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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    And the cherry on that sundae is that all of the Negative Nellies who insisted the Brewers were getting $100 will be quiet for a while.
  2. LouisEly
    Gilbert Lara apparently still with Wisconsin as he pinch-ran for Harrison... and then went to CF? Is the box score wrong? Did someone else get Lara's number but MILB.com doesn't have an updated roster? And why did Harrison need to be pinch-ran for? That's not good.
  3. LouisEly
    In 1375 career plate appearances, Sogard has an OBP of .303. I'll take the bigger sample.
  4. LouisEly
    I've been on a roll with these lately, so here goes. Last year I got Erceg (correct round) and Zack Brown (incorrect round). Fully admitting I know little about any of these guys, especially HS players, beyond the first round other than where BA's top 200 has them. 1st (#9) - DL Hall, LHP, HS; Sam Carlson, RHP, HS; David Peterson, LHP, Oregon I gave serious thought to Hiura here, but his injuries scare me. Too much risk for #9. 1 comp (#34) - Brendon Little, LHP, JC; Hans Crouse, RHP, HS; Mark Vientos, SS/3B, HS 2nd (#46) - Trevor Stephan, RHP, Arkansas; MJ Melendez, C, HS; Daniel Tillo, LHP, JC 3rd (#84) - Kevin Merrell, SS/2B, South Florida; Greg Jones, SS, HS; Adam Hall, SS, HS 4th (#114) - Daulton Varsho, C, UW-Milwaukee; David Banuelos, C, Long Beach St.; Terry Fuller, 1B, HS 5th (#144) - Oliver Jaskie, LHP, Michigan; Seth Lonsway, LHP, HS; Garrett Cave, RHP, Tampa 6th (#174) - (senior signs) Ben Breazeale, C, Wake Forest; Phoenix Sanders, RHP, South Florida; Robbie Coman, C, Virginia
  5. LouisEly
    If they're going to short some of his starts to save on innings, why not short his home starts? At Nashville is going to be one of the more neutral parks he will pitch in.
  6. LouisEly
    Why in the heck do you put Thames in the OF when he has had leg/cramp issues? That's not going to help it get better.
  7. LouisEly
    Uh oh.... Hader only goes two innings. They were good innings, and it doesn't look like there was a rain delay. We can only hope a blister.
  8. LouisEly
    Scahill has the lowest walk rate of any reliever at 3.5/9. Torres and Peralta are the only other ones below 4.0. That's not good. Drake was having a decent season until tonight. I think it's a toss-up between him and Hughes. There's a reason the Pirates let Hughes go. Honestly, I'd get rid of both of them and bring up Cravy and one of Wang/Suter. They need at least one lefty. Hell, maybe both of Suter and Wang.
  9. LouisEly
    Coulter hasn't started since 5/25 with a PH appearance yesterday. Injury? Wilkerson pitching a beauty. Not much support, but Biloxi scores two in the 6th without getting a RBI on a couple of wild pitches.
  10. LouisEly
    He also turned Brandon Jennings into Khris Middleton and Brandon Knight. Knight turned into MCW, Ennis, and Plumlee who turned into Snell, Beasley, Hawes. Essentially Jennings for Middleton, Snell, Beasley, and Hawes. Pretty good trade.
  11. LouisEly
    Josh Bell also signed for $5M, tied for 5th highest signing bonus in that draft, so for all intents and purposes he was the #5 overall pick. The four who signed for more - Gerrit Cole ($8M), Bubba Starling ($7.5M), Danny Hultzen ($6.5M), and Anthony Rendon ($6M). Buying Starling out of his college commitment... look how that turned out.
  12. LouisEly
    Burgos threw four pitches - that's not good. Archer came in on emergency and apparently couldn't get loose, has given up five runs (one charged to Burgos) so far with only two out.
  13. LouisEly
    Ronnie Gideon off the schnide!
  14. LouisEly
    The answer is because the pitching needs all the defensive help they can get, thus bring up a real OF who is a good defender in addition to a good bat. Whoever they call up won't sit the bench - he will take Braun's place in the starting lineup. Perez is fine for an occasional start, but I'd rather have the experience and athleticism of a Brinson/Phillips/Cordell. Perez has a nice arm, but the three CS OFs are, IMO, better defensively. It's a prime opportunity to get their feet wet and get the major league jitters out of the way.
