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endaround

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Everything posted by endaround

  1. endaround
    Neither Hall nor Gasser have much value. Hall because he has just not been good, arguably regressed last year and is already 27. He's a guy a bottom dwelling team would put in the rotation as a flyer but would not be a centerpiece of a trade for real talent. Gasser is about to be 27 and hasn't pitched much since 2023. His K rate in MLB when he did pitch also may preclude teams from thinking highly of him. Again a guy a team needing bodies to throw at a wall would use but hard to see anyone giving up true value to get him.
  2. endaround
    Rodriquez is an emergency starter. He's the guy they bring up if they need to cover innings if the timing doesn't match up for someone else. They have shown that they aren't worried about his long term viability. He is likely gone after this year after they use his third option.
  3. endaround
    It isn't just the numbers. People who have scouted him say his arm just isn't where it needs to be. From Fangraphs: The injuries did take a bite out of the profile here. Pre-injury, Quero’s arm was a weapon, with sub 1.9 pop times and rockets to second the norm. This year, his arm strength, accuracy, and mechanical consistency regressed, all of which combined to nearly halve his caught-stealing rate. The grade above reflects a blend of strength and accuracy — teams often grade those traits separately, but we’re simplifying here — the latter of which is especially concerning. Perhaps Quero will shake off the rust next season, and we’re projecting on the arm a little just to hedge, but his throwing has looked pretty messy in the Venezuelan Winter League this month. There’s a real chance that he just won’t be the same as he was before he tore his labrum. Quero probably can still be a solid catcher option but more like a typical 85 wRC+ catcher with solid enough defense to do fine.
  4. endaround
    Great showings in Arizona is how you get Brewer legends like Vinny Capra and Oliver Dunn.
  5. endaround
    1. Woodruff accepting the qualifying offer likely ate up any free money the Brewers had and then some. 2. Suarez's defense would not be acceptable at 3B for the Brewers and they already have DH (and 1B) covered. Suarez also is projected to return to an average of his 2023 and 2024 which is not terrible but not much better than Durbin. Suarez also has a risk of complete collapse (not to say Durbin's extremely weak contact profile also doesn't have some issues).
  6. endaround
    His 2023 AAA season was OK but hardly dominating. And then he really hasn't pitched much since then. Gasser's age might give him an inside spot because at 27 it is approaching now or never for him.
  7. endaround
    Fangraph's fielding scores: Ortiz FV 70/70, Turang FV 60/60, Pratt FV 45/55, Williams FV 45/50, Made FV 40/60.
  8. endaround
    And there were concerns if Turang would hit enough even with a better glove than Pratt.
  9. endaround
    Durbin wasn't held down, Brewer Plan A just collapsed. If Dunn and Capra were just bad instead of unplayable Durbin may have spent the entire year in AAA.
  10. endaround
    Sounds like SD leaked this to force a smaller buyout.
  11. endaround
    Pitchers and hitters are not the same. Good pitchers pitch well into their late 30s, though injuries are always a risk (regardless of age).
  12. endaround
    The number of shortstops that are as short as Williams is very small, Shortstop has become the domain of 6 foot tall guys. That could mean Williams is moving to 2B. Which makes sense since that won't block Lara or Pratt (Pratt has to worry more about not getting bumped back down to AA by Made).
  13. endaround
    Fangraphs has his power as 50/55. So lots of power for his size.
  14. endaround
    He spent 7 starts in 2024 and 24 in 2025. So one full season. So 10 more than Henderson and substantially less than Gasser.
  15. endaround
    Sproat and Williams are a huge overpay for 1 year of Peralta. FV 50 pitcher like Sproat has a $21 m value, a FV 50 like Williams has a $28 m value. Peralta has about $26m of value and may have a pick too but that is unknown given he might take the offer due to the lockout killing the free agency period next season. The pick has about a $6m value if it were to occur. This is the kind of trade in which Megill would be involved in addition to Peralta. And it still would favor the Brewers.
  16. endaround
    Either Baty is what he was last year which is a 25 year old breaking out with 4 years left until free agency in which case he is worth much more than Peralta or you think last year was a fluke in which case what are you expecting from him? A Baty for Peralta deal would be one of the few cases where a trade could potentially improve the 2026 team and if offered the Brewers should jump at it. I just don't think such an overpay will occur unless Sterns just wants to clean house from players he did not acquire (which seems unlike him).
  17. endaround
    I don't get this. Is he good? No, but he isn't that much different than Durbin. He had a FRV of -3 last year. Durbin was at 1. 4 runs is not this huge downgrade.
  18. endaround
    Assuming the Padres aren't trading Salas you are likely building a trade around Mendez and maybe Hawkins since he is major league ready? The Padres have basically no farm system.
  19. endaround
    Peralta for Gil is the most quarter for 3 dimes trade imaginable. But here its more like a quarter for a dime and a nickel this year, a dime next year and a nickel the following year.
  20. endaround
    Because it wasn't a real option. It was a way for the Brewers to spread the cost of his salary over multiple years. Option buyouts are also a real loophole (unlike deferred salary) because option payments do not have to be placed in a receiving account since they are not technically guaranteed.
  21. endaround
    He will not reach 6 years of service time until after 2027 now
  22. endaround
    They also played an historically easy schedule.
  23. endaround
    Or he kept running routes incorrectly and Love didn't trust him. He then lost playing time when Watson and Reed came back. Watch some JT O'Sullivan Love breakdowns and how many time he questions what Golden is doing.
  24. endaround
    I just don't see the Baz trade as a giant return, and instead the cost pretty much in line with his expected value versus salary. The big issue with trading Peraltla for the Brewers is that he can easily be projected to give you 32 starts. Every other starter has serious question marks. Woodruff has made 30 starts once 5 years ago and has missed time since. Priester had a large increase in workload last year compared to 2024. It is inline with what he did in 2023, but that was mostly AAA innings. Henderson is coming off injury and only 100 innings of work, Gasser hardly pitched last year. Misiorowski is probably fine but coming off a large workload increase. Patrick also had a sizeable workload increase. Not saying something bad is going to happen, just that the Brewers don't have a guy that provides the stability that Peralta has provided over the last 3 years. (Now watch him run into some salad tongs).
  25. endaround
    No they are the main and secondary (Amazon NextGen Stats enhanced or whatever ) broadcasts. But yeah you will want to hide the chat for those streams.
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