Jump to content
Want to get your head around free agents the WORLD CHAMPION Brewers can spend on this winter? Click here and check out our top 75 free agents ranking! ×
Brewer Fanatic

brewjihad

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    380

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by brewjihad

  1. brewjihad
    I'm not sure why everyone is certain that Hardy can play second base. He's a sure handed, strong armed shortstop with average range. He profiles as a good fit at third defensively, but I don't see him fitting at second base because I think his range would be below average over there.
  2. brewjihad
    I meant to say in a full season. He will never put those up in a full season. And projected numbers dont mean anything. Until he proves it... In those seasons he played 96, 95, and 118 games. Maybe a better way to prove this is to point out his 162-game averages: .244 / .350 / .402. That OBP isn't above your .360 line, but is that really relevant? And the point stands about Durham, who at age 36 put up a 65 OPS+ last year. I'd never trust him with anything more than a backup job. To say Rickie will never put those numbers up in a full season is projecting his future numbers, but you try to counter what I will project by saying that doesn't mean anything. I think it's reasonable to project a line of .240/.350/.400 yet this year, and obviously next year. That's better than what you can project for Durham.
  3. brewjihad
    Last year Durham hit .218 / .295 / .343 in 464 at-bats, with 11 home runs. Who's to say he's not going to do that again? I don't know what you mean about Rickie not being able to break the .230 average and .360 OBP--- in fact, in his 3 years with 350 or more at-bats, he hasn't hit lower than .230, he's been .239, .279, .235, and his OBPs have been .333, .363, and .374. He has broken those 6 potential thresholds that you say he can never seem to break 5 times in his career.
  4. brewjihad
    Check out Sabathia's first four games this year. His ERA in those four was 13.50, and he gave up 5, 4, 9, and 9 (!) earned runs and averaged about 4 innings pitched. How unclutch of him to push the Indians out of the playoff race!
  5. brewjihad
    Hooray! Counsell at third again tonight for the opener of the Padres series. I wonder if he could even hit a ball out of Petco during batting practice.
  6. brewjihad
    But that's the point. If the rest of the offense is scoring runs at this point, then Counsell is fitting perfectly into our lineup right now because his lack of run production is not being exposed. But at the same time, he's playing good defense and filling a team need. The main thing people need to remember is that this is just temporary. If the offense goes back into the tank and I'm sure it will if Braun misses extended time, Branyan will be back. I'm trying very hard to understand this concept. It's acceptable to play a worse player because the other players are playing well, so the worse player's impact isn't as noticeable? Using this theory, (using analogies to other Wisconsin sports teams) - the Bucks could start Dan Gadzuric at center when the other 4 starters are scoring a lot, because Gadzuric is marginally better than Andrew Bogut at getting steals. - the Packers could start Kregg Lumpkin at running back when the passing game is going well because Lumpkin is a marginally better pass blocker than Ryan Grant Counsell hasn't 'costed' the Brewers victories, but that is not the point. The point is if Ned continues to use Counsell as the lefthanded member of the 3B platoon, he will eventually cost the Brewers a victory- and that's absolutely inexcusable.
  7. brewjihad
    I'm really confused. As bad as Balfour was in his 3 outings, you're going to keep him around in a playoff race? Hardly. Mota had a very good April and May, a poor stretch, and now has been fine since the all-star break, or just after. He's also throwing 94-96 consistently. There's many contenders that would love to add him. His ceiling is not very high, but he's not going to go without a job either. Josh Kalk has Balfour's initial average velocity at 95.7, fangraphs has 94.5 average velocity. Mota's is 94.6 on Kalk's pitchfx data and fangraphs number 94.3. Evaluating one pitcher on 3 1/3 innings and giving another a free pass when they have an ERA over 12 for a full month is a double standard of pitcher evaluation. I'm not arguing against Mota, I'm just questioning why you would say you wouldn't want Balfour based on three random outings last season. There's no way we could reasonably conclude anything based on 3 1/3 innings, something that is being proven in Tampa Bay with Balfour right now.
  8. brewjihad
    I'd like to address this line by line... As I said before, Craig is the best defender of the three. He also has the best OBP. Counsell's OBP is .330. Branyan's is .331. Counsell's slugging is .321. Branyan's is .594. He does have the best defense, without a doubt. But is it worth that much slugging dropoff? I don't think so. Branyan looks to have poor range at 3B, and if he does not hit a HR, the odds are he's giving you nothing, or very, very little. Oh boy. He does walk, no? Is a walk very, very little? Hall has struggled versus RHP all season, and while good defensively, has made many errors, mostly on the routine throw/grounder. Yup. That's why Branyan should be playing ahead of him. What is ironic is when LaRussa mixes and matches, he's labeled a genius in strategery... I don't like LaRussa, I don't think many people think he's a good manager. Basically, when you have choices, you delay the decision by putting it off until someone steps up... I prefer evaluating the choices, determining the best one based on the presented information, and moving forward.
  9. brewjihad
    Since the Great RISP crisis of 08 began when the last homestand started, Branyan has played twice at 3B in 13 games. I realize you aren't blaming Branyan for the RISP struggles, but... to sacrifice that much production just because Counsell occasionally grounds out instead of striking out isn't a good way to decide who plays, in my opinion anyway.
  10. brewjihad
    Branyan had been struggling a bit, but his line is still .281 .366 .667 1.033 line in 131 plate appearances against righties. It's inexcusable that Counsell starts 3/4 games at third when there's an option on the bench as good as Branyan is against righties. At least it looks like the silliness of "Hall is hot vs. righthanders" after the 2 homers against the Cardinals is done. Power was never the problem for Bill against them.
