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brewcrewdue80

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Everything posted by brewcrewdue80

  1. He shows up as #1 for me. This is a drastic over rank. Kinda like that Yankee Jason Dominquez. Cartaya didn't play in 2020 then in 2021 he finished as #20 in the rankings with Rookie-very little A ball experience. Last season he had some A again and little A+ where his k rate jumped to around the 30s. He's 5th year and placed on the 40man while 2years or more away if at all(say at AA that k rate jumps in to the 40s since pitching is consistently better) and I'm not sure he reads as a sure thing defensively at catcher. So one of those type catcher no wait 1b/RF where that speed will equal awful defense. Our Catcher has a better chance being a ML catcher in 2 u years than this guy.
  2. He improved his batting from 2020&2021. That's positive that he can continue. I think there was a total lack of confidence in 2020 and 2021. But statcast in 2022 his numbers are early days in Miami return to. His defense though-Statcast listed him 1pct or the worst OF jump on Balls hit. Gotta move him to DH which maybe allows the back to hold up more. Theres just no chance Yelich is traded even if there wasn't a no trade clause. His launch angle is too low and his age reduces that Exit velocity continually so his best days are behind him. Think we'll see more consistent seasons with where his numbers sat in 2022 and 2020 BA is a thing of the past.
  3. Why would the Brewers trade for Lux? 2b? Well past the time on asking for Lux in a trade. And adding Woodruff doesn't make sense alongside Adames. You would be setting yourself up for 1 sided extension talks with Burnes. I'd want pressure on one or the other that each side has an offer and whomever takes their offer first, the other offer is off the affordable table. My thought for Vargas/Pepiot leaves about 5m more on 1 more player LA needs to provide when only trading Adames. I'd lightly question LA would need to add another with the FA market but a Catcher named Dalton Rushing has 6M value to even it out. Dodgers #1 prospect is a C so the depth isn't needed and they part with a lottery ticket. The move completes a 3b/1b RH bat future with Vargas. Urias/Turang can play SS platoon. Wong/Urias depth at 2b. Brosseau backs up from the PH role. With RH platoon starts. Pepiot has a pitching future whether mid starter or late inning RP. Saved money.
  4. Looking at trade side. Vargas seems like your target 3b/1b. But I don't see how LA parts with him as they lack a 3b beyond him. Not sure FAs at 3b are 800-850OPS. Guess they'd have a year to figure it out. We should get some more beyond Vargas but that's my headliner. Edit add-Looked in to a few more prospects and Ryan Pepiot stands out as the 2nd get. He and Vargas would be major league ready while having 6 yrs each team control. Pepiot has legit SP potential but may also be Closer floor. Sounds like a D.Williams change-up with mid 90s FB. Improving the team at 2 positions and saving 10mil+. Positioning yourself better to extend Woodruff or Burnes. Hard to not pass on that future.
  5. If you scroll to Baseball Savant, among RH bats, Adames had the worst wOBA with over 150PAs when facing a shift at .248. When looking at wOBA non-shifts he's at .350 and top 50[48 or 49) in baseball above 150PAs. Was 120th when taking all PAs. So this season his numbers should improve BA/OB. His birthday is September 2nd so he'll be near 27/28 the remainder of his 2 team controlled years. Extension length is a little awkward. 2 extra years puts his FA at age 31. Guessing he wouldn't want testing FA any older. So he had the comment he'd like to finish his career here. We must be looking +5, 6? Extended years. Finishing age 34/35. Jean Segura maybe a comp in terms of what FA value to age Adames would be looking at with current WAR history prior. That turned out as about 4/60mil for Segura. Probably inflate that to 16.5Mil or about 4/66 beyond extension with say a 17.5 5th yr option? This doesn't include the 2yrs remaining. (9/13 mil what mlbtr projected him) so 6/88 with option 7/105. We on a good ball park?
  6. The team chemistry is a joke. Team needs a full breakdown on nearly all the offensive players. Renfroe, Wong, Adames, Urias, whomever is a catcher still with the team(all of them), Tellez, Peterson, Taylor, and Davis. Mix in Lauer and Woodruff. Burnes, Peralta, Ashby, Houser are a good enough rotation to build around. All these trade-aways youre looking for a 3b, 1b, C, 2b/SS and some pitching to dream on. The lack of (all the guys I listed above on offense trading away) multiple players getting hot building off one another tells me there's no vibe going on. Thought Adames was supposed to be this great clubhouse guy but where is it this season? He's been below average. Urias clearly isn't the future. Tellez I'd say you're selling high. Just in need of changing the scenery of the lineup. Adding Turang, Frelick, Mitchell, Wiemer and soon Chourio I hope becomes a start. Youll have Yelich(not movable) Hiura and Brosseau(someone to play 3b) still around for time being. Just want the lineup to not feel hopeless after these past few seasons. Men on base 0 outs and you know you're about to see 2 strikeouts and a groundout/flyout.
