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Roderick

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Everything posted by Roderick

  1. Roderick
    We only had 2 last year, if I am remembering correctly. How many did they bring up the year before?
  2. Roderick
    Well if the Brewers spend $21M for two FA pitchers (Marcum? + FA) and revamp the pen with FAs, then the Brewers will end up spending what they did this year, $98M+. If that is the number then he will have won his side of the bet. I can see Mark A. going that route (two FA starting pitchers) as he can sell the new pitcher (s)and sell that they are still competing for a playoff spot. Obviously, if they go with some combination of Estrada/Narveson/Rogers/Thornburg/Peralta to fill around Gallardo and Fiers - they will be substantially cheaper.
  3. Roderick
    Regardless of his next few starts, I am thinking that Rogers will be on the ML roster next year. If not as a starter, then a bullpen guy. Even if he stinks in the spring, I think they go into the season with him and see how it goes (at a minimum he takes the Dillard role). You have to figure that Axford may be the only guy back next year and that is quite a number of slots to fill via FA.
  4. Roderick
    I disagree. Payroll is always going to be an issue for every team that doesn't print money like the Yankees. Even if you figure the Brewers are balanced on salaries/revenue next year - if Hart was traded and the Brewers didn't replace that $9.5M of savings in 2013, I feel Mark A. would let Melvin spend that savings in 2014. Which may be the best course of action, depending on the outlook for starting pitching next year.
  5. Roderick
    I find it unlikely even Scott Boras could get Gomez a deal like that. Guy's not even a proven full-time player. Ahh, yes. My least favorite term once again rears its ugly head. I 'get' it here, I 'get' it whenever it's mentioned, but I still hate it. Maybe I should've just gone with the 4/$25M idea that others have floated in this thread -- that didn't seem to throw anyone. I feel like 4/$30M is a little closer to what might realistically get something done, sans Boras... I realize that's a little nit-picky on my part. I just feel like with how FA spending has exploded, Gomez turning himself into the mid-700s OPS player everyone hoped he would (yes, that's my belief) means he's going to be looking at some serious interest once he hits the FA market. I think $6-8M per year for a guy like that, with obviously elite defense, is a good deal. Count me in the group that says pay him his arby money for 2013 and go from there. Maybe he will be more consistent and Schafer doesn't produce and they will be forced to go after him as a FA. I'd rather wait and overpay later, then sign now and find out we have seen his best and that Schafer can pretty much replicate his value at min. wage.
  6. Roderick
    I have Braun as a salary of $8.5M plus $2.5M prorated signing bonus, or a total of $11.0M.
  7. Roderick
    I think you summarized everything well in this post and above, but I think the starting payroll for 2013 will be in the $95M range (which will be closer to breakeven than an $80M payroll, imo). Unless they really want to go with a whole set of young pitchers in 2013 with the thought of going for it in 2014. Then they can have a small payroll in 2013 and ramp it up the following year. I just think Mark A. will want to sign at least 1 free agent ($10-$13M) pitcher (not counting Marcum).
  8. Roderick
    No reason to think that is a good enough rotation to make the playoffs either - just too many question marks (especially since the bullpen will be a total revamp also). Maybe 1 or 2 pitchers will be good rotation starters, but the rest may end up like Ben Hendrickson. Note, I am not against spending 2013 finding out which of those young pitchers will be a longterm piece of the puzzle, with the assumption of competing for the playoffs in 2014. But if that is the staff we are rolling out, we should try to trade Hart during the offseason (where he will have more value than midseason trade).
  9. Roderick
    Just for kicks, for those that try to calculate equal value, what would it take to get Jordan Zimmerman from Washington during the offseason? I have no idea of their roster/system needs or surpluses.
  10. Roderick
    I have the Brewers payroll this year at $101.5M (starting payroll, not counting the min. salaries for callups, but does include Braun signing bonus and Aoki posting fee). It would seem that if the Brewers were in the ballpark of breaking even this year (?) and they are budgeting the same turnstile count for next year, they could increase because of the new TV money. But I wouldn't be budgeting the same turnstile count, if I was in charge. Also figure that the most important thing to Mark A. is that he cashflows to pay debt/salaries. He doesn't have to turn a "profit" annually. The "profit" will be made when he sells the team.
  11. Roderick
    If Segura can be league average SS for six years, we wouldn't even need the pitchers to do anything to have made an outstanding trade.
