I think a couple of you are taking "a couple of seasons" in a literal context, as in he'll miss entire seasons. The most likely scenario injury wise is that he suffers a catastrophic injury at some point that will end a season or 2... a broken bone, a bad muscle tear, whatever... Then when you start throwing in DL stints here and there as he gets older it's certainly plausible that he loses 2 years worth of ABs over the course of his career. The risk of injury goes up with age. Our medical staff won an award (which I think was a joke btw) because the Brewers had the least amount of DL time that one season, but it didn't really have anything to do with them, it was related to the fact that we had a very young team approaching it's peak. Those types of players are injured far less than players 5 to 6 years older than them. Do you think Cleveland fans were anticipating Sizemore becoming injury prone? It just happens, and the risk goes up significantly, in fact exponentially, with age. The chance of injury lessens every year from 18 to the player's physical peak(when they physical mature) which is typically around age 24, then begins increasing exponentially becoming a very steep curve past age 30. The injury nexus looks somewhat like a capital U with the midpoint centered on physical maturity. In the end people are going to believe what they want to believe, and yes some players defy the odds and stay much healthier over their careers. The injury nexus is the biggest reason I don't want to sign older players to contracts, when you add in declining physical abilities which leads to a decline in overall production, I see no reason to build around veteran players at all. That is why steroids were so import to aging players, the drugs allowed players to recover faster and keep playing at high level longer. Sure players hit more home runs, that was a large part of the impact the general public is willing to accept, but don't discount the injury impact of steroids. Whether or not Braun becomes the best Brewer ever depends entirely on how healthy he is later in his career, it's that simple. Without pharmaceutical help he's at the mercy of his genetics and how much good fortune he has injury wise, like players in the past. It's a long road, and as all that money is guaranteed, we all need to hope he has good fortune and stays healthy and productive as long as possible. That makes sense. So he is essentially saying over the next ten years we are lucky if Braun doesnt miss 320 games or so? So 30 a year for the next 10. I can see that I guess.