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CheezWizHed

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Everything posted by CheezWizHed

  1. CheezWizHed
    I just hope Josh doesn't start getting gun-shy out there pitching. Kentrail Davis was one draft pick that I wasn't really impressed with when we drafted him. However, I don't claim any foreknowledge of scouting players or anything. Just a negative response to what was written about him. Having said that, I'm also thinking that he has a decent chance at bouncing back at AA. But that is just a gut feeling. But I think he should stick it out at A+ this year and get to AA next year.
  2. CheezWizHed
    I'll admit to being a little production biased, for two main reasons: 1) Draft reports seem to be sketchy at best (ramssuperbowl99's write up on Heckathorn summarizes that well). So I prefer to wait at least a year in the Brewer's system before getting a handle on a player's ceiling. Higher round picks do get more credibility, but Arnett proves that it isn't fool-proof either (granted some guys here pegged him early as a questionable pick) 2) Such a high number of players fail to succeed at or get past AA, that I tend to give a lot of credit to anyone at AAA or doing well at AA. So some lower ceiling guys (like Fiers and Rivas) get a bit more credit, so it balances with higher ranked guys at lower levels (unless someone is exceptional - like Thornburg - but even his accent is due mostly to his production). Thus, I tend to rank based on probability of impact to the MLB level, thus trying to balance production and potential. Newer guys like Arcia, Perez, Ramirez, Rivera are all on my radar and could rise quickly, but I'd like to see them a bit more to ensure they aren't on simple "hot-streaks". ramssuperbowl99, how does Khris Davis not make your top50? Sure he is an older guy at A+, but a 7th round pick with perhaps the best power in the system (BK might argue that). He has to be there somewhere... Otherwise, a good write-up. Also, stop by LambeauLeap.net some time and we can straighten you out. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif
  3. CheezWizHed
    They'll also use Herrera's current spot for either Herrera, or for Meadows. We take Herrera off to put him back on? http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif I'm hoping this topic WON'T be a hot topic, as I hope we won't need to bring anyone up, since anyone other than Green or Gamel probably means an injury replacement.
  4. CheezWizHed
    TH has big problems figuring out draft rounds. He listed Nick Ramirez as a 3rd round pick also. I guess on average, he is correct..
  5. CheezWizHed
    There is a reason I use RR, YB, and Morgan when referring to them. But I'm probably a Greinke/Grienke offender...
  6. CheezWizHed
    With Morris at A+ and Hawn at A-ball, I'm guessing Ramirez will stay at Helena for the season. Unfortunately, all are limited to 1B (yes, I know Morris has played LF and 3B, but from reports, he shouldn't).
  7. CheezWizHed
    Ok, I plopped down #1 and #2 immediately, then had to make a list and put the rest in order, so there is a bit of a gap there. 1. Tyler Thornburg - He just keeps impressing. 2. Wily Peralta - Probably has the highest potential of our SPs (or second to Rogers) 3. Nick Bucci - What can I say, I'm a believer! 4. Khris Davis - No surprise, as I've defended him in several spots around this board. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif 5. Taylor Green - Call me crazy, but I still like him better than Lawrie at 3B. 6. Michael Fiers - Where would he be now if the Brewers started him at AAA to begin the season (like they should have)? 7. Logan Schafer - Good CF Defense, decent bat with good OBP numbers. 8. Caleb Gindl - Not splashy and doesn't stand out in any one area, but very solid all-around. 9. Amuary Rivas - Not pitching like he used to, but still has #3-4 SP potential. 10. Maldonado - Haven't seen anyone list him, but an excellent defensive catcher that is beginning to hit. HM (no order implied): - Heckathorn - I can see him as similar to Rivas, but a step lower. - Scarpetta - Probably should be in my top 10, but I just have problems with his hot/cold streaks. - Rogers - Injuries, Injuries, Injuries... - Y Rivera - He and Arcia give our system SS woes some hope. - Komatsu - I like Little Pine, but is a bit of a tweener. Just a hiccup lower than Gindl. - Richardson - Ok, I'm beginning to see something here.
  8. CheezWizHed
    And prior to that, he was giving some Rivas-like production at AA (except from the south-side of the mound) and one of my sleeper picks. Still has some time and promise, but those lost 2 years really hurt him and is already 27.
  9. CheezWizHed
    His base is $4M, still too much to consider arbitration.One of these days, I'll remember not to trust my memory. But I keep forgetting...
  10. CheezWizHed
    Plush is Nyjer Morgan No! Say it isn't true! Granted, I've never seen them in one place at the same time...
  11. CheezWizHed
    Overbay, Fielder, LaPorta, Morris, Hawn, Ramirez... the Brewers sure do like LH 1st basemen!
  12. CheezWizHed
    We've had a "Hurricane" -- what about "El Ciclón" for Rivera? Nah... they blow hard for a while, then fizzle out. Especially tropical storms. They always lose power once they hit the main-land. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif In the decisive tenth, Taylor Green and Mat Gamel drew back-to-back one-out walks from Iowa reliever Chris Carpenter before the pitcher-catcher exchange failed the I-Cubs. With an 0-2 count on Sounds catcher Mike Rivera, the next two offerings went to the screen to allow Nashville to take the lead (audio). But how is Chris Carpenter going to explain this to his son? (That it wasn't him playing for the Iowa Cubs).
