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Ennder

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Everything posted by Ennder

  1. Ennder
    My core of the team is Arcia and Santana. Some of the prospects obviously will join them but it is just too early to know which ones yet.
  2. Ennder
    Yes because shutting down a completely dysfunctional Orioles offense means you are a super star. Quintana gave up the same number of runs against them that Garza did to use one example.
  3. Ennder
    To be fair Barnes and Knebel already pitched 2 games in a row. I would not bring them in to that game in the 6th because of that either. If you are going to pitch them 3 times and then have to go a day without them you better be sure you still have the lead late. The other options in the bullpen were fair game though. Scahill may be the worst RP in MLB so you can't ever go to him unless you are already down 10 or something.
  4. Ennder
    I was kind of hoping they would not go to Hader because there is no way he doesn't walk in a run or two there. I'm not sure Webb is the way I would have gone though. Scahill is just awful, don't know how he is still on the team. 5.94 xFIP before this game and it has to be well over 6 now. More walks thank Ks, too many HR. There just isn't anything about him that suggests he can do even a mopup job for the team. He really needs to be replaced.
  5. Ennder
    Given the weight issues and the style of player he was the contract was probably doomed to begin with. Most likely he should have gotten a high value 3 year deal so if he broke down physically or defensively the team was protected some. Keep in mind a lot of why the contract failed was injury, an injury he still might to be recovered from. It is easy to just say a contract is bad when a guy gets hurt but that is just too simplistic.
  6. Ennder
    Well if starting his next start he doesn't walk the house anymore you can just throw out everything he did before that start. He looks like a pitcher who got hurt, came back and just hasn't found his mechanics yet. When they come it could just be an instant switch that turns things around. He is a hard one to read since his season last year looked like a viable MLB pitcher but also included that super flukey looking ERA.
  7. Ennder
    Hamels isn't an ace anymore, he is damaged and he probably isn't worth his actual contract. Don't be fooled by his ERA last year, the peripherals did not support it at all and he has been awful this season. Trading Hamels is just trying to get out of what is going to be a bad contract.
  8. Ennder
    Schwarber does seem like the type of guy that Oakland likes. Bad fielding slugger who takes walks.
  9. Ennder
    And a pitcher who very well may be better than Quintana by the final 1.5 years of that contract. I'm not convinced Quintana is a #2 starter either. His xFIP over his last 300 innings is over 4. His peripherals have trended the wrong way for 3 straight seasons now. I think his best years are likely behind him even though he is still pretty young. If I thought the Cubs were getting 2014/2015 Quintana I'd like what they did a lot more. I believe they are probably getting 2016/2017 Quintana and that is more of a #3 pitcher.
  10. Ennder
    The Yankees were looking for rotation help even before this injury. I don't think Severino or Montgomery are ready to pitch full seasons so they really only have 2 pitchers right now that can be depended on all year and one just came off the DL and the other has been awful. They may just throw in the towel if the next 10 days go poorly.
  11. Ennder
    He could have done all that and still had a bunch of young players filtering into the team at the same time though. I looked at this Cubs team as one that was going to be a dominant team for the next 10 years or so mid season last year. Now I see it as one that is just going to have the typical 5 year window and a GM hoping he can stretch it with good moves. The franchise outlook has changed dramatically in the past calendar year. It won a World Series and I fully expect them to be in the hunt for at least one more over the next 4 years so it was a good move. But this certainly has helped the Brewers future as well. I don't really see how that is debatable given everything they have traded away with a focus on this 5 year window of Rizzo/Bryant. I guarantee you that if their rotation had held up this year and they were in first place that this trade would not have happened. This is Theo trying to bandaid something that went wrong way before he expected it to. It doesn't mean it is a bad move but it is something good for the Brewers long term.
  12. Ennder
    I would say that is just the smart way to do things. Pitching is too volatile so you avoid drafting it early. You hope a couple later round guys hit and then you trade for other teams guys.
  13. Ennder
    I imagine it means they just aren't sure about Braun's health.
  14. Ennder
    I haven't studied the Giants roster or their minors - but you see what the Brewers have done and that is with a much more limited budget. The Giants could trade away anyone now that won't be helping them in 2019 and eat salary, gather prospects and pay to fill the holes still on the roster and come back with a vengeance pretty quickly. Besides aren't they an every other year team anyways? The Giants have 2 players on their roster who are worth anything good from a prospect standpoint. That roster is just awful at this point. Nobody wants Pence, they don't want Nunez, they don't want Belt or Panik or Crawford or Span right now. If you are lucky someone gives you something for Samardjia but not for Moore or Cain. It is pretty much Bumgarner, Posey and a bunch of garbage. That team got really bad really fast.
