sveumrules

People keep saying this, but it hasn’t happened yet. I think a more likely scenario is that Bauer does not pitch in MLB this year (or maybe ever again) because he is blacklisted and none of the 30 teams will want to be the one to break ranks.

No doubt Chourio and Gasser (& Ortiz) graduating will be a hit in the rankings, but I think Misio, Quero, Black, Wilken is still a pretty strong top 4. Boeve (198 wRC+) is probably the closest thing to a breakout hitter but it feels like all of Di Turi (182 wRC+), Adams (142 wRC+), Bitonti (132 wRC+), Barrios (128 wRC+), Guilarte (120 wRC+), Yophery (119 wRC+), Pratt (118 wRC+), O’Rae (117 wRC+), Baez (110 wRC+) and Lara (96 wRC+) have at least held their own to varying degrees among guys that have gotten some recent attention. Then there’s Clarke (159 wRC+), Carlos Rodriguez OF (148 wRC+), EMJ (145 wRC+), Hicklen (139 wRC+), Yhoswar (127 wRC+), Collins (122 wRC+), Eduarqui (122 wRC+) and Kay-Lan (121 wRC+) who have their various warts but have at least come out of the gates performing strong. I’d say the only real “dud” so far this year is EBJ, but injuries have definitely been a factor there.

Yo soy Osbriel Mogollon

Jadher Areinamo’s pre-swing histrionics make Joey Wiemer look like Paul Molitor.

This might not be a popular comp, but my immediate first impression upon watching Yujanyer Herrera (as a Venezuelan thicc-boi wearing #38) is something akin to Carlos Zambrano.

Red Sox are currently sitting at .500, 4th in the ALE, with eleven teams ahead of them by FanGraphs playoff odds. Not really well positioned to be aggressive buyers.

Looking at the schedule the only real advantageous opportunities to "call him up" and serve his suspension before September would maybe be around the All Star Game (three days shorthanded on either side with a big rest in between) or there is a quick stretch with two off days on August 1st and 5th so you could call him up and only be shorthanded for four games in six days.

Over the nine games since this thread was posted the Brewers have posted a 147 wRC+ (2nd in MLB) and scored 56 runs (1st in MLB). Not sure if that was the intended effect, but it worked anyway.

Hudson’s 24.1 IP rank 8th among relievers this year, Vieria’s 20.2 IP rank 32nd, Milner’s 19.1 IP rank 56th, Peguero’s 18.0 IP rank 82nd. Koenig’s 16.1 IP rank 137th. Two of the three best relievers on the team have thrown zero (Williams) and 10.2 IP (Megill) so far. Hudson’s the only reliever with any kind of real workload concern at this point and even then he’s been pretty carefully rested… 0331: 3.0 IP (four days off) 0405: 1.1 IP (two days off) 0408: 1.0 IP (no days off) 0409: 0.1 IP (three days off) 0413: 1.0 IP (no days off) 0414: 0.1 IP (two days off) 0417: 2.1 IP (three days off) 0421: 2.1 IP (two days off) 0424: 1.2 IP (one day off) 0426: 1.0 IP (two days off) 0429: 2.0 IP (one day off) 05/01: 1.0 IP (two days off) 0504: 2.0 IP (three days off) 0508: 2.0 IP (two days off) 0511: 1.0 0 IP (two days off) 0514: 2.0 IP So that’s zero days off (x2, only threw 0.1 IP each time), one day off (x2, only threw 1.0 IP each time), two days off (x7), three days off (x3) and four days off (x1).

It’s been two weeks now since the Yankees poundings. Since then Brewers batters have posted a 119 wRC+ (5th) and have scored 81 runs (4th). Brewers pitchers have posted a 3.41 ERA (11th) since then, which is a slight improvement over the 3.46 ERA they posted prior to the two NYY blowouts.

Carlos Rodriguez (the outfielder) might be the best single prospect that illustrates how much the depth of the system has improved over the last few years. Back before the pandemic and as recently as 2022 when he put up a 114 wRC+ at Wisco before a season ending injury he would get some votes in the teens and back end of BF Top 20. Now he’s posting a 134 wRC+ at Biloxi (before today’s 3-3) and probably won’t get a single vote.

Zero Club is HOPPING today... Enoli Paredes 1.0 IP | 0 H | 0 BB | 3 K James Meeker 2.0 IP | 0 H | 0 BB | 1 K Tobias Myers 2.0 IP | 2 H | 0 BB | 2 K Kevin Herget 1.0 IP | 2 H | 0 BB | 1 K Darrell Thompson 1.0 IP | 0 H | 2 BB | 0 K Tate Kuehner 4.0 IP | 3 H | 2 BB | 3 K Chase Costello 1.0 IP | 0 H | 0 BB | 1 K Aidan Maldonado 2.1 IP | 0 H | 2 BB | 4 K

One of the issues with getting rid of Vieira is that the only two relief arms performing at a high level in Nashville - Enoli Paredes (1.02 ERA | 1.58 FIP) and Rob Zastryzny (1.65 ERA | 1.66 FIP) - are both out of options too.

