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Roderick

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Everything posted by Roderick

  1. If I am the Rays, I don't worry so much about winning the division, as just making the playoffs. And at that the Rays are 5 games ahead of the wildcard. So I doubt they make a move for Fielder, but...... if they see the Yankees using the Nick Johnson injury as an excuse to go after Prince or they want Prince to ensure the best record so they get to play the AL West in the first round Maybe the Rays have some overpriced, bench/bullpen MLB player they could send back to the Brewers to remove the payroll concern. And obviously if the Brewers are going to take back some salary that would mean they could demand better prospects.
  2. What's the difference between winning 77 games versus winning 79 games? I would rather Melvin keep the prospect in the minors and gain that extra year of control, if the only playing time the kid is going to get in the majors is infrequent (Macha). Obviously that thought is for position players, as Macha is going to have to use anyone he has in the bullpen, even if they are a kid.
  3. How does the information get from the bullpen to the batter? Rotating guys standing up or stretching or something? I can understand a camera/telescope with some type of signal that a batter could see, but I'm not sure how feasible this scenario is. I assume he is just half-blind like me and needs them to see that far.
  4. No, he isn't going to get $3M as a free agent. But I was wondering what people thought an arbritrator would give him if the Brewers offered that to protect their investment. And I'm sure the Brewers aren't going to offer arby if they are talking that range.
  5. I wouldn't say you could take him off the juicing list. He was always the one missing chunks of the season due to leg muscle issues, right?
  6. Who said the Brewers wouldn't bring him to camp (nonroster)? The question would be, does another team try to trump whatever the Brewers may offer (with the list of assumptions that are already stated).
  7. I would disagree. If he pitches well in the minors all year long and stayed healthy, but isn't called up until September because the Brewers pitching staff miraculously pitches well and stays healthy (yes, I know that is remote), I don't see why someone wouldn't offer a low-end MLB contract. The dollars would still make it low risk. And at this point, Capuano probably cares more about pitching in the majors versus getting the biggest payday and that may end up being someone other the Brewers, especially since in this assumed scenario he pitched well but still didn't get a chance.
  8. That's my memory also. Which would also be the reason the Brewers need to be proactive with him. Get him up just as soon as he is ready or get on the phone and let him know he is available so he is thoroughly scouted by the other teams. If we don't, we just paid him for a year of rehab and he is going to play for someone else next year. Edit: What kind of payday would CC get if the Brewers offered arby?
  9. I agree it wasn't a bad move, CC and 2 future comp picks for LaPorta, Brantley, Bryson, and Jackson. I don't know how any of them are doing other than LaPorta, but I was okay (not thrilled) with the trade at the time and I am even more happy now. Just look to see how this team has performed in 2009 and 2010 so far. It may be awhile before we sniff the postseason again. I sure hope if Melvin peddles Fielder midseason, he uses the same tactic Cleveland took. Agree to a list of prospects and let them continue their seasons at the other team's risk. After the minor league season, Melvin can pick the player that still looks to be on a MLB track. Quite a bit can happen in half a season regarding injuries and performance for these prospects.
  10. I'm guessing if you asked anyone on this board at the time, no one would have wanted him. The consensus was that he was pretty much washed up.Not true, there were some that wanted him. Obviously MN would have better information on his health than anyone else, plus they would probably have wanted too much for him to protect against him doing well after he was traded. http://brewersfandemonium...ilable.html#reply-588102
  11. Yeah, Kent Summerfeld is in his ear most of the time, I believe.I'm sure Uke has Sommerfeld in his ear, but that doesn't mean he actually pays attention to him. I say this because one inning he said the incorrect score multiple times and someone listening wouldn't have known the right score until they came back to the next half inning and he started off with the correct score. I'm at least assuming that Uke was ignoring Sommerfeld and not that Sommerfeld wasn't paying attention. That is why another guy in the booth that has a microphone that can quickly correct Bob on how many outs and what the score is wouldn't hurt.
  12. When at work I listen to the game. Luckily I also have the mlb gameday (or whatever it is called) page - so I actually know how many runs were scored etc. I love Uke and don't want to see him go, but would like it better if he is with a 2nd person more often - so that person can do the quick corrections. WTMJ pay Provus for more innings.
  13. I agree, but... a team that is looking good for the playoffs that needs a bat or gets their 1B/DH hurt may pay a premium that is usually reserved for pitchers. That other team will have a year and a half to work on signing Prince. Also if we look to trade during the season, we would be in the position of power as we don't have to trade him. And with that power we could package Fielder with deadweight contracts like Suppan and save mucho bucks to apply towards the 2011 season.
