Ennder
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Everything posted by Ennder
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It isn't a death sentence but shoulders are the toughest injury to come back from as it is the top of the kinetic chain. Everything starts in the shoulder and flows down the body so a shoulder is the start of the chain. Something like an elbow is much easier to come back from. It isn't the end of the world to me if he makes the rotation but he should have to earn it, not just have it handed to him. We don't really have good options though so we probably should have brought in another arm.
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I thought it was very telling when Moises Alou was interviewed after the game he said the most important thing to him when building the team was to take players who had been playing ball. Almost everyone on their roster had played in a winter league of some sort and weren't going in cold. That is the #1 biggest issue with the USA teams imo, too many hitters that just don't have their timing and pitchers who aren't as sharp as they should be.
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really? Yeah I wouldn't buy that explanation. People are always trying to create reasons for issues. Rogers stunk more or less all season, has a little good stretch and then apparently stinks in spring because they took him out of the rotation. Which part of that sentence makes no sense?
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Rogers was never a serious candidate to start, he is Manny Parra without the talent. This rotation doesn't' come as even a tiny bit of a surprise. I don't like the lack of depth at all considering our franchise seems to stress an over the top delivery which does limit BBS but inflates HR and increases the odds of injuries. I don't like our odds of not needing at least 2 more starters outside of our projected 5 and I don't' see where those 2 starters are coming from.
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Khris Davis and the potential he has...but where?
Ennder replied to 3and2Fastball's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
We have two LH OF that have never played a full season. No reason Davis couldn't cover for the Hart injury and then play every few days in the OF and DH vs AL teams if that is the path they want to go. You usually do that with more marginal players and not players you think will become full time for you. -
Friedmann only trades off guys who are getting expensive and are part of the teams depth. They didn't sell any of their big position guys, just the pitching that they have always had an overwhelming number of.
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I don't want to see him do it continually. My point, relative to potentially selling high on Gómez down the road, is that Melvin has had many opportunities to sell high and never done it with the Brewers. It's not something he does as a GM. But most of these opportunities you brought up weren't realistic. He has shown that if Schafer looks like a major league player he is more than willing to trade the starter at the position. He did exactly that with Hardy.
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Well it wasn't really about us agreeing anyway. If you ask a dozen fans what they think of Melvin I doubt you hear the term unwilling to sell high on guys mentioned by very many people. It certainly isn't what he is "known for" by most.
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There was no reason to trade Fielder, no real chance to trade Wolf or Marcum for any value. Loe never had any value. Hart and Hardy were hurt every time we had a chance to trade them. Ramirez has no real trade value given his contract. You see trade value where none exists is the big difference in our views here. Organizations do not trade players without a plan, it just doesn't happen. Either the plan is to just get young or there is some sort of depth involved or there is a need for a playoff push, that is how baseball works. When the Rays trade it is because they have depth, the A's trade SP when they have a bunch of depth coming up etc. This notion that every time one of our players has a good year we should trade him because other teams will overpay just doesn't work. On top of that for every player who is traded at least 10 guys are discussed in trades that don't end up happening that we never hear a thing about. You don't know a darn thing about what Melvin is doing and neither do I. We have the core of our team locked up for multiple years with a wave of young pitching coming up and a wave of major league quality though not all star quality prospects a couple years down the road. Melvin is not some big evil with the organization.
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In your mind. The last time we had any sort of organization depth in the system it led to a trade of Hardy for Gomez. Melvin doesn't trade random guys with no plan at the position just because they had one decent year which doesn't really pump a players trade value up much anyway. If you want to construe that as some sort of trademark more power to you. Casey McGehee is about the only guy I can think of that would have made sense trading who we had a reasonable chance of replacing from within. We had chances to trade Hart or Weeks but they always came with injuries that suppressed the value. We did trade Hardy. The window at the time made no sense at all to trade Fielder in. We haven't had any type of depth in pitching where a trade has made any kind of sense. The majority of trade value in the organization has been in the minor leagues and he has pulled off those trades and almost none of the guys he has traded have become consistently good players so he seems to be doing an ok job at it.
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I don't really agree with that. People always want players traded without having any sort of reasonable depth behind them or when player value isn't really as high as they think. This is just one of those items people make up in their heads. The Brewers have never had any depth and it is pretty hard to trade players when you have no depth.
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I hope they have a quick hook on Dickey tonight if his ball is spinning instead of floating. Early spring training pitching is tough in general but it is even harder on a knuckleballer.
