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nate82

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Everything posted by nate82

  1. If you are trading either Woodruff or Burnes I don't believe it would be a good idea to invest much in free agency. It would just be wasted resources to invest in free agency if you are trading Woodruff or Burnes. If the Brewers keep both Woodruff and Burnes then FA is probably not something the Brewers are going to play much in maybe if they can get someone on a one or two year deal around $15m annually at most. I think Mullins and Reynolds can be crossed off the list as possible trade targets. It just doesn't make sense for the Orioles to trade Mullins unless it is in a deal for Burnes or Woodruff but then that doesn't make much sense for the Brewers. I don't believe the Pirates will trade Reynolds unless they get a Soto like return or more. I don't see any team giving the Pirates that for Reynolds so he is going to stay with the Pirates. I don't believe a single team even got farther than asking if Reynolds was available this deadline. The Pirates are just not interested in trading him unless a team severely over pays. If the Brewers go the FA route I think they go with someone like Gallo and hope for a bounce back year for him on a one or two year deal. I think that would be the only OF they would go after. At 1B/DH I think the Brewers just move Yelich to DH permanently and don't go after a FA to play there. Maybe at 1B the Brewers add someone like Mancini to platoon with Tellez. I don't believe the Brewers will spend all that much in FA this coming off season and if they do it will be maybe one or two players but that is about it. As for trades I just don't see anyone who will be available that will be a major improvement over what the Brewers already have. The only player that will be available who would be an improvement over what the Brewers have now is Ohtani and I just don't see the Angels trading him. The options are limited in the trade market. With how the Orioles have played this year I think they will be looking to add and not substract from their MLB roster so as previously pointed out Mullins is off the table. The best option this off season would be to trade Burnes or Woodruff and try to do a soft reset and bring in as much talent as possible.
  2. The FED was slow on getting the hikes in place why wouldn't they be slow on stopping them?
  3. No because the top of the zone he is still swinging like he has since 2019. There is no improvement for Hiura at the top of the zone he is either worse or just about the same there. He has regressed back to his 2019 norms in the lower part of the strike zone for the most part. The others you have pointed out wouldn't have an outcome on more K's. Actually a better barrel rate should lower his K's if anything. It should also improve his BA and other stats. Hiura looks to be the same hitter he was in 2019-2021 there hasn't been much of a change for Hiura. The only thing that has changed a bit are the results and that he is whiffing less in the middle part of the strike zone and the lower part of the strike zone. At the top of the strike zone he is still the same player he has always been and that is a K machine. He doesn't barrel up the ball at all in the top of the strike zone and when he does make contact it is mostly weak contact up there. Power hitters should be feasting on upper-middle pitches but Hiura is all famine.
  4. No, I do not. Teams do make adjustments once a player proves they can hit where they are pitching them. If you look at Hiura's zone coverage in 2021 he was whiffing a lot in the middle of the zone and not so much in the bottom part of the zone. Now in 2022 Hiura is whiffing a lot less in the middle of the zone but also whiffing more in the bottom-away and bottom-inside part of the strike zone. Not that big of difference though. So teams believe they can get Hiura out in bottom-away and bottom-inside. Bottom-away for Hiura is still an out the majority if times so teams are going to try and exploit that. If the pitches misses inside the zone there then it falls into Hiura's hitting area where he is hitting the ball hard and out of the park. Take Sunday's home run as an example. The pitch was supposed to be bottom-away but the pitcher missed and the pitch was bottom-middle. Which Hiura doesn't miss many of those pitches as that is his 2nd lowest Whiff% 24%. If the pitch is located correctly it lands in an area where Hiura whiffs 38% in the zone and 57% out of the strike zone. I think teams are just going to change how they approach Hiura and start throwing more in the upper part of the strike zone instead of throwing bottom-away. The good teams are going to start pitching Hiura more in the upper part of the strike zone as they abandon the bottom portion of the strike zone to reduce mistake pitches that Hiura can hit.
