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Roderick

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Everything posted by Roderick

  1. Actually if that is a half a season of 7 innings per game before his shoulder/arm gives out, I would take it. By then, we possibly could have 2-3 young guys that could finish the season and be within innings pitched. It is the 5 innings a game pitcher that kills the bullpen. However, I doubt Marcum is that 7 inning guy anymore. But if he can be something and signed on the cheap and not toast the bullpen.....
  2. I guess that is why you are not in charge of MA money. DM will let the music stop and if there is someone out there that he likes without a seat he can bring him in on the cheap and they can compete with: Gallardo, Estrada, Fiers, Peralta, Rogers, Thornburg, Narveson. I'm thinking we end up sending over an inconsequential piece for one of the Dodgers extra pitchers.
  3. How do we know what Marcum thought? It isn't like the Brewers gave him an offer at any point time.
  4. Thornburg got all messed up when they moved him to the pen last year. I very highly doubt the Brewers will use him in that role to start the season. Plus assuming Thornburg isn't in the starting rotation out of spring ball, he would probably be more ready than anyone else in the minors, so they should keep him stretched out to replace the inevitable injury or Hendricksonitis.
  5. How many options have the Brewers exercised? Doesn't seem like many. Some of those that I think we paid out on: Looper, Riske, Davis, Hoffman, Suppan, Zaun, Wolf. So I would rather pay Dempster 2yr/$25M than 2yr/$24M with a $3M option (as an example). Also if he is doing so well, they could always give him a qualifying offer as his per year contract is probably going to be pretty similar to the QO amount anyways. Plus the object to me is to find a 1-2 year guy, not a 2-3 year guy. We should have arms coming through the minors and if they aren't, then the team isn't going anywhere anyways as they need those min. wage guys to balance the budget.
  6. I'm not saying to rely on just them for 2013. But I would try to find a veteran (FA/trade) for shorter years than the three you think you would sign Jackson for (is that all the years he is asking for?).
  7. Obviously at those thresholds the union would balk unless some sort of floor was also instituted to require the teams to not just pocket the money (see Cincy Bengals of the NFL). And that floor would probably be too high without more media revenue pooling.
  8. And how did that work for Suppan and Wolf? If everyone knew Jackson was going to be good in three years (so he could be flipped), he would already be signed to a big contract. There just seems to be questions about his abilities or longevity for some reason. Count me in as a guy that doesn't want to block the youngsters.
  9. Isn't the league min $490K next year? I don't know why he would get much more than that, when he has been flopping between the minors and mlb. I doubt there will be a big signing war for the 37 year old. Or is there a veteran minimum wage?
  10. To me ARam, Aoki and the catcher's position outperformed what we will see next year. And I don't see any upside left for Hart, Braun, Gomez - not assuming they dropoff but won't produce more than last year and if injured there will be a dropoff. Weeks and Segura will probably be a little better, but how many more runs will that add? So I don't see all the bad years you were referencing and if roster stays static, I would project an overall dropoff of offense next year.
  11. The Dodgers just signed a Korean pitcher. They will be giving away Capuano/Harang/Lilly. I would like to pick up one of them instead of Dempster as insurance for all the Brewers young pitchers. Giving up Narveson is too much, unless the Brewers think he is damaged goods, in which case they wouldn't have kept him.
  12. I'm for trading Hart assuming a good enough return. The return would have to be substantially more than the sandwich pick that we would get for Hart when he moves on in 2014. It would be nice to have one more season with Hart, to verify that Morris is really on track and chances are that one of Gamel/Green will get enough at bats next season to see if they could man the position full-time. So I wouldn't trade him without a good return.
  13. I'm always wary of taking a promising starting pitcher and putting him in the pen for a year and then assuming he will be decent in that role and that he can get back to where he was as a starter the next season when you need him to be a starter. But that is just me.
  14. As long as we're talking about 36 Million guaranteed no matter what, a back loaded deal is good for the team. A dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow. Especially when you consider the rate of inflation in baseball salaries. Of course the player's agent knows this also. So if it was scheduled normal it may have been a total of $35M something like this 8.5, 11.5, 15.
  15. I assume Melvin would be downplaying the local TV contract revenue coming in (as the point of the article is the lack of money to spend). Hence the vague "around" $21M. Quite probably, the actual TV deal is for more, but structured in such a way that Melvin feels he can lowball and say "around" $21M to a reporter now and explain it later if he has to. And in six months when some article comes out we may get a more accurate larger number. At least that is what I am hoping.
  16. Which also means the O's would be able to recoup a draft pick if Hart walks in 2014. Which would add some value from the Brewers side of the tranx. Wouldn't the O's have the money to keep him though?
  17. Then put it this way. He is much cheaper than Loe.
  18. In this case he is cheap. So we would be trading assets for cash in essence (plus the experienced for youth/health tradeoff). I would start with A. Pena and see how much more it would take. Just think we can repeat all the flattering things they had to say about Pena back to them.
  19. It would seem the price of catching will go up with the Martin signing by the Pirates. Other than the price he got, it also takes another catcher out of FA, making Maldanado that much more valuable.
  20. I would assume any team that has the bucks to spend that the Nationals have, would have to be considered.
  21. I agree, on the face of it I would rather take my chances with one year of Marcum instead of three years of Dempster. But obviously the Brewers know his health better than anyone.
  22. I don't think most of the board thought we overpaid at the time. But the way his contract was structured with a very cheap first year and a very expensive last year, I think quite a few would have been okay with shipping him to the Dodgers or whoever, as we would have "milked" quite a bit of his value. Why would the owners mutiny? It is obvious enough owners have huge revenue coming in and can afford to escalate salaries at this rate. The owners that can't, will have to be diligent to move their players for pre-arby guys before they lose them in free agency.
  23. You listed five guys. The Brewers also seem to be happy with Narveson's progress. Plus Hellweg/Burgos could very well be a midyear or injury callup type of guys. So you have Gallardo and 6 options to fill 4 spots, with potentially two other guys ready as fillins. If we assume that half of the 6 options do well/okay, then you have a starting rotation with 4 good/decent starters and only 1 guy that is poor. If you go this route, you have funds available to trade for a player. Personally, I would try to find a starting pitcher that would size into a 1-2 year contract. But I wouldn't be writing the team off if they didn't sign any free agent starter.
  24. You have to think that the probability of Dickey being good enough in 2013 to get the $14M qualifying offer for 2014 is over 50%. So you would have also calculate that he also could bring you a draft pick when trying to figure out his trade value. If you are the Mets, would you trade Dickey for five controlled years of a cheap league average catcher plus a minor league pitcher? Would you consider Maldanado a league average catcher going forward? It would seem that Maldanado would be an improvement over Thole, Recker that the Mets have on their roster.
  25. I don't think the fact that a player wins or doesn't win an award really affects trade value much, if at all. The player's stats, mechanics, make-up, age, contract, etc. are all unaffected by some arbitrary award voted on by writers. Well, whichever team he is on is surely going to have their marketing dept utilize the award to try and sell more tickets. So, I would say yes the award will cost teams a little something extra.
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