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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/12024212/washington-nationals-disappointed-bryce-harper-no-show-fan-event Bryce Harper no-shows fan event "due to matters out of (his) control". I'm struggling to think of something that would be completely out of his control, given the amount of money that he has, with the exception of emergency hospitalization or medical quarantine. Flight cancelled? Take a private jet, you (and your agent, Boras) have enough money. Trust me, many in Washington would not be sad to see him go and if they are going for it I think they would gladly take someone as talented as Gomez to get rid of the headaches Harper is causing them. Heck, I'm not even sure that would be a good deal for the Brewers if Harper is going to pull this crap over a grievance regarding a contract he signed.
  2. LouisEly
    http://host.madison.com/sports/college/football/badgers-football-gary-andersen-doesn-t-want-to-take-any/article_0540836c-4b4f-5bdc-b4ad-9bf0d18722d8.html Public comments, so take them for what they are worth: "The one thing that I just want to make sure that everybody understands, it has nothing to do with the relationship that I had with coach Alvarez. In my opinion, we’ll talk a lot as we continue to move forward. He helped me. He was not nosy in football whatsoever. … I want to make sure that everybody understands that that’s not the fact of me leaving.” “We also need to do a tremendous job in the junior colleges,” he said. “It’s something that as a staff we’ve had success with for many, many years and we’re excited about that. We couldn’t do as much as that in Wisconsin as we’ve done in the past.” Many, many years suggests they could get into Utah State, since he's only been at UW for two years. Not only did Anderson lose Craig Evans to Michigan State because of admissions, he also lost juco recruit Serge Trezy last season who couldn't get admitted as well as WR Chris Jones who ended up being admitted to a MAC school. Joe Keels was another juco recruit who initially committed to Wisconsin, but then switched to Nebraska. Considering Keels is from Wisconsin (Kenosha), and knowing UW's lack of DL depth would have likely gotten playing time, it seems odd that he would leave UW. Maybe his admittance was questionable. Several other juco recruits visited but ended up signing with other schools. No proof of a fire, but lots of smoke suggesting it.
  3. LouisEly
    I've posted this several times before - one of my friends, who posted a 1.096 OPS in rookie ball for the Brewers (with 38 BB and 15 K in 300 PAs), quit baseball for this exact reason. He did something that wasn't too smart first - he got his girlfriend pregnant - and when he went out to Stockton not only was he away from his family but he also couldn't support them. (He was old for his leagues as he played four years of college baseball, but his final minor league career - .347 BA, .441 OBP, .528 SLG, 108 BB, 78 K in 852 PAs). Money in the hands of young men is always a dangerous thing, but to not provide meals & nutrition is not smart. Have local catering companies bid for contracts and use market competition to drive down prices. With season-long contracts and caterers bidding against each other a team could probably feed it's players quality meals for around $20/person/day. Contracts can include visiting teams to provide meals while on the road. For a 5-month-long season that's $3000/person/year, about $90,000 per team per year. I don't think that's too much to ask for.
  4. LouisEly
    It's about standards relative to other schools. It's easier for kids to get into other schools, that's the issue.
  5. LouisEly
    1) The seniors asked Alvarez if he would coach them in the Outback bowl. That's why he's coaching, not because of his ego or involvement. B) Go to Lambeauleap.net and check out the thread there and my post about why admission into UW is tougher than most schools. UW likely has the second toughest academic entrance requirements in the Big 10, behind only Northwestern. Two years ago 4-star DT Craig Evans of Sun Prairie gave a verbal to go to UW; Bielema left, Anderson talked Evans into keeping his commitment. Turned out Evans didn't have the grades to get into UW... but was able to get into Michigan State. Anderson's frustrations about recruiting and academic admissions are real. Good discussion to take over to Lambeauleap.net...
  6. LouisEly
    Who did Nebraska lose to tonight? Incarnate Word??? Who the hell is Incarnate Word???
  7. LouisEly
    Tell Diamond Stone to bring all his buddies here because there are plenty of scholarships available. [sarcasm]Can they offer Stone two scholarships?[/sarcasm] Even with adding Fischer they will still have only eight scholarship players next semester. With Anderson, Wilson, and Carlino graduating/using up their eligibility, at this point that means ten scholarship players next year. Three open schollies. Maybe it wasn't Buzz, maybe there's something deeper and more fundamental about the program. Guys left under Buzz, now guys leaving under Wojo.
  8. LouisEly
    With the Dodgers acquiring Rollins today, the conjecture was in fact Kemp to the Mariners, Segura to the Dodgers, and Paxton to the Brewers. Wasn't that far-fetched after all.
  9. LouisEly
    Give credit to Wojo as he knows that the best way to combat their lack of height is to go to a matchup zone, slow the game down, and prevent their biggest mismatch - one-on-one post matchup - as much as possible. For a while I thought I was watching a poor-man's Syracuse defense. Give credit to their players for buying into the coaching and executing the defense. Unfortunately Marquette tried too hard to get to the hoop. They did fine from the perimeter (42% from 3), and probably should have stuck to that more. Scary to think where Marquette would be without Carlino.