  5. Hiura hasn't really made any adjustments to his swing. He is about the same as he was in 2021 with balls in the upper part of the strike zone. Hiura basically can not hit in the upper part of the strike zone as the majority of his hits come from either middle-middle, middle-away, low-inside or low-middle. Hiura has exactly one hit in the upper part of the strike zone and that is up-away which was a single. Hiura basically has zero power and about a zero percent chance of getting a hit in the upper part of the strike zone as he whiff's at those pitches more than he does in any other spot of the strike zone. Even going all the way back to 2019 Hiura has had trouble with pitches in the upper part of the strike zone. But in 2019 he was able to get a few more hits and he wasn't whiffing at the same rate as he has been since 2021. His current season looks exactly like 2019 and 2021 in the mid to lower part of the strike zone. I don't believe there has been any improvement in Hiura at all he is still the same player he has been. Teams are still going to exploit the top of the strike zone against Hiura and even if Hiura watches the pitches go by they are still strikes. The issue with Hiura is that he can only hit in the middle to lower part of the strike zone. Hiura has a very low chance of getting a hit in the top portion of the strike zone. When teams start making the adjustment back to the upper part of the strike zone Hiura is absolutely useless as he can't hit in the upper part of the strike zone at all.
  6. The biggest problem with Hiura is the top of the strike zone. All of Hiura's home runs have come at the bottom to the middle of the strike zone. Anything above the middle of the strike zone and Hiura has a huge hole. I expect pitchers to start pitching Hiura up in the zone where he whiffs at a 42% - 69% of the time. These are both balls in the strike zone and out of the strike zone. As can be seen in the images below pitchers are going to go back to pitching Hiura up in the strike zone and Hiura is just going to strike out. The book is out on Hiura and has been for awhile that he is unable to hit pitches up in the strike zone and will get himself out. I am not sure why teams have tried to pitch Hiura lower in the strike zone maybe these are just misses but teams should be just throwing high fastballs to Hiura and watch him strike out. The whiff% and K% out of the strike zone are as expected but the 60-100% for K% in the top part of the strike zone is extremely bad for a hitter. Hiura's Whiff% is also really bad ranging from 50-69% in the upper part of the strike zone. Teams are going to exploit this which is going to bring Hiura back to his 2021 season. Hiura has made zero improvements to the upper strike zone. This is one of the reasons why what Hiura is doing is not sustainable. Once teams start pitching Hiura up in the zone more he is an extreme liability to the offense. All from: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/keston-hiura-669374?stats=statcast-r-zones-mlb
  7. Haven’t checked around but currently Affirm has a 1.25 APY on their savings accounts. It is 100% digital and you can only access it through their app on your phone or tablet. I think this is the highest APY on a savings account. This is a FDIC insured account.
  8. You are missing out. In 2012 I bought AMD and NVDA for about $4 a share each and invested $3k total and now my investment is sitting around $200k. There have been some losers in that time frame like loan depot and others but overall I am up far more than I would be if I just invested in mutual funds. If you are just investing in mutual funds you are not actually diversified and you should have some individual stocks. If you want to go the safe route there is always GE and others. Also finding stocks that pay consistent dividends and consistently increase the amount paid in dividends is another good strategy to add for individual stocks.
  9. McCutchen has a 101 WRC+ you don't just throw away 101 WRC+ players it is just dumb roster management. He is only not the worst in OPS that would be Narvaez and Taylor. McCutchen has also been the 6th best hitter in the 2nd half so far with an .832 OPS. McCutchen does not need to be replaced.
  10. McCutchen has a 101 WRC+ you don't just throw away 101 WRC+ players it is just dumb roster management. He is only not the worst in OPS that would be Narvaez and Taylor. McCutchen has also been the 6th best hitter in the 2nd half so far with an .832 OPS. McCutchen does not need to be replaced.