  12. Roderick
    But if they could have moved Wolf or KRod (for nothing) if they paid half of their salaries (or something similar) - it still would have significantly saved them some money. You could have shipped over all of Wolf's remaining 2012 salary this year just to have the other team pay his buyout.
  13. Roderick
    It would seem to me they pitch him in AAA until their season is over and then he comes up to get a couple of starts in September. They could even go to a six (edit) man rotation if Marcum would actually come back by throwing Wolf in the pen. And since Thornburg did have breaks during the middle of the summer, innings shouldn't be a problem for his arm.
  14. Roderick
    When you are talking millions of dollars on the line, all information is used. I sure would be lowering what I offer for Greinke if I traded for him today. If he comes back with a strong game against the Phillies, then the skipped start may actually be considered a benefit for the trading team as Greinke should be set to go for the rest of the season. I suppose if the Brewers feel he is healthy but he has a poor start against the Phillies (and his value is down) they can make part of the trade be a minor leaguer to be named later whose value increases/decreases dependent on the number of Greinke starts.
  15. Roderick
    Bingo. KRod gone. Livan, keep maybe @ $750k just to eat innings - but I would rather have M.Rogers do that. I can see the Brewers letting Veras and Loe walk if their pricetag goes up much more than this years. But we have to have someone fill the pen that is better than Dillard, McClendon, and the other AAA guys. It could be Axford and Parra and a whole new bullpen starting next year if Melvin wants to go that way.
  16. Roderick
    Doesn't the draft budget help the small market teams? You used to have players that the Pirates, Brewers wouldn't draft as the player would want too much and then the Yankees drafting after them would just pick them and pay them. Now that player is going to basically get paid the same amount whoever drafts him. Doesn't that allow the small market teams to draft the best talent?
  17. Roderick
    I agree with the above scenario. If the Brewers take at least 2 from Cincy and then has at least 5 more wins before the July 31st game, DM will probably trade for some bullpen help if anything.
  18. Roderick
    The fact that we'd have to give up quite a few prospects from our already paper thin farm system to get him. And he's 29, not 25. And also, his slash is .251/.295/.339 this year. I don't know much about Yunel Escobar, but shortstop is the obvious hole on the current and future roster. This seems like the perfect scenario of when to trade from the farm system - fill a need for 3-4 years.
  19. Roderick
    The problem is that there is no way that MA & DM view the Ramirez contract as bad. They obviously thought he was worth it 8 months ago, and he hasn't performed worse than expectations (slow start, heat up in summer, decent defense, healthy). I think they'd have to be blown away to trade him. The contract is okay when viewed in total. But the way it is structured with steep escalators would be the reason to just dump it. He is really cheap this year - not so for the next two years. So we would be trading him after using up 60% of the "cheap" year. I agree that ARam has some value, especially to a team desperate enough. But I would rather package that value with Wolf's negative value, not pay any of their salary/buyout and get nothing back in return if the Dodgers don't have any prospect of corresponding value (if we pick up some salary). Let Melvin bank that money and use it for next season.
  20. Roderick
    I don't hate ARam, but is he going to earn the $30M he will be paid after this year? Seems to me if we can package him and Wolf together I wouldn't care if we got a used bag of balls back to shed those dollars (but if got back Hairston it would be nice). As for a no-trade clause, if he does have one, it may not be for all teams or he may waive it for the Dodgers and a chance for the playoffs.
  21. Roderick
    I agree they should take it slow. I think this is a way for the league to ensure an owner doesn't trade away too much of his team's future. Also they may not want teams to try to acquire more than "their share" of picks in any one particular draft - and might want to see how that goes.
  22. Roderick
    I agree. At this point I am not even sure if the Brewers try to keep Parra and Loe at their arby cost for next year. Maybe Loe if he comes in closer to this years cost versus $3M+. Veras only if he comes cheap and only because they will have to replace so many spots in the pen at one time.
  23. Roderick
    Not that I disagree about bringing him up, but that cost seems low. The MLB min salary is $480K. So he will earn $228K on the major league roster for the rest of the year. I'm not sure if there would be any savings in the minors between Bianchi and whoever replaces him in the system, but his cost I would think is more than $125K for the rest of the year. Either that or you figure if he is a straight up switch from T.Green that there is no additional cost as Green goes from MLB salary to MiLB salary, right?
  24. Roderick
    Amen. All the better if LA actually would give us something for him. I had actually forgotten about his $4M buyout.
  25. Roderick
    Just thought it was funny that you mention wanting hard throwers and then mention Kolb as an example of a good bullpen pickup.
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