  15. LouisEly
    But that's what they do - the lazy draft analysts look at what a team has done before (the Brewers took toolsy athletic OFs the last two drafts) and say, that's their MO so that's what they'll do again. Unless the Brewers are looking at Adell as a pitcher (possible), I highly doubt they go with another OF with a questionable hit tool. Teams do not look at the big league club and use that to influence their draft. But there is so little difference between players (what really is the delta between so-called "BPA" and the next guy?) that I'd be surprised if organizations don't look at the lower levels of the organization and identify where they have needs and surplus, and use that to move guys up/down a few spots. That's why I mocked (and was correct on) Erceg in the 2nd round last year - the Brewers had a big deficit at 3B in the lower levels of the org. We saw it in 2012 - the Brewers had nothing for bats in the lower level of the org, so they went bat-heavy (Coulter, Roache, Haniger, Taylor) at the top. Stearns has said he does believe in LH/RH balance in the lineup, so I know they do favor LH bats. Clark, Ray, Erceg - not coincidental they all bat LH.
  16. LouisEly
    Back to Braun going on the DL, I think Stearns/Counsell would be nuts not to call up one of their OFs (Brinson, Cordell, Phillips) from AAA. With Thames and his hamstring issues I do not want to see him in the OF any time soon.
  17. LouisEly
    Given Thames hamstring issues, I don't want him in the OF any time soon.
  18. LouisEly
    He may have been off the radar a bit because he was a juco transfer, but put up similar juco numbers (88 Ks, 22 BB, 68.2 IP). Surprised he wasn't picked until the 18th round last year (by Boston), and it looks like he made a smart decision not to sign. 6'5", 225, and 15 BB, 103 Ks in 77.2 IP against SEC competition. I'm all for that. Are you hearing about him as a 1st, sandwich, 2nd...? Some 2nd/3rd/4th round guys that I like (while admitting I don't know a lot about them) Kevin Merrell, SS, South Florida - hit .390 with .471 OBP, had as many BB as Ks and stole 18 bases in 22 attempts; fielding needs work, but a good LH bat at SS or 2B David Banuelos, C, Long Beach St. - .995 fielding % as junior, .997 as a sophomore, threw out 39% of base stealers as a sophomore, hitting has improved each year, hit .311 with 7 HRs as a junior, .383 OBP as a junior, .404 as a soph Daulton Varsho, C, UW-Milwaukee - son of Gary Varsho, LHH who slugged .643 with a .490 OBP and athletic enough to steal 10 of 13 bases. .989 fielding %, at 5'10" would need to stick at C
  19. LouisEly
    Biggest risers I think will be Feliciano (many, myself included, didn't have him in their top 25), Supak (same - many, myself included, didn't have him in), Burnes, and Gatewood. Biggest drop will be Lara, Ray, and Clark (the latter two because they were so high up the list and have nowhere to go but down). Barnes is 2 IP from graduating. We can only hope that the Brewers call up Suter and that he gets 21 IP soon. Real soon.
  20. LouisEly
    Not sure where you are getting your stats from: Corey Ray has 372 abs in his career so far. Him and Ian Happ were both college players and have identical stats through there first year and that doesn't include the fact that Ray is coming off knee surgery. Settle down on him, he is going to be fine. Umm... not to be condescending, but where are you getting your stats from? Ray has 415 plate appearances (ABs + walks + HBP + sac flies/hits) of which 372 count as at-bats. Happ had a .885 OPS in the Carolina League (the same league Ray has been in) in Happ's second season (Ray is in his second season as well). Ray has a .756 OPS. Those aren't even close.
  21. LouisEly
    It's not about 7 weeks of data with Ray. It's about darn near a full season at high-A, 415 PAs to be exact, with a barely above average wRC+, whereas the next pick in the draft has a 13.8 K/9, 0.23 HR/9, and xFIP of 3.13 in a very hitter-friendly league.
  22. LouisEly
    I get that Balor and Nakamura are popular with the wrestling in-crowd. But their entrance is way to long.
  23. LouisEly
    This is what we expect of top-10 overall picks - literally average? And a .411 SLG (career .384, so it was worse last year) is well above average power? I'd be excited about that from a 6th round pick. But not a top-10 overall pick. I expect well above average.
  24. LouisEly
    And getting back to the title of the thread, my answer would be stop spending 1st round picks on athletic toolsy outfielders with a questionable hit tool over pitchers. (*ducks and runs for cover*)
  25. LouisEly
    Agree with the second point, disagree that pitchers peak before 30. Look back at the World Series winning teams over the last two decades. The average age of the pitching staff of those teams is ~30. There are a few exceptions, most notably the 2003 Marlins, whose pitching staff had an average age of 26. But it likely cost/shortened the careers of Willis and Beckett. Next is the 2010 Giants at 27.5; but that season may have shortened the careers of Cain and Lincecum. Not a good idea to have pitchers under the age of 27 throwing the number of innings that are required to get through October. How many of the pitcher burnouts in their early 30's were caused by throwing too many innings in a season early in their careers?
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