nate82

The most I would go for Jansen would be a Ruiz, Valerio and one or two lower minor league players. I think the Blue Jays will be looking to get MLB ready SP and a CF so maybe Small and Ruiz for Jansen instead of Ruiz, Valerio and others. That is as high as I would go for Jansen which probably doesn't get you close enough for Jansen. The BTV value is to high for Jansen as he only has 2 years of control left and last year was his big breakout offensively. While he is better than Narvaez defensively when the Brewers traded for him and Narvaez had 3-years of control and he was only valued at 12. I think Jansen's true value is closer to 15-18 than it is to 26-30. I still don't want to give up Mitchell in a trade for a catcher who will only be with the team for 2-years and last year was his best offensively. Not to mention Jansen has only played one full season in MLB and that was in 2019 where he was absolutely awful offensively. I am not sure I buy that Jansen is a good catcher. He had a great year last year and maybe his on the up but he may not be an everyday catcher. It looks like he does better when he is not the everyday catcher. I don't want to trade Mitchell for someone who could be a 70-85 wRC+ catcher no matter how good they are defensively. If the Blue Jays would take Ruiz and Small or Ruiz, Valerio plus then sure but if the deal needs Mitchell I would be walking away from the deal. Let someone else pay that.

Athletically they are similar players not a one to one comparison but they are very close athletically. I don't really look at height and weight when comparing players nor do I look at their stats. It is mostly off of scouting reports, I have been able to collect some scouting reports on players usually just hand written notes or even an official scouting report here and there from some friends and through other means. This is what I compare with what I am seeing of the player in question. Hart is probably the closest you can get to a one to one comparison of Wiemer. Both are very athletic as they could both play all three OF positions. Hart played less than 100 games at 3B. I don't think he ever really fit there and it was mostly at high A with a few games in the AFL. 1B is not really an athletic position so I don't really see that as a plus for Hart. Athletically Hart is the closest to Wiemer but Sosa and Vaughn were no slouches when they were younger athletically. It is basically just looking at the players scouting reports and determining what players are comparable. It doesn't have to be an exact match and they don't have to equal each other statistically or physically. They just need to be in the same group which I gave a few examples of.

Wiemer is closer to Corey Hart or Geoff Jenkins than he is to Jay Buhner. Athletically Wiemer is closer to Hart than the others. Another player that Wiemer reminds me of is Sammy Sosa who wasn't all that bad in RF either. I think Wiemer is a little bit more athletic than Sosa was when he was younger. Yet another player closer to Wiemer would be Greg Vaughn.

The FED still has a planned 50 BP scheduled for December. Rumor has it that CPI will show a sharp increase in December’s report and it maybe a financial shocking number. We could see another 75 BP in December instead of the planned 50 BP increase. This will all depend on the December CPI reports. Should be coming out of the recession sometime in 2024 or 2025. This is definitely a FED caused extended recession. The FED missed getting inflation in check by a whole year.

I wouldn't be against that but I think the Braves would want to trade d'Arnaud as he has the higher salary.

I wouldn't be against that but I think the Braves would want to trade d'Arnaud as he has the higher salary.

For the people living out in the boonies and who are constantly moving around. https://www.starlink.com/rv

The Yankees were the team I was thinking Stearns will go to. Maybe the Yankees give Cashman one more year to win a WS and then they go with someone new. It has been a long time for Cashman in New York. I just don't see Stearns taking the job away from his friend Eppler on the Mets. It would be a demotion for Eppler if Stearns were to become the POBO of the Mets as Eppler would then become the assistant GM with the GM title.

The Yankees were the team I was thinking Stearns will go to. Maybe the Yankees give Cashman one more year to win a WS and then they go with someone new. It has been a long time for Cashman in New York. I just don't see Stearns taking the job away from his friend Eppler on the Mets. It would be a demotion for Eppler if Stearns were to become the POBO of the Mets as Eppler would then become the assistant GM with the GM title.

These can be very pricey. Best bang for your buck would be the Meta Quest 2. https://www.meta.com/quest/products/quest-2/ It comes with one free game but has a price tag of $399.99. It is unlikely these will go down in price on black friday or even cyber monday. The Quest 2 is probably the best out of all of the others and is the cheapest by far. The Quest 2 can connect to your phone through bluetooth but you need to have the Oculus app installed on their phones. Should work the same on a tablet.

