The Brewers are still behind their expected win loss record by one game. Which for the Brewers is extremely weird. Normally the Brewers for about the last ten years now have been outperforming their expected win loss record. You have to go back to 2016 when the Brewers were below their expected win loss record. Going back to 2012 as I am not including the COVID year and not including the current season gives us ten years worth of seasons. Of those ten seasons the Brewers have only finished below their expected win loss in 2012, 2013, 2015 and 2016. This looks to be another year that will be below their expected win loss record.
The expected win loss record really doesn't show anything but the Brewers have been consistently beating it for awhile now and this will be the first playoff run where the Brewers are not beating their expected win loss record. Take that for whatever it is supposed to mean and it is probably nothing.
If you want to see something funny look at the 2018 season standings over at MLB.