero J 93 Lillis B 94 Egnatuk N 95 Hamilton D 96 Williams Jess 97 Aguilar R 98 Jaraba B 99 Bautista Er 100 Leones O
  15. LouisEly
    And Jessica Mendoza.
  16. LouisEly
    Ummm, well, if that were the case, why don't we have Strasburg and Rendon on the roster then? Why didn't we resign Grandal? Not saying those were smart decisions for a team like us (they were not good decisions) , but if cost is never a factor, then why do we not sign guys like that? All those players would give us more wins, right? I'm just not buying any of it. They lost money, doubtful. Cost is not a factor when making contract decisions, highly doubtful. Keep in mind that free agency is a black box, not a public auction. The Brewers have no idea what offers other teams have made, and heaven forbid that agents embellish the offers that they have in order to get teams to up the ante. We don't know what offers the Brewers have or haven't made. I highly doubt that Mark is making decisions on whether or not to sign a player; he's likely making decisions on offering players, and Stearns has to make that calculation.
  17. LouisEly
    Ummm, well, if that were the case, why don't we have Strasburg and Rendon on the roster then? Why didn't we resign Grandal? Not saying those were smart decisions for a team like us (they were not good decisions) , but if cost is never a factor, then why do we not sign guys like that? All those players would give us more wins, right? I'm just not buying any of it. They lost money, doubtful. Cost is not a factor when making contract decisions, highly doubtful. Keep in mind that free agency is a black box, not a public auction. The Brewers have no idea what offers other teams have made, and heaven forbid that agents embellish the offers that they have in order to get teams to up the ante. We don't know what offers the Brewers have or haven't made. I highly doubt that Mark is making decisions on whether or not to sign a player; he's likely making decisions on offering players, and Stearns has to make that calculation.
  18. LouisEly
    Had my annual performance review today. Apparently, someone filed a complaint with HR about me last year... but HR never said anything to me, never took any action, and never even spoke with me about it. I had a meeting with my boss last year where my boss said to me that I answered a question in a manner that was inconsistent with my company's "ways of working', but refused to say anything more specific than that (and apparently it happened well over a month prior to that meeting). After that I met with HR to express my concern about being accused of doing something wrong but not being told what it was, and my HR rep seemed to have no idea what I was talking about. If someone files a complaint with HR, but HR doesn't take any action on it, should that be included on your performance review? Any HR specialists or attorneys, I'm interested to hear your take.
  19. LouisEly
    Had my annual performance review today. Apparently, someone filed a complaint with HR about me last year... but HR never said anything to me, never took any action, and never even spoke with me about it. I had a meeting with my boss last year where my boss said to me that I answered a question in a manner that was inconsistent with my company's "ways of working', but refused to say anything more specific than that (and apparently it happened well over a month prior to that meeting). After that I met with HR to express my concern about being accused of doing something wrong but not being told what it was, and my HR rep seemed to have no idea what I was talking about. If someone files a complaint with HR, but HR doesn't take any action on it, should that be included on your performance review? Any HR specialists or attorneys, I'm interested to hear your take.
  20. LouisEly
    And Pritzl and Davison were cold-blooded from the free throw line. As much as I think Dokich is a knob, I loved listening to him say, "the net hasn't even moved" and "... impressive..." after making their free throws without even touching the rim.
  21. LouisEly
    And Pritzl and Davison were cold-blooded from the free throw line. As much as I think Dokich is a knob, I loved listening to him say, "the net hasn't even moved" and "... impressive..." after making their free throws without even touching the rim.
  22. LouisEly
    If nothing, it tells us that they at least think something of Perdomo, Yardley, and Feyereisen, or at least more of them than Williams.
  23. LouisEly
    If nothing, it tells us that they at least think something of Perdomo, Yardley, and Feyereisen, or at least more of them than Williams.
  24. LouisEly
    My guess is anything related to baseball operations (including stadium and spring training complex investments) count as operating revenue/expenses, and things such as revenue sharing and maybe merchandise are below the line (not directly related to operating a baseball team). Some things that relate to operating income that have not been discussed are travel costs in 2019 compared to prior years (was their travel schedule easier or more complicated, cost of charter flights versus prior years, costs of shuttling guys to/from majors and AAA, hotel/lodging costs versus prior years, minor league travel costs, etc.). With the booming economy, it's very possible that travel costs - which I imagine are pretty hefty - increased as the overall demand for airfare and lodging has been increasing. Then there's scouting costs (which also incur hefty travel costs), cost of non-player labor (tight labor market), technology investments, liability insurance, security, and plenty of other variables that go into operating costs that we have no idea how much cost and how much have increased over past years. The thought that operating costs are simply ticket/TV revenue versus player salaries is ridiculous. Mark did say that he has never said no to a player acquisition simply due to cost. I imagine that he asks what the impact of signing that player will be in terms of projected additional wins and then makes a decision on cost versus impact, but he said he's never said no simply due to cost.
  25. LouisEly
    My guess is anything related to baseball operations (including stadium and spring training complex investments) count as operating revenue/expenses, and things such as revenue sharing and maybe merchandise are below the line (not directly related to operating a baseball team). Some things that relate to operating income that have not been discussed are travel costs in 2019 compared to prior years (was their travel schedule easier or more complicated, cost of charter flights versus prior years, costs of shuttling guys to/from majors and AAA, hotel/lodging costs versus prior years, minor league travel costs, etc.). With the booming economy, it's very possible that travel costs - which I imagine are pretty hefty - increased as the overall demand for airfare and lodging has been increasing. Then there's scouting costs (which also incur hefty travel costs), cost of non-player labor (tight labor market), technology investments, liability insurance, security, and plenty of other variables that go into operating costs that we have no idea how much cost and how much have increased over past years. The thought that operating costs are simply ticket/TV revenue versus player salaries is ridiculous. Mark did say that he has never said no to a player acquisition simply due to cost. I imagine that he asks what the impact of signing that player will be in terms of projected additional wins and then makes a decision on cost versus impact, but he said he's never said no simply due to cost.
×
×
  • Create New...