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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    So far. Most of the starting pitchers selected usually opt out, so they'll need to name a number of replacements.
  2. LouisEly
    Somebody's been a little quiet lately...
  3. LouisEly
    Turang absolutely deserves it over Arraez. Arraez has a pretty batting average, but he's only walked 7 times in 300 PAs and Turang has a higher OPS. Defensively, Arraez isn't even playing 2B anymore for the Padres, he's playing 1B and isn't even a good defender at 2B. Alonzo and Freeman are the backup 1B and Turang absolutely should be the backup 2B over Arraez. Abrams is a SS.
  4. LouisEly
    Yep, some really good choices. Keys and Miller are both worth taking a shot on in the 3rd and 4th if they're still there to see if they can make something defensively of them. Normally I'd think that a player such as DeBarge would be a prototypical pick for the Brewers at #57, but with so many talented IFs at the lower levels of the org I don't know if they go that route.
  5. LouisEly
    To Hicklen's credit, he's forcing the issue. The problem right now is figuring out the 40-man roster spots for the pitchers coming back from the 60-day IL first. D.L. Hall is ready to come back, Ross just had his first rehab start (it was his back, not his arm, so I assume a quick ramp-up for rehab appearances), and Devin Williams will be back soon. So who are the three who get DFA'd? Herget, Capra (assuming Ortiz is back from the IL soon), and then one of Zastryzny, Keuchel (not until Ross is back), or possibly Junk? Maybe Haase once Sanchez is back, but do you risk losing your catching depth if they DFA him? Then you potentially have Bukauskas coming back, that's another spot. Then you have possibly adding another pitcher at the trade deadline. For Hicklen to be added, that means DFA-ing perhaps all three of Zastryzny, Keuchel, and Junk to make room for him. I don't see that happening until September 1st when they can add another position player as it will likely take until then to sort the pitching out.
  6. LouisEly
    I don't know about destroying the bullpen, but you can go to very different environments. In Denver the air is thin and dry, and as such breaking balls don't break as much because there isn't as much humidity in the air to cause friction with the baseball to make it break. So you have to pitch differently and focus more on changing speeds. In LA, if you get the marine layer rolling in at night the air can get very thick and you're basically not much higher than sea level. You're going from thin, dry air at 5000 feet to thick air at 500 feet.
  7. LouisEly
    Interesting dilemma on that role. When Devin comes back, do you move him back to closer? Or does he get Wally Pipp-ed for Megill and get the 8th? Williams last year: 13.3 K/9, 4.3 BB/9, 0.6 HR/9 Megill this year: 10.2 K/9, 2.2 BB/9, 0.3 HR/9
  8. LouisEly
    Aren't Millennials primarily responsible for giving birth to Gen Alpha? So, aren't they pretty much screwing themselves? Speaking of that, looking at Millennial men collectively as a whole, I can understand why women don't want to have sex with a lot of them. 😜 4M more Gen Z than Gen X. We did our part. https://www.statista.com/statistics/797321/us-population-by-generation/
  9. LouisEly
    "Fireworks" that are basically just air bombs with no visual effects. What's the point? Just to p*** people off? 99.999% of people hate them.
  10. LouisEly
    That team that has one more win than the Brewers do this season?
  11. LouisEly
    Texas would pass on that as well, they're as stocked as MIL is at OF with Garcia, Langford, Carter, and Taveras.
  12. LouisEly
    Horse(bleep) is one of my favorite words in the American English language. Particularly when it's used to describe the Cubs' defensive and baserunning level of effort.
  13. LouisEly
    Pretty sure some here accused Counsell of doing exactly that.
  14. LouisEly
    Was just reminded that last year Civale was traded to TB for Kyle Manzardo, a consensus top-75 prospect who played in the Futures Game last year. Getting him for a Barrios seems like a pretty good value.
