Yea, if it is true that Seid had Trout highest on his draft board, only to see him go one pick before and then end up taking Arnett, how do you ever get that out of your head? I remember reading a book by Ron Wolf. I forget the exact year, but he said that he had Ray Lewis already written on their draft card with the 27th pick and even were on the phone with him as Baltimore's time was running down to pick, only to hear Lewis say at the last second that he had another call. Baltimore stings Wolf by take Lewis and he said something to the effect that this was the first and only time as Packers GM that he seriously got rattled. He ends up picking John Michaels who was a bust and Lewis had a HOF career. There is a big difference between the baseball draft and the football draft, and it is that the baseball draft only allows one minute between picks whereas the football draft allows at least five minutes. Now that the draft is televised they give five minutes between picks in the first round, but IIRC that wasn't the case in 2009 - I'm pretty sure it was still one minute then. Think about that; if the player that is #1 on your board goes right before you, or if the top guys on your board go in the 3-4 picks before you, you only have one minute to decide who to take. I wonder how much this contributes to the randomness of the baseball draft; teams have one minute to decide who to pick based on talent, signability, and BPA of the thousands of HS, college, and juco players available. That is why the Ted Thompson model of "trust the board" is the only approach I am interested in. You make a list. You cross guys off that list as they get picked. When your turn comes up, you are making a decision on the top 3 on your board. (And I say top 3 because, unless your top 3 all play the same position, you may want to draft a position, so instead of taking the top guy on your list, say a 3B, you take a P, because you drafted a SS with your first pick.) I understand the once in a lifetime rattle (i.e. Ron Wolf & Ray Lewis - I have heard about that too, or even Trout with Seid) ... but that should really only happen once to a GM. Because like anything, the best way to learn is by first hand experience. In the end, trust the board, and ultimately your scouts. Your decisions are mostly made weeks before the draft. IMO