  11. LOL no. McCutchen has been one of the better hitters on the Brewers. Removing McCutchen would make this team worse not better. McCutchen should be the everyday LF over Yelich at least there maybe a couple plays at the plate on throws unlike just send it it is Yelich noodle arm in LF with the runner being safe by 10 feet.
  12. LOL no. McCutchen has been one of the better hitters on the Brewers. Removing McCutchen would make this team worse not better. McCutchen should be the everyday LF over Yelich at least there maybe a couple plays at the plate on throws unlike just send it it is Yelich noodle arm in LF with the runner being safe by 10 feet.
  13. It is clancy he wanted to play Braun at SS that should be all that needs to be said about clancy and his weird obsession of playing players at their worst possible defensive position.
  14. It is clancy he wanted to play Braun at SS that should be all that needs to be said about clancy and his weird obsession of playing players at their worst possible defensive position.
  15. Taylor's production in the 9th spot in the lineup is perfectly fine. I am not sure what you are expecting of a #9 hitter but what Taylor is putting up is your typical #9 hitter stat line.
  16. Taylor's production in the 9th spot in the lineup is perfectly fine. I am not sure what you are expecting of a #9 hitter but what Taylor is putting up is your typical #9 hitter stat line.
  17. I think Bell might be the best target for the Brewers. I think CF is fine with Taylor in CF as long as he is hitting lower in the batting order his production is ok. Getting an improvement at 1B/DH against LHP and RHP along with having another batter on the bench that can bring some pop from both sides of the plate will also be helpful.
  18. I think Bell might be the best target for the Brewers. I think CF is fine with Taylor in CF as long as he is hitting lower in the batting order his production is ok. Getting an improvement at 1B/DH against LHP and RHP along with having another batter on the bench that can bring some pop from both sides of the plate will also be helpful.
  19. AAA isn't really all that important for Frelick to get to. The jump from AA to MLB is about the same as the jump from AAA to the MLB. Majority of the players in AAA are AAAA types or your emergency call up types. There are more Singleton's and Kelley's than there are actual prospects. AAA for actual prospects is normally just a holding spot to avoid super 2 status.
  20. AAA isn't really all that important for Frelick to get to. The jump from AA to MLB is about the same as the jump from AAA to the MLB. Majority of the players in AAA are AAAA types or your emergency call up types. There are more Singleton's and Kelley's than there are actual prospects. AAA for actual prospects is normally just a holding spot to avoid super 2 status.
  21. Reetz is a better defensive catcher than Feliciano is right now. Feliciano is still having trouble with passed balls and other issues at catcher defensively. Offensively there is not much for Feliciano to prove at AAA it is his defense that is holding him back right now. Catcher is one of the positions you can't really ignore defense you basically have to be Joe Mauer or Buster Posey good offensively for that to happen.
  22. Reetz is a better defensive catcher than Feliciano is right now. Feliciano is still having trouble with passed balls and other issues at catcher defensively. Offensively there is not much for Feliciano to prove at AAA it is his defense that is holding him back right now. Catcher is one of the positions you can't really ignore defense you basically have to be Joe Mauer or Buster Posey good offensively for that to happen.
  23. Incorrect as with all of the advanced metrics that are an aggregate of everything a player does at the plate OPS and OBP are already being considered in DRC+. So the OPS and OBP does not neutralize those stats at all as they are already being considered in them.
  24. There is a company called Opal that is already doing the methane extraction and have contracts with waste management already and a few other companies. They are using the current natural gas infrastructure to move the fuel.
  25. Semi’s should be the last to ever become EV’s. There are far better options right now like natural gas. For example methane natural gas burns a lot cleaner and is fairly close to a zero emissions like an EV. Plus we have an abundance of methane from dairy farms and landfills that can be used. Methane can also use the existing natural gas infrastructure to deliver the gas. Semi trucks and heavy machinery should be moving to natural gas and not EV’s.
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