  7. Pretty clear on the videos Yelich's swing speed is vastly faster than the Yelich of today. That would tie in more to back issues disallowing him to swing as fast. I've believed it was fear on hurting his knee with swinging timidly, but now it's clearly the back nearing 3years later. If he were a golfer this is like a prime PGA player turned senior the next years. Bat speed must be multiple miles per hour slower. The hard exit velocity is just how well his swing plane and barrel of the ball is.
  8. Pretty clear on the videos Yelich's swing speed is vastly faster than the Yelich of today. That would tie in more to back issues disallowing him to swing as fast. I've believed it was fear on hurting his knee with swinging timidly, but now it's clearly the back nearing 3years later. If he were a golfer this is like a prime PGA player turned senior the next years. Bat speed must be multiple miles per hour slower. The hard exit velocity is just how well his swing plane and barrel of the ball is.
  9. On a Ruiz top 100 prospect thought. The read on him is-was he was poor at 2b with heavy hands(guessing that would mean dropped balls and slow throwing action?) They moved him to OF. Breakout year with bat. Does he grade out defensively? Arm strength? If heavy hands meant dropped balls...well is that continuing in OF? Does he possess power mold for the position he'll play? Since he's not younger his rise is sorta past the stage you want to gleam about him for lists. He should be added to ML games soon and that addition may not even last til next list. Just say he's close but you'd rather list so and so since they were recently drafted.
  10. Must have *just* crossed 5yrs. Lamet was optioned by SD on 7/11. Then back for two games vs. Twins before the trade. Boy. FO looks complete incompetent if they missed the boat that they couldn't option Lamet if they seriously intended to keep him as a piece in the trade. The luxury tax would have been 20pct for every $1 SD went over. The return for taking Lamet contract should have included a lottery prospect alone. We also took Rogers and his contract off SDs hands. Why wouldn't you acquire another RP of SDs vs an underachieving high priced rental? Because you were being fleeced. To the idea that this return may have been the best offered? There was over 24hrs left to see offers come in before taking this fleecing. Plenty of time to certainly to you know learn if Lamet could be optioned.
  11. Brewers could do this easy. Freddy Peralta, Chourio, and add from there if even needed. (Small+Turang) Team needs to cash in 1 of their bellwinning SPs for a bellwinning bat. Burnes, Woodruff, Lauer, Houser, Ashby still packs a punch. And Soto to bat 3rd for Milw is the bat that would put fear in opposing pitchers this team doesn't possess.
  12. Brewers could do this easy. Freddy Peralta, Chourio, and add from there if even needed. (Small+Turang) Team needs to cash in 1 of their bellwinning SPs for a bellwinning bat. Burnes, Woodruff, Lauer, Houser, Ashby still packs a punch. And Soto to bat 3rd for Milw is the bat that would put fear in opposing pitchers this team doesn't possess.
  13. Great combo picks. Teams are going to turn over the ball with Clark-Wyatt wreaking havoc up the middle and Walker or Gary coming around the edges and the QB just tosses the ball begging please stop hitting me! Here take it.
  14. Solid. I love good LBs. We lost in the playoffs due to great LBs creating pressure and wrecking the short passes.
  15. Glad Pitt got their Pitt QB. Hope he makes a Pro Bowl career.
  16. Dig at GB here. Now Vikes with 32 and 34. Lions with the Vikes 2nd rd. Going to see them draft obvious GB targets. Wonder when the Bears jump in.
  17. Wilson selected. There can't be another player worth trading up for left os there?
  18. Surprised Carolina didn't find a trade down. Happy London is gone. No trades yet!
  19. I'm thinking part of that deals with the fact TE class has about as much a chance to see 1 selected by end of round 2 as it would more than. Ferguson is like 5-7? on top 10 ranks and he's a 5th rd to undrafted potential. I looked again at draft pick trade values,, and adding 22 with 28 somehow climbs up to #7. Or even 6. 6 and Carolina is near lock for trading down. Garrett Wilson becomes the obvious move up for GB to select him ahead of any of the following picks likely selecting Wilson immediately after 6. Feels odd because in 2019 I thought with 12 and 30 we couldn't move up beyond 7 or 8. The trade for Waller idea likely is a draft day trade depending if a trade up like that happens, or a player falls to say 17 who is on GBs top 10 draft board. George Pickens is growing on me as draft crush. Won't lie but his stature and some movements remind me of watching Adams. Only Pickens is taller and more physical to impact run game blocking. There is abundant video on YouTube including all targeted plays he had in 2019&2020. Derrick Stingley picked off a bad decision on one target but Pickens went on to 3 solid catches vs Stingley the following 3 targets. Fromm was QB his freshman in 19 and clearly better than the 2020 QB that affected Pickens production. He recovered most of 2021 from ACL injury. So that is why he's not placed among the top 5 in this class. Somewhere there's a comment from a coach about how much he wants to and willing to put in added practice. I visualizing Adams 2seasons from now.