  10. LouisEly
    I use Webroot Secure Anywhere. Highly rated on Amazon, doesn't bog down your system, scans really fast. I back it up with free Malwarebytes. I think it was ~$25 and you can install it on three computers. It's picked up a couple of things I've snagged this year. "Free" software and programs like to come with malware attached. You can get by with free anti-virus as long as you are very, very careful about what you click on and download. Free versions are not pro-active though; you have to manually scan to find anything, so you can catch a virus or malware without noticing. The ones that lock up your system and demand payment are a bear; had one of those once. I spend a lot more than $25 on less valuable things in a year. I look at it as a $25 insurance policy to protect lots of money and time I've invested in acquiring music, videos, and important documents. I already spend $1000 a year on various insurances, what's another $25?
  11. LouisEly
    The Dodgers have quantity, not quality, at SS: Miguel Rojas - career minor league OPS of .602 Darwin Barney - career major league OPS of .630 and OBP of .294 Erisbel Arruebarrena - Cuban defector, signed to a decent contract (5 yrs, $25M), wasn't that great in the minors and was pretty awful in a small sample in the majors, probably needs another year in the minors as they have him signed for four more years Alex Guerrero - is he a SS? Played all over the place last year - 2B, 3B, SS, LF. So the Dodgers would be relying on Darwin Barney or Alex Guerrero to play SS. Given that Guerrero played very little SS in the minors, I doubt he takes over SS in the majors for them. Thus the addition of Segura. While numbers-wise very comparable to Barney, Segura is four years younger and likely better defensively CF was a black hole for the Mariners last year. A BAbip of .315, second highest on the team, and an OPS of .556. Think about that. Kemp makes a lot of sense, but I don't think they have to give that much up to get him since he's still owed $107M over the next five years. If it's just those pictured, then the Brewers give up Segura and get Paxton. Then flip one of Gallardo or Lohse for a SS. Works very well for me.
  12. LouisEly
    GAME, I'm wondering if there is something a little "outside-the-box" that would be a good fit for you. Are there any specific areas that you have expertise in that you could possibly do consulting or start your own consulting business? With the amount of emphasis being put on sustainability and environmental impact by companies as a result of regulations and public relations, perhaps someone with your expertise in protecting nature and the environment could be in high demand in the private sector as an environmental consultant. Consulting is something you can do part-time while you do a full-time search. If you're ok with staring at a computer screen, there are coding "boot camps" that you can learn how to code in a couple of months and have a good shot to land a $60-75K/year programming job in six months or less. Or learn SQL; if you can do SQL queries all day long there will be no shortage of analyst job opportunities for you.
  13. LouisEly
    Have to be very careful about California and long-term rental. If someone is there for >30 days it is very difficult to evict them (or is it on the Nevada side of Lake Tahoe?). You may want to think about VRBO if it is in a touristy area, especially a ski area. You can find a local realtor who will handle everything (keys, cleaning, paperwork, etc.) for a commission if you don't want to or have time to deal with it. You can make good rental income and still keep some days open to allow you to visit occasionally (and you can write off up to four trips per year as "property inspection"). Also, if it is in a ski area, you can rent it out for the season. My friends in the Bay area did this for years until one of them bought a place in South Shore. But if it is in CA, do not do an open or month-to-month rental. Make sure it is for a defined period of time. You can't profile, but you can set a minimum credit score. A credit score >600 (set 650 or more if a really nice place) will keep the riff-raff out.
  14. LouisEly
    The removal of Pena does seem to indicate that something is up. Nothing has changed with Pena's status in the last week that I'm aware of, unless there was some medical evaluation. Otherwise why wouldn't they have removed him a week ago and put Bradley or Cravy on? You may be on to something with Featherston. Some other interesting names from the article: Edgar de la Rosa, rhp, Tigers: Like velocity? The massive 6-foot-8 de la Rosa can run it up to 100 mph at his best and pairs it with a usable changeup. One Florida State League evaluator said he “goes to the mound with a 7 fastball every start.” He was a starter in high Class A this past season, but would fit in a big league bullpen. (If he can get it up to 100 as a starter, can he add a few ticks as a reliever?) Jarlin Garcia, lhp, Marlins: Big arm who would be making a massive jump from low Class A Greensboro to the big leagues; Garcia has earned above-average grades for his fastball (91-94 mph most nights) and curve. He also finished strong, with a 1.03 ERA in his final 35 innings. (Wouldn't want him as the 2nd lefty in the pen, but if they sign another lefty he could be the 3rd lefty.) Matt Skole, 3b, Nationals: A serious wrist injury ruined his 2013 season and seemed to carry over into 2014, but pre-injury he was a significant power prospect who had enough pop to profile at first base. (We've seen that it takes a while to recover from a wrist injury, but even if the power doesn't fully come back his career OBP is .110 higher than his career BA. And he bats LH. Washington's #4 prospect after the 2012 season. I'm kind of liking this guy.)
