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Harold Hutchison

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Everything posted by Harold Hutchison

  1. Santana may well be non-tendered or there will be something worked out - maybe a DSL lottery ticket or two if DS gets lucky. Villar... he's still relatively young, has position versatility, and switch-hits. If the Brewers are keeping a lot of pitchers, he will probably be around as a replacement for or supplement to Hernan Perez. Right now, I see him worth a couple of lottery tickets as well.
  2. Yes, they can. If they non-tender him he is a free agent and free to sign whatever type of contract he wants. The Rule 5 problem I referred to was after 2019. You have his past success, and depending on the schedule, some team needign rotation help may try to snap him up for $50,000.
  3. Right. I mean the Brewers will not break him through but he very well could as a White Sox player. He has a great opportunity now to actually push through to a major league career if he continues to do what he’s been doing. That’s not a bust it’s just using your resources. He wasn’t going to get that opportunity here. Too many in front of him. I would never have said never in that case. Maybe he would have ended up a Hader/Andrew Miller-esque relief ace. Maybe he'd have been a closer to replace Knebel. Maybe he does dominate in the rotation. Honestly, you never know. Maybe the Brewers "sell" Guerra high over the off-season (I consider him a prime candidate to do so at this point). Perhaps Nelson walks as a free agent a year later. You never can tell who makes it, or who doesn't.
  4. Incidentally, Stokes is five homers and four steals from a second 20-20 season...
  5. Gorman Thomas - Brewers legend Glenn Braggs - solid RF Greg Vaughn - excellent power hitter Hart - solid OF/1B (and moved from third too soon?) Braun - `Nuff said Stokes - Probably the best all-around offensive player in the system due to power, speed, and OBP skills Harrison - dealt for Yelich Ray - Looking very good so far...
  6. Agreed. Kodi was looking more and more like a second coming of Hader, and likely to emerge as such in the 2019-2020 timeframe, and presented some very interesting options for the roster at that point (deal Hader and at least two years of control in the 2019 offseason for a haul, or have both to develop a Super Nasty Boys bullpen). This is the kind of deal I was afraid of seeing the Brewers make. A short-term rental - even with the option year - for a big piece of the farm. In return, at least get international bonus slots or some kind of low-level DSL lottery tickets for a few years down the road from the Sox, not just cash to cover the salary.
  7. Brent Suter is a future Dave Duncan/Mike Maddux/Derek Johnson. There was a link in the minor-league forum to an article about Cam Roegner relating how Suter gave him some tips. Even if he doesn't come back to pre-torn URL levels, this is someone the Crew ought to have long-term, like Tim Dillard.
  8. I'd assume he'd go to the 60-day DL and open up a 40-man spot without being exposed to other teams. Most likely he is non-tendered in the off season and resigned to a minor league deal. But wouldn't he then be vulnerable to the Rule 5 draft? His past success as a solid starter AND his reputation as a good teammate would make him a near-certain pick-up. A multi-year minor-league deal like that Jorge Ortega got would make some sense in the case of a serious roster crunch for 2019, but he would need to be re-added to the 40-man once he was ready to pitch.
  9. Not a bad thing... Counsell has helped turn the team around, and just needs a good 2B (Hiura handles that) an upgrade at SS (PLEASE trade Arcia to someone who over-values web gem defense), and maybe a better medical staff (Suter, Nelson, Davies injured this year... clear out a few trainers). For me, I think Stearns's best move has been not to blow out the farm. Yelich was a good deal due to the length of control. Diaz and Yamamoto are the two prospects I least wanted to see moved in that deal. I'd have felt better if it was Brinson, Ortiz, and Dubon, but Yelich's done well. He has otherwise avoided gutting the farm system, and that is a VERY good thing.
  10. He'll be 30 before he's back in the big leagues, and his best role longterm is probably that of a LOOGY or middle reliever/swingman (just like it's always been). Closer, relief ace, or consistent rotation starter he is most certainly not (unless whichever ligament gets used on his elbow suddenly gives him 7-8 more mph and a better breaking ball). Suter has made the most of his opportunity to have a major league career, but he was always going to have to fight to keep a roster spot. Looking at what Milwaukee has in the organization for pitching, he'll be hard-pressed to stick with the Brewers longterm. Suter's numbers the first time through an order have generally been very good: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.fcgi?id=suterbr01&year=Career&t=p#times::none He will have a lot of value going forward for somebody. His numbers this season included a better BB/K ratio, and a low WHIP. The only minus was more gopher balls. You make the mistake to thinking that someone has to throw 95 to be a dominant pitcher. I don't think that is the case. I'll take someone who gets the outs. Through his pro career, Suter's done that, and done that very well, despite being at 85. I'm more focused on whether he keeps the command and control he's shown over the years.
  11. With some research, 85-92 percent of pitchers have a full recovery. That said... Suter is the kind of pitcher who if we let go, will come back to bite us. Maybe he ends up in the pen (another 2-3 inning relief ace like Hader), maybe he returns to the rotation, maybe he's a closer.
  12. I would hope, though, that the Crew takes a long hard look at the initial exam and tries to figure out if the torn UCL was misdiagnosed. If so, then someone needs to be canned. The Crew has lost Suter for about 18 months, and he won't be back until 2020. His career may never be the same (if there is a drop-off, I think they have to look at a relief role for him).
