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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    I think this is the answer. Quero hasn't caught in a little over a month (6/26) for a reason.
  2. LouisEly
    Tucker Kraft officially activated off of the PUP list and will start practicing (light duty/individual drills for now) today. Important because we are still six weeks from the first game. Should be enough time to get ramped up.
  3. LouisEly
    Shows you just how big "small samples" can be in baseball.
  4. LouisEly
    Last year in the regular season, the Brewers hit 1 HR every 37.5 PAs. Against the Cubs in the NLDS, the Brewers hit 1 HR every 25.4 PAs. (That 1 HR every 25.4 PAs was exactly the same rate as the Dodgers in the 2025 regular season.) The Brewers had a significantly higher HR rate in the playoffs versus the Cubs than in the regular season. If you want to factor in the Dodgers series, the Brewers hit 1 HR every 38.5 PAs, or just slightly less than the regular season. The Brewers HR rate in the playoffs declined by 2.7%. The Dodgers HR rate in the regular season was 1 HR every 25.4 PAs. Their HR rate in the playoffs was 1 every 31.3 PAs. Their HR rate declined by 23%. So, the notion that the Brewers don't hit enough HRs to win in the playoffs isn't supported by the data. That leaves only one of two conclusions: It was specific to the Dodgers pitching staff It is just the randomness of baseball in a 4-game series
  5. LouisEly
    They hike rates when demand is driving inflation. Demand is not driving inflation - it's the price of oil/gas and getting goods to market. Q2 GDP growth rate was only 1.5%, and PCE fell 0.1%. Core PCE (ex-food/energy) was up only 0.1%. That's why they didn't raise rates. The rise in oil prices earlier this year is already baked into the YoY inflation.
  6. LouisEly
    What's your definition of "consistency" and what teams do it better than the Brewers?
  7. LouisEly
  8. LouisEly
    Mitchell still has a .914 OPS for July. It's baseball, almost everyone has a 2-week slump or three during the season.
  9. LouisEly
    Jett is in AAA and is still only 22 years old. He's 4.1 years younger than league average. He's far from a finished product. He's younger than Blake Burke, and the same age as Fischer and Dinges who were both in A-ball six weeks ago. Turang didn't break into the majors until he was 23, and didn't become positive in offensive WAR until age 25. To think that Jett can't become a meaningful player is a bit short-sighted, and while he may not currently be a top 100 prospect (top 100 prospect lists tend to have a bias towards the shiny new toy - how many of those who displace Jett will still be on the list a year from now?), I don't think there's a shortage of GMs who think he can still become a very good major league player.
  10. LouisEly
    I think that there's a good chance that the threat of a lockout next season changes the Brewers approach. Trading for a player with multiple years of control loses its value if there is no season next year. If there are changes to how many years of control a team has on a player, that could affect the value of prospects. If there's a season that the Brewers pay the price for a top rental, this is it.
  11. LouisEly
    Well, now Luis Lara can get in the lineup. WOAH SOLVDD.
  12. LouisEly
    Bauers has the 2nd highest OPS on the team behind only Vaughn and has a .944 OPS over the last seven days. His bat needs to be in the lineup.
  13. LouisEly
    We're complaining because a rookie with 40 plate appearances is not starting over veterans with a .855 OPS, a .807 OPS, and a .807 OPS.
  14. LouisEly
    For a baseball player? What revenue is there in college baseball?
  15. LouisEly
    ... girlfriends... (I've known a couple of young men that age who have made questionable decisions influenced by one of those...)
  16. LouisEly
    Four reasons not to: Eric Haase Victor Caratini Omar Narvaez Alex Jackson Our backup catcher could be, and has been, a lot worse.
  17. LouisEly
    And even if their QB is Mahomes they can still win only 6 games. (Yes, he was injured, but he still started and finished 13 games and they went 6-7 in those games.) It's the NFL - nobody has depth, and if you don't have a few players tying up a lot of cap space then you don't have good players.
  18. LouisEly
    Bleday isn't a FA until 2029 so the Reds are going to want a haul for him. Moniak has a .652 road OPS. He's padding his stats at Coors Field.
  19. LouisEly
    That's because of $133.6 million in non-operating income from net investment gains, both local and national, and the NFL's sale of NFL Network to ESPN. They had an operating net loss of $1.1M. Can't count on non-operating income from year to year. Investments can lose money, and there's no more NFL Network to sell.
  20. LouisEly
    I'm wondering if the Brewers can get creative with a trade package for Skubal, where Skubal isn't the only player coming to MKE. If the Tigers want one of the Brewers young major league starters or a bigger prospect package, maybe DET can include some A-ball/rookie league prospects in return. Namely, DET has some good catching prospects in Liranzo, Oliveto, or Bolivar. Or a pitcher such as Kelvis Salcedo or Lucas Elissalt. Players who won't need to be added to the 40 right away. Have something coming back such that it isn't for a rental
  21. LouisEly
    Interesting exercise. 1) Mis (nope) 2) Harrison (nope) 3) Priester (he's still only 25; nobody's trading for him right now, but he needs to be a part of the "young starters" long-term conversation) 4) Drohan (nope) 5) Sproat (needs some time in the lab and in AAA, needs to be a big return) 6) Henderson (injuries scare me, would move for a big time rental such as Skubal) 7) Gasser (has a blowup here and there, but 75% of his starts end up being solid, will trade for the right return) 8) Letson (a ways off, under control for so long it can't be a rental) 9) Hardin (not sure what his upside is, but under control for so long it can't be a rental) 10) Crow (like Henderson, injuries scare me, no issues trading for a rental) 11) Gordon (27 already, no issues trading for a rental) 12) Wichrowski (no issues trading for a rental) 13) M. Rodriguez (too many HRs given up, would trade for a rental) Not starters - Ashby, Patrick
  22. LouisEly
    I don't think they're saying that they're not going to make a move. I think they're saying that they are unlikely to trade for one of the big name SPs. They will acquire a SP or two, but I think it will be along the lines of a Wacha, Perlata, Bieber, Robbie Ray, a 2nd-tier guy who won't cost any of their top prospects.
  23. LouisEly
    For a team with an unlimited budget (cough... Dodgers... cough), it's about WAR. For a team like the Brewers, it's about salary/WAR. That's what prospects do - they provide a low salary/WAR, freeing up payroll to acquire/extend veterans.
  24. LouisEly
    Tell me literally where I said that. And please use proper English and grammar so that I can understand you.
  25. LouisEly
    I don't think the question is as much about "who is better" as it is "who do the Brewers need more?" The Brewers, right now, need innings to cover just to get to the playoffs in one piece. Advantage - Ryan. But once the Brewers get to the playoffs, they are going to have to beat some teams with big LHH bats (PHI, LAD). Advantage - Henderson (and Detmers). It's an interesting choice (if it is in fact a choice they actually have). Among the three, Detmers might be the player the Brewers need the most.
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