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igor67

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Everything posted by igor67

  1. igor67
    What a stretch by the pitcher!
  2. igor67
    Now really guys this Cuban defector is the "one". These guys continually get hyped like they are almost ready, but have a success rate more comparable to a second round pick than a Japanesse posting star. Let's see if he can actually hit 100 mph with control consistently and why not an MRI of the shoulder first.
  3. igor67
    Last name aside a 17 year old who can throw 92 and has a reasonable breaking pitch seems like a pretty good value at less than six figures, there are worse strategies than cheaply stocki piling as many young guns who can throw in the 90's and see who survives.
  4. igor67
    I have switched over. It seemed like they were giving him a reasonable amount of playing time prior to this week, but the data now suggests a very haphazzard situation and highly irregular playing time instead of most starts and more frequent off-days/ partial platooning then you'd do with an established guy. So give a bench guy a shot at those ABs.
  5. igor67
    Gamel's current fielding percentage is 30 points higher than Braun's historic bad season. To this point his defense has not been the problem, all of the first hand accounts credit Gamel with error proneness combined with good range. Contrast that to Braun's weak range and bad hands at third. His D isn't setting the world on fire right now, but he isn't really being problematic either. Let's just relax a bit and realize that Macha sitting him and their while maybe not ideal isn't dramatically hurting his development either.
  6. igor67
    Except that no one has demonstrated that their exists a substantial skill for a player to be clutch and actually be a better hitter in pressure situations than otherwise.
  7. igor67
    With Gamel up, Salome is the one biggest potential difference maker in the line-up. I doubt even if he got super hot the Brewers would do more than give him a look-see this season, but it is nice to see him heating up.
  8. igor67
    I agree with X's point that making him a reliever is the most logical thing to do at this point. I can't imagine even if he came back successfully as a starter he would have a lot of trade value ever again.
  9. igor67
    I may be a bit crazy and it would probably be a lot harder to get him back to starting, but with that control and stuff Braddock looks like he might be a big asset in the pen sooner rather than later. In general it maybe disappointing for these high ceiling guys to not make it as starters (Rogers, Jones, Braddock), but I'd sure rather see them find success as relievers then just o nothing for us like past flameouts.
  10. igor67
    I'm a firm believer in going after premium guys in trade, and letting the farm system fill in the rest where possible. With the spate of injuries there seems to be a shortage of premium starting pitchers, so if Pedro looks like he can at least give you a sub 5 ERA you're probably better off signing him and holding your prospects for something else. Then your back up plan in case of injury is Parra, followed by Mclung/Cody. You might even look around and see if there is a premium bat that might be added to one of the weaker line-up spots.
  11. igor67
    Obviously we need to wait and see on the talent produced, but one does have to admire the administrative efficiency it must take to get that many signed that quickly and in your first year in charge, especially knowing the organization had at least some scouting talent to replace on top of it. Just imagine the fun if we had 2 extra picks for Sheets. I do wonder if the Brewers would be able to recoup picks for him if he signs at all. I know the early take was that they "lost" them if he hadn't signed before draft day. But depending on how it's written couldn't they argue that if he signs now they get picks next year? Or if he went the whole season would he be reevaluated on Free Agent type system?
  12. igor67
    Wasn't there something in the JS a couple of days ago about the team looking for internal options for a second lefty? That might be pigeonholing him, but I wonder if they are looking at that as an option for Cody?
  13. igor67
    Combined with Eric's signing it seems like the Brewers are off to an even better start signing guys than usual.
  14. igor67
    Johann Santana and David Wright for an autographed Chad Fox baseball. Just a thought.
  15. igor67
    X might want to sell his picks.
  16. igor67
    How about looking at what the successful ones like Jason Varitek do to their career earnings. For an advanced college player holding out a year can easily push back free agency an entire year, which might not seem like a lot, but wouldn't you rather sign a catcher to a 4 year bigtime deal when he is 29 then 30? So the question isn't even so much about the Harrington's of the world that everyone can remember, but has the strategy of actually holding out ever benefited ANY of those players monetarily. It sure has helped Boras extract maximum value, but if the individual player always loses the bet he's getting suckered in a sort of reverse prisoners dilema sort of way.
  17. igor67
    I thinks it's safe to say that Power is the name of the game in the Brewers scouting department.
  18. igor67
    I will fearlessly predict today as the Mat Gamel I'm never going back to the minors game.