I wouldn't be surprised if Eppler will be the POBO at the end of next season if the Mets are in the playoffs again next year. He should be a very popular name for GM for a few teams. Probably the Padres or the Angels if they falter again. If Cohen is serious about not pursuing Stearns then Eppler is either the POBO or he has gone to another team and Stearns is the new POBO/GM. There really isn't a difference between POBO and GM they are basically the same thing just a different title. The POBO is the GM and when the POBO is the GM the GM is just an assistant to the GM. Jed Hoyer is currently the POBO for the Cubs but is basically doing everything that a GM would do. Carter Hawkins is GM in name only as he is really just the Cubs assistant GM to Hoyer.

I wouldn't be surprised if Eppler will be the POBO at the end of next season if the Mets are in the playoffs again next year. He should be a very popular name for GM for a few teams. Probably the Padres or the Angels if they falter again. If Cohen is serious about not pursuing Stearns then Eppler is either the POBO or he has gone to another team and Stearns is the new POBO/GM. There really isn't a difference between POBO and GM they are basically the same thing just a different title. The POBO is the GM and when the POBO is the GM the GM is just an assistant to the GM. Jed Hoyer is currently the POBO for the Cubs but is basically doing everything that a GM would do. Carter Hawkins is GM in name only as he is really just the Cubs assistant GM to Hoyer.

This is false. Even with losing Westburg they have Gunnar Henderson who will either be the Orioles 2B, SS or 3B in '23. They also have Connor Norby who is similar to Turang. They have Max Wagner and Coby Mayo who will either be boom or bust prospects. There is quality for the Orioles in the IF. The Orioles also have recently drafted SS Jackson Holliday who comes in as the 5th best SS prospect in MLB and Norby is ranked in the top 10 for 2B. They also have a very intriguing SS in Darell Hernaiz, an INF in Cesar Prieto and Maikol Hernandez. Hernandez is further away as he was in the 2021 international signing class. Some scouts have compared him to Alex Rodriguez and Carlos Correa but from the scouts I have talked to that is mostly because of his athleticism and size. He is still very raw but they like his swing.

They can trade Brown after the World Series is over, so the day after the World Series is over all of the players who were drafted this year can be traded. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/mlb-fixes-the-trea-turner-problem-for-everyone-else/

The average attendance in Phoenix is about 7k. So in Milwaukee that is probably 3-4k a game on the high end will probably be something like 1-2k a game.

Affirm is at 2.5 APY but that is only available through their app. Capital one is at 2.3, Lendingclub 2.85, sofi 2.5, Marcus 2.35 and Ally 2.25. Just stay away from the traditional national banks and you should be fine. Might want to check on a local credit union.

Nice strawman arguments. I work in the financial industry and it is completely cut throat and far more than the baseball industry. We use a lot of free information to proof and validate our data. Thinking MLB execs are not going to do this also is just asinine. Regardless if the site is wrong or right it is another data point to verify your information. Is your model right or is it wrong. Since other teams can’t see another teams valuation process a free one is just as good to compare your data points. Why is this so hard for you to understand?

I don't think you have ever worked with data before or used third party applications to proof your work. It is ok if you don't understand this. From banks to tech giants like Google they all use third party applications to proof their work. If they buy the third party application it is no longer a good audit tool to proof your work and is more than likely going to be your new model if you are going to buy it. The teams already have a system and they will probably just be using the site to check if their results against what someone else is doing. Hey it is free why pay for something when you can just use it for free?

You are giving Vazquez $7.5m where he just barely outperformed Caratini? I mean sure if your goal is to set money on fire that is a good way to do it. Jose Abreu at $18m is also an overpay you may only get 100 games out of him and he is getting older. I like Abreu but no thanks at that price. Suter at $3m while removing Renfroe is a dumb idea. Suter pitched nearly all of his games in low leverage situations and that is way too much to pay someone to pitch low leverage situations. There are far better options in the minors than Suter to pitch those innings at a lower cost. Adding Benintendi wouldn't fix anything as he would either be batting lead off or batting second. That means you either have Yelich batting 2nd or Yelich batting 3rd or you have Adames batting 3rd or Adames batting 2nd. Take your poison pill how you want it but adding Benintendi would be a bad idea especially if you are replacing him with Renfroe. You basically just lost a power hitter in Renfroe who is probably your best #5 hitter. You effectively make the team worse by replacing Renfroe with Benintendi. Having Mitchell, Feliciano, Frelick and Turang all on the team is not going to happen. That is way too many rookies on the team. I don't see this team finishing better than this years team the way you have it constructed. At best I think your team finishes with the same record or worse. The bullpen actually looks worse so props on doing that.