  14. I won't guess at the yearly costs, but it seems to me the Brewers should be trying to sell Fielder on a 5 year contract. (through 2014). Personally, I think he will outgrow 1st base before even that contract is over (and I definitely wouldn't go longer than 6 years), but if the Brewers play to his ego and sell him that he will still be young enough to get another big long-term contract after this one, with the goal of not paying a premium for not going closer to the 8 years thrown out by Boras. A lot of negotiators say the hardest part of a contract is not the $s, but negotiating the length. Hopefully Melvin is tuning up his scouts to get a trade prepped with the most likely suitors.
  15. I think that is the wrong way to look at it. The guaranteed contract is a sunk cost, ignore it at this point. What they should compare is Suppan's ability versus all other options using $400K as Suppan's cost for his roster spot. In other words if Suppan had a contract worth $400K would he still be on the roster? Would he be handed the #5 job? Since the #5 starter is going to get random work, I have no problem using Suppan for 4-5 starts until he proves he sucks (once again). By then the schedule gets consistent and Narveson can step in. Since he probably won't be stretched out, get 4 innings the first start and build up from there. I will be disappointed if they let Suppan suck for more than 4-5 starts before relegated to garbage time.
  16. 82-80. Prince comes back to earth a little. Wolf has a 4.4 ERA for Brewers in 2010. Better starting pitching saves the pen a little.
  17. I'm not sure what baseball's history has been in arby hearings or how they are organized - but in a lot of businesses, arbitrators feel pressure (to retain their job) to make sure that the decisions (over time) are close to 50/50 regardless of merit. As the case is that both sides usually pick the arbitrator (or firm) and one side would axe an arbitrator that voted against them too often. If that is the case, you know you are flipping a coin when you go to arby.
  18. No, the worst case scenario is that he shows just enough in spring training (or other OFs stink up ST) that he is kept on the team, gets the contract and then proceeds to stink during the real season and is held on to and played too much by Macha. Edit: I see Joepepsi already hit on this thought
  19. Assuming he is released, whoever signs him will only be paying $400,000 of his contract, right? If you want to make sure you get him before he is able to choose who he goes to, you could trade a bag of used balls for him and have Arizona pay everything except $450,000 and Arizona will still be better off. Not sure if he is worth anything, but it wouldn't cost much to get a look.
  20. Haven't we seen a trend where pre-free agent arbitration is getting closer and closer to what market free agents have been receiving? I hope you are right, but how often do you see a player get a decrease in pay (Gerut was $1.75M)?
  21. I'll take the over on Villy. I don't know the history for Gomez. My guesses are close to your estimates.
  22. For 2009, Wolf's ERA at Dodger Stadium was 3.63 and on the road it was 2.78. Obviously being in the division helped, but his numbers weren't driven by playing at home. Was the deferred payment terms ever disclosed for Wolf? Obviously that makes his contract less than the face value of just the numbers. But if a substantial amount is deferred (for how long?), people might be arguing about signings that are not apples to apples. Time value of money and what is the true cost is to the Brewers.....
  23. Doesn't appear to be the direction they are heading. http://www.jsonline.com/sports/brewers/63196077.html Manager Ken Macha believes Hart's new approach at the plate could have contributed to his downswings. Throughout spring training and this season, the Brewers preached a more disciplined approach for their hitters, and Hart obliged. He walked 43 times this season in 42 less games than last season when he walked 27 times. But the increased walks and on-base percentage - .300 in 2008 to .335 this season - came at a price. "We were trying to get him more disciplined at the plate and not swing at sliders out of the zone, and we accomplished that," Macha said. "But we took away a little bit of the aggressiveness, maybe sapped him of his power." My take is that Hart has little trade value whatsoever as there are comparable free agents that will be costing similar money as Hart will cost after his arby negotiations. If the Brewers trade him, he would have to be packaged with a very attractive prospect to get any return. Either that or the Brewers trade him for the salary relief.
  24. Obviously, Mandarich wasn't a good decision. But I disagree with your statement. Considering that player movement wasn't as prevalent back then as it is now, it would be a very wise decision to draft an OT that will start for 12 years instead of a tailback that might only have 3-5 years of tread left on his tires. Now that players are more free to chase the dollars after their rookie contract, making this argument not as strong, but still a factor.
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