  15. LouisEly
    Or one could make the argument with Scherzer (and his agent) that the Dodgers have won 100 games or more in five of the last six full seasons... and didn't win the World Series in any of them, only in the shortened 2020 season. That, and marginal state income taxes in WI are half of what they are in CA. He may not be excited by going from 0% marginal income tax in TX to 14.63% marginal income tax in CA.
  16. LouisEly
    Also career 6.3 BB/9. The career 0.3 HR/9 will cause that FIP to come down, but walking 6.3/9 at the age of 26 probably offsets that. And he also walked 7.6/9 at UL-M. Lefties do tend to take longer to develop, though.
  17. LouisEly
    For starters, Keuchel. Could move Wilson back into the pen. Or perhaps they want to go back to a 6-man rotation. Might mean no plans to move Junis back to the rotation this season, perhaps Hall as well. Peralta, Rea, Myers, Civale... hell, still need at least one of Wilson or Keuchel.
  18. LouisEly
    Texas now nine wins back of the last wild card spot, and they have the pitching to deal. I've said this before, but I think the pitcher who makes the most sense is Max Scherzer (if the Rangers can kick in some cash). Making $43M this year with the Mets sending $21M to Texas, assuming Texas sends pro-rated cash from Mets to MKE it's about $8M for the rest of the season. Big salary so it won't take much prospect capital to get him. Last year of his contract so the Brewers aren't on the hook for a big salary next year. Lots of playoff experience. His salary can be made up for with a deep playoff run. I don't think the Rangers are going to part with any pitchers under contract next year - they have too much talent and will likely try to run it back. Heaney is an option as well, but at a lower salary he'll likely require more prospect capital back and doesn't have the playoff experience that Scherzer has.
  19. LouisEly
    Josh Brown is killing it on CNBC this morning: "If we start getting prints like 240K, 250K (initial jobless claims), that's getting toward the point where historically it's been a moment of no return and tips the labor market over." "One rate cut is not going to bring back 6% inflation, like are we all losing our minds? That's not how it works." "Money supply is flat over two years." "I wouldn't worry what 25 basis points would do other than serve as a signal."
  20. LouisEly
    There are 47 players with at least 100 PAs at 1B this season. Bauers ranks #22 in terms of fWAR (0.4) but 35th in PA's; his fWAR per PA is above league average for 1B. Only 24 players with >100 PAs at 1B have positive fWAR, only 12 have a fWAR at this point of 1.0 or greater, and 40% (21 of 47) have a negative fWAR. If all one cares about is offense, he ranks #21 of 47 in wRC+. I agree that Black has more upside, but Bauers has value. He's been better, statistically, than over half of his peers (including Paul Goldschmidt).
  21. LouisEly
    Wyatt Sanford, SS, HS - gives me some Brice Turang vibes Ben Hess, RHP, Alabama - walks were up a little bit this year, but so were his K's striking out 106 in 68 IP in the SEC. Showed well in a small sample in the Cape Cod league when he was 19. Little bit of an injury history.
  22. LouisEly
    Exactly. Repairs are expensive no matter what type of vehicle. Front struts on my 2016 Lincoln MKX needed to be replaced - $2,300 at the dealership, $1,600 at Pep Boys (plus 10.25% Chicago sales tax). Pushing 100K miles, replacing the spark plugs is $600 (dealer) / $500 (Pep Boys/local shop).
  23. LouisEly
    I hope there's road construction the entire way
  24. LouisEly
    I bet it will be closer to five - Yelich, Contreras, Turang, Hudson, Megill. The only reason I'm not listing Ortiz is because McMahon is likely to be the only COL rep and thus the likely backup 3B. Which 2B deserves it more than Turang? The only ones really even in the conversation are India (bad team, EDLC will be selected as the backup SS so do the Reds deserve another rep?) and Croenenworth (better team, but fighting with Profar, Tatis, Merrill, Arraez, and Cease to be the Padres reps and the Brewers deserve more reps than the Padres). Maybe Arraez, but he's not even playing 2B for the Padres and Turang has a better offensive stat line anyway.
  25. LouisEly
    Some pretty hot takes the first page and a half here...
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