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sveumrules
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Everything posted by sveumrules
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Until he breaks out of this funk, I’d switch up William’s workload to catching no more than two days in a row with every third day alternating between DH and off completely for mental/physical rest. The downside is that the Brewers are only 6-11 so far this year with Sanchez behind the plate, though that has already started regressing to the mean with wins in each of Gary’s last three starts after opening the year 3-11 when he was catching. -
Antony Gomez double, Josh Adamczewski single and Eric Bitonti’s second double of the game plated another run for the Zona Crew bottom of nine, but that was as far as the rally got making it a 7-4 loss.
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Dencer Geraldo on in the 9th and strikes out the first guy. A walk, wild pitch, stolen base and second strikeout had him one out away from Zero Club status. And he got the ground ball to first baseman Gery Holguin but apparently could not corral the throw for out number three allowing the seventh AZ Reds run to score. (Anecdotally, it was also a Holguin throw that Luiyin Alastre couldn’t corral earlier, which naturally begs the question…Can Gery Holguin Pitch?) From there it went wild pitch, HBP, walk to load the bases but Geraldo got out of it with a pop out. Three more outs and one last chance for the Zona Crew bats.
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Nova gives up a single and stolen bag out of the gate but escapes unscathed going ground out, strikeout. line out to strand the runner on third base.
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Bitonti doubled, but that was it bottom of seven. Jose Nova is on in relief of Flores top of eight.
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Luiyin Alastre has hit the error trifecta tonight - one each fielding. throwing and missing a catch on a ball thrown to him. AZ Crew now trail 6-3 heading to bottom of seven with Tyler Rodriguez, Josh Adamczewski and Eric Bitonti due up.
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Flores went 1-2-3 in both the fifth and sixth innings picking up another strikeout along the way. Zona Crew still trailing 5-3 heading to top of seven.
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Hiura is so brutal afield I wouldn’t be surprised if he is one of the exceptions that hits better when DHing, but 141 PA spread out over three calendar years is hardly definitive of anything. Maybe he’ll get a chance with LAA, they’ve got recent #11 overall pick Schanuel at 1B but have gotten pretty brutal DH production (90 wRC+ | 20th) with Willie Calhoun the primary culprit. Not getting a guaranteed MLB deal this offseason, then getting released by the Tigers, there’s already some writing on the wall for Keston, but if a going nowhere Angels club doesn’t even give him a shot at some point this summer he’ll be getting dangerously close to Crash Davis territory (but at least Crash could catch).
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Anthony Flores puts up the first zero of the evening for the AZ Crew top of four going strikeout. ground out, ground rule double, strikeout.
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Edgardo Ordonez ROE and an Antony Gomez single get two runs back for the AZ Crew to cut the deficit to 5-3 heading to top of four.
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Jackson got done somewhat dirty in the third. Three ground balls to start the inning should have been all it took, but a pair of Luiyin Alastre errors opened the door for a wild pitch and single that scored another two AZ Reds. An Eric Bitonti walk and Gery Holguin single have a couple on for the Zona Crew with one down bottom of three trailing 5-1.
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He averaged 26 HR per 500 PA prior to this year, so about 15 more.
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Yanez walked the second batter of the second frame too and was relieved by Isaiah Jackson, who promptly struck out his first batter faced. He then went walk, run scoring sharply hit ground out, walk, fly out to get out of the inning. Now 3-1 AZ Reds with the 7-8-9 hitters due up for the Zona Crew bottom two - Antony Gomez, Yannic Walther and Tyler Rodriguez.
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Zona Crew half of the first has gone.. Josh Adamczewski HBP (only seems fair) stolen bag to third on an Eric Bitonti ground out Luiyin Alastre ROE scores Josh balk Gery Holguin walk Pedro Ibarguen ROE loads em up Edgardo Ordonez 4-6-3 Score is 2-1 AZ Reds and Yanez has opened the second with a walk and wild pitch (for those playing ACL bingo at home)
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Ismael Yanez had a rough start to the first going HBP, HBP, bunt single, ground rule double to score two AZ Reds. But he bounced back alright going line out. strikeout. strikeout to strand the runners on 2nd and 3rd and end the inning without further damage.
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No injury would be the best news of all, but I’d say Clarke having a non season ending toe injury is better news than a season ending arm injury.
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Frelick Arm Strength 87.4 MPH (71st percentile) Chourio Arm Strength 84.0 MPH (44th percentile)
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Maybe even crazier is that they've still gone 19-16 over that stretch.
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Not sure if anyone has followed up on it in the interim with the universal DH now in play and more & more guys cycling through the position annually, but back when The Book was published they found the DH Penalty was around 14 points of wOBA on average (or about six runs for every 500 PAs). Obviously some guys are more extreme than others, and some even hit better when DHing as every rule has exceptions, but for the most part players hit worse when DHing versus when they are playing the field.
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League average OPS for LF is .714 this year, lowest its been since 2002 when FanGraphs positional splits begin. Previous low was .724 back in the 2014 deadball year. With how much league offensive environment changes year to year (league OPS is 704 this year after 734 in 2023 and 706 in 2022 and 739 in 2021 and 769 in 2019) its always best to use OPS+ or wRC+ to account for that instead of relying on historical benchmark OPS numbers that are easier or harder to reach depending on the myriad factors playing into that ever shifting leaguewide offensive environment.
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I don't think this year has been cursed at all. Injuries happen, especially to pitchers and catchers. It's unfortunate, but all part of the calculus. DSL squad(s) have been insane to start the year, Carolina is in first place with the youngest pitching staff in the league and a bunch of legit prospects, Wisco is in first place with the 2nd youngest hitters and 3rd youngest pitchers in the league. The system as a whole is possibly as deep as it has ever been (even with all the injuries), hard for me to call that any kind of curse.
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Four game losing streak averted for the fifth time this year. Here’s how the Brewers wins and losses have been distributed around those five three gamers… 10-3 (0-3) 7-2 (0-3) 3-0 (0-3) 16-9 (0-3) 8-4 (0-3) 1-0 so far. 15 of the team’s 33 losses (45.5%) have come while streaking. Winning streaks have been three games (x3), four games (x3), and five games for 26 of the team’s 45 wins (57,8%) coming via streak. That leaves them with a record of 19-18 when not in the throes of some streak or another.
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Frelick may be the worst at hitting the ball hard, but he has actually been above average at getting hits (104 AVG+) and walking (110 BB%+). Obviously the lack of power (47 ISO+) drags the whole batting line down to below average (91 wRC+), but I’d say Sal has pretty much delivered right to where my expectation levels were entering the season. That said, I’d probably still have him as the odd man out when Mitchell is ready to return.
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Let Tyler Black Be Tyler Black
sveumrules replied to Harold Hutchison's topic in Brewer Fanatic Front Page News
Hiura (A) 115 PA 6.1 BB% | 20.9 K% Black (A) 103 PA 19.4 BB% | 28.2 K% Hiura (A+) 228 PA 6.1 BB% | 20.6 K% Black (A+) 283 PA 15.9 BB% | 15.5 K% Hiura (AA) 307 PA 7.2 BB% | 18.9!K% Black (AA) 385 PA 15.8 BB% | 20.0 K% Hiura (AAA) 243 PA 9.5 BB% | 26.3 K% Black (AAA) 416 PA 13.2 BB% | 14.9 K% Black has a career 0.87 BB/K ratio in the minors, Hiura is at 0.37 BB/K for his minor league career. I guess I’m not seeing how Keston being a free swinger is a cautionary tale for Black, who has a much more patient approach and better contact skills.