  19. igor67
    Katin has some crazy awesome power, but for some reason doesn't walk enough, and that's the difference between him being in the Branyan, Dunn Category or a guy who could get a September call up and go 0-10 with 8 Ks and never see a roster again. If I were the Rockies with a ballpark that raises batting average and suppresses strikeouts he's a guy I'd be interested in.
  20. igor67
    Heether sports the higher career minor league OPS by 20 points over Casey playing in exactly the same leagues (midwest, FSL, Suuthern, and PCL) Heether's last 3 seasons he has had an OPS over .800 while Casey's career high is .776. Heether has long had a very good defensive reputation. I was skeptical, but having looked at the numbers if Casey is an OK bench player at this point, then there is every reason to believe that Heether would be better. In two of the last 3 years Heether had a better OPS than Brad Nelson (now that I'm bothering to look). As a defensive replacement and possible platoon partner Heether is probably even a better option than Hall at this point.
  21. igor67
    It's also worth pointing out that given where the team is at in the success cycle Macha's move makes sense as a hedge against risk. 3 years ago you call up Gamel and let him play and tell Spivey to be a good soldier (or ship him out when he won't). Different story now. You give Gamel a reasonable chance to force the issue by hitting like crazy and playing solid defense, but you don't expose yourself to having Hall become overly disgruntled because he was just benched for a rookie. Hall might still be annoyed, but it seems like Macha has given him a fair shake and is easing him into a different role, while preserving the possibility of going back if Gamel's defense looks to untrustworthy. It might not be the call I would make, but it is a reasonable strategy.
  22. igor67
    Since the jury is still out on Parra being more than a back end of the rotation starter ( I think he will some day, but he ain't done it yet) it is worth pointing out the number of quality starting pitchers Milwaukee has actually developed in the last decade plus... 2. That is not anywhere close to enough to demonstrate any evidence we can fill out the rotation consistently with homegrown players. You need to have a mix, and payroll flexibility is nice, but you can end up churning aimlessly through a lot of prospect depth every year if you have to constantly try and plug holes by making trades. Peavy is the chance to turn a number of low percentage plays into a high percentage one and for a long time. We have demonstrated a lot of ability to crank out competent hitters in contrast to the pitchers, so it makes a lot of sense to pick your fey key guys to really pay and churn everyone else. Again going with high percentage bets, Peavey is a much better bet to be well above average over the next 3 years than any 3 of our pitching prospects put together.
  23. igor67
    I don't see that Peavey is any more of a risk than any sort of pitcher, and since he's over 26 he's about as low of an injury risk over the next 3 years or so as any pitcher. If his mechanics were that problematic that they truly were causing an increased injury risk odds are pretty good it would have happened already. It is very hard to put a staff together every single year if you don't have some pitchers under control for multiple years. Over the course of Milwaukees current competitive group we are highly unlikely to get an ace on the free agent market. That leaves development and trades. Development is always a crapshoot and right now there are some guys who could, but all of them are at least 2 years away (Jeffress, Braddock, Scarpetta) and none is exactly a lock. It is going to be much easier for the team to be competitive every year for the next 3 years or so if they have invested in the right core of a pitching staff and a couple of line-up studs that are supplemented from the farm system. Other competitive scenarios are possible, but I see a lot of them being more fraught with year to year variation. Gallardo and Peavy at the top plus Parra is a group you can count on enough to supplement the back end with other finds (like a Looper or Bush) that don't over commit. If this was a 20+ million a year contract it's one thing, but this is at worst a fair market value on a year to year basis. Make one good trade and then you have a number of years of flexibility where you can play mix and match the 1st, C, OF, and 2B around Braun and Gamel.
  24. igor67
    Considering Catalanatto had shown a lot of signs of wear and I'm not comfortable expecting anything all that significant from his bat anymore (and he's not a defense guy) and no one else has really been producing off the bench this is a near perfect deal. I'm really liking that Doug makes the early move for a clear upgrade (even if it's not as clear as CC).
  25. igor67
    At least for the next couple of weeks I think we can take Melvin at face value. Gamel will come off the bench largely and DH in interleague. He'll probably sneak a start or two at third base just so they can see him in the game. And after that they'll take a look again at how he's doing and if they want to bring Catalanatto back or Nelson, or Kohlshansky maybe, but it also gives them a window to see how Counsell and Hall are doing. Craig has to cool off, but how much and can Hall stabilize at solid production?? On the other hand if I am Duffy I'd have to be pretty concerned because Gwynn and the Hurricane are both making strong cases for my job if you read bewtween the lines at Melvin's statement.
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