  13. It will be interesting what this injury will do to his career. I hope he is still in the dugout for the remainder of the season. I was thinking the same thing. If TJ costs him any velocity, that's probably it for him. I'm not sure he ever makes it back to a major league mound. If he loses velocity, he just becomes a left-handed Doug Jones. He's never relied on velocity before, and in fact, got dinged a bit for NOT having it... so I think he'll be fine, but a 2020 return is likely.
  14. And Stokes is a year younger. I like Stokes a lot, but it seems like his only position is left field, which significantly lowers his value compared to Ray. Stokes has played some center and a little right. A lot of the reason he's in left? 2014: Monte Harrison was a teammate and took most of the starts in CF and RF along with Carlos Belonis 2015: Harrison and Belonis took most of CF and RF, and someone named Trent Grisham was also in center a little. 2016: Belonis, Grisham, and Harrison crowded Stokes out of CR and RF. 2017: Between Biloxi and Carolina, Harrison, Grisham, Ray, Johnny Davis, and Coulter crowded him out of CF and RF 2018: In Biloxi, Grisham/Coulter in right and Ray in center took most of those starts. Both Ray and Stokes are very good. I want to keep both on the 40-man. Ray could be a dynamic bat in right, Stokes a good platoon partner/4th OF (think Brady Clark with more power) at worst. The Brewers would be smart to move Broxton and Santana this off-season, get a few lottery tickets for them, and ride with Ray and Stokes. Both are gonna be good. If the DH comes to the NL, move Aguilar to DH, Yelich to first, and have a Stokes-Cain-Ray OF in 2021.
  15. I have no problem with passing on Machado. The price was too high for what was obviously a rental. Machado would go to New York, and the Crew would have passed over a bunch of good prospects for... what, exactly? My problem with Stearns is that he's been a little TOO trigger-happy 1. In 2016, it was obvious Arcia's bat wasn't ready. A regression from an .800 OPS bat at Biloxi in 2015 to a .723 OPS in Colorado Springs of all places was a sign that maybe he should have spent the whole year at AAA, and maybe a fair part of 2017 as well. Instead, we got Arcia up now, a good-field, no-hit shortstop, rather than just ride with Villar. 2. I think there was a sense of rushing in the wake of a very surprising 2017. Obviously, the rebuild went well, and was somewhat ahead of schedule, but Stearns made a couple of additions too quickly. I'd have gotten ONE of Yelich/Cain, and then not acquired Chacin, and instead tried to look through the Jungmann/Woodruff and other options in 2018. Use that to see how good the internal candidates really were. Ditto with Boone Logan: Wei-Chung Wang was probably as good an option, and much less expensive. 3. If he was going to rush, commit. When Starlin Castro wanted out of Miami, try to expand the Yelich deal to get Castro as well. His .738 OPS and 108 OPS+ would have been a boon at shortstop, or even second base.
  16. Stokes hasn't been bad in Biloxi, not as spectacular as Ray, but still very solid, good OBP. Power surge from last year not a fluke.
  17. Honestly, I think the Crew dodged a bullet. Machado was gonna leave after 3.5 months at the most. We kept prospects. Now, call up Hiura, acquire Castro, and get the middle infield set.
  18. It settles the question in my mind. Cain and Aguilar have vouched for him, it should end the matter.
  19. Agreed. I'm in general agreement with Lorenzo Cain's comments on Hader. We all say and do stupid things at times. Hader's stupidity then was pretty embarrassing, and in this case, MLB's actions fit the "crime" of him being 17 and stupid and not using his brain. Some stupidity can be worse. Last year, my cousin's wife got killed on her way home from visiting her twin daughters in the hospital (they had been born quite prematurely, and it had been a high-risk pregnancy) by a person who made the stupid choice to drive while intoxicated. So, let's just keep this in perspective.
  20. My plan: 1. Call up Keston Hiura as the full-time 2B. Instant, no-cost upgrade. The bat's been superb. DFA Kratz and Miley 2. Trade Barnes and Ortiz to Miami for Starlin Castro, LHP Dylan Lee, and international bonus slots. Lineup: cf: Cain lf: Yelich 1b: Aguilar 3b: Shaw rf: Braun/Thames ss: Castro 2b: Hiura c: Pina bench: Nottingham/Pina, Thames/Braun, Perez, Villar, Saladino rotation: Anderson, Guerra, Chacin, Suter, Peralta bullpen: Knebel, Hader, Jeffress, Jennings, T. Williams, Woodruff, Burnes Shuttle: Wilkerson, Phillips, Orf, Lopez, Houser
  21. I think the Crew could get Starlin Castro to play short for Ortiz alone. Call up Hiura to play 2B.
  22. No. Hiura ought to be called up to man 2B. Use a mix of Miller/Villar/Saladino at short.
  23. I was intrigued for a bit by Machado, But when there's just a few month's rental, and the price includes Burnes... I'd rather just call up Hiura, even if it means starting his clock, and use him as our middle-IF boost. There are other options out there, like Escobar, Dozier, and Castro who will be cheaper in terms of players.
  24. Did Arcia kick your dog? Why are some posters so eager to dump him? He's a good-field, no-hit shortstop - and I'd rather have some other team overpay him for web gems. Really, I'd have dealt him after 2017, maybe have it be him, Brinson, Harrison, and Ortiz for Starlin Castro and Yelich. Go with Castro at short. Help Miami tank with his sub-.500 OPS.
  25. Agreed. In some ways, I feel irritated with Roenicke for failing to make the most of the talent, and think Yost probably should have been kept around. I wonder if Yost would have gotten more from the team.
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