Probably because the Blackhawks suck which sucks being a Blackhawks fan. Hopefully they trade Kane this year even if he doesn't want to be traded. The Blackhawks are just one ugly mess right now.

I think Chapman will do better in a smaller media market. But the warning flags are there and that is why I thought $10m would be a good gamble and it is only one year. If it works out great you have a really strong bullpen if not then the Brewers are back to a somewhat questionable bullpen. I think moving Williams to the 7th or 8th inning role would be better for him. Having Robertson and Chapman as the 8th and 9th inning guys would be better. I was thinking about flipping Laureano for more prospects but that maybe a deal during spring training. Would prefer another SS on the team as this roster would be pretty scarce if Turang or Adames go down with an injury. Getting Rodriguez and Holliday is the key here. You can either put Rodriguez in AAA to start and then bring him in midway through the season in the bullpen. Either way you have three young starters now in AAA (Small, Gasser and Rodriguez) to pick from if someone goes down with an injury. I really like Frelick but that would be three rookies on the team taking up major PA's. That is a lot of risk It is about what he is going to get this offseason. He got $5.1 from the Cubs this offseason and he had a really good year this year. This is the 2nd year in a row now where I wanted the Brewers to get Robertson. He would have been really good for the Brewers this year. I think he only signed with the Cubs this year as they gave him the closer role which helped him for this offseason to get a bigger payday. I think $6m is close enough to what he will get. Also it is really only a 1-year deal for Robertson with the buyout at $4m which is what the Brewers would do. I just did a 3-year deal to backdate the money and have a higher buyout in year two which is just about half of what Robertson would make. It would be beneficial for Robertson also to have that year two buyout as he could get a bigger payday in free agency that year. The $4m buyout plus whatever he could sign for probably something around $5m or more depending on how well he pitches in '23.

Trades: 1. Urias and Houser to the Giants for Bart, Murphy and Swiney 2. Burnes to the Orioles for Rodriguez, Holliday and McDermott 3. Taylor and Hiura to the Athletics for Puk, Irvin, Laureano and Kemp. This is a pure salary dump for the A's including Laureano and Kemp. FA Signings/Extensions: Josh Bell 2-years $22m ($12m player option for '24). Aroldis Chapman 1-year $10m David Robertson 3-years $24m (team option for '24 with a buyout of $4m and a player option for '25 at $10m) Willy Adames 6-years $110m (back loaded contract) Brandon Woodruff 6-years $140m (back loaded contract) Victor Caratini 2-years $4.5m ('24 is a player option at $3m) The '24 rotation could possibly be Woodruff, Peralta, Ashby, Lauer, Rodriguez/Gasser/Small/Irvin. Gasser and Rodriguez should get some time with the Brewers in '23 to get their feet wet a bit. Rodriguez is ready to go and could take a bullpen spot from Strzelecki or Cousins if needed. C: Joey Bart ($0.70M) 1B: Josh Bell ($10.0M) 2B: Jace Peterson ($2.5M) 3B: Willy Adames ($18.3M) SS: Brice Turang ($0.7M) LF: Christian Yelich ($22.00M) CF: Garrett Mitchell ($0.70M) RF: Hunter Renfroe ($11.0M) DH: Rowdy Tellez ($5.5M) 4th OF: Ramon Laureano ($3.6M) Utility: Mike Brosseau ($1.00M) Utility: Tony Kemp ($3.9M) Backup C: Victor Caratini ($1.5M) SP1: Brandon Woodruff ($18.00M) SP2: Freddy Peralta ($3.5M) SP3: Eric Lauer ($5.0M) SP4: Aaron Ashby ($1.2M) SP5: Cole Irvin ($0.7M) RP: David Robertson ($6.0M) RP: Jake Cousins ($.70M) RP: A.J. Puk ($0.70M) RP: Peter Strzelecki ($0.70M) RP: Hoby Milner ($1.00M) RP: Devin Williams ($4.00M) RP: Aroldis Chapman ($10.0M) Payroll is 2.18% over budget