Brewers First 25 Games 3.46 ERA | 86 ERA- (two games giving up 15 runs to Yankees) Last 15 Games Before Today 3.50 ERA | 87 ERA-

AI-Generated 26th Man. Was a new feature in the last CBA.

Been a lot more hot than cold, 3rd in runs per game and 3rd in OPS for all MLB before today's ten spot.

Today is the 6th game of the season the Brewers have scored double digit runs. They had ten such games all last year.

Yeah, here is the LHH vs LHP leaderboard for 2021 to present, minimum 200 PA. That's like maybe a dozen impactful bats tops.

Today is only their 7th game against a LH starter. Turang started in three of the previous six and came into the game as a pinch hitter in two more. He has gotten one entire game off the whole season. He isn't being strictly platooned, just strategically rested.

Yeah, that trade was so lopsided I thought Stearns might be working for the Tigers instead of the Mets.

I get that regression is incoming for Rea and Wilson, I just believe it will be less severe than many are anticipating given the Brewers history with those kind of arms. 2018 rotation ended up at 97 ERA- | 110 FIP-, this year’s version isn’t too far off that pace at 102 ERA- | 113 FIP-. After 41 games the 2018 rotation was at 105 ERA- | 117 FIP-.

The odds of Turang bettering Monasterios’s 1.000 OPS over those two PAs is extremely low. Even if Brice stays in and homers both times for a 5.000 OPS, the Brewers still lose 8-7.

Frelick (79 wRC+ | -0.3 WAR | .267 xwOBA) is not putting up better numbers than Jackson (64 wRC+ | 0.1 WAR | .265 xwOBA). Considering Frelick is four years older and already got a couple hundred MLB PAs last year, his lack of production is more concerning to me in the immediate term. Either way, no one is going anywhere until Mitchell is ready so until then just ride it out and see where everybody’s at once it’s time to make that call.

You said, “…Hoskins will not be opting out of the 22 million the Brewers will owe him in ‘25.” I was just pointing out that Hoskins would only be opting out of $18M since he gets the $4M either way. I wasn’t arguing semantics, just clearing up the details on the contract.

No doubt the Brewers starters aren’t as good as last year, but “grim” seems like a little bit of a dire adjective choice. Brewers rotation is currently 15th with an ERA- of 102 and 15th with 2.9 rWAR. Those overall numbers are also dragged down somewhat by the eleven starts from Ashby (242 ERA- | -0.4 rWAR), Hall (190 ERA- | -0.3 rWAR), Miley (158 ERA- | -0.1 rWAR) and Myers (131 ERA- | 0.1 rWAR). For the current five: Peralta (89 ERA- | 1.0 rWAR), Rea (72 ERA- | 1.0 rWAR) and Wilson (46 ERA- | 1.1 rWAR) have all been giving good starts while Gasser had an encouraging debut. Ross (117 ERA- | -0.1 rWAR) is the only real grim starter at the moment. Back to Rea specifically, he is looking more and more like one of the many FIP beaters the Brewers have been able to run out to the mound since Stearns & company arrived back in 2016… Chase Anderson 590 IP | 90 ERA- | 111 FIP- Zach Davies 580 IP | 91 ERA- | 99 FIP- Junior Guerra 416 IP | 89 ERA- | 107 FIP- Brent Suter 394 IP | 84 ERA- | 95 FIP- Eric Lauer 335 IP | 100 ERA- | 115 FIP- Jhoulys Chacin 281 IP | 100 ERA- | 108 FIP- Wade Miley 208 IP | 71 ERA- | 101 FIP- Colin Rea 175 IP | 102 ERA- | 112 FIP- Hoby Milner 170 IP | 73 ERA- | 85 FIP- Carlos Torres 155 IP | 79 ERA- | 100 FIP- Gio Gonzalez 112 IP | 73 ERA- | 90 FIP- Bryce Wilson 110 IP | 61 ERA- | 102 FIP- Joel Payamps 83 IP | 70 ERA- | 85 FIP- Alex Claudio 81 IP | 92 ERA- | 106 FIP- Jordan Lyles 75 IP | 61 ERA- | 91 FIP- No doubt Burnes, Woodruff, Peralta, Hader and Williams were hugely impactful to the Brewers recent run of success, but the organization’s ability to help guys without dominant stuff to still prevent runs at lower than average rates (and at much lower rates than their peripherals would imply) has been even more hugely impactful and a big reason why I didn’t expect the Brewers rotation to dip much below average even without Burnes and Woodruff.