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sveumrules

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  1. …then the Dinges bomb… FullSizeRender.MOV
  2. Few cell phone clips from today’s TRats game, starting with a Made oppo single… IMG_3970.MOV
  3. Skenes (148 IP) 50 ERA- | 62 FIP- 6.1 rWAR | 4.7 fWAR Sanchez (144 IP) 55 ERA- | 67 FIP- 5.8 rWAR | 4.1 fWAR Wheeler (144 IP) 63 ERA- | 70 FIP- 4.9 rWAR | 4.0 fWAR (barring injury / explosion down the stretch I’d imagine these will be the Top Three vote getters since their performance is a clear notch above the rest of the NL pitchers) Boyd (135 IP) 60 ERA- | 78 FIP- 4.5 rWAR | 3.4 fWAR Abbott (123 IP) 55 ERA- | 85 FIP- 4.3 rWAR | 2.9 fWAR Peralta (136 IP) 70 ERA- | 91 FIP- 4.2 rWAR | 2.6 fWAR Lodolo (129 IP) 70 ERA- | 86 FIP- 3.8 rWAR | 2.4 fWAR Yamamoto (126 IP) 68 ERA- | 73 FIP- 3.7 rWAR | 3.4 fWAR Webb (153 IP) 82 ERA- | 67 FIP- 3.0 rWAR | 4.0 fWAR (would guess Freddy will be fighting for fourth / fifth place votes among these guys)
  4. Peña bomb with questionable camera work post-contact IMG_3947.MOV
  5. Great Lakes catcher after a foul ball to a…sensitive area.
  6. All the Latino players from both teams repping their home countries.
  7. Cloud that rained on me walking to the stadium.
  8. I’ll be there tonight, tomorrow and Thursday. Jesus Made me do it. (Peña & Dinges too)
  9. Yeah, first 16 starts Skenes averaged 6.4 IP and 98.7 pitches. Over his last eight starts (beginning with the aforementioned game against the Brewers) he has averaged 5.3 IP and 87.3 pitches per start. Pirates are also just 12 W - 12 L in his starts this year, largely on account of only scoring 3.6 runs per game with Skenes on the mound.
  10. Was perusing the NL position player leaderboard on FanGraphs, saw two guys right next to each other… 295/395/448 (142 wRC+) 12.7 BB% | 22.5 K% +0.6 BsR | +3.4 DEF over 249 PA for 3.1 WAR 248/320/576 (142 wRC+) 6.6 BB% | 28.6 K% -4.0 BsR | -1.6 DEF over 437 PA for 3.1 WAR Of course the top one is Isaac Collins and the other one is Eugenio Suarez with ARI before being traded.
  11. Looks like the Brewers (39 W - 35 L) were still 6.5 games back of the Cubs (45 W - 28 L) as late as June 17th. Since then the Brewers have gone 34 W - 9 L versus 22 W - 22 L for the Cubs to swing things 12.5 games.
  12. Believe BRef has what you’re looking for. Brewers were tied with Miami at 31 reach on errors before tonight. That same leaderboard also showing Milwaukee with an MLB best 34 RS% (percentage of base runners who eventually score).
  13. How do you know Hoskins normally would be back? You have a better grasp on Rhys health situation than the Brewers medical staff? Henderson had to catch a ride to the game with his parents he got the call so late. If there were some grand plan to have Misio milk things for a stint they probably would have taken care of those logistics sooner. Woodruff intentionally wanted to slow roll things to hit the ground running in MLB, then got hit with flukey injuries along the way setting things back further. Of course a liner to the elbow will delay things. Yes, Logan has a flexor strain. There is no angle because the Brewers have a stretch of 19 games in 18 days so putting another pitcher on the IL for no reason doesn’t really make much sense. A young pitcher 20 IP over his career high having a minor injury is something that happens in baseball. There was no conspiracy with Hiura either, he couldn’t hit the high heat and still can’t.
  14. My best guess at the sequence of events is the mutual option will be declined and Woody will become an FA with a QO attached. He’ll hopefully hit the market healthy and coming off some nice postseason starts with an agreement to give the Brewers a chance to match or get close to wherever the high bid ends up. Will definitely be interesting to see how they navigate Woody’s likely FA with possible extensions for Freddy and Misio.
  15. Picked up tickets for Tue / Wed / Thu a couple two tree days ago and pickings were already quite a bit slimmer than normal, at least in the sections around home plate.
  16. Yeah, Rhys last game was July 5th and the Brewers are 21 W - 4 L (.840 W%) since July 6th.
  17. Here's a couple ways of looking at it... The Brewers currently have 70 Wins. The six pitchers in the rotation - Freddy, Quintana, Priester, Woodruff, Henderson and Misio - have a combined team record of 56 W - 23 L (.709 W%) in their outings. If they keep that pace up for the rest of the year that would be another 34 wins. Or, going back to the April calendar flip the Brewers have played to a .636 W% after losing their first four games. Play to that pace the rest of the year and it would be another 30 or 31 wins.
  18. No worries, I thought maybe there was some newfandangled third WAR out there I didn’t know about. Pretty sure BPro has their own version too based on their “deserved” stats, but I’ve never dabbled much there.
  19. Where are you seeing -0.7 WAR? I’ve got -0.4 on BRef and 0.1 on FanGraphs? Either way, Arby is a little more old school and tends to put more weight on the baseball card stats. Like Vaughn put up 0.2 WAR on BRef and -0.1 on FanGraphs last year but still got almost $6M in Arby because he had a more respectable 19 HR | 70 RBI.
  20. Seeing as this is the Optimism Thread I’d have to say somewhere around 100%.
  21. Another pretty big difference is that Priester has a 57.8% ground ball rate (5th among 88 pitchers min. 100 IP this year). Lauer was more of a fly ball pitcher with a 41.4% fly ball rate that ranked 31st of 129 pitchers with at least 100 IP in 2021. Eric only induced ground balls at a 35.8% clip that ranked 107th. Younger righty ground ball specialist vs older lefty fly ball guy, sounds like the only thing they really have in common is being Brewers pitchers acquired via trade.
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