Yelich numbers are right and I don’t believe they have updated the numbers recently. The values go up and down based on contract and performance. Yelich is so far negative because of his contract, no trade clause and performance. It would take a lot to erase those barriers for a trade so yeah you are going to have to give up a lot just to trade him. It is also why the Brewers can’t just dump him in a trade. You would get nothing back. Burnes will probably get a higher value once they update their values again. Taylor should decrease a bit and Wiemer looks about right also. Lauer’s value should increase some and Houser’s will drop mostly because of the injury and performance.

Methane should be less harmful in the long run than diesel and also should be less expensive and shouldn't hurt the environment as much as drilling for oil. There is a lot of methane that can be extracted in the US. The goal is to have as many options as there can be. I think semi-trucks would be the first ones to convert. Convert about 20% of the long haul semi-trucks to methane or another cleaner burning source and the environment will be better off. The economy will still need to move goods around and while trains would be a better option it would take a lot of money to restructure all of the rail in the US to be electric like most of Europe and Japan. There hasn't even been an estimate for this yet it will probably be in the 100's of billions of dollars. I think California is just about to finish or has finished its electric rail and that cost about $5b and I think that is just for commuter train. The real benefit isn't in a commuter train it is in freight. Some estimates have freight trains if the US could convert to electric would be something like saving $94b over a few decades. I am not sold on that figure and if it only saves $94b that is a huge cost to take under. I think a conservative estimate would be something like $500b to fully convert all of the US railway to electric. That would include creating new power plants to help cover this new electrical demand. So that amount could increase even more but this would be the chance to add some more nuclear facilities. We are already spending way to much why not just go all in and redo all of the railways in the US and add a few new nuclear facilities while we are at it. There are a lot of programs that can be gutted to do this and only increase the budget by a small amount. Basically just stop spending 2x as much as Russia and China combined on the military and that should cover this. Also just stop sending money to other countries either through aid or military equipment.

You are getting consumerism and capitalism mixed up. Capitalism has nothing to do with "what consumers wanted". That is consumerism it is basically the definition of consumerism. Well obviously everyone wants to get cheap oil no one wants expensive oil. It is not that no one wants to invest in more drilling or refinement it is that it is very prohibitive to do so. All of the large banks in the US will not finance any company for more drilling or refinement. The large banks won't fund any alternative fossil fuels which includes methane and other natural gas. Methane and other natural gasses would be a better option over diesel. This would then replace the heavy machinery and long distance semi-trucks. The US financial industry and government is stuck in this green energy for everything but they can't see one inch past their noses due to only seeing one way to get to an outcome. Also forget nuclear which at least one country is doing that correctly in France. The US already outpaces nearly every country in green energy (solar and wind). If you look at France's energy production you will see the majority of it comes from nuclear and the rest from everything else. France actually has a rather low solar and wind output. I don't believe we will be it is just replacing one problem with another. The kicking the can down the road a bit further. The batteries will have a shelf life on them and once that shelf life is hit what do you do with the batteries? Car accidents are still really high in the US. What happens to the batteries when they are damaged? You have to replace those batteries along with the car. While the batteries can be recycled only about 5% can be fully recycled which feels like a real waste. The process to recycle the batteries is also extremely hard. Getting 5% back in recycling sounds like you are going to create more pollution than you will be saving. It also looks to be very costly to recycle these batteries which means there won't be many companies doing this as the benefit will just not be there. That means these factories will be over seas where environmental standards will be very relaxed. Probably India, Pakistan or Venezuela sound like perfect homes for these recycling plants to operate. There are basically no environmental protections in these countries. I am going to assume these batteries are going to be buried somewhere or thrown into the ocean. Any benefit that will be gained from going to EV is going to be destroyed by the batteries that the EV's run on. I am not sure why people hate having more than one option to solve a problem. Having a mixture of cars, trucks and other vehicles running on a mixture of different things will help the environment out more. Methane and hydrogen need to be looked into more in powering vehicles but both get very little attention. It is just EV's or nothing when it should be a combination of all these options. Just like in investing it is never a good idea to place everything into one thing spread it out and you will decrease your risk.