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endaround

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Everything posted by endaround

  1. endaround
    "only have to go 11-1"
  2. endaround
    Fangraphs has the Brewers expected winning percentage at .538. The probability of them losing 5 in a row is then .462^5 or 2.1% The Cubs expected win percentage is .519 so winning 5 games in a row is 3.7%.
  3. endaround
    If you think you are going to come back and go banana pants over half a season, you don't agree to a 1 year deal for $13.5 million before the season starts. If you think you might come back late, not come back or come back and not be 100% you jump at that deal.
  4. endaround
    Golden is not a top 5 draft pick. People expecting Olave are way too optimistic. If he matches Drake London's first season, that would be outstanding( 72 receptions for 866 yards). I would go with the under but it could happen. I also am not sure what Watson will bring. No one knows if he lost speed and given he's never really been a great route runner (likely due to never being healthy enough to get there) its unclear what he brings. The fact he was willing to sign a 1 year deal makes it look like his camp isn't sure how much he'll actually be ready to go this year.
  5. endaround
    Love missed some wide open post throws which was not good.
  6. endaround
    Rookie WRs just don't really do much, even 1st round picks, even ones that end up great. Its why you need to have some ready to step up over time and not go 8 years without investing in the position.
  7. endaround
    I am expecting a large payroll decline next year without any large signings as Woodruff, Cortes, Quintana, and Hoskins leave. It's why I am only 75% sure they will tender Vaughn since they likely thought his salary will be off the books next year. The reason I am expecting such a decline is: 1) Continued fallout from the regional sports cable channel collapse. Local broadcast revenue is shared so that money is shrinking even if the Brewers themselves have a current contract. 2) Belief that there will be a work stoppage in 2027 leading to a canceling of games and a loss of revenue. So they will want to build up reserves/extract profit from 2026 as much as possible. Given that there are no huge holes on the roster and that they have internal promotion candidates they don't want to block I don't see any major additions occurring. A 1 year deal for a starter similar to Quintana might happen for depth and bullpen signings may occur but not much else.
  8. endaround
    An ISO of .114 is a very loose definition of "hitting for power". That's closer to "just enough power to stay a MLB player".
  9. endaround
    Hoskins had a wRC+ 113 this year. Disappointing for Hoskins but OK while representing the best full season Vaughn has ever put up. My guess is Vaughn is back at a similar salary to this year with the hope something clicked but easy to move to the bench when/if Adams forces it.
  10. endaround
    Not even close. Ashby is likely to finish 5th in IP and only because of the McGill injury. Uribe is a guy who is likely to feel some effects.
  11. endaround
    The Cowboys alone are enough for the rumor mill, adding Green Bay does nothing. Now the most likely outcome still is the Cowboys paying for Parsons after alienating him some more. However, unlike Hendrickson and Garrett, Parsons is young enough to be a full on Gute target. Add in the Packers have a ton of cap space right now, and have a huge need and there actually maybe something here.
  12. endaround
    But he doesn't? I mean in the abstract the fact he can get a walk at all with an ISO of .000 is neat but really not something to garner playing time.
  13. endaround
    Peralta is 12th in WAR in the NL. It's not really close. Even ignoring Skenes, try to find one way to have him better than Sanchez. Sanchez has a better ERA, better FIP, better xERA, and has pitched 15 more innings in 1 fewer start. Being a solid #1 is enough, we don't have to pretend Peralta is the best pitcher in the league when he would be the #4 on the Phillies.
  14. endaround
    Megill may not be being overused but he will soon surpass his MLB maximum number of innings. He never had the workload that Hader or Williams had. It is a question on how much they should look to rest him given that.
  15. endaround
    Being informed by posters on Brewerfanatic that the Brewers had no chance at winning to day, I bet all my retirement savings on a Cubs win. Now to drink a big glass of water while checking to see how much money I made.....
  16. endaround
    Don't look now, but Henderson has outpitched Misiorowski in MLB. OK, they are very close with the same Fangraphs WAR with Henderson in fewer innings. Of course neither are in the realm of Patrick who has had a great season when allowed to pitch. Hard to say its a down year in rookies with Kurtz out there, but in the NL it really should be Collins or Baldwin unless Patrick get some more innings.
  17. endaround
    Well at least Vaughn has neve ever had a huge month like this before right? What that's? June 2024 he hit .337/.371/.561? Well nonetheless he's clearly is just happy to be away from Chicago and he will continue hitting.
  18. endaround
    Yep. And my guess is the Brewers are going to cut costs so much next year that even offering a healthy Woodruff a qualifying offer is going to be a lengthy debate.
  19. endaround
    I think it was they saw a way to get Miller and needed to free up salary space quickly, so were willing to overpay to do so. If Cortes was able to make at least some post rehab MLB starts I think they probably wouldn't have had to do anything but alas.
  20. endaround
    Yeah but cash transactions need commissioner office approval. Teams are not supposed to sell players. But taking on dead salary is OK.
  21. endaround
    GMs may be acting on the fact that there won't be a 2027 season, so prospects with 2027 etas are going to valued weirdly.
  22. endaround
    Naylor, Suarez to a lesser extent, Urias, Rosario.
  23. endaround
    They don't want to ruin the 50th anniversary of 1982 by actually winning something. Just have to hold on a few more years!
  24. endaround
    No they still have the same requirements for service time. They just often sign initial contracts in which the team renounces all rights at its conclusion.
  25. endaround
    If healthy, he's a 3 win player. Now unless there is something in this new contract (which would be weird as a second contract but could be) he doesn't have enough service time for free agency. So while he could opt out he still maybe subject to arbitration. Anyway $16 million is providing excess value if Kim is actually healthy.
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