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To show people that this has been more than a 1 year sample here. Going back to May 1st of 2011 here are his stats. .249 AVG, .294 OBP - Yuck .459 SLG, .753 OPS - not bad for a CF 87% SB success - Elite 20.72 AB/HR with 25 HR in 518 AB. The breakout came in 2011 not just 2012. In fact in the 2nd half of 2011 he hit to a .819 OPS.
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The problem is there is no market for a CF right now. The Mets are about the only team really looking for one and I doubt they are looking to bring back Gomez and they aren't looking for a guy with only 1 year left. I do agree with you though that if he has a great year and Schafer shows something that this contract has a lot of trade value a year or two from now.
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What is the 2014 Bullpen looking like?
Ennder replied to brewmann04's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I hope some younger guys get a chance because the rest of the bullpen is pretty awful. -
I have heard this a couple times now but you can't really compare Bill Hall to Carlos Gomez because they are nothing at all alike. Bill Hall had massive platoon splits even when he was good, Gomez has no splits. There was never a reason to think Hall could be successful against RHP. Bill Hall struck even more than Gomez and that is saying a lot. Hall didn't really have a plus skill while Gomez obviously does with his speed. Bill Hall was a truly awful baserunner. Gomez is an elite one that sprinkles in some completely boneheaded mistakes. Gomez's "breakout" was actually in 2011 and not 2012 and it was from a change in approach that suited his game, so it feels much more sustainable. It is completely supported by his peripheral stats as well with the hiked FB% and slightly improved zone numbers. Hall kind of came out of nowhere while Gomez has always been a player scouts liked. Hall was still under team control without the contract so the timing didn't make a lot of sense, Gomez has 1 year left under team control. This is the time you look to extend guys if you want them the next season. If we don't extend him now there is almost no chance he stays. They decided they wanted him so did the completely natural move. Finally offense is down league wide so his stats are better than they look offensively. They aren't good by any means but it isn't as bad as those numbers used to be. I don't think it is a very close comparison. We can't be scared of signing every player who has a good year just because Bill Hall got a bad deal.
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While Gomez makes dumb mistakes on the bases he is still one of the better overall baserunners in the game from all metrics and it shows when he plays, he takes a lot of extra bases and doesn't get thrown out all that much comparatively.
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Because Petco, LA and SF are the same as Hou, Chi, Cin right? If I had to pick the easiest division in baseball to pitch in I'd easily pick the NL West, it has a serious effect on how much belief I have in their pitching stats. Those are only 3 of the parks in the division. Coors and Chase are hitters parks. Coors is a hitters park because of how breaking stuff flows in the park and Cain has figured out how to pitch there. The Diamondbacks have had a lot of mediocre offenses over the past 4 years. It is still the easiest division in baseball to pitch in. He still has a career 4.11 ERA in Coors though. 4.22 in PHI, 4.13 in ARI, 5.40 in HOU, 5.56 in MIL. In general he has been a 4+ ERA guy in parks that don't hold his HR in and an ace in parks that do hold them in. If the Brewers had drafted Cain he'd be a forgettable 4ish ERA guy who was underrated. Instead he is an 'ace'.
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I expect Hart to walk at this point considering the injury and the fact he is pretty replaceable from within. I don't think Schafer profiles as much more than a 4th OF so it doesn't bother me that we blocked him.
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Because Petco, LA and SF are the same as Hou, Chi, Cin right? If I had to pick the easiest division in baseball to pitch in I'd easily pick the NL West, it has a serious effect on how much belief I have in their pitching stats.
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Contract is an absolute steal if he plays anything like he did in 2012. If he does repeat 2012 for the next 4 years he will be worth at least 2 times what he is earning. If he regresses back to 2011 style stats just over a full year it is only a small steal. He has to drop all the way back to 2010 numbers for this deal to have any chance at being bad.
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But again the payroll going down has nothing at all to do with the Brewer financials and everything to do with no needs for players that were worth signing. This is a pretty good deal for us, Gomez will hit 20+ HR a year, he changed his approach and it is fully supported by his secondary stats. He'll still hit for low AVG and OBP though so not sure how much his offense will be worth.
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Possible Trade Targets - Starting Pitching
Ennder replied to sveumrules's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Porcello is probably better than his stats suggest now that he has dropped his slider which has always been a bad pitch for him. Personally I'd like to see us go after Niemann since he doesn't seem to be in the Rays plan this year. He would be our #3 if we traded for him and I'd expect a sub 3.8 ERA. -
I hope he trades for Niemann since TB has a big glut at #5 and Niemann projects as a good starter. A guy can dream.
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No more than I'm worried about his lack of control last year in the minors. The good innings in the majors screamed complete fluke to me. If we get any quality innings out of him I'll be very happy.