  15. Ennder
    I probably do because Villar is such a moron when it comes to understanding baseball. But lets be real here, there is almost no chance Teheran is an above average pitcher. He has pitched enough innings that he has probably showed his true talent level. He has a well below average K rate in that time. He has proven to be homer prone and is a fly ball pitcher. He isn't the type that heavily suppresses hard contact. There is no reason to expect him to be better long term than say Chase Anderson. The park was heavily deflating his ERA but no reason to expect that lasts.
  16. Ennder
    Drafting pitching early is a terrible path to drafting. The success rate on pitching draft picks is abysmal. You are so much better off trading for pitching later or signing free agent pitchers. I think the best path to success in the draft is to never draft a pitcher with your first 2 picks and then just trade for AA or AAA pitching later on. Once you get a pitcher that looks like the real deal in AA or higher you do not trade them imo. Once you hit on the lottery you stick with your guy because it is so rare to hit on it.
  17. Ennder
    That is fair but it still doesn't change the fact that the Cubs making the moves they have over the past full season of baseball are good for the Brewers future. Yeah they won the world series so it was all worth it for them, if they win it again this year it was again all worth it for them. That doesn't change the fact that they have crippled themselves 4 years from now at this point which is going to help the next really good Brewers team compete during their next competitive window. Both of these things can be true at the same time.
  18. Ennder
    The primary factor for the HR bump is the ball just like it was back in the 90s during the steroid era where the juiced ball, team expansion and steroids were all probably equal contributors to the HR spike.
  19. Ennder
    Yeah this totally makes sense for the Cubs. That doesn't mean it isn't a deal that will hurt them long term though. I just look at it with Brewer colored glasses on. Next year we start to really break in the prospects, the year after they get stretched out to playing a full season, we hope to be competitive in 2020. The Cubs as a team looks like it will start to fall apart starting in 2021 and full bore by 2022. They have money to fill in some blanks but that just gets out of hand fast. I think sometime in the competitive window for our current top prospects the Cubs will have fallen apart because they traded away all of their high end prospects in the past 2 seasons. Sure maybe they can replenish things that fast but there is a decent chance they don't too. They won't crash and burn or anything but by 2022 I don't think we will be thinking of them as a team with special talent anymore. What was scary in the middle of the season last year is they looked completely dominant and still had like 6 or 7 top prospects. The Cubs long term outlook is a lot weaker today than it was a year ago and that is a good thing for us.
  20. Ennder
    In 2 starts in July he has a 5.59 ERA. His xFIP and SIERA have been over 4 for a year and a half now. All of his stats have trended the wrong direction since his magnificent 2015, he just had good fortune on some of the higher variance parts of pitching so the ERA looked better than he pitched last season. I think going forward with the league switch Quintana is somewhere between a 3.50 and 4.00 ERA guy. That is certainly useful to the Cubs but it isn't like they got an ace either.
  21. Ennder
    This is a good move for this year for the Cubs. It does nothing but hurt them long term. Yes Quintana will be around next year but they could have just signed a FA without giving up players to cover that need. This also may just be Quintana's decline. That may seem strange from a 28 year old pitcher but he has always done it with somewhat of a smoke and mirrors approach instead of having dominating stuff. His xFIP was over 4 last year and is over 4 again this year. His command is down, his hard hit rate is up etc. This isn't just a flukey bad season, this is a season where he pitched poorly and it is a trend that started last season. It may just be a blip on the radar but it is now 2 years of skills that don't support him being a front line starter. For this year it is pretty huge though as I felt they would make a run at 1st at some point and this certainly will help.
  22. Ennder
    I have no clue what to think of Thames but it is really hard for someone who walks 15% of the time to not bring some sort of value to a team. If Aguilar is protected against good righties I expect him to have value as well. His long term value really depends on how well he does vs righties.
  23. Ennder
    Broxton is on pace for 1.6 WAR on the season and over his first full season in the majors has put up a 2.8 WAR. He has been somewhere between slightly below league average to quite a bit above league average. I am not confident in any first year player beating those marks.
  24. Ennder
    I was concerned about him to start the year, add in the injury and yeah I'm very worried. You have to give him a few more games and see if he can turn it around though considering what he did last year. If the velocity stays down and the control is off it should be a quick hook though.
  25. Ennder
    They are cutting edge in getting hot at the right time. 2 of the 3 world series teams weren't very good. Also their first round picks have been more bad than good. They have hit really hard a couple of times but for the most part this isn't a strength.
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