  15. LouisEly
    This part I found interesting: "On pitching philosophy: “Early in their careers, we ask guys to throw strikes down. We don’t want them trying to throw to the corners. We want them to command their fastballs down in the zone and mostly, with very few exceptions, we don’t let them throw two-seamers. We want them to throw four-seamers with command. That makes them work on their command instead of trying to trick the hitter. “Early on, their secondary should be their changeup. Then, if they’re a guy that can spin the ball – it’s a gift they have – we won’t take it away from them. But changeups are very important. “We work more on the mental side and getting their line to the plate better, taking some stress off their shoulders – minor changes to help them stay healthy and start thinking correctly. A lot of times, pitchers coming out of the college ranks are trying to trick hitters. Our philosophy is more to go after them and throw strikes. We like to get early outs on the ground.” Looks like the Brewers place very little emphasis on striking guys out in the minors, instead focusing on throwing strikes and going after hitters. Kind of helps explain why strikeout numbers are low, and why guys like Jungmann increased their K rate as they got to AAA. Hopefully that applies to Bradley and - if he doesn't get plucked away in Rule 5 - he increases his K rate at AAA too. He's got the "early outs on the ground" part down pretty well.
  16. LouisEly
    Why did Taylor play only 17 minutes and Johnson only 9 minutes? Did they get hurt?
  17. LouisEly
    The human brain isn't fully developed until about age 25. This is why decision-making skills are worse the younger people are. (It is also why rental car companies historically would not rent to people under age 25.) So yes, you can expect decision-making skills to improve if someone is only 22. The human body reaches peak physical condition around age 27-28. Coupled with the human brain not fully developed until age 25, and that is why I predict the aforementioned 19-25 year-olds to have the potential to get better.
  18. LouisEly
    Wow... Marquette does have an open scholarship due to Mayo's departure. Even if it is only for a year, max two: C: Stone, Fischer, Heldt PF: Taylor, Ellenson SF: Cohen, Burton SG: Johnson, Cheatham PG: Wilson, Noskowiak That is a seriously talented and deep team with not much dropoff to the backups. Hell, the second team could start for most programs. Even without Stone it still is a talented team with a quality backup at each position that could make a late season run deep into the tourney.
  19. LouisEly
    The uncertain status of Thornburg and Henderson is likely forcing the Brewers to keep Wooten and Blazek on the 40-man as well, taking up an extra spot. At this point one of Fiers/Nelson (likely Nelson) will slide into the bullpen; add that to Broxton, Jeffress, and a healthy Thornburg and Henderson and Wooten and/or Blazek is likely expendable, opening up a spot for Cravy and/or Bradley. All things being equal, I'd rather keep a back-of-the-rotation-potential starter than an average bullpen arm. And like you say, I think Cravy and Bradley have a much higher chance of being kept than Morris. Not a high chance; but higher than Morris. It isn't about great talent, it's about playing the odds to keep your best talent.
  20. LouisEly
    Other than then the Brewers, what teams select players in the Rule 5 with the intention to "stash" them? Most teams selecting players look for guys they think can actually help them in an area of need this season. If it looks like they can't, they get offered back. Bradley has never been a loogy and hasn't done enough for anyone to think he can be slotted into a rotation in 2015. So he's very unlikely to be taken. A team like Minnesota that lost 92 games last year and doesn't have the pitching staff to expect to win more than 75 games this year. A team like the Cubs that, if they don't land a couple of top FA SPs, won't have the pitching staff to expect to contend next season. Neither of those teams are long on pitching prospects either so they could take a flyer on someone for a season to add a starting pitching prospect. Cubs kept Rondon in the Rule 5 so they could definitely do it again.
  21. LouisEly
    For cryin' out loud, Knight is 22 years old. You can't expect him to have the decision-making ability of a 29-year-old veteran. Giannis - 19 Henson - 23 Knight - 22 Middleton - 23 Parker - 19 Sanders - 25 The core of this team isn't anywhere near their peak.
  22. LouisEly
    Says a lot that they didn't protect Bradley. Easy to stash a lefty in the pen as a LOOGY. Hope that doesn't come back to bite them.
  23. LouisEly
    Carlino was 3-7 on 3-point shots. I don't think you can expect guys to shoot over 50% from 3-point land especially against a team as good as Ohio State. As a team they shot 35% from 3, about what you would expect on the road against a good team. No player taller than 6'7", only eight healthy scholarship guys (assume Dawson is hurt or redshirting as he hasn't played yet), and lose by 11 on the road to a top-20 team is not an awful performance by any means.
  24. LouisEly
    Maybe what's holding the trade up is that it's part of a 3-team (or more) trade. The return doesn't have to come from Atlanta.
  25. LouisEly
    It's not necessarily that a big payroll allows you to sign free agents that puts you over the top. It's that it allows you to resign your star players and trade for players to shore up holes and take on their salary. What if the Brewers had the money to resign Grienke? Or Sabathia? Or Fielder? Then you don't have all of this debate about who should be traded when, and what is an appropriate return for them. Makes the GM's job a helluva lot easier. Hell, forget $40M in additional payroll, what if the Brewers had just $3M more per year to throw at Jose Abreu? 1B problem would have been more than solved.
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