  11. brewjihad
    I could use a lot of statistics to refute that label but it really isn't necessary. I was just going to do that too. I'll just say this: The ones that dominate for the whole year win Cy Youngs and go to the Hall of Fame. The ones who dominate 3/4ths of the time are the other 28 teams' staff aces.
  12. brewjihad
    Mark DeFelice got roughed up tonight for 6 runs, and he uncharacteristically walked someone. Sounds are facing Oakland's Gio Gonzalez and they haven't gotten a hit through 4 innings. Nice outing for Omar Aguilar, 3 innings and only 1 hit. Chris Dennis hit 2 homers for Helena, so much for him struggling.
  13. brewjihad
    When does the Power 50 release its Grit Rankings? Am I wrong in placing Weeks in the bottom 5 of Brewer 25 man roster grit relativity? Or do the HBPs and plowage of the Cubs catcher (game #3?) keep him permanently up there? The only players with less grit I can see is Braun & JJ (too pretty), Rivera (catchers shouldn't be offensive minded in Yost-ese) and Parra (Manny is too girly of a name). Grit quantified! I made a formula to determine grit= HBP+SF+SH minus HR+IBB+GIDP+SO, +100, *GB%, *singles/total hits. The top Grittiest Brewers (hitters only) were Kendall, Counsell, and Kapler. Weeks was actually fourth, driven by his propensity to get hit by pitches does increase his GRIT. Your observations are impressive.
  14. brewjihad
    Yovani Gallardo told Jim Powell that he hopes to come back in September as a starter. (I don't mean to start a whole debate about him coming back to early, but it's certainly a bright spot/silver lining).
  15. brewjihad
    I personally think there's a right and wrong way to handle broadcasting a no-hitter. Obviously an announcer can't jinx it or anything, it just is annoying when they say "He's got a no-hitter going" or something like that. When Dave Bush had his going into the eighth at Miller Park, Jim and Bob were alluding to it, reading off the linescore and pausing on the "no hits" for the Blue Jays or saying "The only runners to reach were on the walks..."- things like that are necessary so the audience understands what is going on. But to blatantly blurt it out just is annoying to me.
  16. brewjihad
    Also, Hardy's OPS+ is 115, Theriot's is 104. He's a decent utility guy but I would never start him over J.J. Hardy.
  17. brewjihad
    PTBNL is an acronym for Tim Lincecum right? Pretty sure. Player To Be Named: Lincecum. Makes perfect sense to me. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif Also, I think some radio guy saw no Angel Salome in the AA lineup and ran with it, not aware of the suspension.
  18. brewjihad
    I sure hope that the TH thread guy is making stuff up, or the radio people are speculating and don't know about the suspension.
  19. brewjihad
    Street is under contract through 2010. That'll drive up the asking price, of course, but it'd be nice to get a guy that's not just a rental.
  20. brewjihad
    For those that have never been to Appleton to see Fox Cities Stadium, here's a link with a few pictures of the field and seating areas. I haven't been to a whole lot of minor league parks, but I'm guessing that Fox Cities Stadium is one of the best around. It's so clean and the playing field is fantastic. The T-Rats will almost certainly not renew with the Mariners this year- they've gotten the opposite treatment the Brewers have given WV, most decent prospects have skipped this stop. Jeff Clement only made a token stop here. The best guy they've had was Carlos Triunful, a 17 year old shortstop last year. They were terrible this year and last. It would be bad for the folks in WV, but I'd make it to more T-Rats games if the Brewers were affiliated with them and I'd actually know/care about the players there. I think there are plenty of BF.net 'scouts' up here that would provide pictures, video, and scouting reports of the players if the Brewers were to move here. And in regards to the weather, it's always bad for the T-Rats in early April but that's about the only issue. I think the Brewers would consider that issue, but I still think they would join with the T-Rats. It'd be a win-win situation- the T-Rats get a better organization and the Brewers grow awareness up in Appleton, where few seem to know that the Brewers exist because the top five stories on the news every day are about the Packers- and they have a near-by affiliate in case of rehab games or scouting.
  21. brewjihad
    I nominate Eddie Guardado, pitching for the Rangers. He has a 2.70 ERA and pretty equal splits.
  22. brewjihad
    http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/anatomy-of-a-player-carlos-marmol/ Josh Kalk weighs in, his problems seem to be due to overuse and a change in his fastball arm angle.
  23. brewjihad
    Another thought would be to release Cameron and and find a fast, lead-off lefthanded centerfielder (though I have no idea who I'm describing). I don't want to start a big TG Jr. discussion here, but I'd like to point out that Rickie's OBP of .320 this year- though obviously not good, but out of line given his career numbers (a .349 career OBP)- is quite a bit better than Gwynn's Juann Pierre-like .302 OBP in 235 Major League ABs. In regards to the original post, Greinke for Hardy and another player isn't going to get it done. One rumor this year said that the Blue Jays offered Burnett for Hardy. Grienke is worth a ton more than A.J. Burnett.
  24. brewjihad
    If there is any long-term danger to Yo's health or mechanics posed by coming back, I'd prefer he shut it down and prepare for next year. That won't stop me from hoping he comes back in late September, however. Also: Would Yo have to be on the active roster by 8/31 in order to be allowed to participate in postseason play? Or since he's on the DL, he would still be able to make an appearance in late September and then still pitch in October? Didn't Aaron Cook come off of the DL to start in the World Series last year?
  25. brewjihad
    yeah, and missed a whole (major league) year because of it. I empathize with Greinke, but the risk of a recurrence is there, especially if he is traded out of his comfort zone. Okay, I understand that- but I don't think I'd label it an injury. If a pitcher has injury concerns, I'd be worried about them hurting their arm.
×
×
  • Create New...