  20. As mentioned before. These past 2 or 3 days the mocks are all over the place with decisions to not keep the same previous selections or just because Travon Walker goes 1st. I remember 1 respected guy(Peter Schrager) in these his 2nd mock contained only 7 of the same picks he made previously from 1st mock. Thinking a lot of the older mocks will have better projection than newer sans trades as a reason to pick differently. Carolina has the 6th selection and not another until like 200. They need a QB but also need picks. Quite a good amount of mocks must have been informed of 2002 being last GB WR selected in 1st rd and are sticking that as not selecting a WR anymore in first. My guess at the moment is gutey moves up in first rd to select a WR(wrong 1 clearly) to cop out with hadnt he made the move to move up that wr was being selected. Ala Savage and Love.
  21. Kinda ran in to what may be keeping Pickens from a 1st rd grade. Not only the ACL recovery and the game experience he lost but he has some questions about mental status. 1 thing came up is not giving 100pct effort on plays. He also had a game where while on the sidelines he used the water bottle he had in his hands and squirted a Ten Volunteer(QB) with it when that player ran out of bounds on his sideline. Cost a 15yd penalty which resulted in a Td. I think a 3rd was a scuffle or shoving with an opponent. So just some immature things that teams just won't waste a 1st rd on. Oh and he has something like 8 1/2-3/4 inch hands that creates some drop concerns. I've seen some suggestions that GBs mold for WR in drafts had height and or weight tendacies that would check some guys off [I think Olave weight? being 1) and leaving that trio of Pickens, Watson, and Pierce fitting this draft mold. That brings that idea of mine to trade with Seattle for 40/41 using 1 of the 1sts and 2nds to do so. Where the 2nd rd grades of the 3 and picking 2 would settle more to that projection vs a reach. Burks seems best to go from day 1. I'd consider Pierce 2nd. Pickens 3rd. Watson while the freak, has the largest jump to make in gamespeed. If putting an insert player comp of Packer past Bigger heavier Cobb-Nelson-Adams-MVS.
  22. I'd keep an eye out on this name: Marcus Jones, CB, Houston Height: 5-8. Weight: 185. Arm: 28.88. Hand: 8.88. Projected 40 Time: 4.50. Projected Round (2022): 3-5 So Jones reads as the interest by teams due to his punt and kickoff return prowess. Size wise at CB WalterFootball classifies him as strictly a Slot WR cover. What I'm reading here is check, check, and check what Green Bay could use in a CB, Punt returner, and kickoff returner. With the fact that he wouldn't be your #1-3 guy at CB leaves so much less concern on putting him back to receive punts or kicks. And being a CB I'd imagine he'd work on the coverage units there as well to boost ST there. Credit here to watching a Lion fan mock 3 rounds with GB trading 22 and 59 to acquire 16 and early 3rd to take Jermaine Johnson. Selecting George Pickens at 28. TE Dulcich at 53. It was here when 3rd round came around he drafted another a WR(no way with a TE do we go triple on receiving) that the next pick was Jones and he commented about the Punt/KO return skills that will be coveted by teams. Oh to round it off we got what seems to be everyone's later OT Abraham Lucas. Who just seems far too popular to be around where people draft him late 3rd or in the 4th rounds. Since the guy is essentially on an island it seems for OL by the time mid to late 2nd round selections happen. Like the well of OL dried up suddenly.
  23. That's sort of what I mean with my last post. People not wanting to mock Kyle Hamilton early because they've done that and want some different content. Drake London has started becoming the WR1A with Wilson looking at mocks and in the top 6-8! It's like refusing to go with best likely drafted and taking the #1 on the board for the teams 2nd need vs their highest need with a more likely higher up the board overall player. Seen Malik Willis not even drafted in 1st round while the other 3 QBs that make up the consensus top 4 were. Crystal Lava (seriously Closed Captioned every time) is more and more available in mocks for GB. (London effect) Seen Watson going to the Jets at 4 one time. Will say Wilson looks like a skinny HS kid on tape. Beyond slender! I'd question withstanding the hits forthcoming if the #1WR without bulking up some. Thinking there needs to be some thought on Pickens since he went up against Stokes. The scouting would certainly have some notes taken down considering they took Stokes in 1st round.
  24. Watching mocks lately and something became apparent. People who are streaming mocks within their own group are saying things multiple times of "I went with so and so the last time we did this. I want to do something different this time" And suddenly a guy falls beyond 10 or in to the 20s while you hear the next or 2nd to select say that ruined their selection and they wouldn't go for that guy who should have been selected due to not having the need. Opens up some perspective on mocks 3.0 and beyond being more wrong most likely than the first 2 mocks because the decision to not select who they would/should. Anyway GB is sitting in a great position to select the dropping player with 22 for say 10-16 expected and 28 for 15-21 expected falling. Then trading up in 2nd to take a 1st rd talent that is falling towards 40. So many multiples at the positions of need in the top 50 ranking. It'd be a blunder to not walk away with a B+ or higher grade when draft is done.
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