  13. CheezWizHed
    I would disagree. I think Gindl is proving some of us wrong with the "only 4th OFer" label and could be a legit starting RF. There is nothing particularly "special" about any one tool, he is solid all-around. Putting him at #3 seems really high. Davis has a plus tool in power. He obviously has defensive limitations that take some luster off that shine. And now at 22, I doubt Gindl is going to add much in terms of power to make up the difference. I can understand some reservations on Davis as he hasn't hit above A-ball yet, but I think his potential still trumps Gindl's
  14. CheezWizHed
    I've seen people compare Davis to Braun My comparison of Davis to Braun is more based on a player that would be a defensively below average LF with a 900 OPS bat. And that is more a comparison of Davis' ceiling. I wasn't trying to compare careers. I'll also throw out that Braun was 22 at Brevard, while Davis is 23. So its not a huge age difference there...
  15. CheezWizHed
    Nice to see 6Ks in 7IP for Hall also... that's 6Ks in 23BF, which is about double his season average...
  16. CheezWizHed
    Before the season, if I told you we were going to trade out best hitting prospect, our best pitching prospect, our starting shortstop and our likely starting centerfielder and we'd finish a cool 10 games over .500, would you have been satisfied? I would not have. And I hope I'm wrong but I don't think 86 wins is going to win the division. Satisfied? Of course not. My expectations (as I mentioned above) after all of that happening was 90 wins. They are on track for 86 wins right now and I think they have good potential to improve. So I still expect them to hit 90. Even with all of those trades, the realistic view of the team was that they had holes (the biggest of which was made at SS by those trades). And the season is playing out like that. I think it was pie in the sky expectations that they would walk away from everyone and become a WS champion. But they are contenders.
  17. CheezWizHed
    In my opinion they are not living up to expectations, not even close What were you expecting? A 100 win team? Right now they are targeted for 86 wins. I expected 90 this year, so that puts them slightly below my expectations. Selling right now would be grounds for immediate firing of DM. The goal right now is to make the playoffs, preferably by winning their division. Then you worry about winning in the playoffs. The Packers played below expectations much of last year (mainly due to injuries, but...) then when they got to the playoffs, they gelled, got hot, and won it all.
  18. CheezWizHed
    Its highly unlikely that we offer Hawkins arby even if he pitches "lights-out" the rest of the season. He is making $7M (if memory serves) this year. With being on the injured list for all of last year and 1/4 of this year, no way he gets any offers over that much. He would be a fool to decline arby, which would guarantee him >$5M in a worst case scenario and more like $7-8M or more in a realistic arby case. Saito is making far less and wouldn't be nearly the risk despite his age. But I still doubt he is offered arby.
  19. CheezWizHed
    From my understanding, Davis is actually a decent fielder (range and glove). Its his arm that limits him to LF.
  20. CheezWizHed
    Hart and Davis aren't a perfect comparison, but there is some overlap. If I were to reverse it an compare Davis to our entire system, I'd have Braun at the high end and Hart a the low end.
  21. CheezWizHed
    Loe is not purely a ROOGY. However, RR needs to understand that in tight situations you can't leave Loe in their against the opposition's best LHB. Helton, Votto, Chipper Jones, etc.. Loe can face some lefties (especially the lesser hitters), but those big lefties when the game is close... He has to come out.
  22. CheezWizHed
    Cardinals right-hander Chris Carpenter operated well in damage control over eight innings on Saturday and Pujols homered again to give St. Louis a 4-1 victory. Well, it doesn't state how he did it, but it evidently took 8 innings to explain it. Do you think he son is a slow learning or that Carpenter just doesn't explain things well? http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif
  23. CheezWizHed
    Yeah, I was thinking of the deal without the "one has MLB experience" comment. I doubt they pair Green or Schafer with someone of MLB experience, unless its a really low-end/older guy like Sean Green/James/DeFelice, which I really doubt. But I also didn't want to fall into the trap of overvaluing our prospects also. According to "experts", Green and Schafer wouldn't be a high-end prospects that people have said won't be included.
  24. CheezWizHed
    (again, sad, sad existence) No need to explain. Many of us have been Brewer Fans through the '90s. On teams like that, you cheer for small victories... http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
  25. CheezWizHed
    No its not, its ALWAYS relative to the numbers of runs you produced/saved and then how many runs a win was worth that season. For example the old 1880s guys who threw 500+ innings have huge WAR totals, but you need to understand the context that they allowed them to get that high. I guess I was figuring that the replacement level would fluctuate from year to year based on playing conditions (changes in baseballs, bats, general player conditioning), thus WAR attempts to show how far one particular player stands out from his peers (assuming all have equal chances) in that particular year. For example, if you grabbed Babe Ruth with a time machine and dropped him in the Brewer's lineup, he probably wouldn't be very good (at least not like he was), since general training methods have improved the overall level of play and Ruth would be "conditioned" by lower standard methods (mainly drinking and smoking). But he still was a great player for that era. But that was a good point about the number of IP or number of PA to accumulate that WAR. I hadn't thought about that.
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